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Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of
   Marketing Analytic Techniques

   2.1 Introduction


   2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM


   2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data

   2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic
   Marketing Platform

   2.5 Questions
• Debbie Mayville
  – Sr. Solutions Architect, Communications & Marketing
    Analytics, SAS
• David Kelley
  – Sr. Solutions Architect, Customer Intelligence, SAS
• Suneel Grover
  – Solutions Architect, Integrated Marketing Analytics, SAS
  – Adjunct Professor, Integrated Marketing Analytics,
    New York University (NYU)
Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of
   Marketing Analytic Techniques

   2.1 Introduction


   2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM


   2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data

   2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic
   Marketing Platform

   2.5 Questions
The Marketing Process

                             Mobile Online Finance Risk
                   Call                                   Customer
                    Center                                Service
          In Person                                            Merchandising

      Social                                                           Corporate
                                                                       Affairs

Direct Mail                    Marketing                                 Operations


                                Optimization
      Marketing                    Marketing                   Marketing
      Strategy                     Processes                   Campaigns


                                    Analytics


                               Data Integration

ERP            CRM               EDW           Online         Social        Campaign
The Customer Lifecycle

• The business relationship with a customer
  evolves over time
• Five phases
  1.   Prospects
  2.   Responders
  3.   New customers
  4.   Established customers
  5.   Former customers
Event-Based Relationships

• Primarily based on transactions
• Customer may or may not return
   – Tracking customers over time may be
     difficult or impossible
• Prospect communications
  focused on message broadcasting
   – Advertising
   – Web ads
   – Viral marketing
• Targeted, 1:1 messaging is challenging
• Analytic work focused on product, geography, and time
Subscription-Based Relationships

• Provide more natural opportunities
  for understanding customers
   – Offers opportunity for future cash flow
     and customer interactions
• Can take many forms
   – Billing relationships
   – Affinity cards
   – Website registrations
• The beginning and end of the relationship are two key events

 When these events are well-defined, survival analysis is a
  good candidate for understanding the relationship duration
Customer Acquisition

• The process of attracting prospects and turning them into
  customers
   – Advertising
   – Word-of-mouth
   – Targeted marketing
• Data mining can play an important role
   – Three questions
       1. Who are the prospects?
       2. When is a customer acquired?
       3. What is the role of data mining?
Who Are the Prospects?
• Understanding prospects is important because messages
  should be targeted to the appropriate audience

• Challenges

    Geographic expansion
    Changes to products, services,
     and pricing
    Competition

• Will the past be a good predictor of the future?
  – In most cases, the answer is “yes”
  – The past has to be used intelligently
Prospecting Incorrectly

• NYC-based direct marketing company
   – Large customer base in Manhattan
      • Looking to expand into the suburbs
      • DM campaigns have always been targeted to Manhattan

   – Data mining model built from campaign responders
      • Manhattan - high concentration of wealthy residents (model bias)
      • Responders wealthier than most prospects in surrounding areas

• When the model was extended to areas outside of Manhattan,
  what areas did the model choose?
Prospecting: What Is The Role Of Data Mining?

• Available data limits the role that data mining can play
• The goal is to target prospects that are:

   – More likely to respond
   – Become good customers

• Data availability falls into three categories

   1. Source of prospect
   2. Appended individual/household data
   3. Appended demographic data at a geographic level

• Challenge: The echo (“halo”) effect
Prospecting: What Is The Role Of Data Mining?
• Identifying good prospects
   – The need to define what it means
     to be a “good prospect”
   – Identify rules that allow for this type
     of targeting
       • Example: Response modeling

• Choosing a communications channel
   – Mass media vs. direct-response media?

• Picking appropriate messages for different segments
   – Price vs. convenience?
Customer Activation
• Provides a view of new customers at the point when they start
   – This perspective is an important data source
   – Often a useful predictor of long-term customer behavior
• The activation funnel
   1. The sales lead
   2. The order
   3. The subscription
   4. The paid subscription
• Data mining can play a role in understanding
  whether or not customers are migrating
  the way they should be
Customer Relationship Management
• The primary goal of CRM is to increase
  the customer’s value
   1. Up-selling
   2. Cross-selling
   3. Usage stimulation
   4. Customer value calculation

• CRM is successful when customer messaging is highly relevant
   – Data mining plays a key role in identifying relevant affinities

• Potentially, the single most important part of CRM is retaining
  customers
   – Predictive modeling is heavily applicable
Using Current Customers To
            Learn About Future Prospects
• How to identify your best customers
   – Start tracking customers before they become customers
      • Marketing campaign data
      • Cookie data
   – Gather information from new customers at time of acquirement
      • Golden opportunity - prospect to customer transition
      • Geographic and demographic
   – Model the relationship
      • Customer longevity
      • Customer value
      • Default risk
CRM: What Is The Role Of Data Mining?

• Customers provide the richest source of data for mining

• Behavioral data provides the following opportunities:
   1.   Matching campaigns to customers
   2.   Reducing exposure to risk
   3.   Determining customer value
   4.   Cross-selling, up-selling, and making recommendations
Retention

• Attrition is a major application of data mining
• Challenges
   1. Recognition
       What it is & when it occurs
   2. Why it matters
   3. Different kinds of attrition
       Two approaches
            Predicting who will leave
            Predicting how long customers
             will stay
Win-back
• Even after customers have left, they can still
  be lured back
   – Data mining can explain why customers left

• Case Study: Media product boycott
   – What do you do when the unexpected happens?
   – Consumer backlash to end customer subscriptions
      • How many stops can be attributed to the boycott?
      • Who is stopping?
      • Are they coming back?
   – Challenges in tracking
   – Manual investigation vs. text mining
Why Operationalize Analytics?
• Increase customer lifetime value with relevancy
• Maintain customer satisfaction proactively
• Interact with precise offers, messages, and communications
• Current/recent interaction may be the tipping point to
  negative sentiment
• Significant events: sentiment/social media, interaction
  points
Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle
    Acquisition        Development   Retention   Churn/ Win-
                                                    back
Net Margin
Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle
    Acquisition        Development        Retention             Churn/ Win-
                                                                   back
Net Margin




                            Decisions points during acquisition:
                             • Looking at products and offers

                             • Comparing pricing

                             • Company can be scoring - credit worthiness
Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle
    Acquisition        Development            Retention         Churn/ Win-
                                                                   back

                         Decisions points during relationship
                         development:
Net Margin




                          • Service & product usage

                          • Customer user experience
                          • Cross & up-sell

                          • Bad debt detection and collection

                          • Customer service
Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle
    Acquisition             Development             Retention   Churn/ Win-
                                                                   back
Net Margin




                 Decisions points during retention:

                  • Targeted retention activities
                  • Complaint handling

                  • Renewal pricing, discounting & bundling

                  • Reactive retention
Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle
    Acquisition           Development           Retention          Churn/ Win-
                                                                      back
Net Margin




                   Decisions points during churn/win-back:
                    • Win-back discount and bundle pricing

                    • Trigger campaigns for future reacquisition
Execute on Actionable Insights
Applying Predictive Models to Marketing
               Strategy
Proactively Manage the Customer Experience

Preventive Actions   Predictive Actions    Reactive Actions




                                          Action is
                                          identified
Define Customer Value
  A smaller percentage of your customer base is driving the
  majority of the profit.
                                    Migrate /
         Spend    Keep &
                                     Shift to
        to keep   migrate
                                   lower cost

                                                   May be some of
                                                    your largest
                                                     customers




Source: Gartner
Achieving Success With Business Analytics

                                         What’s the best that can happen?


                                                                             Optimization
                                       What will happen next?

                                                                   Predictive
                                                                   Modeling
             What if these trends continue?
                                                      Forecasting

          Why is this happening?                Statistical
                                                Analysis
                                       Alerts

                            Query                        What actions are needed?
                           Drilldown
                 Ad hoc                           Where exactly is the problem?
                 Reports
        Std.                             How many, how often, where?
       Reports
                               What happened?
Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of
   Marketing Analytic Techniques

   2.1 Introduction


   2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM


   2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data

   2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic
   Marketing Platform

   2.5 Questions
Set-top Box Analytics Situation Slide
               • Marketing: How can I increase revenue and lower churn?
  Critical     • Programming: How do I know viewership across
 Business        programs?
  Issue        • Advertising: How can I drive up better yields on my ad
                 units?




 Current       • Using 3rd party data
Capabilities   • Difficulty mining vast amount of viewing information




               • Capabilities for sourcing and preparing the set-top box
   New           data
Capabilities   • Analytics for uncovering insight and unknown patterns
               • Interactive dashboard solution for executive decisioning
Your Set-top Box Data
 Who is           What & when            What kind of
watching?           are they          customer are they?
                   watching?




                  Valuable Resource


              Augmenting Existing Data
        Smarter, More Accurate, Timely, Control
Set-top Box Analytics Benefits
Analytic Insights Provide Value for Multiple Departments

                          Set-top Box Analytics

                           Audience Intelligence


     Marketing                Programming             Advertising

1. Churn prevention         1. Insights for        1. Higher ROI on
2. Up-sell / cross-sell        program                addressable
3. Optimize                    negotiations           advertising
   packaging                2. Uncover             2. Uncover unknown
4. Drive engagement            replacement            targets for
   across channels             programming            addressable
                            3. Identify new           advertising
                               program targets     3. Optimize
                            4. Produce Tier 2         advertising
                               viewer insights        inventory
Audience Intelligence
                 Audience
                Viewership


   Media                      Audience
  Planning                   Forecasting




Likelihood to                 Audience
   Watch                      Behavior


                Audience
                Discovery
Audience Intelligence
                   Audience
                  Viewership


   Media        When To          Audience
  Planning       Target         Forecasting



        What To                Who To
        Target                 Target


Likelihood to      How To
                                  Audience
   Watch                          Behavior
                   Target


                  Audience
                  Discovery
Data Process
Set-top Box Data
Raw Set-top box Data
                                                    duration
                                                               +   Transform Data
                                                                                 duration
                                                                                         +   Incorporate Other Data

HH_ID device_id    Timeframe     channel program     (secs)       Timeframe       (min)      Income LOB           Plan
  123     4567       5/2/11 9:00      17       22       1200   week1_9-9:30am           20    150000   3 Triple-play bundle A
  123     4567       5/2/11 9:20      15       45        300   week1_9-9:30am            5    150000   3 Triple-play bundle A
  123     4567       5/2/11 9:25       3       55        300   week1_9-9:30am            5    150000   3 Triple-play bundle A
  123     4567       5/2/11 9:30      17       66        900   week1_9:30-10am          15    150000   3 Triple-play bundle A
  123     4567       5/2/11 9:45      15       77        900   week1_9:30-10am          15    150000   3 Triple-play bundle A


                  1. Source Set-top Box Data                          2. Append Data
                  • HD vs. Non-HD                                     • Billing
                  • Weekday vs. Weekend                               • Account
                  • Time of Day (Morning, Night)                      • Calls to Care
                  • Day of the Week (Mon, Tues, etc.)                 • 3rd Party (demographic, Axciom,
                  • Channels                                             Experian)
                  • Channel Category                                  • Tribune
                  • Programs                                          • Social Media (Twitter, Facebook)
                  • Program Category (Genre, 1st
                    run/2nd run)
                  • Series Usage Levels (Avid                         3. Aggregate & Build Viewing
                    Watchers, Fly-bys)                                Categories
                  • Last Tuning Event                                 • Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Series
                  • Combination of Watching                           • Sums & Averages of Durations
                  • Tune-aways                                        • Viewing rates & Change in
                  • Time Slot                                            Viewing rates
                  • Geographic
Marketing Segmentation
    Premium Couch
                                          Price Conscious
    Potatoes
                                          Families

                                          Family Viewers with
                                          Premiums
Stay Home
Moms & Kids




                                                 Price is not
                                                 an Object



                         Multi-cultural
                         Programming
Programming Segmentation
                     Only a Network A
                     Weekend Watcher            Network A
                              Weekend           News Crazy                   Network A
   Network A
   Sampler                                                                   Movie
                                                                             Watcher


                                        7%     12%                               Network
                             22%                      8%
Not a Network A                                                                  A Fly-
                                                            7%
Watcher                                                                          bys
                                                           12%
                            13%
                                                     6%
                                   2%    11%
                                                                             Network A
                                                                             Sports Fan

Network A Weekday Fan
           Weekday




                                   Network A              Network A
                                   Devoted Fan            Frequent Watcher
STB Data - Advertising Segmentation

Automotive                     Wireless



                        7%   5%
                                      40%
                 25%


Movie Studios                               Financial Services
                             23%




                       Healthcare
Audience Insight
Dashboards
Segmentation
Segmentation Details
Network Analysis
Mapping Visualization
Path Analysis
What-if Analysis
Content Analytics Situation Slide
 Critical    • As a digital publisher, do you provide the most
               engaging, relevant content possible?
Business     • Is your content management strategy driven by a deep
 Issue         understanding of your audience’s evolving behavior?




             • Lose audience share to competitors
Importance   • Reduced halo effect around other revenue streams
             • Flat or decreasing marketing performance metrics




             • How to organize content for dynamic categorization?
Challenges   • How to analyze the data for actionable insight?
             • How to become more proactive vs. reactive?
Case Study: Tribune Company
• Business Issue: To accurately define and categorize
  content efficiently to deliver highly relevant information to
  its online readership

• Outcome: Analytic approaches enabled the ability to
  define, apply and push the right content, in the right
  context, to the right audience in the most optimized way

• Usage Examples
   – Repurposing content
   – Driving ad revenue
   – Improving search performance
Text Analytics

                Text Mining




                  Natural
 Ontology                       Sentiment
                Language
Management                       Analysis
                Processing




                  Content
               Categorization
Text Analytics
        Natural Language Processing (NLP)
              Support for multiple languages
              Stemming to locate the various forms of
               an input
              Part-of-speech recognition and tagging
  Natural
Language
               to recognize nouns, verbs, adjectives,
Processing     etc.
              Word and sentence tokenization:
               Identify distinct words or expressions
              Information extraction: Facts and
               events, people, dates, places,
               sentiment, emotion, etc…
Text Analytics

                Text Mining




                  Natural
 Ontology                       Sentiment
                Language
Management                       Analysis
                Processing




                  Content
               Categorization
Text Analytics
                                          Insight
                            Text
                                         Discovery
                           Mining



Top                                                   Up


                           Natural
          Ontology                       Sentiment
                         Language
         Management                       Analysis
                         Processing
Down                                                 Bottom




                           Content
       Information      Categorization
       Organization
Usage Example: Chicago Tribune
Usage Example: New York Times
                                        Real-Time
                                       Deployment




Topics


Automatic
 Entities
Extraction                     Automatic
                              Categorization
Text Analytics
                                           Insight
                            Text
                                          Discovery
                           Mining



Top                                                    Up


                           Natural
          Ontology                       Sentiment
                         Language
         Management                       Analysis
                         Processing
Down                                                  Bottom




                           Content
       Information      Categorization
       Organization
Potential Data Sources



        Data
     Management
Data Cleansing
•   Unstructured data, in the form of text, when captured, presents
    unique challenges
    –   Correctly structure the data and clean it is a priority
    –   Technology needs to have the ability to:
        »   Eliminate irrelevant information




        »   Quantity ≠ Quality
            »   Miss-spelings
            »   Treat acronyms and abbreviations (e.g. “LOL”)
            »   Pr☺f@nity
            »   *Punctuation*
Sentiment Analysis

• The action of identifying the expressed sentiments by customers,
  partners, suppliers and employees
         • Three levels
           – Polarity indicator: Positive, negative, neutral
• Why is it important to measure sentiment?
         • Public perception
• Traditional methodologies
         • Statistical and rules-based
         • Typically use one or the other
           – Common issues with measuring
             polarity accurately
           – Hybrid approach advantages
• Overall vs. granular/feature-level sentiment
Overall vs. Granular/Feature-level Sentiment
   Good, but a little outdated. I bought the Nikon Coolpix L10 as my
    first digital compact P&S camera. I had it for a couple of weeks,
    until mine had a 'lens error' that basically made the camera
    inoperable (it was stuck open). It might've been due to batteries
    running low, but I tried another set.
   The picture quality from the L10 was very good, a bit of barrel
    distortion was noticed in the wide angle and shooting tall
    skyscrapers (noticed by the curve along the side of the frame
    where the buildings are supposed to be straight).Another gripe I
    had with the camera was how slow the auto-focus was. It would
    basically go through the whole range of focus every time I
    pressed the shutter half-way and then some
   Eventually a lot of my pictures came out blurry, including outdoor
    overcast days with 3x optical zoom. Basically anytime there's
    zoom & less than ideal lighting, I would have to have rock steady
    hands to get non-blurry pictures. Overall it's a good camera if you
    can overlook the issues I mentioned.
                Product: Nikon Coolpix L10, Polarity: mixed
                 Feature: Picture Quality, Polarity: positive
                   Feature: Autofocus, Polarity: negative
Case Study: Yogurt Brand

• Business Issue: Search sources of consumer-generated
  content and social media activity to find and analyze
  opinions about brand and products
• Outcome: Sentiment analysis technology enabled the
  ability to:
   – Take targeted measures based on Web feedback
   – Align with customers' needs by analyzing indicators that
     reveal strengths and weaknesses
   – Define new products
   – Discover innovative uses
     for existing products
Text Analytics
                                           Insight
                            Text
                                          Discovery
                           Mining



Top                                                    Up


                           Natural
          Ontology                       Sentiment
                         Language
         Management                       Analysis
                         Processing
Down                                                  Bottom




                           Content
       Information      Categorization
       Organization
Discover vs. Define
• How does an organization proactively identify new
  topics, new terms, and new information being
  generated by the target consumer?
   – Text mining: Let the data speak for itself!


           UP                       TOP




        BOTTOM                     DOWN
Text Mining
• The process of discovering and extracting
  meaningful patterns and relationships from
  text collections

          Text                Data               Natural
                                               Language
         Mining              Mining            Processing



• Text Mining is not searching, but the
  concepts are related
                             Mine




                  Discover            Search
Case Study: University of Louisville

• Business Issue: Analyze text-based medical records
  and healthcare reporting

• Outcome:
   – Extract and explore information from thousands of medical
     records - improving patient outcomes
   – Examine relationships between physician practices and
     patient outcome records
   – Pull relevant information from patient charts and easily
     look at patterns in patient treatments and patient
     outcomes
Web Analytics Situation Slide
 Critical    • How do I increase my understanding of anonymous,
               digital visitation?
Business     • How can I increase the value of my digital property’s
 Issue         advertising inventory?



             • Inability to accurately segment digital visitation
Importance   • Lose advertiser share to competitors
             • Lose revenue



             • How do I improve targeting strategies at anonymous
               visitors?
Challenges   • How do I improve my ad inventory performance?
             • How to analyze the data for proactive insight?
Advancing Web Analytics
    Pull Web analytic data (e.g.                Create Customer State                    Develop “look-a-like” models to
1    Omniture) and load into          2        Vector to record customer            3    gain intelligence on registered
    advanced analytic platform                 web behavior across time                 visitors, and apply insights to the
                                                                                                   unregistered
                                                           CSV




                                   Customers



                                                  Dimensions




                                                                       Utilize “look-a-like” model
             Perform analysis of results                         4    results to offer demographic
        5
             and reiterate the process                               and behavioral ad targeting to
                                                                             all digital visitors
Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of
   Marketing Analytic Techniques

   2.1 Introduction


   2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM


   2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data

   2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic
   Marketing Platform

   2.5 Questions
The Marketing Process

                             Mobile Online Finance Risk
                   Call                                   Customer
                    Center                                Service
          In Person                                            Merchandising

      Social                                                           Corporate
                                                                       Affairs

Direct Mail                    Marketing                                 Operations


                                Optimization
      Marketing                    Marketing                   Marketing
      Strategy                     Processes                   Campaigns


                                    Analytics


                               Data Integration

ERP            CRM               EDW           Online         Social        Campaign
The Marketing Process

                             Mobile Online Finance Risk
                   Call                                   Customer
                    Center                                Service
          In Person                                            Merchandising

      Social                                                             Corporate
                                                                         Affairs

Direct Mail                    Marketing                                   Operations

Marketing Mix                                   Real-Time                Campaign
                       Optimization                                     Management
  Analysis                                     Decisioning

 Marketing              Marketing
Performance            Operations            Online Customer            Social Media
Management             Management               Behaviour


Data Mining &                    Sentiment &                   Customer
  Customer                         Analytics
                                 Unstructured                 Profitability
  Analytics                      Data Analysis               & Forecasting

                               Data Integration

ERP             CRM              EDW           Online          Social         Campaign
Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of
   Marketing Analytic Techniques

   2.1 Introduction


   2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM


   2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data

   2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic
   Marketing Platform

   2.5 Questions

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Customer Intelligence & Analytics - Part II: Exploring the Idea & Value of Marketing Analytic Techniques Exploring the Idea & Value of Marketing Analytic Techniques

  • 1.
  • 2. Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of Marketing Analytic Techniques 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM 2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data 2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic Marketing Platform 2.5 Questions
  • 3. • Debbie Mayville – Sr. Solutions Architect, Communications & Marketing Analytics, SAS • David Kelley – Sr. Solutions Architect, Customer Intelligence, SAS • Suneel Grover – Solutions Architect, Integrated Marketing Analytics, SAS – Adjunct Professor, Integrated Marketing Analytics, New York University (NYU)
  • 4. Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of Marketing Analytic Techniques 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM 2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data 2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic Marketing Platform 2.5 Questions
  • 5. The Marketing Process Mobile Online Finance Risk Call Customer Center Service In Person Merchandising Social Corporate Affairs Direct Mail Marketing Operations Optimization Marketing Marketing Marketing Strategy Processes Campaigns Analytics Data Integration ERP CRM EDW Online Social Campaign
  • 6. The Customer Lifecycle • The business relationship with a customer evolves over time • Five phases 1. Prospects 2. Responders 3. New customers 4. Established customers 5. Former customers
  • 7. Event-Based Relationships • Primarily based on transactions • Customer may or may not return – Tracking customers over time may be difficult or impossible • Prospect communications focused on message broadcasting – Advertising – Web ads – Viral marketing • Targeted, 1:1 messaging is challenging • Analytic work focused on product, geography, and time
  • 8. Subscription-Based Relationships • Provide more natural opportunities for understanding customers – Offers opportunity for future cash flow and customer interactions • Can take many forms – Billing relationships – Affinity cards – Website registrations • The beginning and end of the relationship are two key events  When these events are well-defined, survival analysis is a good candidate for understanding the relationship duration
  • 9. Customer Acquisition • The process of attracting prospects and turning them into customers – Advertising – Word-of-mouth – Targeted marketing • Data mining can play an important role – Three questions 1. Who are the prospects? 2. When is a customer acquired? 3. What is the role of data mining?
  • 10. Who Are the Prospects? • Understanding prospects is important because messages should be targeted to the appropriate audience • Challenges  Geographic expansion  Changes to products, services, and pricing  Competition • Will the past be a good predictor of the future? – In most cases, the answer is “yes” – The past has to be used intelligently
  • 11. Prospecting Incorrectly • NYC-based direct marketing company – Large customer base in Manhattan • Looking to expand into the suburbs • DM campaigns have always been targeted to Manhattan – Data mining model built from campaign responders • Manhattan - high concentration of wealthy residents (model bias) • Responders wealthier than most prospects in surrounding areas • When the model was extended to areas outside of Manhattan, what areas did the model choose?
  • 12. Prospecting: What Is The Role Of Data Mining? • Available data limits the role that data mining can play • The goal is to target prospects that are: – More likely to respond – Become good customers • Data availability falls into three categories 1. Source of prospect 2. Appended individual/household data 3. Appended demographic data at a geographic level • Challenge: The echo (“halo”) effect
  • 13. Prospecting: What Is The Role Of Data Mining? • Identifying good prospects – The need to define what it means to be a “good prospect” – Identify rules that allow for this type of targeting • Example: Response modeling • Choosing a communications channel – Mass media vs. direct-response media? • Picking appropriate messages for different segments – Price vs. convenience?
  • 14. Customer Activation • Provides a view of new customers at the point when they start – This perspective is an important data source – Often a useful predictor of long-term customer behavior • The activation funnel 1. The sales lead 2. The order 3. The subscription 4. The paid subscription • Data mining can play a role in understanding whether or not customers are migrating the way they should be
  • 15. Customer Relationship Management • The primary goal of CRM is to increase the customer’s value 1. Up-selling 2. Cross-selling 3. Usage stimulation 4. Customer value calculation • CRM is successful when customer messaging is highly relevant – Data mining plays a key role in identifying relevant affinities • Potentially, the single most important part of CRM is retaining customers – Predictive modeling is heavily applicable
  • 16. Using Current Customers To Learn About Future Prospects • How to identify your best customers – Start tracking customers before they become customers • Marketing campaign data • Cookie data – Gather information from new customers at time of acquirement • Golden opportunity - prospect to customer transition • Geographic and demographic – Model the relationship • Customer longevity • Customer value • Default risk
  • 17. CRM: What Is The Role Of Data Mining? • Customers provide the richest source of data for mining • Behavioral data provides the following opportunities: 1. Matching campaigns to customers 2. Reducing exposure to risk 3. Determining customer value 4. Cross-selling, up-selling, and making recommendations
  • 18. Retention • Attrition is a major application of data mining • Challenges 1. Recognition  What it is & when it occurs 2. Why it matters 3. Different kinds of attrition  Two approaches  Predicting who will leave  Predicting how long customers will stay
  • 19. Win-back • Even after customers have left, they can still be lured back – Data mining can explain why customers left • Case Study: Media product boycott – What do you do when the unexpected happens? – Consumer backlash to end customer subscriptions • How many stops can be attributed to the boycott? • Who is stopping? • Are they coming back? – Challenges in tracking – Manual investigation vs. text mining
  • 20. Why Operationalize Analytics? • Increase customer lifetime value with relevancy • Maintain customer satisfaction proactively • Interact with precise offers, messages, and communications • Current/recent interaction may be the tipping point to negative sentiment • Significant events: sentiment/social media, interaction points
  • 21. Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle Acquisition Development Retention Churn/ Win- back Net Margin
  • 22. Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle Acquisition Development Retention Churn/ Win- back Net Margin Decisions points during acquisition: • Looking at products and offers • Comparing pricing • Company can be scoring - credit worthiness
  • 23. Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle Acquisition Development Retention Churn/ Win- back Decisions points during relationship development: Net Margin • Service & product usage • Customer user experience • Cross & up-sell • Bad debt detection and collection • Customer service
  • 24. Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle Acquisition Development Retention Churn/ Win- back Net Margin Decisions points during retention: • Targeted retention activities • Complaint handling • Renewal pricing, discounting & bundling • Reactive retention
  • 25. Operationalizing Analytics – The Life Cycle Acquisition Development Retention Churn/ Win- back Net Margin Decisions points during churn/win-back: • Win-back discount and bundle pricing • Trigger campaigns for future reacquisition
  • 27. Applying Predictive Models to Marketing Strategy
  • 28. Proactively Manage the Customer Experience Preventive Actions Predictive Actions Reactive Actions Action is identified
  • 29. Define Customer Value A smaller percentage of your customer base is driving the majority of the profit. Migrate / Spend Keep & Shift to to keep migrate lower cost May be some of your largest customers Source: Gartner
  • 30. Achieving Success With Business Analytics What’s the best that can happen? Optimization What will happen next? Predictive Modeling What if these trends continue? Forecasting Why is this happening? Statistical Analysis Alerts Query What actions are needed? Drilldown Ad hoc Where exactly is the problem? Reports Std. How many, how often, where? Reports What happened?
  • 31. Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of Marketing Analytic Techniques 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM 2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data 2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic Marketing Platform 2.5 Questions
  • 32. Set-top Box Analytics Situation Slide • Marketing: How can I increase revenue and lower churn? Critical • Programming: How do I know viewership across Business programs? Issue • Advertising: How can I drive up better yields on my ad units? Current • Using 3rd party data Capabilities • Difficulty mining vast amount of viewing information • Capabilities for sourcing and preparing the set-top box New data Capabilities • Analytics for uncovering insight and unknown patterns • Interactive dashboard solution for executive decisioning
  • 33. Your Set-top Box Data Who is What & when What kind of watching? are they customer are they? watching? Valuable Resource Augmenting Existing Data Smarter, More Accurate, Timely, Control
  • 34. Set-top Box Analytics Benefits Analytic Insights Provide Value for Multiple Departments Set-top Box Analytics Audience Intelligence Marketing Programming Advertising 1. Churn prevention 1. Insights for 1. Higher ROI on 2. Up-sell / cross-sell program addressable 3. Optimize negotiations advertising packaging 2. Uncover 2. Uncover unknown 4. Drive engagement replacement targets for across channels programming addressable 3. Identify new advertising program targets 3. Optimize 4. Produce Tier 2 advertising viewer insights inventory
  • 35. Audience Intelligence Audience Viewership Media Audience Planning Forecasting Likelihood to Audience Watch Behavior Audience Discovery
  • 36. Audience Intelligence Audience Viewership Media When To Audience Planning Target Forecasting What To Who To Target Target Likelihood to How To Audience Watch Behavior Target Audience Discovery
  • 38. Set-top Box Data Raw Set-top box Data duration + Transform Data duration + Incorporate Other Data HH_ID device_id Timeframe channel program (secs) Timeframe (min) Income LOB Plan 123 4567 5/2/11 9:00 17 22 1200 week1_9-9:30am 20 150000 3 Triple-play bundle A 123 4567 5/2/11 9:20 15 45 300 week1_9-9:30am 5 150000 3 Triple-play bundle A 123 4567 5/2/11 9:25 3 55 300 week1_9-9:30am 5 150000 3 Triple-play bundle A 123 4567 5/2/11 9:30 17 66 900 week1_9:30-10am 15 150000 3 Triple-play bundle A 123 4567 5/2/11 9:45 15 77 900 week1_9:30-10am 15 150000 3 Triple-play bundle A 1. Source Set-top Box Data 2. Append Data • HD vs. Non-HD • Billing • Weekday vs. Weekend • Account • Time of Day (Morning, Night) • Calls to Care • Day of the Week (Mon, Tues, etc.) • 3rd Party (demographic, Axciom, • Channels Experian) • Channel Category • Tribune • Programs • Social Media (Twitter, Facebook) • Program Category (Genre, 1st run/2nd run) • Series Usage Levels (Avid 3. Aggregate & Build Viewing Watchers, Fly-bys) Categories • Last Tuning Event • Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Series • Combination of Watching • Sums & Averages of Durations • Tune-aways • Viewing rates & Change in • Time Slot Viewing rates • Geographic
  • 39. Marketing Segmentation Premium Couch Price Conscious Potatoes Families Family Viewers with Premiums Stay Home Moms & Kids Price is not an Object Multi-cultural Programming
  • 40. Programming Segmentation Only a Network A Weekend Watcher Network A Weekend News Crazy Network A Network A Sampler Movie Watcher 7% 12% Network 22% 8% Not a Network A A Fly- 7% Watcher bys 12% 13% 6% 2% 11% Network A Sports Fan Network A Weekday Fan Weekday Network A Network A Devoted Fan Frequent Watcher
  • 41. STB Data - Advertising Segmentation Automotive Wireless 7% 5% 40% 25% Movie Studios Financial Services 23% Healthcare
  • 50. Content Analytics Situation Slide Critical • As a digital publisher, do you provide the most engaging, relevant content possible? Business • Is your content management strategy driven by a deep Issue understanding of your audience’s evolving behavior? • Lose audience share to competitors Importance • Reduced halo effect around other revenue streams • Flat or decreasing marketing performance metrics • How to organize content for dynamic categorization? Challenges • How to analyze the data for actionable insight? • How to become more proactive vs. reactive?
  • 51. Case Study: Tribune Company • Business Issue: To accurately define and categorize content efficiently to deliver highly relevant information to its online readership • Outcome: Analytic approaches enabled the ability to define, apply and push the right content, in the right context, to the right audience in the most optimized way • Usage Examples – Repurposing content – Driving ad revenue – Improving search performance
  • 52. Text Analytics Text Mining Natural Ontology Sentiment Language Management Analysis Processing Content Categorization
  • 53. Text Analytics Natural Language Processing (NLP)  Support for multiple languages  Stemming to locate the various forms of an input  Part-of-speech recognition and tagging Natural Language to recognize nouns, verbs, adjectives, Processing etc.  Word and sentence tokenization: Identify distinct words or expressions  Information extraction: Facts and events, people, dates, places, sentiment, emotion, etc…
  • 54. Text Analytics Text Mining Natural Ontology Sentiment Language Management Analysis Processing Content Categorization
  • 55. Text Analytics Insight Text Discovery Mining Top Up Natural Ontology Sentiment Language Management Analysis Processing Down Bottom Content Information Categorization Organization
  • 57. Usage Example: New York Times Real-Time Deployment Topics Automatic Entities Extraction Automatic Categorization
  • 58. Text Analytics Insight Text Discovery Mining Top Up Natural Ontology Sentiment Language Management Analysis Processing Down Bottom Content Information Categorization Organization
  • 59. Potential Data Sources Data Management
  • 60. Data Cleansing • Unstructured data, in the form of text, when captured, presents unique challenges – Correctly structure the data and clean it is a priority – Technology needs to have the ability to: » Eliminate irrelevant information » Quantity ≠ Quality » Miss-spelings » Treat acronyms and abbreviations (e.g. “LOL”) » Pr☺f@nity » *Punctuation*
  • 61. Sentiment Analysis • The action of identifying the expressed sentiments by customers, partners, suppliers and employees • Three levels – Polarity indicator: Positive, negative, neutral • Why is it important to measure sentiment? • Public perception • Traditional methodologies • Statistical and rules-based • Typically use one or the other – Common issues with measuring polarity accurately – Hybrid approach advantages • Overall vs. granular/feature-level sentiment
  • 62. Overall vs. Granular/Feature-level Sentiment  Good, but a little outdated. I bought the Nikon Coolpix L10 as my first digital compact P&S camera. I had it for a couple of weeks, until mine had a 'lens error' that basically made the camera inoperable (it was stuck open). It might've been due to batteries running low, but I tried another set.  The picture quality from the L10 was very good, a bit of barrel distortion was noticed in the wide angle and shooting tall skyscrapers (noticed by the curve along the side of the frame where the buildings are supposed to be straight).Another gripe I had with the camera was how slow the auto-focus was. It would basically go through the whole range of focus every time I pressed the shutter half-way and then some  Eventually a lot of my pictures came out blurry, including outdoor overcast days with 3x optical zoom. Basically anytime there's zoom & less than ideal lighting, I would have to have rock steady hands to get non-blurry pictures. Overall it's a good camera if you can overlook the issues I mentioned. Product: Nikon Coolpix L10, Polarity: mixed Feature: Picture Quality, Polarity: positive Feature: Autofocus, Polarity: negative
  • 63. Case Study: Yogurt Brand • Business Issue: Search sources of consumer-generated content and social media activity to find and analyze opinions about brand and products • Outcome: Sentiment analysis technology enabled the ability to: – Take targeted measures based on Web feedback – Align with customers' needs by analyzing indicators that reveal strengths and weaknesses – Define new products – Discover innovative uses for existing products
  • 64. Text Analytics Insight Text Discovery Mining Top Up Natural Ontology Sentiment Language Management Analysis Processing Down Bottom Content Information Categorization Organization
  • 65. Discover vs. Define • How does an organization proactively identify new topics, new terms, and new information being generated by the target consumer? – Text mining: Let the data speak for itself! UP TOP BOTTOM DOWN
  • 66. Text Mining • The process of discovering and extracting meaningful patterns and relationships from text collections Text Data Natural Language Mining Mining Processing • Text Mining is not searching, but the concepts are related Mine Discover Search
  • 67. Case Study: University of Louisville • Business Issue: Analyze text-based medical records and healthcare reporting • Outcome: – Extract and explore information from thousands of medical records - improving patient outcomes – Examine relationships between physician practices and patient outcome records – Pull relevant information from patient charts and easily look at patterns in patient treatments and patient outcomes
  • 68. Web Analytics Situation Slide Critical • How do I increase my understanding of anonymous, digital visitation? Business • How can I increase the value of my digital property’s Issue advertising inventory? • Inability to accurately segment digital visitation Importance • Lose advertiser share to competitors • Lose revenue • How do I improve targeting strategies at anonymous visitors? Challenges • How do I improve my ad inventory performance? • How to analyze the data for proactive insight?
  • 69. Advancing Web Analytics Pull Web analytic data (e.g. Create Customer State Develop “look-a-like” models to 1 Omniture) and load into 2 Vector to record customer 3 gain intelligence on registered advanced analytic platform web behavior across time visitors, and apply insights to the unregistered CSV Customers Dimensions Utilize “look-a-like” model Perform analysis of results 4 results to offer demographic 5 and reiterate the process and behavioral ad targeting to all digital visitors
  • 70. Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of Marketing Analytic Techniques 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM 2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data 2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic Marketing Platform 2.5 Questions
  • 71. The Marketing Process Mobile Online Finance Risk Call Customer Center Service In Person Merchandising Social Corporate Affairs Direct Mail Marketing Operations Optimization Marketing Marketing Marketing Strategy Processes Campaigns Analytics Data Integration ERP CRM EDW Online Social Campaign
  • 72. The Marketing Process Mobile Online Finance Risk Call Customer Center Service In Person Merchandising Social Corporate Affairs Direct Mail Marketing Operations Marketing Mix Real-Time Campaign Optimization Management Analysis Decisioning Marketing Marketing Performance Operations Online Customer Social Media Management Management Behaviour Data Mining & Sentiment & Customer Customer Analytics Unstructured Profitability Analytics Data Analysis & Forecasting Data Integration ERP CRM EDW Online Social Campaign
  • 73. Module 2: Exploring the Idea & Value of Marketing Analytic Techniques 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Data Mining Techniques For Marketing, Sales, & CRM 2.3 The Power of Analyzing Structured & Unstructured Data 2.4 The Competitive Advantage of an Integrated, Analytic Marketing Platform 2.5 Questions