This is a hard work for route development concerning Roma Airport, addressing 50 ROUTES

1. All Roads
Lead
To Rome
By:
Mohammed Salem Awadh
Aviation Consultant
Date of Issue: 17 Aug 2020
Predicting Traffic Passengers Flow for
50 Routes from Rome Airport (FCO)

2. 22
All Roads Lead To Rome
Predicting Rome Hub – Traffic Passengers (2020)
Date of Issue: 17 Aug 2020
Dears,
Since about 8 years, we published a paper
concerning forecasting and seasonality, which
really a hard work
https://www.slideshare.net/wings_of_wisdom/a-
multiplicative-time-series-model
The work is not finish yet, we move further to
implement a new concept, (rotational and
displacement approach), for a short term
forecasting.
https://www.slideshare.net/wings_of_wisdom/airport-forecasting-100-issues

3. 33
Today, it is a question of quality and productivity,
Based in which field we are,
In academic field, we are started to address ideas and
concentrated on the method, reference, and the way to
published to become a referred paper.
However, in real life, we have to meet the targets in terms
of a very short limited time, to support and to take the
necessary action.
So why R-square represents the best fit,
If we look to Add Trend Line in XLS, we can see this
factor used widely in most implemented models.
On the line of that, we examine the productivity term
about Rome airport (50 Routes) for 2020, which gives a
clear view for their seasonality, based on three years
database.
Hope to enjoy
Mohammed Salem Awadh
Aviation Consultant
All Roads LeadTo Rome
verybody talking about recovery /
period of aviation industry due to
Corona, which take L shape, but
the right phrase to express that, is
Back To Norms. A close look to
the graph of L shape, we notice
that the new graph move
downward by a certain
displacement (Displacement
Factor). Keeping the same trend of
the previous forecast.
Back To Norms:
Most of the business may define by a certain normal pattern (here seasonality) which reflects by
normal shocks, that repeated in the future. This led us to the word trend/predicting/ forecasting.
For trend analysis, there are three possible outcomes: positive trend, stable (leveling) and negative
trend.
In the time of corona crisis, the best outcome will be leveling (Zero Growth), i.e how far we are from
the previous year. It is not Y.O.Y,it is define the seasonality level and compare the effected period
with the proposed value from the seasonality patterned. Which will show the gap from the Norms.
Off course by the time the gap, become narrow and narrow until reach a complete recovery.

4. 44
2020

5. 55
FCO-ALGFCO-AMSRoute

6. 66
FCO-ARNFCO-ATHFCO-ATL

7. 77
FCO-AUHFCO-BEYFCO-BRS

8. 88
FCO-BRUFCO-BUDFCO-CAG

9. 99
FCO-CAIFCO-CDGFCO-CMN

10. 1010
FCO-CPHFCO-DUBFCO-DXB

11. 1111
FCO-FRAFCO-GOAFCO-GVA

12. 1212
FCO-HAMFCO-HELFCO-HKG

13. 1313
FCO-ICNFCO-JFKFCO-KBP

14. 1414
FCO-LGWFCO-LISFCO-LYS

15. 1515
FCO-MADFCO-MANFCO-MIA

16. 1616
FCO-MLAFCO-MRSFCO-MUC

17. 1717
FCO-NAPFCO-NCEFCO-NRT

18. 1818
FCO-OLBFCO-ORYFCO-OSL

19. 1919
FCO-PMOFCO-PRGFCO-SAW

20. 2020
FCO-SUFFCO-SVOFCO-SVQ

21. 2121
FCO-TRSFCO-TUNFCO-TLS

22. 2222

23. 2323
08 Jun 2020
Hello Mohammed
I hope you are keeping safe and well.
I am followingup to ensure you received my email lastweek regardingthe results of the
Global CEO Excellence Awards 2020,hosted by CEO Monthly.
On behalf of CEO Monthly, I am delighted to confirmthat you have been awarded:
Aviation Business Leader of the Year (Arabian Peninsula): Mohammed Hadi
How you were selected:
Our in-houseresearch team conducted independent research to create a casefileon your behalf. The casefile
was builtfollowing investigationsinto publicdomain sources which were used to determine the performance,
achievements and contributions of each nominee. You were also encouraged to provide supportingmaterials
in the form of our supportingevidence and peer review questionnaire,but this wasn’t mandatory.
Once finalized,the filewas presented to our judgingpanel for their consideration. To move successfully from
nominee to awardee there must be evidence of expertise within a given field,dedication to customer service
and clientsatisfaction with an ongoing commitment to excellence and innovation.
I hope you're pleased with the results and I look forward to hearingback from you.
Kind regards,
Katherine Benton | Awards Executive | CEO Monthly
Available: Officehours Wednesday through Friday 9am – 5:00pm GMT
Tel: +44 (0) 203 970 0032
Address: 2nd Floor,Suite F, The Maltsters,1-2 Wetmore Road, Burton-on-Trent, Staffordshire,DE14 1LS