Benchmark Analysis of Production and Financial Measures Across Nursery, Finishing and Wean-to-Finish Closeouts in North America - Dr. Tom Stein, Executive Chairman at MetaFarms, Inc., from the 2014 Minnesota Pork Congress, January 14-15, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2014-minnesota-pork-congress
Fred Yoder - No-till and Climate Change: Fact, Fiction, and IgnoranceJohn Blue
Mais conteúdo relacionado
Semelhante a Dr. Tom Stein - Benchmark Analysis of Production and Financial Measures Across Nursery, Finishing and Wean-to-Finish Closeouts in North America
Brunswick (BC) Pitch - Jonathan Chang - FINAL COPYJonathan Chang
Semelhante a Dr. Tom Stein - Benchmark Analysis of Production and Financial Measures Across Nursery, Finishing and Wean-to-Finish Closeouts in North America (20)
VVVIP Call Girls In Greater Kailash ➡️ Delhi ➡️ 9999965857 🚀 No Advance 24HRS...
Dr. Tom Stein - Benchmark Analysis of Production and Financial Measures Across Nursery, Finishing and Wean-to-Finish Closeouts in North America
1. The Power of Organized
Data
Benchmark Analysis of Grow-Finish
Production in North America
Dr. Tom Stein
Minnesota Pork Producers Annual Meeting
January 14-15, 2014
2. Average performance for nursery [NUR], finishing [FIN], and single-stock wean-to-finish [W2F (SS)] closeouts for
groups closed January 1 through December 31, 2012. Weights are in lbs, costs are $USD.
No. Closeouts
No. Pigs
Start Wt
Out Wt
Avg DOF
Lb Feed/Pig
Cost/Lb Gain
Mortality %
ADG
FCR
ADFI
Avg Group Size
% Mkt Sales
% SubStnd Sales
Feed cost/ton
Corn cost/bu
NUR
6,295
12,461,844
13
54
48
67
$0.3508
3.0%
0.84
1.64
1.36
1,980
$432.17
$6.44
FIN
7,405
13,946,859
55
270
120
612
$0.4106
4.1%
1.80
2.92
5.25
1,883
90.2%
1.84%
$281.13
$6.38
SS W2F
1,476
2,822,284
13.5
270
163
661
$0.3652
5.9%
1.57
2.64
4.12
1,915
89.0%
2.60%
$294.50
$6.55
3. NURSERY BENCHMARKING INSIGHTS
Percentile Distributions Across CLOSEOUTS for Line Items Reported on Nursery Closeouts
5
No. Closeouts
No. Pigs
Start Wt
Out Wt
Avg DOF
Lb Feed/Pig
Cost/Lb Gain
Mortality %
ADG
FCR
ADFI
Avg Group Size
Feed cost/ton
Corn cost/bu
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
95
10.9
36.0
33.3
33.9
$0.4947
8.9%
0.59
2.03
0.94
439
$624.91
$7.95
11.5
36.9
37
41.3
$0.4528
6.1%
0.64
1.92
1.03
517
$556.09
$7.69
12.0
45.0
42
50.3
$0.4134
4.2%
0.71
1.80
1.14
590
$507.65
$7.31
12.2
48.2
45.5
56.0
$0.3860
3.3%
0.76
1.72
1.22
682
$478.24
$6.74
12.6
51.3
47.6
61.2
$0.3644
2.7%
0.80
1.67
1.28
1,051
$453.60
$6.50
13.0
54.4
49
65.6
$0.3450
2.3%
0.84
1.62
1.35
1,249
$430.22
$6.36
13.3
57.2
50.1
70.4
$0.3261
1.9%
0.88
1.57
1.42
1,480
$406.59
$6.17
13.7
60.0
52.5
75.2
$0.3094
1.5%
0.92
1.52
1.49
2,199
$383.49
$6.00
14.1
62.9
54
82.0
$0.2915
1.2%
0.96
1.47
1.57
2,802
$361.28
$5.83
14.8
67.4
56.8
93.5
$0.2714
0.8%
1.02
1.38
1.71
3,988
$337.22
$5.42
15.4
71.5
59.9
103.1
$0.2519
0.6%
1.06
1.31
1.82
5,993
$319.65
$5.31
read across the rows NOT down the columns
use these to create report cards for individual closeouts or sets of closeouts
DON'T use these numbers for a company report card
4. EXAMPLE OF A ‘REPORT CARD’ FOR NURSERY
CLOSEOUT
For each key performance indicator,
I’d assign an overall grade of ‘C’ to this
closeout, no better than average
(mediocre) performance as a whole. In
fact, the low mortality was the only
item that stood out as above average.
----------------------------------------------- Information Info ------------------------------------- Utilization Info -------------Group Performance
----------------------------------------------------
Group Name
111101
1181
3324056
4031103
930011101
930021101
3130N
61101
801101
411101
A082911N
3138N
1138110
C4JA
St art Wt
Out Wt
DOF
Lb Feed/ Pig
Cost / Lb Gain
Mort alit y %
ADG
FCR
ADFI
Group Size
Start
Close
01/17/2011
02/18/2011
03/10/2011
06/05/2011
06/15/2011
06/24/2011
07/12/2011
07/15/2011
07/26/2011
08/22/2011
08/29/2011
09/02/2011
09/12/2011
09/21/2011
01/01/2012
02/16/2012
01/01/2012
01/01/2012
01/01/2012
01/01/2012
01/15/2012
01/01/2012
01/01/2012
03/08/2012
02/14/2012
01/01/2012
10/13/2012
04/30/2012
Closeout
13.0
50.0
43.6
60.2
$0.4918
1.4%
0.84
1.64
1.38
2,501
Percent ile
50
36
24
37
6
74
50
46
55
75
Started
Start Wt Avg Out Lb Feed
Feed
Mortality
Wt w/o
Per Hd Cost per as % of
Dead Wt
Lb Gain Pigs In
Prod
2,415
4,669
2,100
2,000
1,208
1,191
1,158
1,200
1,189
2,501
1,545
1,067
3,397
1,207
100
90
80
70
Percentiles
find the actual result from a Closeout
Summary report and refer that result
to the Percentile Distribution table.
For example, a Start Weight of 13.0 lb
is at the 50th percentile across all
closeouts and companies. Do this for
each of the KPI’s and then create a
chart, using a horizontal line to
represent the 50th percentile. Bars
over the 50th percentile line represent
a ‘good’ result, i.e. above average
performance. In this example, 1.4%
mortality is ranked in the 74th
percentile, meaning that mortality
level in this closeout was better
(lower) than 74% of the 6,295
closeouts. Or, said the other way
around, this closeout’s mortality level
was in the Top 25% (OK, Top 26%) of
all nursery closeouts in 2012.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
11.7
12.3
12.8
12.4
13.2
14.1
15.6
13.0
12.8
13.0
11.7
12.0
14.6
14.4
39.5
48.8
57.3
86.6
43.8
39.7
50.0
40.5
60.0
50.0
65.0
50.0
32.2
52.1
44.53
47.96
72.51
119.45
54.66
39.13
59.11
50.00
71.47
60.23
92.41
62.91
21.06
62.63
0.5459
0.2546
0.1996
0.3348
0.5226
0.5188
0.5013
0.5800
0.4188
0.4918
0.3237
0.3194
0.3749
0.2708
1.74%
4.30%
3.95%
2.40%
2.24%
1.43%
8.46%
2.83%
1.35%
1.44%
3.12%
6.65%
0.68%
1.74%
ADG
0.73
1.15
0.86
1.04
0.63
0.75
0.68
0.70
0.98
0.84
1.00
0.73
0.72
0.75
FC
1.61
1.34
1.65
1.62
1.80
1.54
1.88
1.84
1.52
1.64
1.74
1.69
1.20
1.67
ADFI
1.18
1.54
1.42
1.68
1.14
1.15
1.28
1.28
1.49
1.38
1.74
1.24
0.87
1.25
Avg DOF
37.7
31.1
51.0
71.0
48.0
34.0
48.4
39.0
48.0
43.6
53.5
50.9
24.2
50.0
8. NURSERY BENCHMARKING INSIGHTS
Feed cost/lb gain -- just as you'd expect
Group size effects? Huge variation in group size, not easy to see a pattern
No. of sow farm sources into nursery -- no effect
No. of fills -- no effect
Time to fill -- no effect
The Power of Organized Data™
9. Average performance for nursery [NUR], finishing [FIN], and single-stock wean-to-finish [W2F (SS)] closeouts for
groups closed January 1 through December 31, 2012. Weights are in lbs, costs are $USD.
No. Closeouts
No. Pigs
Start Wt
Out Wt
Avg DOF
Lb Feed/Pig
Cost/Lb Gain
Mortality %
ADG
FCR
ADFI
Avg Group Size
% Mkt Sales
% SubStnd Sales
Feed cost/ton
Corn cost/bu
NUR
6,295
12,461,844
13
54
48
67
$0.3508
3.0%
0.84
1.64
1.36
1,980
$432.17
$6.44
FIN
7,405
13,946,859
55
270
120
612
$0.4106
4.1%
1.80
2.92
5.25
1,883
90.2%
1.84%
$281.13
$6.38
SS W2F
1,476
2,822,284
13.5
270
163
661
$0.3652
5.9%
1.57
2.64
4.12
1,915
89.0%
2.60%
$294.50
$6.55
16. Average performance for nursery [NUR], finishing [FIN], and single-stock wean-to-finish [W2F (SS)] closeouts for
groups closed January 1 through December 31, 2012. Weights are in lbs, costs are $USD.
No. Closeouts
No. Pigs
Start Wt
Out Wt
Avg DOF
Lb Feed/Pig
Cost/Lb Gain
Mortality %
ADG
FCR
ADFI
Avg Group Size
% Mkt Sales
% SubStnd Sales
Feed cost/ton
Corn cost/bu
NUR
6,295
12,461,844
13
54
48
67
$0.3508
3.0%
0.84
1.64
1.36
1,980
$432.17
$6.44
FIN
7,405
13,946,859
55
270
120
612
$0.4106
4.1%
1.80
2.92
5.25
1,883
90.2%
1.84%
$281.13
$6.38
SS W2F
1,476
2,822,284
13.5
270
163
661
$0.3652
5.9%
1.57
2.64
4.12
1,915
89.0%
2.60%
$294.50
$6.55
17. FINISHING GROUPS BENCHMARKING INSIGHTS
MetaFarms 2012 Percentile Distributions Across CLOSEOUTS for Line Items Reported on Finishing Group Close
5
No. Closeouts
No. Pigs
Start Wt
Out Wt
Avg DOF
Lb Feed/Pig*
Cost/Lb Gain
Mortality %
ADG
FCR
ADFI
Avg Group Size
% Mkt Sales
% SubStnd Sales
Feed cost/ton
Corn cost/bu
lo - hi
lo - hi
hi - lo
hi - lo
hi - lo
hi - lo
lo - hi
hi - lo
hi - lo
lo - hi
lo - hi
hi - lo
hi - lo
hi - lo
10
20
30
40
36
245
145
718
$0.5390
9.2%
1.52
3.56
6.36
350
75.6%
6.25%
$355.72
$7.40
40
253
139
705
$0.5044
7.3%
1.58
3.33
6.02
575
83.1%
4.53%
$337.88
$7.06
45
259
132
680
$0.4645
5.7%
1.66
3.17
5.74
990
87.9%
3.01%
$314.78
$6.70
48
264
128
656
$0.4416
4.8%
1.71
3.08
5.57
1,090
90.4%
2.26%
$302.63
$6.56
51
267
124
636
$0.4235
4.1%
1.76
3.01
5.43
1,257
92.1%
1.71%
$289.24
$6.45
Percentiles
50
60
70
80
90
95
54
270
120
619
$0.4084
3.5%
1.81
2.94
5.30
1,360
93.5%
1.26%
$277.98
$6.33
58
273
116
602
$0.3938
3.0%
1.85
2.88
5.16
2,041
94.6%
0.80%
$267.76
$6.20
61
277
112
584
$0.3808
2.6%
1.90
2.80
5.00
2,219
95.4%
0.33%
$258.72
$6.09
64
281
108
564
$0.3686
2.2%
1.95
2.72
4.83
2,565
96.2%
0.09%
$249.78
$5.98
70
287
103
535
$0.3521
1.6%
2.02
2.56
4.59
3,992
97.0%
0.00%
$238.84
$5.80
76
292
99
500
$0.3369
1.3%
2.10
2.42
4.38
4,370
97.6%
0.00%
$230.19
$5.47
* Lb Feed/Pig includes only the Finishing phase; it does not include Nursery feed/pig
read across the rows NOT down the columns
use these to create a report card for your company
DON'T use these to create report cards for individual closeouts
22. BENCHMARKING 2012 CLOSEOUTS
Use the distributions to do “report cards” for your
company and each closeout or set of closeouts (by
grower, by supervisor, by genetics, etc.)
The Power of Organized Data™
26. FINISHING GROUPS – RANKING BY
GROWER
Many pork production companies organize quarterly ‘grower meetings’ where they present closeout performance numbers
and attempt to rank growers based on a combination of key performance factors. Here’s an example of a grower ranking report
for a production system with 54 growers, showing the Top 25% v. Bottom 25%. Same genetics, same building design, same feed
budget, same diets. ‘Grower’ is a risk factor for finishing closeout performance. The ‘jury is still out’ on whether you can truly
cause improvement in the Bottom 25%, i.e. bring them up to at least average performance levels.
Site
No.
Group
s
OVERALL
RANK
Pigs
Started
Start
Wt
Avg Out
Wt
Market
Sales as %
of Pigs Out
Mortalit
y%
ADG
FC
ADFI
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
L
24
12
24
24
24
24
24
24
12
6
12
20
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
15,730
15,839
31,690
26,033
31,668
26,550
31,778
26,863
15,885
2,435
15,824
21,944
41.3
49.5
40.1
49.4
41.6
49.2
42.5
41.6
41.6
45.2
40.3
45.9
291.4
272.5
268.0
266.5
277.7
268.3
276.1
266.3
282.1
273.4
270.0
278.1
97.48%
96.83%
96.16%
94.93%
96.18%
95.83%
96.69%
96.38%
97.24%
97.28%
97.14%
95.98%
1.8%
2.3%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
2.3%
2.7%
2.0%
2.2%
2.1%
3.4%
1.92
1.92
1.85
1.85
1.86
1.85
1.84
1.84
1.91
1.90
1.85
1.85
2.31
2.40
2.41
2.42
2.44
2.43
2.44
2.38
2.43
2.41
2.41
2.44
4.46
4.60
4.45
4.48
4.54
4.50
4.50
4.39
4.64
4.58
4.46
4.52
130.0
116.5
123.2
117.3
126.0
118.6
126.4
121.3
125.4
119.8
124.1
124.5
RR
SS
TT
UU
VV
WW
XX
YY
ZZ
AAA
BBB
CCC
12
10
8
12
20
18
12
12
14
24
13
3
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
15,725
13,288
10,629
15,774
22,200
23,282
15,902
15,813
18,228
31,464
9,219
2,127
40.2
42.7
76.2
52.3
47.8
52.5
51.2
40.6
55.8
43.1
59.3
41.2
278.1
266.8
277.0
271.1
264.6
271.0
267.3
265.0
273.2
261.1
274.3
260.3
95.17%
95.41%
96.99%
96.10%
95.58%
95.88%
95.37%
95.77%
95.44%
93.48%
97.07%
95.41%
3.9%
3.0%
2.0%
2.8%
3.1%
2.9%
3.3%
2.9%
3.4%
4.2%
2.3%
3.4%
1.81
1.80
1.97
1.78
1.77
1.83
1.78
1.79
1.77
1.73
1.73
1.71
2.49
2.45
2.53
2.52
2.47
2.55
2.49
2.42
2.58
2.47
2.49
2.52
4.52
4.40
4.99
4.50
4.38
4.66
4.43
4.32
4.57
4.27
4.25
4.32
130.4
123.8
101.6
121.9
121.3
117.5
120.3
124.4
122.0
124.4
125.7
127.1
Avg
DOF
27. CHALLENGE OF MANAGING FLOW, SPACE & WEIGHT
Producer says, “we sell at a fixed
market wgt.”
But is it DOF or market wgt. ?
Optimizing total system
weight is more than
optimizing carcass weight
It’s about optimizing space
and time relative to total
weight produced
1
29. STRUGGLING WITH MANAGING FLOWS, SPACE & WEIGHT
Cannot optimize carcass weight if half the pigs are
sold at least 30lbs too light!
Producer is leaving $12 per pig on the table for this
closeout
Planned closeout profit becomes loss due to
revenue miss
47% of the pigs
@ 249.7 + 25.9 SD
If we had enough lead time and ‘knew’ that this was likely to happen we could
make a decision to keep half the pigs – the slowest growing – on feed for a few
more weeks
36. TOM’S CONCLUSIONS & QUESTIONS
•
Accept variation, manage for it
•
The only intervention that works (for the slower-growing ‘tier’ in a group) is TIME
•
True Wean-to-Finish system is the winner
•
It is possible to predict weights and weight distributions by Week-on-Feed
•
Q? Is it possible to improve the Bottom 25% of growers?
•
Q? What is the variation of closeout performance across production systems? Are there
systems with low variation, i.e. consistency of performance over many many closeouts? If
so, let’s study them!
•
Q? When placing a group of weaned pigs into a nursery or wean-to-finish site, what is
the threshold % of light pigs (e.g. < 10lb or < 9 lb or < 8lb) that tips performance down.
•
Q? Is ADG by Selling Groups by Week-on-Feed consistent, stable and predictable within
a production system?
•
Q? Where is the best place to intervene with TIME? Farrowing house? Nursery?
Finishing?
37. METAFARMS WHO WE ARE
• Founded in 2000
• Thomas E. Stein DVM, MS, PhD, Executive Chairman
• Chad Becker, President & CEO
• Web software as a service (SaaS)
• Multiple species – Swine, Beef, Poultry
• 20+% swine market share in North America and growing.
• Diverse, and global customer base that includes some of the
largest protein businesses in the world as well as some of the
smallest.
38. METAFARMS MISSION & VISION
Mission:
To provide organized data that empowers todays farmers to
responsibly feed the world.
Vision:
We will become the number one organizer of animal life
cycle data by helping farmers precisely understand their
production connecting them to the broader supply chain to
best meet global food needs.
Every producer faces challenges associated with weight variability They try to prevent it by … but inevitably they have an undesirable variation, then the tools that are currently available to manage are not very effectiveElanco plays in this space with making recommendations on how to “through management” prevent variability - The current tools available don’t provide producers with the quality of information they need to make the most profitable marketing decisions