Workshop, lecture and closing remarks at EDI/ Nyenrode Business University Executive New Energy Realities miniMBA- 2018

1. Founding partners
Energy Architecture & UN Sustainable Development-
opportunities and our personal leadership
- 8 Feb 2018, Berlin-
Adriaan Kamp
Energy For One World
MiniMBA New Energy Realities 2018

2. Adriaan Kamp
2012 - Energy For One World
A practice on Global Change, Energy
Architecture, UN SDG’s and
Leadership.
Program Director Executive Energy
(transition) & Leadership Education
20 years Industry/Shell International :
Upstream ( 5 Countries and HQ).

3. Contents of Session
1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, New Energy Realities,
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal)
Leadership

4. Global Context
1. Global Change and Geo-Politics of Emotions
2. New Energy Realities
- New Era for Energy Politics (Davos WEF 2018)
- New Technologies, Architectures and Market Models
- Energy available, affordable and sustainable: “Free of Concerns”
- www.energyandstuff.org
3. Paris Climate Change Agreement
4. UN Sustainable Development
5, Our Collective Leadership

5. The World in Year 2015
5

6. Prof. Jeffrey Sachs- Earth Institute:
The Age of Sustainable Development
1/31/2018
Clickable Video Presentation

7. Clickable Presentation

8. 2015 Year of Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable
Development 2030 Agenda

9. UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3) - Paris Climate Change Agreement

10. Pope Francis and his Encyclical Laudato Si!
– on Poverty, People and the Environment: Care for Creation

11. Transbiblica

12. 12

13. Living Planet Reports

14. G7 and the next 100 years

15. Club Of Rome- Graham Maxton
Age of Discovery- Navigating the
Risk and Rewards of our New Age
Renaissance.
Ian Goldin- Oxford Martin School
15

18. Year 2017 – A new styled President Trump
with Executive Orders
18

19. COP23 in Bonn: Organizing for delivery of the Paris Agreement

20. COP23 in Bonn: Organizing for delivery of the Paris
Agreement (2) : “Between Hope and Despair”
20

22. UNFCCC report on Climate Risks
22

23. IEA’s year 2017 analysis of how renewables are growing

24. Year 2040 Expectations vs. Goals
IEA WEO2017
(and international Oil & Gas
community)
80 : 20
UN FCCC
(& Science Community)
20 : 80

25. 25

26. The State of our UN SDGs (2017)

28. 2017 IMF Economic Global Growth Forecast:
“All Time High”

29. Year 2017 in 12 Charts (World Bank)
29

30. Technology Revolution vs Jobs and Social justice
4th Industrial Revolution ILO 2017: World Jobless

31. 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer
31

32. Ocean Plastic Clean-Up
32

33. SG Guterres: RED Alert and 12 points

34. WEF 2018: Global Risk Report
34

35. Great Power competition: “Great Fences makes Good Neigbours”
35

36. Davos 2018- “Creating a Shared Future in a Fractured World”
• The global context today has changed dramatically: geostrategic
fractures have re-emerged on multiple fronts with wide-ranging
political, economic and social consequences.
• “Our collective inability to secure inclusive growth and preserve our
scarce resources puts multiple global systems at risk simultaneously.
Our first response must be to develop new models for cooperation
that are not based on narrow interests but on the destiny of humanity
as a whole," said Klaus Schwab, Founder and Executive Chairman,
World Economic Forum.
36

37. WEF Davos: New Era in Energy Politics
37

38. America First State of the Union and a Dinner Table
38

39. Founding partners
31.01.2018
Geopolitical shifts and re-alignments
• Economic and finance system change
and fundamentals
• A new technological era: 4th Industrial
Revolution.
• Global production systems & the rise
of new (multinational) corporations
• Social Changes (network economies),
and the quest for social wealth &
justice
• Planetary boundaries/ Resource
Scarcities
• Demographic change and migration/
Changing labour markets
Global Change

40. 40
2014
2030-2050
7 Billion
People
9 Billion
People
90 trillion
USD
economy
180-210
trillion USD
225 million
oil eq/day
(15 TW)
500- 750 million
oil eq/day
(55 TW)
400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century
??? ppm CO2 and
Climate Change Effects

41. BRIC:
It’s our time. Let us grow our
Economies and take care of
our people
You’ll fix whatever you want to
fix!
The West:
“If you do as I have done
it will be
a mess.”
Let us all change- rapidly
Let’s secure our nation,
people and planet
Emerging:
Will there be enough for
us?
Can i afford it?
Who will deliver it to me?
The poor:
When will we see
electricity and get
mobility?
Opec and GasPec:
You need us!
We can deliver your needs!
What is all that fuzz about
Availability and climate change?

42. 2/1/2012 Energy For One World- All Rights Reserved

43. Pathways

44. BP Energy Outlook - 2017

45. 2017- BP Energy Outlook
45

46. BP Energy Outlook 2035
1/31/2018

47. BP Energy Statistics 2016

48. Exxon Mobile Analytical View of the World
48

49. www.energyandstuff.org
49
Clickable Go to Website

50. Contents of Session
1. Years 2015-2018: Global Change, New Energies Realities,
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal)
Leadership

51. UN
Regional Blocks
Countries
Cities
Communities
Companies and Institutes
Co-alitions of the Willing

52. Sustainable Community Building

53. The Rise of a new middle-class ( 3 Billion) – in MegaCities
and more people live in Greater Tokyo (35m) than in all of Canada
The top 10 cities by population:
1. Tokyo, (34 million)
2. Seoul (24.4 million)
3. Guangzhou (24.2 million)
4. Mexico City (23.4 million)
5. Delhi (23.2 million)
6. Mumbai (22.8 million)
7. New York (22.2 million)
8. Sao Paolo (20.9 million)
9. Manila (19.6 million)
10. Shanghai (19.4 million)
All above fit comfortably into the list
Of Top-50 nations by population

55. Organizing ourselves: “zippered”- in dimensions
Mainstream
• UN Re-organisation (0)
• Governments (1)
• Corporates and Global Compact (2a)
• Government- Business- Science Community (UN SDSN) (2b)
• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Game-changers (3)
• Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
• Community, Start-up Community (5)

56. Some Regional Development Examples
(as it is today)

62. Energy in the Netherlands
• What to do after Groningen Gas /
Energy Transition Accord- I ?
• What to to after Pernis?
• Electrification of Homes, Cars,
Transport and Cities
• Greening of intensive energy
Industries-, Agri-, Petro-;
• Regional Energy Markets
• What new export markets can we
create?

63. A New Green Plan- NW Europe

64. “Holland”- in and between Germany, UK, France and
ScandinaviA

67. New Start-up valleys focussing on
“Doing Good”, whilst earning “Good”

68. Education – Community Development
(Bottoms-Up)

70. 70

71. Better Business- Better World
71

72. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs
72

73. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (2)
73

74. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (3)
74

75. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs (4)
75

76. UN
Regional Blocks
Countries
Cities
Communities
Companies and Institutes
Co-alitions of the Willing

77. Some Examples- from our Energy Sector
(as it is today)

78. Focus Areas (Energy Sector)
(Year 2018 and beyond- example only)
Oil& Petrochemicals – Plastics in the
Oceans, Fumes in the Air, and Carbon
in the Atmosphere
Gas, Emissions vs New Power- and
Mobility- Energy Architectures
Energy Architecture Developments,
Economies and UN SDGs
GeoPolitics, Free trade and “Energy to
All” or
“Energy-Economies Free of Concerns”
Change &
Transformation

79. Old and New Clickable Presentations
Vs 350 Bn USD investment

80. Click to Go To Website
Germany: An example how it works- in real

81. Example Shell: “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”
Royal Dutch Shell pledged to double its
investment in renewable fuels and to cut its
carbon emissions in half by 2050.
• In comments to investors, Ben van Beurden,
Shell’s chief executive, said that from 2018 to
2020, the company’s new-energies division
would spend up to $2 billion a year on
renewable energy sources like wind, solar and
hydrogen power and on electric-car charging
stations.
• Mr. van Beurden stressed that the pledge was
just a start and that the company supported the
goal of the Paris accord, which is to keep global
temperatures
81
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017

82. Example Shell (2): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy
future”
Into the 2020s, however, we plan a greater focus
on revenue streams that will be less constrained
by policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions,
including petrochemicals and electricity. Shell has
made a series of moves in recent months to
strengthen its position in the power industry, with
deals to buy Texas electricity group MP2, electric
vehicle charging company NewMotion, and UK
energy retailer First Utility.
“If you fast forward with another twenty, thirty,
forty, fifty years, the power segment is going to be
a very dominant part of the total energy system,”
Mr van Beurden said. “At the moment it’s only 18
per cent but it will be more than 50 by the time
this century is over. So we cannot pass up on that
opportunity.”
82
It’s time for Shell to accelerate its efforts in
the transition to a lower-carbon world. This
is how I plan to drive change through the
company.- 8 December 2017

83. Example Shell (3): “A decisive step to a cleaner energy future”

84. With a large range of global/ european utility,
transport, service and industry partners..?

85. New Possibility Thinking (1)- Mission Innovation

86. New Possibility Thinking (3)- Largest Solar Farm (First Solar)
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
3500 hectares
160,000 homes
1,5 Bn USD
550 MW
8 million panels

87. New Possibility Thinking (4)- Largest Offshore Wind Farm’s
4
2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 512 1024
2 yr 4yr 6yr 8 yr 10 yr 12 yr 14 yr 16 yr 18yr 20 yr
5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr 35 yr 40 yr 45 yr 50 yr
An offshore area of 100km2
175 wind turbines
Two offshore substations
Nearly 450km of offshore cabling
One onshore substation
630MW of electricity
Enough power for nearly half a million homes

88. New Possibility Thinking (5): New distributed utility

89. New Possibility Thinking (6)- Solar City- A New Value
Proposition

90. New Possibility Thinking (7)- Car-manufacturer, Carlos Ghosn
Electric Vehicles sales are in
direct correlation with the
number and amount of
charging stations installed
in a city, region or nation.
It's a public-private
partnership. It's a matter of
trust. It's a matter of
convenience. But it surely
the way to go into our
Future.
(Carlos doesnot believe in fuel-celled LPV's. He
is truly committed to the electrification of self-
driving and navigating new car concepts)

91. Uber Google

92. Tony Seba- RethinkX (TaaS) study on personal mobility
92
TaaS= Transport as a Service

93. But with a possible rare earth metal (mining)
scarcity..
Cobalt
93

94. New Possibility Thinking(8)
Smart Cities
The vision of “Smart Cities” is the urban center of the future, made safe, secure environmentally
green, and efficient because all structures - whether for power, water, transportation, etc. are
designed, constructed, and maintained making use of advanced, integrated materials, sensors,
electronics, and networks which are interfaced with computerized systems comprised of databases,
tracking, and decision-making algorithms. - U.S. Dept. of Energy, “The Vision of a Smart City”,
2000
Examples of New, Smart or Sustainable Cities:
• C40 – Vancouver, Oslo, New York, etc.
• Masdar, Abu Dhabi,
• New Songho City, South Korea,
• Gujarat International Finance Tec-City, India
• King Abdullah + Economic Cities Saudi Arabia
• e.g. China Tianjin Development
•PM Modi’s 100 smart cities
•King Abdullah Economic City, Saudi Arabia

95. New Possibility Thinking (9)
Better Architecture- Zero, Zero-Plus and more
1/31/2018

96. New Possibility Thinking (10)
RE-100 Group

97. New Possibility Thinking (11)
Energy Project Finance

98. New Possibility Thinking (12)
Finance, Banks and Insurers

99. We are here- so mind the gap !

100. IRENA’s 2017 Annual Renewable Capacity Statistics
100
2008
1 TW
2016
2 TW

101. Roughly Equals
Present
Oil & Gas Company
Jobs

103. Clean-Tech/ Renewables
Oil & Gas

105. The Present Big Elephant in the Room:
“The Prize of Oil”

106. The Context We see Ourselves in

107. A little conceptual..
(adding it all together)

108. 108

109. From WEF/ Accenture: The energy architecture is an integrated
physical system of energy sources, carriers and demand sectors
shaped by government, industry and civil society.
The energy architecture on location is a reflection of the socio-
political, economic, ecological and business philosophies,
leadership and interests exercised on location.
The energy architecture in a country, region or global community is (ideally) to
serve (the rise of, establishment of) thriving sustainable societies- making
energy available, affordable and sustainable to all: balancing economic
interests with that of society and nature. Here and there. Now and in the
future.
109
Energy Architecture

111. Re-inventing Strategies/Relationships:
“X-Factor of Integration, Transition and
Transformation”
Renewables
Energy
Efficiency
Product Re-
designs
Energy
Architectures
Re-designs
Fossil
1 2
3
4
5

112. Levels of Change
• Level 1
• Level 2
• Level 3
• Level 4
• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy, Administrative and
Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS, Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued
backroom lobbying
• Full Integration of Renewables (clean-tech, energy conservations,
smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture - but not with a system
change. Retained regulations, ownership , revenue, tax and capital
control structures
• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared socio-
economic and corporate business models- also in international trade
• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity and New
human consciousness

113. The way it works: Country Categories and Markets (1)
• OECD- USA, Canada, Europe, Japan, Australia
• (Richer, Resource based) OPEC/ GasPec
• China Inc., India Inc.
• Developing (without Resources)
• Developing (with Resources)
• Least developed. Poor.

114. The way it works (2) : A New Formula in Business and Trade

115. Mainstream
• Governments (1)
• Energy Corporates and Incumbents (2)
• New Entrants/ Innovators/ Change-makers (3)
• Non-Energy Sectors/ Green Growth/ UN SDGs (4)
1+2+3+4 +5= Hybrid Eco-system
Bottoms-up
• Community, Start-up Community (5)
The way it works (3): New Forms of Collaborations

116. The way it works (4): Finding the Rubik-Cube Combination
“Organizational Forms and Formats” - that works
116
e.g.
Country Catogories,
Geographies &
Markets
Business Formula-
and
Cross-Sectors
Forms of
Collaboration

117. Responsible sector leadership
(example only)
category score
Excel, expand and maintain Reserves, Operating Envelopes and Production Performances
Be a Leaders within the Sector- On Economic Rentability (over time), Sustainability and Outlook of
the whole and the aggregate in the sector
Act as a Steward over the developments in the whole energy value chains
Integrate Sustainable Development in the Business Model of Resource Exploitation
Actively support the transition from fossil fuels consumption in our cars, homes and service sectors

118. Clickable Access to Report

120. BluePrint For Business Leadership on the SDGs
120

122. 197 countries need to change

123. “Every Energy Company and Every Energy Architecture in this
world can be improved upon in order to raise the availability,
affordability and sustainability of energy to all”.- Adriaan
Kamp, -2015
Every Country and Every Organization in this World can be
improved upon in order to raise the human, social, economic
and sustainable development to all- Adriaan Kamp- 2015
123

124. A New Business Worthiness Pledge
The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals provide
a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to end poverty, combat
climate change and fight injustice and inequality. By
applying innovation, resources and expertise, I will pursue
the business opportunities inherent in building greener,
more equitable and inclusive societies
I am a business leader who knows that business cannot
succeed in societies that fail. I will do my utmost to be
business worthy in all my efforts, and true to my business to
support the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.
I call on my peers to do the same.

125. SG Guterres on 16 January 2018…

126. Building New Bridges

127. Contents of Session
1. Year 2015-2018: Global Change, New Energies Realities
Climate Change and the Sustainable Development Agenda 2030
2. Organising ourselves
3. Opportunities, Skills and our (Personal)
Leadership

128. One World. Many Needs. Many Views

129. Founding partners
“In Leadership- we are all students for life”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

130. Leadership Levels
• Managing Yourself
• Managing Others
• Managing complex change &
• Managing multi-stakeholders

131. Managing yourself
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

132. Founding partners
“Only good can come from good”
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

133. How much do you know about (your) self?
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

134. What happy people know
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

135. Conquering the self
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

136. 136

137. Managing others
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

138. Founding partners
“Manage others as you would like to be
managed yourself”
(golden rule)
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

139. Organizing people
1/31/2018

140. Leadership and Vision: Opportunity
Framing and Decision Based Delivery
•The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity
How good is your
Opportunity
Framing ?
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

142. Ram Charan- Execute
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

143. Rex Tillerson (“Hi- I am the New Guy”)
Plain Leadership talk – at US State Department
Accountability
Honesty
Respect
One TEAM, One Mission

144. Rex Tillerson
Plain Leadership talk – at US State Department (part 2)
144
System Rethink
World View
Re-Organisation Approach
Unconstrained Re-think
Respect to Staff

145. Good is the enemy of Great

146. From Good to Great
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

147. Servant Leadership
• Compassionate love
• Authenticity
• Humbleness
• Empowerment
• Provide direction
• Stewardship
Here’s the essence of the gospel of Greenleaf. First and
foremost, truly great managers want to serve the people they
lead. They do this by supporting them rather than dictating to
them, and by assigning top priority to employee well-being.
Deceptively simple and deeply profound

148. Pope Francis and Laudato Si!

149. Managing complex change/
multi-stakeholders
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved

150. Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights Reserved
“Resistance to change falls when the benefits are clear”

151. Kotter on Change and Organizations for Change

152. Can We Listen before Change?

153. Ernest Gundling: Understanding Cultures and
Relationships. The way it works
Energy For One World- 2017, All Rights Reserved

154. Hofstede: Cultures and Organizations. The
way it works
154
The Way it Works for a System Rethink
World View
Cultures
Institutions
Our Leadership Ways

155. Core
Values
Cultural Dimensions
Global People Skills
CONSCIOUS
UNCONSCIOUS

156. 156
1. Sustainable Development- a new kind of
Globalization (2016)
2. Sustainable Humanity (2012)
3. We can no longer manage decency (2018)
“Leading Global Decency”

158. A practice on Global Change, Energy Architecture, UN SDG’s and Our Leadership.
– Energy For One World -
Mail Address:
p/a Adriaan Kamp (Founder),
Dirk Hoogenraadstraat 152A,
2586 TN The Hague,
The Netherlands.
Skype: Adriaan.Kamp
Direct line (Netherlands):
0031-614939194
adriaankamp@energyforoneworld.com (director)

159. Foundation & Regional Delivery Platforms-
EFOW Organizational Change and Demonstrator Proposals
Global Change
Energy Architecture
- Economy
- Environment
- Society
UN Sustainable Development &
Paris Agreement
Outreach ---- Consultancy--- Delivery Programs

160. Attachments
160

161. Eco-
Conscious
 Moderated Consumerism
 Limits to Growth
 Cradle-to-Cradle, Bio-Mimicry
 Zero emissions
Nature First

162. Networked
Society
 Away with traditional country and/or
corporate borders : City-Hubs.
 Horizontal, cross-border
collaborations
 Cultural awareness and tolerance
Power to the People

163.  Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth
 Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.
 Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience
 A world of larger inequalities and divisions:
 Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s
Money First
Shared
Capitalis
m

164.  A world of Power , Principles and
Politics
 Polarisation between Beliefs and/or
Power Blocks
 The Geo-politics of Emotions
Power to the Strongest,
First
Darwin

165. Techno
Modernity
 The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and
 Kurz Weill Singularity
 Game-changers and Disruptive
Innovations
 A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,
The Rule of Science &
Technology

166.  Conscious Capitalism
 The rise of new (global and business)
leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s
 Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality
 Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.
Transformative
leadership
Conscious
Humanity

176. 176

178. Roadmap UN SDG7 - Energy To All
178

180. No Jobs Plans
DubaiUnderstanding our Ways