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Preamble


Webguerillas celebrates it’s tenth                   With this „Media Manifesto“,
birthday in 2010. A major milestone for              webguerillas is laying down an initial
the company and at the same time an                  interdisciplinary marker for the future of
ideal opportunity to pause and take a                media measurement. For the concepts to
look back over the past decade. What                 be implemented, a cross-sectoral
strikes one immediately is the fact that             consensus is required. It is against this
the media industry has been struggling to            background that the following initial
keep pace with the speed of change in it’s           ideas are presented, offering a basis for
sector during recent years. Conventional             discussion about a fundamentally
media planning and media placement                   different media planning which takes
with their numerous currencies and                   better account of actual media usage.
metrics have now reached an impasse and
are covering less and less of today’s media
usage. Above all, the impact on young
people, with their affinity for the internet          David Eicher
and in particular for social media                   Munich, February 2010
platforms, is simply inadequate.



2
1. Communities versus „traditional“ content websites

    up to now                                                  in the future
• Websites of the „traditional“ media:                    • Social communities establish Web 2.0
  innovation leaders in the Web 1.0                       • Highest coverage in the net
  sector
                                                          • Development of new, innovative
• Highest coverage in the net                               advertising concepts away from
• Business model centered on                                „traditional“ advertising business
  „traditional“ display/banner                            • User networking as a key asset
  advertising                                             • Web 2.0 as a virtual extension
• Editorial/published content as a                          of real life
  key asset
• Very little interaction/
  networking among users


     In terms of popularity among users, social communities are now clearly outstripping the
     „traditional“ content sites and portals. There are fundamental differences in the mode of
     operation of these Web 2.0 offerings as compared with conventional sites.
     The consequence: traditional advertising methods and media currencies are losing ground.


3
2. Advertising „pull“ instead of advertising „push“

    up to now                                                 in the future
• Large number of advertising                             • A small number of high-quality
  contacts as parameters for success                        contacts generate their own dynamism
• Traditional „push“ mechanism                              in the Web (advertising „pull“)
  (sender-receiver-principle)                             • Qualitative „pull“ mechanism
• Predominantly quantitative planning                     • Creativity and humor as parameters
  and measurement                                           for success
• Danger of negative response                             • Major „activation“ potential, increased
  on the part of consumers                                  user retention
• No involvement/no interaction with                      • Dialog between brand and user
  the consumer                                            • Contact with the user evolves into a
                                                            relationship with the user


     The challenge for the future will be to animate and activate consumers and to incorporate
     their personal networks into campaigns. This does not necessarily require a high degree
     of previous advertising pressure („push“) in the Web.


4
3. Fan club instead of target group

    up to now                                                  in the future
• Definition of supposedly                                  • Metrics for attachment to a brand
  homogeneous social groups                                • Account is taken of the breakup of
  (on the basis of socio-demographic                         traditional milieu structures
  characteristics)                                         • Networking and community building
• In many cases no account is taken of                       as parameters for success
  social trends, such as the breakup                       • Metrics which take due account of
  of traditional milieus                                     willingness to recommend and also
• Very little information about brand                        multiplier/opinion former effects in
  loyalty                                                    the Web
• No account taken of multiplier/
  opinion former effects



    Now that Germany’s Defense Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg has outed himself
    as an AC/DC fan, it is obvious that the traditional target group is a thing of the past.
    What is needed is a method which clearly identifies (potential) fans of a brand.


5
4. Loss of activity instead of scatter loss

    up to now                                                  in the future
• Indicator of erroneous media                             • Indicator of lack of activation
  planning                                                   potential
• Purely quantitative metric                               • Account taken of qualitative effects
• Mass appeal is a prerequisite                              (creation/conceptualizion)
• Broadcast mode is a basic factor                         • Individual appeal is a prerequisite
                                                           • Dialog with the consumer
                                                             is a basic factor




    The term „scatter loss“ is now out of date. In the digital era each consumer can be targeted
    individually. The decisive factor in the future will be how actively and how frequently
    consumers interact with brands and how committed they are to the brand in question.


6
5. Cost per Thousand Dialogs instead of
                       Cost per Thousand Contacts
    up to now                                                   in the future
• Metric for visual contacts                               • Parameter for active dialog
• Metric for a one-off contact                               with the customer
• Purely quantitative metric for cost                      • Metric for longer-term/permanent
  calculation purposes                                       contact with consumers
• No account taken of the                                  • Both a qualitative and quantitative
  (editing) environment                                      metric
• No account taken of the recipient’s                      • Inclusion of the qualitative
  involvement                                                component
                                                           • Consumer’s involvement
                                                             is taken into account




    The so-called Cost per Thousand Contacts has served its purpose. It provides no
    indication of the activation potential of consumers. In the future this will be measured by
    the Cost per Thousand Dialogs – a parameter for the active dialog with customers.


7
6. Gross Involvement Volume instead
                          of Gross Rating Point
    up to now                                                 in the future
• Metric for the average advertising                      • Metric for activation
  „push“ within the target group                            potential in the target group
• High-percentage range can                               • Precise measurement of the target
  compensate for a low targeting                            group actually reached
  frequency (and vice versa)                              • Indication of the advertising impact
• No indication of whether the                              possible
  targeted consumer has actually
  seen the ad
• No indication of the advertising
  impact




    The Gross Rating Point (GRP) is a metric which indicates the average exposure that
    advertising receives. In the Web 2.0 era, it is being replaced increasingly by the Gross
    Involvement Volume (GIV). This gives a clearer indication of the actual advertising impact.


8
7. „Always on“ instead of audience ratings

    up to now                                                in the future
• Metric for viewing ratings per                         • Registration of total media behavior
  household (as a percentage)                              in the net
• Based on conventional linear                           • Also coverage of non-linear TV and
  TV usage                                                 parallel usage
• Comparatively complex procedure                        • Much more realistic indication of
  for the panel households                                 media usage by younger target groups
• No indication of possible                              • Precise metrics
  simultaneous multiple usage of                         • Easy to use
  media possible                                         • Measurement of an actual contact
• Measurement of a contact
  opportunity



    The importance of audience ratings is constantly decreasing. Younger target groups watch
    TV via the internet (non-linear). At the same time, they network in communities and read
    the latest news. They are „always on“ – always in the Web and always accessible.


9
8. Actively involved instead of passively receiving

     up to now                                                 in the future
• Model of the passive media                              • Model of the active media consumer
  consumer in „lean back“ mode                              in „lean forward“ mode
• No or very little possibility                           • Dialog (Web 2.0) as a key feature
  of interaction or dialog                                • Brand and consumer communicate
• Traditional broadcast mode                                „on equal terms“
• No account taken of involvement




     In terms of media planning, much less importance is now attached to the couch potato
     slouched in front of the TV set. Today’s media consumer is (by and large) much more
     active: advertisers and media decision-makers need to completely rethink their approach.


10
9. Brand content versus media content

     up to now                                                   in the future
• Traditional media have textual and                        • Companies reach and retain users by
  interpretive sovereignty (opinion                           means of their own content strategies
  leadership)                                                 (in the net)
• High level of credibility                                 • Traditional media are losing
• Clearly structured media sector                             credibility
• Consumers as recipients of media                          • Bloggers are challenging the
                                                              traditional media for interpretive
• Comparatively weak brand
                                                              sovereignity (opinion leadership)
  content/CP
                                                            • Consumers as active media designers




     The traditional media landscape is gradually disappearing as brands and bloggers vie
     with edited content sites for users’ attention. The winner will be the one which offers
     clear added value.


11
10. Realtime monitoring instead of coverage surveys

     up to now                                                in the future
• Delayed reproduction/mapping                            • Realtime reproduction/
  of media usage                                            mapping of media usage
• Distortion of audiences as a result                     • No distortion of total audiences
  of short-term publishing promotions                     • Targeting establishes actual interests
  (competitions)                                          • Determination of brand likes and
• Risk of incorrect information and                         dislikes in social communities
  mix-ups in coverage surveys
• Socio-demographic cluster formation
  on the basis of the survey findings




     The current coverage surveys are simply an anachronism in the Web 2.0 era.
     Their representation of media usage is inadequate. What we need is end-to-end,
     realtime monitoring.


12
11. Global village instead of Nielsen sweeps

     up to now                                                   in the future
• Model of the „immobile“ citizen                            • Model of the global
• Based on lifestyles and brand                                „citizen of the world“
  preferences with a powerful regional                       • Internationally, brand preferences
  character                                                    are becoming increasingly similar
• Geographical divisions based                               • Community building based on
  on Nielsen                                                   similar interests, irrespective of
• Traditional values                                           time and place
                                                             • Traditional brand images are
                                                               called into question




     Dividing up the map of Germany on the basis of Nielsen regions and ratings is
     totally out of date. What is needed are divisions and metrics that reflect today’s
     cosmopolitan mindset.


13
12. Brand ambassadors versus advertising media

     up to now                                                  in the future
• Media used to convey advertising                          • Multipliers/opinion formers in
  messages                                                    the net report on their brand
• Advertising as a disruptive effect on                       preferences
  edited content                                            • High degree of authenticity
• Targeting a large number of                               • Community building for
  consumers a prerequisite                                    individual brands possible
• Risk of considerable scatter loss                         • No scatter loss
• Decline in acceptance of advertising                      • No falling off in acceptance
                                                              of advertising




     There have been fundamental changes in the media landscape and in media behavior
     patterns. Yet the mechanisms in the advertising sector with its „broadcast“ principle have
     remained the same for 50 years. Can anyone be surprised at the lack of acceptance?


14
14

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Media-Manifesto, 12 theses for the future media planning!

  • 1.
  • 2. Preamble Webguerillas celebrates it’s tenth With this „Media Manifesto“, birthday in 2010. A major milestone for webguerillas is laying down an initial the company and at the same time an interdisciplinary marker for the future of ideal opportunity to pause and take a media measurement. For the concepts to look back over the past decade. What be implemented, a cross-sectoral strikes one immediately is the fact that consensus is required. It is against this the media industry has been struggling to background that the following initial keep pace with the speed of change in it’s ideas are presented, offering a basis for sector during recent years. Conventional discussion about a fundamentally media planning and media placement different media planning which takes with their numerous currencies and better account of actual media usage. metrics have now reached an impasse and are covering less and less of today’s media usage. Above all, the impact on young people, with their affinity for the internet David Eicher and in particular for social media Munich, February 2010 platforms, is simply inadequate. 2
  • 3. 1. Communities versus „traditional“ content websites up to now in the future • Websites of the „traditional“ media: • Social communities establish Web 2.0 innovation leaders in the Web 1.0 • Highest coverage in the net sector • Development of new, innovative • Highest coverage in the net advertising concepts away from • Business model centered on „traditional“ advertising business „traditional“ display/banner • User networking as a key asset advertising • Web 2.0 as a virtual extension • Editorial/published content as a of real life key asset • Very little interaction/ networking among users In terms of popularity among users, social communities are now clearly outstripping the „traditional“ content sites and portals. There are fundamental differences in the mode of operation of these Web 2.0 offerings as compared with conventional sites. The consequence: traditional advertising methods and media currencies are losing ground. 3
  • 4. 2. Advertising „pull“ instead of advertising „push“ up to now in the future • Large number of advertising • A small number of high-quality contacts as parameters for success contacts generate their own dynamism • Traditional „push“ mechanism in the Web (advertising „pull“) (sender-receiver-principle) • Qualitative „pull“ mechanism • Predominantly quantitative planning • Creativity and humor as parameters and measurement for success • Danger of negative response • Major „activation“ potential, increased on the part of consumers user retention • No involvement/no interaction with • Dialog between brand and user the consumer • Contact with the user evolves into a relationship with the user The challenge for the future will be to animate and activate consumers and to incorporate their personal networks into campaigns. This does not necessarily require a high degree of previous advertising pressure („push“) in the Web. 4
  • 5. 3. Fan club instead of target group up to now in the future • Definition of supposedly • Metrics for attachment to a brand homogeneous social groups • Account is taken of the breakup of (on the basis of socio-demographic traditional milieu structures characteristics) • Networking and community building • In many cases no account is taken of as parameters for success social trends, such as the breakup • Metrics which take due account of of traditional milieus willingness to recommend and also • Very little information about brand multiplier/opinion former effects in loyalty the Web • No account taken of multiplier/ opinion former effects Now that Germany’s Defense Minister Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg has outed himself as an AC/DC fan, it is obvious that the traditional target group is a thing of the past. What is needed is a method which clearly identifies (potential) fans of a brand. 5
  • 6. 4. Loss of activity instead of scatter loss up to now in the future • Indicator of erroneous media • Indicator of lack of activation planning potential • Purely quantitative metric • Account taken of qualitative effects • Mass appeal is a prerequisite (creation/conceptualizion) • Broadcast mode is a basic factor • Individual appeal is a prerequisite • Dialog with the consumer is a basic factor The term „scatter loss“ is now out of date. In the digital era each consumer can be targeted individually. The decisive factor in the future will be how actively and how frequently consumers interact with brands and how committed they are to the brand in question. 6
  • 7. 5. Cost per Thousand Dialogs instead of Cost per Thousand Contacts up to now in the future • Metric for visual contacts • Parameter for active dialog • Metric for a one-off contact with the customer • Purely quantitative metric for cost • Metric for longer-term/permanent calculation purposes contact with consumers • No account taken of the • Both a qualitative and quantitative (editing) environment metric • No account taken of the recipient’s • Inclusion of the qualitative involvement component • Consumer’s involvement is taken into account The so-called Cost per Thousand Contacts has served its purpose. It provides no indication of the activation potential of consumers. In the future this will be measured by the Cost per Thousand Dialogs – a parameter for the active dialog with customers. 7
  • 8. 6. Gross Involvement Volume instead of Gross Rating Point up to now in the future • Metric for the average advertising • Metric for activation „push“ within the target group potential in the target group • High-percentage range can • Precise measurement of the target compensate for a low targeting group actually reached frequency (and vice versa) • Indication of the advertising impact • No indication of whether the possible targeted consumer has actually seen the ad • No indication of the advertising impact The Gross Rating Point (GRP) is a metric which indicates the average exposure that advertising receives. In the Web 2.0 era, it is being replaced increasingly by the Gross Involvement Volume (GIV). This gives a clearer indication of the actual advertising impact. 8
  • 9. 7. „Always on“ instead of audience ratings up to now in the future • Metric for viewing ratings per • Registration of total media behavior household (as a percentage) in the net • Based on conventional linear • Also coverage of non-linear TV and TV usage parallel usage • Comparatively complex procedure • Much more realistic indication of for the panel households media usage by younger target groups • No indication of possible • Precise metrics simultaneous multiple usage of • Easy to use media possible • Measurement of an actual contact • Measurement of a contact opportunity The importance of audience ratings is constantly decreasing. Younger target groups watch TV via the internet (non-linear). At the same time, they network in communities and read the latest news. They are „always on“ – always in the Web and always accessible. 9
  • 10. 8. Actively involved instead of passively receiving up to now in the future • Model of the passive media • Model of the active media consumer consumer in „lean back“ mode in „lean forward“ mode • No or very little possibility • Dialog (Web 2.0) as a key feature of interaction or dialog • Brand and consumer communicate • Traditional broadcast mode „on equal terms“ • No account taken of involvement In terms of media planning, much less importance is now attached to the couch potato slouched in front of the TV set. Today’s media consumer is (by and large) much more active: advertisers and media decision-makers need to completely rethink their approach. 10
  • 11. 9. Brand content versus media content up to now in the future • Traditional media have textual and • Companies reach and retain users by interpretive sovereignty (opinion means of their own content strategies leadership) (in the net) • High level of credibility • Traditional media are losing • Clearly structured media sector credibility • Consumers as recipients of media • Bloggers are challenging the traditional media for interpretive • Comparatively weak brand sovereignity (opinion leadership) content/CP • Consumers as active media designers The traditional media landscape is gradually disappearing as brands and bloggers vie with edited content sites for users’ attention. The winner will be the one which offers clear added value. 11
  • 12. 10. Realtime monitoring instead of coverage surveys up to now in the future • Delayed reproduction/mapping • Realtime reproduction/ of media usage mapping of media usage • Distortion of audiences as a result • No distortion of total audiences of short-term publishing promotions • Targeting establishes actual interests (competitions) • Determination of brand likes and • Risk of incorrect information and dislikes in social communities mix-ups in coverage surveys • Socio-demographic cluster formation on the basis of the survey findings The current coverage surveys are simply an anachronism in the Web 2.0 era. Their representation of media usage is inadequate. What we need is end-to-end, realtime monitoring. 12
  • 13. 11. Global village instead of Nielsen sweeps up to now in the future • Model of the „immobile“ citizen • Model of the global • Based on lifestyles and brand „citizen of the world“ preferences with a powerful regional • Internationally, brand preferences character are becoming increasingly similar • Geographical divisions based • Community building based on on Nielsen similar interests, irrespective of • Traditional values time and place • Traditional brand images are called into question Dividing up the map of Germany on the basis of Nielsen regions and ratings is totally out of date. What is needed are divisions and metrics that reflect today’s cosmopolitan mindset. 13
  • 14. 12. Brand ambassadors versus advertising media up to now in the future • Media used to convey advertising • Multipliers/opinion formers in messages the net report on their brand • Advertising as a disruptive effect on preferences edited content • High degree of authenticity • Targeting a large number of • Community building for consumers a prerequisite individual brands possible • Risk of considerable scatter loss • No scatter loss • Decline in acceptance of advertising • No falling off in acceptance of advertising There have been fundamental changes in the media landscape and in media behavior patterns. Yet the mechanisms in the advertising sector with its „broadcast“ principle have remained the same for 50 years. Can anyone be surprised at the lack of acceptance? 14
  • 15. 14