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CMO LED Day Forum

          2008年7月23日


LED BLU and Green High Tech Life




                                 姚柏宏 / Luke Yao
                                 Research Director
                                 DisplaySearch/ Taiwan
                                 Email: Luke_yao@displaysearch.com


             Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved
Important Notice
Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch, LLC an NPD Group Company
DisplaySearch authorizes you to access and view these presentation materials. You may
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attribution of DisplaySearch or of the source of the original materials, as the case may be,
and prior written consent from DisplaySearch must be obtained. To obtain such consent,
contact info@displaysearch.com.
DisplaySearch makes no representations about the suitability of the information contained
in the materials or the website for any purpose.
All materials on this website are provided quot;as isquot; without warranty of any kind.




                                      Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   2
Thank you!
For more information on the analysis and data included in this presentation:
  Visit us at www.displaysearch.com
  Contact Patrick Maki
     +1-512-687-1511 or 877-869-6075 (US only)
     patrick_maki@displaysearch.com
  DisplaySearch Analyst
     Luke Yao - Research Director, Lighting
     David Hsieh - Vice President, Greater China Market


Referenced and related DisplaySearch research:
  Quarterly Backlight Lamp and Backlight Unit Report




                                        Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   3
Subscribe today!
Subscribe today for free market updates, shipment information, and more!
  www.displaysearch.com/datainsight

Visit our blog today at www.displaysearchblog.com




                                    Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   4
Brief Introduction
          = The Most Professional Pipe Worker for Worldwide Display Industry

Eqpt./Materials   Panel        OEMs               Brands             Retailers            Consumers
  Suppliers       Makers




                  =The Professional Analyst of BLU Technology and Market

                                          Research Field
                  •Backlight Module         •Optical Films                 •LED Light Source
 Luke Yao

                                      Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   5
Agenda



•Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market
•Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast
•Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB
•Summary




                     Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   6
Agenda



•Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market
•Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast
•Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB
•Summary




                     Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   7
Green Life Image
Only one Earth we have and we want her to be …

                                                                         Relaxing




                                                                       Dynamic
     Forever




                           Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   8
Mission of Green Display
 Make LCD Display more Friendly to Earth…




           Enjoy your life through the Green Display even though
                           you just sit in front of it.

Reduce Hazardous Material                                                       Reduce Power Consumption



     Improve Recycle Practice                                                Increase Product Life Time



               Reduce System Components                            Use Environmental Friendly Material


                                     Improve Efficiency of Components




                                           Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   9
Opportunity of L/A LED BLU
Market Potential                     Advantage                     Challenge                   Driving Force

High               NB PC           • Power Saving               • Intensity
                                   • Light weight               • LGP yield rate
                                   • Thin profile               • LED Binning
                                   • Small cost premium         • LED Package



                 LCD TV
                                    • Power Saving              • Cost
                                    • Dynamic BLU control       • Reliability
                                                                • LED Binning
                                                                • Huge LED Amount



                   Monitor         • Power Saving               • Cost
                                                                • Intensity
                                                                • Reliability
                                                                • Selling Points
 Low
       Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report

                                               Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   10
Categories of LED BLUs for NBs

Yield rate of LGP decides the penetration rate of LED BLU for NB application.

                       High Brightness Model                                  Regular Model
BLU Structure      Flat LGP (V-cut Pattern)             Wedge LGP (Dot Pattern)        Flat LGP (Dot Pattern)




Film Stack         Reflector+ LGP+ Turning Film + Top   Reflector+ LGP+ Cross Prism    Reflector+ LGP+ Cross Prism
                   Diffuser                             Films + Top Diffuser           Films + Top Diffuser
Brightness                         ◎                                 ○                               △
LGP Yield                          △                                 ◎                               ○
Thickness                          ◎                                 ○                               ◎
Cost                               △                                 ◎                               ○
Patent Right              Mitsubishi Rayon                          NA                              NA
BLU Supplier                       △                                 ◎                               ○
Relative Factor of Evaluation: ◎ > ○ > △




           Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report
                                                  Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved     11
Agenda



•Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market
•Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast
•Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB
•Summary




                     Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   12
L/A LED BLU Forecast
Q2'08 Forecast (000 units)                2006       2007       2008        2009          2010         2011          2012      2013       2014       2015
CCFL/EEFL/HCFL Backlight              282,694    392,286    448,965      469,188      493,610      491,605       468,497    468,351   483,190    497,553
LED Backlight                           1,380      4,250     20,071       69,102      115,428      188,196       278,116    348,769   407,311    474,089
FFL Backlight                             450         84          0            0            0            0             0          0         0          0
All >10quot; TFT                          284,524    396,621    469,036      538,290      609,038      679,801       746,613    817,121   890,501    971,642
Q2'08 Forecast (This Time)                2006       2007       2008        2009          2010         2011          2012      2013       2014       2015
CCFL/EEFL/HCFL Backlight                  99%        99%      95.7%          87%          81%          72%           63%        57%       54%        51%
LED Backlight                            0.5%       1.1%       4.3%        12.8%        19.0%        27.7%         37.3%      42.7%     45.7%      48.8%
FFL Backlight                            0.2%      0.02%      0.00%        0.00%        0.00%        0.00%         0.00%      0.00%     0.00%      0.00%
All >10quot; TFT                             100%       100%       100%        100%          100%         100%          100%      100%       100%       100%
Q1'08 Forecast (Last Time)                2006       2007       2008        2009          2010         2011          2012      2013       2014       2015
CCFL/EEFL/HCFL Backlight                  99%        99%      96.3%          90%          83%          75%           66%        62%       59%        55%
LED Backlight                            0.5%       1.0%       3.7%         9.9%        17.0%        25.4%         34.0%      38.3%     41.0%      44.6%
FFL Backlight                            0.2%      0.02%      0.00%        0.00%        0.00%        0.00%         0.00%      0.00%     0.00%      0.00%
All >10quot; TFT                             100%       100%       100%        100%          100%         100%          100%      100%       100%       100%


                                                        L/A LED BLU Penetration Rate by Application
                                        110%
                                        100%
                                         90%
                                         80%
                                         70%
                                         60%
                                         50%
                                         40%
                                         30%
                                         20%
                                         10%
                                          0%
                                                 2006   2007   2008    2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014     2015
                             NoteBook LED BLU 1.5%      3.6% 13.5% 38.3% 52.4% 71.7% 91.4% 98.8% 99.4% 100.0%
                             Monitor LED BLU     0.0%   0.1%   0.2%    0.4%   0.8%   1.3%   2.2%   4.0%   7.4% 12.9%
                             LCD TV LED BLU      0.3% 0.02% 0.3%       1.8%   4.8%   8.7%   9.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.2%

                  Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report
                                                                Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved                    13
Penetration of LED BLU for NB PC
                   Apple                      HP               Dell       Sony             Fujitsu                 Toshiba            ASUS          Lenovo
Panel Maker i.CMO,AUO ii.SEC            CMO,AUO             CMO       TMD            TMD                  TMD                    TMD               TMD
BLU Maker Kenmos/ Nano-Op               Kenmos              Kenmos    Matsushita     Stanley              Stanley                Stanley           Stanley
LED Maker TG(i), Nichia(ii)             TG/Nichia           TG/Nichia Nichia         TG                   Nichia                 Nichia            Nichia
Size        13.3quot;, 15.4quot;, 17quot;           12.1quot;               13.3quot;     11.1quot;, 13.3quot;   8.9quot;, 12.1quot;14.1quot;     12.1quot;,13.3quot;            11.1quot;,12.1quot;,13.3quot; 13.3quot;
Model Name MacBook Pro & Air            2710P               XPS M1330 TX, SZ         P8010,P1620,S6510    R500, M700             U1,U3,U6          X300
                450,000                                                                                                                                 110%


                400,000
                                                                                                                                                        90%
                350,000


                300,000                                                                                                                                 70%
   000 units




                250,000
                                                                                                                                                        50%
                200,000


                150,000                                                                                                                                 30%


                100,000
                                                                                                                                                        10%
                 50,000


                       0                                                                                                                                -10%
                               2006     2007         2008            2009        2010        2011         2012          2013       2014        2015
           LED BLU (NB)       1,170     4,081       19,349          65,753     106,018      169,484      254,734       317,919    363,629     410,118
           NB Total           79,772   113,452      142,895        171,718     202,487      236,272      278,715       321,855    365,657     410,118
           Penetration Rate    1.5%     3.6%         13.5%          38.3%       52.4%        71.7%        91.4%         98.8%      99.4%       100.0%




                                                                        Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved                  14
LED NB Market Forecast by Size
NB size smaller than 14” will dominate the demand of LED models corresponding to business customers with high
mobility before 2009 and 14”+ ones will take over the primary market share of LED NB, especially 15.4” and 15.6” ones,
to accelerate the penetration of LED BLU in NB market after 2009.

                                     2007                           2009                         2015
      Leading size of
         LED NB                                   <14”                            ≧14”

      110%


       90%


       70%


       50%


       30%


       10%


       -10%
                 2007      2008       2009       2010       2011       2012       2013       2014       2015
       ≧ 14quot;     0.1%      6.5%       28.3%      41.1%      59.9%     76.3%      81.9%      83.6%      82.6%
       <14quot;      3.5%      7.1%       9.9%       11.2%      11.8%     15.1%      16.8%      15.9%      17.4%


                                               Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved            15
Cost Structure of 13.3” &“15.4”W LED BLU
 High-end Model                                                                       13.3” Slim V-cut LGP
                                                           Turning Others Materials       Overhead,SG&A,
                                                                      Subtotal                              Side-view LED
    13.3” NB                                            Film/2XBEF                           Package
                                                             9%          1%                     5%       LED module
                Extra-polishing Glass: 0.35mm       Bezel & Frame
                                                                                                            26%
                                                           6%
                                                   Reflective sheet
                                                         5%
                                                                                                               Light Source
                                                                                                                Assembly
                                                                                                                    7%
                                                              Diffusion sheet
          Flat LGP (Slim V-cut): 0.7mm                              5%             Lightguide plate
                                                                                         36%




                                                                                15.4quot; Flat Dot LGP
Mainstream Model
                                                            Others Materials
    15.4” NB                                                                  Overhead,SG&A,              Side-view LED
                   Normal Glass: 0.5mm                          Subtotal
                                                                   6%             Package
                                                                                                  LED module
                                                                                     11%
                                                   Bezel & Frame                                      34%
                                                           8%
                                                         Turning
                                                      Film/2XBEF
                                                          11%
                                                                                                  Light Source
          Flat LGP (Dots): 0.9mm                       Diffusion sheet
                                                                                Lightguide plate   Assembly
                                                             6%
                                                                   Reflective sheet 10%               12%
                                                                         2%
                                                Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved      16
Cost Premium: CCFL vs. LED BLU
               = side-view LED                               = Top-view LED


      US$                                                                960 LEDs
     $400
     $350
     $300
     $250
     $200                                                  210 LEDs                         CCFL
                      48 LEDs           60 LEDs                                             LED
     $150
     $100
      $50
        $0
                 13.3quot;            15.4quot;              22quot;                 40quot;

      US$
      Technology       13.3quot;        15.4quot;         22quot;         42quot;
      CCFL             $10.6       $11.3        $18.4      $133.0
      LED              $23.8       $16.0        $40.0      $389.0
      premium        124.5%       41.6%       117.4%      192.5%
      PS: 13.3quot; LED LGP: Slim V-cut; 15.4quot; LED LGP: Dots LGP
Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report
                                       Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   17
Agenda



•Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market
•Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast
•Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB
•Summary




                     Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   18
Issues of LED BLU for NB (Slim or Normal)

Still Chasing Slim Form Factor as Target?



    LGP Injection
 Flat Slim V-cut LGP= 0.6-0.9mm
 Normal Wedge LGP=0.6&1.2mm
 Flat Dots LGP=0.8-0.9mm
                                                                          LED Supply
 Injection yield rate
 Assembly Handling                                                     Side-view or top-view
                                     LED Inside                        Intensity= 1800mcd-2200mcd

  Optical performance                                                  LED suppliers pool
                                                                       Patent Issue of Phosphor
     Curtain Moiré
     Not uniform
                                                                    LED Light bar

                                                              LED Number Reduction
                                                              Thermal Solution


                                  Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved    19
Power Saving of LED BLU for NB
                                                                             Current vs. Brightness
【Safety】                                          Brightness

  Relative low start up voltage to ensure operation
  safety
【Power Saving】
  The relationship between LED intensity and




                                                                       輝度
                                                                                                            LED
  driving current is linear                                                                                 CCFL


  Lower current is operated to perform the same
  brightness level than CCFL model
  Power saving of 30-50% of CCFL power
  consumption                                                                         輝度電圧
                                                                                      Current
                                 Advantage

                       6
                       5
                                                               44%              41%
                       4           35%
           Power (w)




                                                 37%                                     CCFL
                       3
                                                                                         LED@20mA
                       2
                       1
                       0
                           12.1quot;         13.3quot;         14.1quot;            15.4quot;
                                           Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved     20
What will be thinner than this?
Ultimate thinner profile performance of LED BLU--- An Envelope-packed PC

LED Panel= Slim   CCFL BLU
glass+ LED BLU

Thickness 50%




                             WOW !!




                               Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   21
Trend of Design Concept
       Current                                                                     Next Phase

                             Mainstream                                                   •Replace CCDFL Model
                                                                   Optical Films
                             Speed up LED BLU                                             •Lowest Cost Solution
                                                     W-LED
  •High Brightness           penetration                           Wedge LGP

  •Low Yield rate
  •Tough optical design                             LGP: Dots & Wedge type
  •Patent Constrain
                              High-end
        Optical Films
                                                                        Optical Films
LED                           Slow down LED BLU              LED
          Flat LGP            penetration                                                 •Thinnest & High-end BLU
                                                                          Flat LGP
                                                                                          •Highest Cost Solution


                                                              LGP: V-cut type

                                                                      Optical Films
                             Mainstream                 LED
 LGP: V-cut type              Speed up LED BLU
                                                                        Flat LGP         Thinner & easier-made
                                                                                                  BLU
                              penetration


                                                             LGP: Dots type


                                         Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved          22
Agenda



•Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market
•Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast
•Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB
•Summary




                     Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   23
Summary (I)

Give your score card for the market penetration of LED BLU by application
                                                        LED BLU Inside
LED BLU Application                  NB                 MNT        LCD TV
Evalution Factors


LED Amount                                   3                          2                       1
Power Saving                                 3                          2                       1
Color Gamut                                  1                          1                       3
Motion Blurless                              2                          2                       3
High Contrast                                1                          1                       3
Light Weight                                 3                          1                       1
Thin Profile                                 3                          1                       1
Cost Gap                                     3                          2                       1
Productivity                                 3                          2                       1
Attraction                                   3                          1                       2
Total Score                                 25                         15                      17
3: Excellent                         2: Good   1: Fair




                              Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved    24
Summary (II)
            3 “L”                                                         3 ”M”
                    Low CO2                                               More Green
Low Pollution                                         More Safety
                                                                                 More Fun
                Low Temperature




                     Work Hard For the “Green” Planet




                                  Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved   25

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Display Search LED 2008

  • 1. CMO LED Day Forum 2008年7月23日 LED BLU and Green High Tech Life 姚柏宏 / Luke Yao Research Director DisplaySearch/ Taiwan Email: Luke_yao@displaysearch.com Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved
  • 2. Important Notice Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch, LLC an NPD Group Company DisplaySearch authorizes you to access and view these presentation materials. You may not modify, publicly disseminate, transmit, display, perform, reproduce, publish, license, create derivative works from, transfer or sell these presentation materials or any portion(s) thereof without prior written consent from DisplaySearch. Excerpts for editorial use must be accompanied by proprietary notices contained in the original materials and appropriate attribution of DisplaySearch or of the source of the original materials, as the case may be, and prior written consent from DisplaySearch must be obtained. To obtain such consent, contact info@displaysearch.com. DisplaySearch makes no representations about the suitability of the information contained in the materials or the website for any purpose. All materials on this website are provided quot;as isquot; without warranty of any kind. Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 2
  • 3. Thank you! For more information on the analysis and data included in this presentation: Visit us at www.displaysearch.com Contact Patrick Maki +1-512-687-1511 or 877-869-6075 (US only) patrick_maki@displaysearch.com DisplaySearch Analyst Luke Yao - Research Director, Lighting David Hsieh - Vice President, Greater China Market Referenced and related DisplaySearch research: Quarterly Backlight Lamp and Backlight Unit Report Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 3
  • 4. Subscribe today! Subscribe today for free market updates, shipment information, and more! www.displaysearch.com/datainsight Visit our blog today at www.displaysearchblog.com Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 4
  • 5. Brief Introduction = The Most Professional Pipe Worker for Worldwide Display Industry Eqpt./Materials Panel OEMs Brands Retailers Consumers Suppliers Makers =The Professional Analyst of BLU Technology and Market Research Field •Backlight Module •Optical Films •LED Light Source Luke Yao Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 5
  • 6. Agenda •Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market •Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast •Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB •Summary Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 6
  • 7. Agenda •Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market •Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast •Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB •Summary Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 7
  • 8. Green Life Image Only one Earth we have and we want her to be … Relaxing Dynamic Forever Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 8
  • 9. Mission of Green Display Make LCD Display more Friendly to Earth… Enjoy your life through the Green Display even though you just sit in front of it. Reduce Hazardous Material Reduce Power Consumption Improve Recycle Practice Increase Product Life Time Reduce System Components Use Environmental Friendly Material Improve Efficiency of Components Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 9
  • 10. Opportunity of L/A LED BLU Market Potential Advantage Challenge Driving Force High NB PC • Power Saving • Intensity • Light weight • LGP yield rate • Thin profile • LED Binning • Small cost premium • LED Package LCD TV • Power Saving • Cost • Dynamic BLU control • Reliability • LED Binning • Huge LED Amount Monitor • Power Saving • Cost • Intensity • Reliability • Selling Points Low Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 10
  • 11. Categories of LED BLUs for NBs Yield rate of LGP decides the penetration rate of LED BLU for NB application. High Brightness Model Regular Model BLU Structure Flat LGP (V-cut Pattern) Wedge LGP (Dot Pattern) Flat LGP (Dot Pattern) Film Stack Reflector+ LGP+ Turning Film + Top Reflector+ LGP+ Cross Prism Reflector+ LGP+ Cross Prism Diffuser Films + Top Diffuser Films + Top Diffuser Brightness ◎ ○ △ LGP Yield △ ◎ ○ Thickness ◎ ○ ◎ Cost △ ◎ ○ Patent Right Mitsubishi Rayon NA NA BLU Supplier △ ◎ ○ Relative Factor of Evaluation: ◎ > ○ > △ Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 11
  • 12. Agenda •Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market •Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast •Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB •Summary Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 12
  • 13. L/A LED BLU Forecast Q2'08 Forecast (000 units) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CCFL/EEFL/HCFL Backlight 282,694 392,286 448,965 469,188 493,610 491,605 468,497 468,351 483,190 497,553 LED Backlight 1,380 4,250 20,071 69,102 115,428 188,196 278,116 348,769 407,311 474,089 FFL Backlight 450 84 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 All >10quot; TFT 284,524 396,621 469,036 538,290 609,038 679,801 746,613 817,121 890,501 971,642 Q2'08 Forecast (This Time) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CCFL/EEFL/HCFL Backlight 99% 99% 95.7% 87% 81% 72% 63% 57% 54% 51% LED Backlight 0.5% 1.1% 4.3% 12.8% 19.0% 27.7% 37.3% 42.7% 45.7% 48.8% FFL Backlight 0.2% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% All >10quot; TFT 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Q1'08 Forecast (Last Time) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CCFL/EEFL/HCFL Backlight 99% 99% 96.3% 90% 83% 75% 66% 62% 59% 55% LED Backlight 0.5% 1.0% 3.7% 9.9% 17.0% 25.4% 34.0% 38.3% 41.0% 44.6% FFL Backlight 0.2% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% All >10quot; TFT 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% L/A LED BLU Penetration Rate by Application 110% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 NoteBook LED BLU 1.5% 3.6% 13.5% 38.3% 52.4% 71.7% 91.4% 98.8% 99.4% 100.0% Monitor LED BLU 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 2.2% 4.0% 7.4% 12.9% LCD TV LED BLU 0.3% 0.02% 0.3% 1.8% 4.8% 8.7% 9.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.2% Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 13
  • 14. Penetration of LED BLU for NB PC Apple HP Dell Sony Fujitsu Toshiba ASUS Lenovo Panel Maker i.CMO,AUO ii.SEC CMO,AUO CMO TMD TMD TMD TMD TMD BLU Maker Kenmos/ Nano-Op Kenmos Kenmos Matsushita Stanley Stanley Stanley Stanley LED Maker TG(i), Nichia(ii) TG/Nichia TG/Nichia Nichia TG Nichia Nichia Nichia Size 13.3quot;, 15.4quot;, 17quot; 12.1quot; 13.3quot; 11.1quot;, 13.3quot; 8.9quot;, 12.1quot;14.1quot; 12.1quot;,13.3quot; 11.1quot;,12.1quot;,13.3quot; 13.3quot; Model Name MacBook Pro & Air 2710P XPS M1330 TX, SZ P8010,P1620,S6510 R500, M700 U1,U3,U6 X300 450,000 110% 400,000 90% 350,000 300,000 70% 000 units 250,000 50% 200,000 150,000 30% 100,000 10% 50,000 0 -10% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 LED BLU (NB) 1,170 4,081 19,349 65,753 106,018 169,484 254,734 317,919 363,629 410,118 NB Total 79,772 113,452 142,895 171,718 202,487 236,272 278,715 321,855 365,657 410,118 Penetration Rate 1.5% 3.6% 13.5% 38.3% 52.4% 71.7% 91.4% 98.8% 99.4% 100.0% Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 14
  • 15. LED NB Market Forecast by Size NB size smaller than 14” will dominate the demand of LED models corresponding to business customers with high mobility before 2009 and 14”+ ones will take over the primary market share of LED NB, especially 15.4” and 15.6” ones, to accelerate the penetration of LED BLU in NB market after 2009. 2007 2009 2015 Leading size of LED NB <14” ≧14” 110% 90% 70% 50% 30% 10% -10% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 ≧ 14quot; 0.1% 6.5% 28.3% 41.1% 59.9% 76.3% 81.9% 83.6% 82.6% <14quot; 3.5% 7.1% 9.9% 11.2% 11.8% 15.1% 16.8% 15.9% 17.4% Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 15
  • 16. Cost Structure of 13.3” &“15.4”W LED BLU High-end Model 13.3” Slim V-cut LGP Turning Others Materials Overhead,SG&A, Subtotal Side-view LED 13.3” NB Film/2XBEF Package 9% 1% 5% LED module Extra-polishing Glass: 0.35mm Bezel & Frame 26% 6% Reflective sheet 5% Light Source Assembly 7% Diffusion sheet Flat LGP (Slim V-cut): 0.7mm 5% Lightguide plate 36% 15.4quot; Flat Dot LGP Mainstream Model Others Materials 15.4” NB Overhead,SG&A, Side-view LED Normal Glass: 0.5mm Subtotal 6% Package LED module 11% Bezel & Frame 34% 8% Turning Film/2XBEF 11% Light Source Flat LGP (Dots): 0.9mm Diffusion sheet Lightguide plate Assembly 6% Reflective sheet 10% 12% 2% Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 16
  • 17. Cost Premium: CCFL vs. LED BLU = side-view LED = Top-view LED US$ 960 LEDs $400 $350 $300 $250 $200 210 LEDs CCFL 48 LEDs 60 LEDs LED $150 $100 $50 $0 13.3quot; 15.4quot; 22quot; 40quot; US$ Technology 13.3quot; 15.4quot; 22quot; 42quot; CCFL $10.6 $11.3 $18.4 $133.0 LED $23.8 $16.0 $40.0 $389.0 premium 124.5% 41.6% 117.4% 192.5% PS: 13.3quot; LED LGP: Slim V-cut; 15.4quot; LED LGP: Dots LGP Source: DisplaySearch Q2’08 Backlight Lamps and Backlight Units Report Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 17
  • 18. Agenda •Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market •Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast •Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB •Summary Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 18
  • 19. Issues of LED BLU for NB (Slim or Normal) Still Chasing Slim Form Factor as Target? LGP Injection Flat Slim V-cut LGP= 0.6-0.9mm Normal Wedge LGP=0.6&1.2mm Flat Dots LGP=0.8-0.9mm LED Supply Injection yield rate Assembly Handling Side-view or top-view LED Inside Intensity= 1800mcd-2200mcd Optical performance LED suppliers pool Patent Issue of Phosphor Curtain Moiré Not uniform LED Light bar LED Number Reduction Thermal Solution Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 19
  • 20. Power Saving of LED BLU for NB Current vs. Brightness 【Safety】 Brightness Relative low start up voltage to ensure operation safety 【Power Saving】 The relationship between LED intensity and 輝度 LED driving current is linear CCFL Lower current is operated to perform the same brightness level than CCFL model Power saving of 30-50% of CCFL power consumption 輝度電圧 Current Advantage 6 5 44% 41% 4 35% Power (w) 37% CCFL 3 LED@20mA 2 1 0 12.1quot; 13.3quot; 14.1quot; 15.4quot; Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 20
  • 21. What will be thinner than this? Ultimate thinner profile performance of LED BLU--- An Envelope-packed PC LED Panel= Slim CCFL BLU glass+ LED BLU Thickness 50% WOW !! Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 21
  • 22. Trend of Design Concept Current Next Phase Mainstream •Replace CCDFL Model Optical Films Speed up LED BLU •Lowest Cost Solution W-LED •High Brightness penetration Wedge LGP •Low Yield rate •Tough optical design LGP: Dots & Wedge type •Patent Constrain High-end Optical Films Optical Films LED Slow down LED BLU LED Flat LGP penetration •Thinnest & High-end BLU Flat LGP •Highest Cost Solution LGP: V-cut type Optical Films Mainstream LED LGP: V-cut type Speed up LED BLU Flat LGP Thinner & easier-made BLU penetration LGP: Dots type Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 22
  • 23. Agenda •Benefit and Potential of LED in Notebook Market •Cost Analysis and LED NB Market Forecast •Key Factors to Enhance The Penetration of LED NB •Summary Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 23
  • 24. Summary (I) Give your score card for the market penetration of LED BLU by application LED BLU Inside LED BLU Application NB MNT LCD TV Evalution Factors LED Amount 3 2 1 Power Saving 3 2 1 Color Gamut 1 1 3 Motion Blurless 2 2 3 High Contrast 1 1 3 Light Weight 3 1 1 Thin Profile 3 1 1 Cost Gap 3 2 1 Productivity 3 2 1 Attraction 3 1 2 Total Score 25 15 17 3: Excellent 2: Good 1: Fair Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 24
  • 25. Summary (II) 3 “L” 3 ”M” Low CO2 More Green Low Pollution More Safety More Fun Low Temperature Work Hard For the “Green” Planet Copyright © 2008 DisplaySearch · All Worldwide Rights Reserved 25