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Navigating the Maze of Google Bid Adjustment
Dr Wing Yee Lee | Senior Manager, Business Analytics

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
Show of Hands

1. Enhanced
Campaigns
2. Mobile
3. Google
Recommended Bid
Adjustment

4. Location
5. Time of Day
www.papyrusonline.com

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

2
Before and After

Before:
3 different bids
After:
1 bid
n multiplier
© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

80p

50p

20p

3

× (1+

-75%

=

80p

20p

)
The Things People Say To you…

You should raise your location bid adjustment on
the keywords with high conversion rates.
Increase bids when the user is within a certain
radius of the store.

www.grist.org

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

4
You should raise your location bid adjustment on
the keywords with high conversion rates.

Location

Avg. Position

Conversion Rate

A

1.2

34.37%

B

1.2

34.21%

C

1.3

31.22%

D

1.2

28.74%

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

5
Regional Conversion Rate and Avg. Position
40%

Conversion Rate

35%
30%

25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1

1.5

2

2.5

Avg. Position
© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

6

3

3.5
Increase bids when the user is within a
certain radius of the store.
Do you have evidence to
support this may work?
Can you track?
How to decide on
the radius?

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

7
Google Recommended Bid Adjustment

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

8
Computer/Tablet ROI vs. Mobile ROI

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

9
Bid Adjustment Calculation Method: RPC-based

Desktop /
Tablet

Mobile

Ratio

£20
£2

£10
£1
?

2:1
2:1

RPC
Bid (Max CPC)

Mobile Bid Adjustment = ?

RPC
Bid (Max CPC)
Average CPC
ROI

Desktop /
Tablet
£20
£2
£1.8
£11.11

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

Answer = -50%

Mobile
£10
£1

2:1
2:1

£0.50
£20
10

Ratio

3.6:1
0.6:1
Bid Adjustment Calculation Method: ROI-based

ROI Ratio = 0.6:1

Assuming the same bidCPC ratio on mobile
Answer = -10%

Mobile Bid Adjustment = ?

RPC
Bid (Max CPC)
Average CPC
ROI

Desktop /
Tablet
£20
£2
£1.8

Mobile

Ratio

£10
£1.8
£0.9

2:1
1.11:1
2:1

£11.11

£11.11

1:1

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

11
Beware of CPC Fluctuations

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

12
RPC-based vs. ROI-based

Method
RPC-based

Benefits
More stable

Drawbacks
Does not account for Bid-toCPC ratio between devices

ROI-based

Closer to
optimal

Regular re-calculations
required to take into account of
CPC fluctuations

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

13
Use Weighted Ratios
Desktop/Tablet

Mobile

Bid
Adj.

RPC

Clicks

Revenue

RPC

Clicks

Revenue

Keyword A

£1

100

£100

£1

100

£100

0%

Keyword B

£10

10

£100

£1

10

£10

-90%

Total

£1.82

110

£200

£1

110

£110

-45%

Example credit to Kohki Yamaguchi

BidAdjustm ent

RPC Kw1Mobile
RPC Kw1DesktopTablet

ClicksKw1

ClicksKw1

ClicksKw1 ClicksKw 2 ...

Mobile Bid Adjustment = ?

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

RPC Kw 2 Mobile
RPC Kw 2 DesktopTablet

14

Answer = -8%

...
Day of Week Bid Adjustment

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

15
Time Bid Adjustment

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

16
Time of Day Bid Adjustment

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

17
A Convoluted Bid


Say you want to make brownies…
Source: makemelaugh.com

400g caster sugar
225g butter, melted
60g cocoa powder
1 tsp vanilla extract
4 eggs
225g plain flour
½ tsp baking powder
½ tsp salt
60g walnut halves

450g
40g
5

Source: Pinterest – Stefanie Angus

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

18
A Convoluted Bid

80p

×(1+

=

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

-75% )×(1+ -20% )×(1+ +50% )
20p

19

=

16p

=

24p
How to Navigate the Maze of Google Bid Adjustment


Taking advice with a pinch of salt
(including mine!)



Applying a few mathematical tools



Being aware of making convoluted bids

© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

20
© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

23
© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

24
© 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.

25

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Navigating Google Bid Adjustments

  • 1. Navigating the Maze of Google Bid Adjustment Dr Wing Yee Lee | Senior Manager, Business Analytics © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
  • 2. Show of Hands 1. Enhanced Campaigns 2. Mobile 3. Google Recommended Bid Adjustment 4. Location 5. Time of Day www.papyrusonline.com © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 2
  • 3. Before and After Before: 3 different bids After: 1 bid n multiplier © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 80p 50p 20p 3 × (1+ -75% = 80p 20p )
  • 4. The Things People Say To you… You should raise your location bid adjustment on the keywords with high conversion rates. Increase bids when the user is within a certain radius of the store. www.grist.org © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 4
  • 5. You should raise your location bid adjustment on the keywords with high conversion rates. Location Avg. Position Conversion Rate A 1.2 34.37% B 1.2 34.21% C 1.3 31.22% D 1.2 28.74% © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 5
  • 6. Regional Conversion Rate and Avg. Position 40% Conversion Rate 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1 1.5 2 2.5 Avg. Position © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 6 3 3.5
  • 7. Increase bids when the user is within a certain radius of the store. Do you have evidence to support this may work? Can you track? How to decide on the radius? © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 7
  • 8. Google Recommended Bid Adjustment © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 8
  • 9. Computer/Tablet ROI vs. Mobile ROI © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 9
  • 10. Bid Adjustment Calculation Method: RPC-based Desktop / Tablet Mobile Ratio £20 £2 £10 £1 ? 2:1 2:1 RPC Bid (Max CPC) Mobile Bid Adjustment = ? RPC Bid (Max CPC) Average CPC ROI Desktop / Tablet £20 £2 £1.8 £11.11 © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. Answer = -50% Mobile £10 £1 2:1 2:1 £0.50 £20 10 Ratio 3.6:1 0.6:1
  • 11. Bid Adjustment Calculation Method: ROI-based ROI Ratio = 0.6:1 Assuming the same bidCPC ratio on mobile Answer = -10% Mobile Bid Adjustment = ? RPC Bid (Max CPC) Average CPC ROI Desktop / Tablet £20 £2 £1.8 Mobile Ratio £10 £1.8 £0.9 2:1 1.11:1 2:1 £11.11 £11.11 1:1 © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 11
  • 12. Beware of CPC Fluctuations © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 12
  • 13. RPC-based vs. ROI-based Method RPC-based Benefits More stable Drawbacks Does not account for Bid-toCPC ratio between devices ROI-based Closer to optimal Regular re-calculations required to take into account of CPC fluctuations © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 13
  • 14. Use Weighted Ratios Desktop/Tablet Mobile Bid Adj. RPC Clicks Revenue RPC Clicks Revenue Keyword A £1 100 £100 £1 100 £100 0% Keyword B £10 10 £100 £1 10 £10 -90% Total £1.82 110 £200 £1 110 £110 -45% Example credit to Kohki Yamaguchi BidAdjustm ent RPC Kw1Mobile RPC Kw1DesktopTablet ClicksKw1 ClicksKw1 ClicksKw1 ClicksKw 2 ... Mobile Bid Adjustment = ? © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. RPC Kw 2 Mobile RPC Kw 2 DesktopTablet 14 Answer = -8% ...
  • 15. Day of Week Bid Adjustment © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 15
  • 16. Time Bid Adjustment © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 16
  • 17. Time of Day Bid Adjustment © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 17
  • 18. A Convoluted Bid  Say you want to make brownies… Source: makemelaugh.com 400g caster sugar 225g butter, melted 60g cocoa powder 1 tsp vanilla extract 4 eggs 225g plain flour ½ tsp baking powder ½ tsp salt 60g walnut halves 450g 40g 5 Source: Pinterest – Stefanie Angus © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 18
  • 19. A Convoluted Bid 80p ×(1+ = © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. -75% )×(1+ -20% )×(1+ +50% ) 20p 19 = 16p = 24p
  • 20. How to Navigate the Maze of Google Bid Adjustment  Taking advice with a pinch of salt (including mine!)  Applying a few mathematical tools  Being aware of making convoluted bids © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 20
  • 21. © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
  • 22. © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential.
  • 23. © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 23
  • 24. © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 24
  • 25. © 2013 Adobe Systems Incorporated. All Rights Reserved. Adobe Confidential. 25

Notas do Editor

  1. Can you define the radius?Geographical context? Lake district vs. LondonAbility to traverse the distanceLocations: Set a bid adjustment for specific postcodes, cities and other geographic areas. You can also use location extension targeting to set different bids for customers who are located near to your business.
  2. Double check whether they are still available on adwords
  3. Individual adjustment seems like a good idea, when put together…
  4. Applying across targeting dimensions