1. POST 2015 & SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT : CAPACITY FOR WHAT?
GINA LUCARELLI, CD4SD WORKSHOP OCTOBER 15, 2012
2. Capacity to ______?
1. Risky Projections on MDGs 2.0
2. The MDG format: what can we learn?
3. Cracking the integration challenge: synergies
and structures
4. Integrated investment choices
5. Getting Political without getting impossible
6. Intrusive..or Conducive? State and the Market
3. Working Group on Sustainable Development Goals
Members:
Working Group comprised of 30
representatives nominated by Member
States (September 2012)
Objective:
Tasked to develop a proposal for the
Sustainable Development Goals
Output:
A report to the UNGA containing a
proposal for sustainable development
goals (between Sep 2013/14)
4. SG's High-level Panel of Eminent Persons on the post-2015 UN development agenda
• Mandate: MDG+10 Summit
• Output: SG will deliver a report to UNGA by the 2nd quarter of 2013
• Input: Work based on report of UN System Task Team
• Work to be informed by Rio+20 and UNDG's consultations
Co-Chair: Co-Chair: Co-Chair:
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono Ellen Johnson Sirleaf David Cameron
President of Indonesia President of Liberia Prime Minister of the UK
Benin Brazil China Colombia Cuba France Germany Japan
Jordan Kenya India Latvia Mexico
Netherla
Nigeria
Russian CEO
nds Fed
Unilever
South Rep Timor-
Sweden Turkey USA Yemen Ex Officio
Africa Korea Leste
5. Risky Projections: What will MDG 2.0
look like ?
Environmental
• Correcting the sustainability
Environment
omission
• Quality of Education
• Non-communicable Inclusive
Human rights
Peace and
economic Equality
diseases? development
Sustainability
Security
• Inequality?
• Governance
Universal Goals? Good for Inclusive social
development
Human development. Good for
MICs
6. MDG Strengths MDG Weaknesses
Simple Beauty Aggregate bias undermined
subnational inequities
Gave operational meaning to
human development Revealed lack of reliable
baseline across countries
Results based format
improved policy monitoring
Emphasized financial gaps
and accountability
over institution building
Global targets tailored to
national realities worked best Didn’t consider synergies
and tradeoffs
7. Integration (1): Synergy sound bites
Fiscally
Better Health
1/5 diseases in sound:
Europe can be 1 trillion in
prevented by Social Economic subsidies for oil,
reducing pollution. Prosperity coal and gas.
Inclusion 1 trillion needed
for a green
economy
Environmental
Yes there will be Job
Protection
Loss…but
85% of carbon emissions
employ 12% of Europe.
8. Integration (2): Structures: from lava
lamp to puzzle
Effort to get
Inter-
_____ into
sectoral
the Medium
committee
Term
on _____
Expenditure
Framework
Increase
National public
Strategy on awareness
________ Municipal by
Pilot on measuring
________ _______.
9. Investment choices: Prisons or pensions?
• Life
expectancy
• Math &
Literacy
• Infant
mortality
• Homicides
• Imprisonment
Wilkinson & Pickett, The Spirit Level www.equalitytrust.org.uk
11. Intelligent policy…even when it’s
political
Where is the Versus the
Resistance Injustice?
Removing Fossil Fuel Subsidies…not impossible
1. Estimate how much is spent.
2. Determine who is hurt most by its removal
3. Have a plan for how to phase out: most harmful first,
what are acceptable trade offs?
4. Do it gradually and substitute
12. Conducive States for a Green Economy
• Pulling the state out of where it doesn’t belong
• Injecting state efforts to
o Target support to the poorest
o Reduce inequality
o Investing in R and D until green is profitable
• Ready to remove administrative barriers
• Deal with people as consumers, citizens..co-creators?
To “do” sustainable development, governments
need a longer term perspective…where does this
come from?
13. WANTED….Capacities for Post MDG
frontier
• Achieve results without
clinging to silos
• Holistic investment
• Build constituencies and
accountability
• Take out the political
sting and get on with it.