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Designing Service Coverage and
Measuring Accessibility and Serviceability
INFORMS Annual Meeting
San Francisco, CA
November 9-12, 2014
EunSu Lee, Ph.D., GISP, CPIM, CSCP
Agenda
• Introduction
• Objectives
• Previous Studies
• Model Development
– Potential Accessibility
– Potential Serviceability’
– Service Coverage
• Conclusions
• Q & A
Introduction
• Planning of Emergency Medical Service
(EMS)
– Urban Area
• Congestion
– Rural Area
• Road condition
• Service distance
• Equality and Quality of Life
Source of the map: https://www.ndhealth.gov/EMS/pdfs/Map_Book/Map%20Book%20Web%20Version2.pdf
Introduction
Demand 1
Demand 2
Emergency service unit 1
Emergency service unit 2
Hospital (supplier)
EMS region 1
EMS region 2
2 miles
4 miles
6 miles
7miles10 miles
Demand 3
Introduction
• Challenges of rural EMS
– Insufficient revenue
– Difficulty in recruiting ambulance service
employees and volunteers
– Natural barriers
– Changing demographics
• In need of collaboration and efficient
operations
Introduction
• Unlikely to provide equal service and
response time throughout
heterogeneous service areas
• Needs of Scientific planning
– Rationalizing service coverage plans and
response prediction
– Providing effective public service
– Ensuring disadvantaged groups and
impaired individuals receive appropriate
emergency responses
Objectives
• Designing service coverage
– GIS-based spatial analysis
– Analytical models to measure
• Potential accessibility with demand-covered-ratio
• Potential serviceability with ambulance-covering-
ratio
• Location planner and service designer
to assess and provide rational service
coverage
– Continuous improvement
Objectives
• how well the coverage matches the
population distribution
• how quickly the ambulances serve the
demands
• to provide maximum coverage with a
fixed number of facilities.
Previous Studies
• Finding shortest path from emergency
service units to crash locations
• searching service coverage based on
the population of zip codes
• minimizing the required number of
facilities and EMS regions using a
location set covering model
• maximum coverage with a fixed
number of facilities.
Previous Studies
• Illustration of the two-step floating catchment
method (2SFCM).
REMS1=2/500
50000
50001
50002
50003
50004
50005 50006
50007
50008
EMS 1
EMS 2
Interstate Highway
REMS2=5/1000
AF
50003=R1U2=2/500+5/1000
Model Development
• Data Sources
– Roads Network
– Population Data
– Zip codes Polygons
– EMS Locations
• Advanced Life Support
• Basic Life Support
Model Development
• Population density and roads
• Gravity-Based Accessibility 2SFCA
(d0=30minutes)
Response Time
• Fastest Routes from Ambulance to
random Incidents
Note: Some regions will show bias from the real practices due to unconnected roads links used in the study
Potential Accessibility
• Average response time to a zip code
• Potential Accessibility
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A
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z
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• Potential Accessibility Index
Potential Accessibility
• Demand-covered-ratio
100
)(
(%) 0



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Potential Accessibility
• Accessibility and Coverage Ratio
ZIP
code
Required
service
time (𝒕 𝒐
𝒛
)
# of
Random
events
# of
events
within 𝒕 𝒐
𝒛
Travel Distance (miles) Response Time (minutes) Accessibility
(Az)
Demand–
Covered-
Ratio (Cz)
Mean Min Max Mean Min Max
58504 9 26 4 18.2 2 37.7 20 2.2 46.7 0.4 15.38%
58554 9 97 17 15.4 0.9 35.5 17 0.9 36.1 0.5 17.53%
58501 9 28 5 12.4 0.8 19.7 13.6 0.8 22.3 0.7 17.86%
58560 20 7 4 30.8 25.1 36.1 31 26.6 38.8 0.6 57.14%
58541 30 24 6 40.1 24.3 51.4 44.2 26.5 52.3 0.8 25.00%
58466 30 20 3 37.2 25.5 47.9 36.8 24.4 48 0.8 15.00%
58553 20 6 1 25.9 14.4 35.7 26.3 12.1 38.4 0.8 16.67%
58625 30 13 2 38.4 33 48.3 46.4 40.5 50.4 0.9 15.38%
58475 30 11 5 29.2 20.9 38.9 32.5 25.1 42.1 0.9 45.45%
58638 20 55 28 17 2.9 44.9 22.9 3.2 58.9 0.9 50.91%
58487 20 23 9 21.3 13.6 30.1 22.8 12.7 33.8 0.9 39.13%
Potential Serviceability
• Ambulance’s average response time to
serve the community without restrictions
by the service boundary
• Serviceability index for a location
j
j
Mi
Mi
ji
j
N
t
T




j
j
o
j
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t
S 
Potential Serviceability
Potential Serviceability
• Ambulance-Covering-Ratio
100(%)
),( 0



j
j
jij
Mi
ttMi
j
N
N
C
Potential Serviceability
Ambulance
Location
Required
service time
(𝒕 𝒐
𝒋
)
# of
Random
events
# of
events
within
𝒕 𝒐
𝒋
Travel Distance (miles) Response Time (minutes) Serviceability
(Sj)
Ambulance-
Covering-
Ratio (Cj)
Mean Min Max Mean Min Max
30 9 83 19 17.4 0.8 37.7 18.8 0.8 46.7 0.5 22.89%
17 9 93 29 15.6 0.9 35.5 17.1 0.9 36 0.5 31.18%
31 20 146 82 20.3 3.3 50.4 22.4 3.3 62.8 0.9 56.16%
22 20 45 28 14.7 2.9 33 19.9 3.2 47.1 1 62.22%
6 20 133 77 18.2 3.1 35.1 19.7 3.6 37.4 1 57.89%
52 20 175 143 18.4 0.7 47.9 18.9 0.7 48 1.1 81.71%
45 20 87 71 15.9 0.5 38.9 17.5 0.6 42.1 1.1 81.61%
24 20 89 66 13.7 0.7 34 16.5 0.7 52.4 1.2 74.16%
137 20 78 75 13.5 3.6 33.8 14.5 3.6 36.7 1.4 96.15%
23 20 15 15 12.1 2.2 17.6 14.4 2.2 23.9 1.4 100.00%
65 20 93 93 13.5 3.3 28.3 14.4 3.7 29.2 1.4 100.00%
1 30 73 54 18.2 1.2 38.1 20.6 1.2 38.8 1.5 73.97%
46 30 102 92 19.1 2.7 36.2 20.6 4.1 37.7 1.5 90.20%
10 20 63 47 11.5 0.3 23.6 12.9 0.3 24.6 1.5 74.60%
69 30 117 103 16.8 0.7 39.9 17.7 0.8 39.7 1.7 88.03%
7 20 16 16 9.6 0.9 13.6 11.9 0.9 17.6 1.7 100.00%
Service Coverage
• Service Coverage Estimated
Conclusions
• Developed Public Communications tool
– for Residents
• Potential accessibility with Relative demand-
covered-ratio
– for Ambulance Service Provider
• Potential serviceability with Relative ambulance-
covering-ratio
• Created Service coverage
– For Continuous improvement
Future Research
• Transportation
– Finer Traffic Analysis Zone
• Using the Census Block 2010
– Utilize Navigable Roads Network
• Statewide analysis
• Dynamic impacts
– considering seasonal effects
– Considering first respondents response time
to reach ambulance in rural area
Q & A
• Reference and contact information

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Designing Service Coverage and Measuring Accessibility and Serviceability

  • 1. Designing Service Coverage and Measuring Accessibility and Serviceability INFORMS Annual Meeting San Francisco, CA November 9-12, 2014 EunSu Lee, Ph.D., GISP, CPIM, CSCP
  • 2. Agenda • Introduction • Objectives • Previous Studies • Model Development – Potential Accessibility – Potential Serviceability’ – Service Coverage • Conclusions • Q & A
  • 3. Introduction • Planning of Emergency Medical Service (EMS) – Urban Area • Congestion – Rural Area • Road condition • Service distance • Equality and Quality of Life
  • 4. Source of the map: https://www.ndhealth.gov/EMS/pdfs/Map_Book/Map%20Book%20Web%20Version2.pdf
  • 5. Introduction Demand 1 Demand 2 Emergency service unit 1 Emergency service unit 2 Hospital (supplier) EMS region 1 EMS region 2 2 miles 4 miles 6 miles 7miles10 miles Demand 3
  • 6. Introduction • Challenges of rural EMS – Insufficient revenue – Difficulty in recruiting ambulance service employees and volunteers – Natural barriers – Changing demographics • In need of collaboration and efficient operations
  • 7. Introduction • Unlikely to provide equal service and response time throughout heterogeneous service areas • Needs of Scientific planning – Rationalizing service coverage plans and response prediction – Providing effective public service – Ensuring disadvantaged groups and impaired individuals receive appropriate emergency responses
  • 8. Objectives • Designing service coverage – GIS-based spatial analysis – Analytical models to measure • Potential accessibility with demand-covered-ratio • Potential serviceability with ambulance-covering- ratio • Location planner and service designer to assess and provide rational service coverage – Continuous improvement
  • 9. Objectives • how well the coverage matches the population distribution • how quickly the ambulances serve the demands • to provide maximum coverage with a fixed number of facilities.
  • 10. Previous Studies • Finding shortest path from emergency service units to crash locations • searching service coverage based on the population of zip codes • minimizing the required number of facilities and EMS regions using a location set covering model • maximum coverage with a fixed number of facilities.
  • 11. Previous Studies • Illustration of the two-step floating catchment method (2SFCM). REMS1=2/500 50000 50001 50002 50003 50004 50005 50006 50007 50008 EMS 1 EMS 2 Interstate Highway REMS2=5/1000 AF 50003=R1U2=2/500+5/1000
  • 12. Model Development • Data Sources – Roads Network – Population Data – Zip codes Polygons – EMS Locations • Advanced Life Support • Basic Life Support
  • 13. Model Development • Population density and roads
  • 14. • Gravity-Based Accessibility 2SFCA (d0=30minutes)
  • 15. Response Time • Fastest Routes from Ambulance to random Incidents Note: Some regions will show bias from the real practices due to unconnected roads links used in the study
  • 16. Potential Accessibility • Average response time to a zip code • Potential Accessibility zi wjzi ji N t T i z     , Mi zT t A z z 0
  • 18. Potential Accessibility • Demand-covered-ratio 100 )( (%) 0    i z ji z N ttN C iWjMizi  ,,
  • 19. Potential Accessibility • Accessibility and Coverage Ratio ZIP code Required service time (𝒕 𝒐 𝒛 ) # of Random events # of events within 𝒕 𝒐 𝒛 Travel Distance (miles) Response Time (minutes) Accessibility (Az) Demand– Covered- Ratio (Cz) Mean Min Max Mean Min Max 58504 9 26 4 18.2 2 37.7 20 2.2 46.7 0.4 15.38% 58554 9 97 17 15.4 0.9 35.5 17 0.9 36.1 0.5 17.53% 58501 9 28 5 12.4 0.8 19.7 13.6 0.8 22.3 0.7 17.86% 58560 20 7 4 30.8 25.1 36.1 31 26.6 38.8 0.6 57.14% 58541 30 24 6 40.1 24.3 51.4 44.2 26.5 52.3 0.8 25.00% 58466 30 20 3 37.2 25.5 47.9 36.8 24.4 48 0.8 15.00% 58553 20 6 1 25.9 14.4 35.7 26.3 12.1 38.4 0.8 16.67% 58625 30 13 2 38.4 33 48.3 46.4 40.5 50.4 0.9 15.38% 58475 30 11 5 29.2 20.9 38.9 32.5 25.1 42.1 0.9 45.45% 58638 20 55 28 17 2.9 44.9 22.9 3.2 58.9 0.9 50.91% 58487 20 23 9 21.3 13.6 30.1 22.8 12.7 33.8 0.9 39.13%
  • 20. Potential Serviceability • Ambulance’s average response time to serve the community without restrictions by the service boundary • Serviceability index for a location j j Mi Mi ji j N t T     j j o j T t S 
  • 22. Potential Serviceability • Ambulance-Covering-Ratio 100(%) ),( 0    j j jij Mi ttMi j N N C
  • 23. Potential Serviceability Ambulance Location Required service time (𝒕 𝒐 𝒋 ) # of Random events # of events within 𝒕 𝒐 𝒋 Travel Distance (miles) Response Time (minutes) Serviceability (Sj) Ambulance- Covering- Ratio (Cj) Mean Min Max Mean Min Max 30 9 83 19 17.4 0.8 37.7 18.8 0.8 46.7 0.5 22.89% 17 9 93 29 15.6 0.9 35.5 17.1 0.9 36 0.5 31.18% 31 20 146 82 20.3 3.3 50.4 22.4 3.3 62.8 0.9 56.16% 22 20 45 28 14.7 2.9 33 19.9 3.2 47.1 1 62.22% 6 20 133 77 18.2 3.1 35.1 19.7 3.6 37.4 1 57.89% 52 20 175 143 18.4 0.7 47.9 18.9 0.7 48 1.1 81.71% 45 20 87 71 15.9 0.5 38.9 17.5 0.6 42.1 1.1 81.61% 24 20 89 66 13.7 0.7 34 16.5 0.7 52.4 1.2 74.16% 137 20 78 75 13.5 3.6 33.8 14.5 3.6 36.7 1.4 96.15% 23 20 15 15 12.1 2.2 17.6 14.4 2.2 23.9 1.4 100.00% 65 20 93 93 13.5 3.3 28.3 14.4 3.7 29.2 1.4 100.00% 1 30 73 54 18.2 1.2 38.1 20.6 1.2 38.8 1.5 73.97% 46 30 102 92 19.1 2.7 36.2 20.6 4.1 37.7 1.5 90.20% 10 20 63 47 11.5 0.3 23.6 12.9 0.3 24.6 1.5 74.60% 69 30 117 103 16.8 0.7 39.9 17.7 0.8 39.7 1.7 88.03% 7 20 16 16 9.6 0.9 13.6 11.9 0.9 17.6 1.7 100.00%
  • 24. Service Coverage • Service Coverage Estimated
  • 25. Conclusions • Developed Public Communications tool – for Residents • Potential accessibility with Relative demand- covered-ratio – for Ambulance Service Provider • Potential serviceability with Relative ambulance- covering-ratio • Created Service coverage – For Continuous improvement
  • 26. Future Research • Transportation – Finer Traffic Analysis Zone • Using the Census Block 2010 – Utilize Navigable Roads Network • Statewide analysis • Dynamic impacts – considering seasonal effects – Considering first respondents response time to reach ambulance in rural area
  • 27. Q & A • Reference and contact information