1. Japan’s Three
Territorial Issues
May 15, 2012
Kazuhiko Togo
Kyoto Sangyo University

3. Northern Territories: Past
Historical memory: Summer 1945
Cold War: 51 San Francisco; 56 Joint
Declaration; 60 Gromyko statement
Post-Cold War: 25 years of negotiations
KE talk HStransfer KEdecide
91 Ka.-Go. OK NO ------
93 Tok.D. OK OK indirect ------
01 Irkutsk OK OK start

4. Northern Territories: Present
2006 Russian decisions:
Resume talks + Invest to the islands
2009 “unlawful occupation”
 2010 Medvedev’s visit to Kunashiri
2012: Putin reelected as president
March 1 Press interview
May 7 Inauguration

5. Northern Territories: Future
How should we evaluate Putin?
Probably last stage negotiations are
opened for the foreseeable future
Economic cooperation projects
Starting from Irkutsk  Anything but
“four islands en bloc (ikkatsu)”
Half to one year negotiations period
Who are the negotiators?

7. Senkaku: Past
1895~1971 Japanese sovereignty, no
objection from China or Taiwan
1971: Taiwan and china claim (Oil 1968)
72 Zhou “not now”; 78 Deng “next
generation”  tacit agreement to shelve
90 China’s territorial water law
97 Fishery agreement
02 GOJ lease 04 seven activists landing

8. Senkaku: Present
2008 Research vessels for 9 hours sailing
2010.9.7 Collision of fishery vessels to coast
guards
“core interests” : key strategic location
between Taiwan and Okinawa, which is on
the first islands chain
Possibility to explode as historical memory
issue: outside Ryuukyu’s 36 islands; 1885
GOJ’s hesitancy; precursor to Taiwan

9. Senkaku: Future
Prepare : dynamic defense position
and strengthening of southern
deployment of MSDF from December
2010
Talk: Gromyko’s humiliation not
needed
What to aim? From minimal control to
peaceful coexistence, eventually to
joint economic activities

11. Takeshima: Past
1905 Shimane ownership
1910 Korea’s annexation
51 San Francisco (IL Japan stronger)
1954 Korea’s Takeshima occupation
1965 Normalization talk
Historical memory: precursor to the
annexation + identity emotionalism
1998 Fishery agreement

12. Takeshima: Present
2005 Shimane Prefecture’s
“Takeshima Day”  diplomatic war
2006 sea bed map incident
2008 textbook and naming issue
2011 three parliamentarians’ visa
refused

13. Takeshima: Future
Talk: sovereignty, track II more
realistic
2011 Ikeuchi and Kim talk
Confidence building measure:
governments’ imitative needed;
Japan-Russia experience to borrow
June 2009 SAIS Conference