Dr. Roger Campbell - The Future of Pork Industries

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The Future of Pork Industries - Dr. Roger Campbell - Pork Cooperative Research Center (CRC), from the Swine Forecast 2011 webinar, December 1, 2010. http://www.swinecast.com/swine-forecast-2011

Negócios Tecnologia

The future pork industries – challenges and opportunities 2011 and beyond

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Efficiency of production 2009-2010 Business Indicator Average Top 20% Pigs weaned/sow/year 21.8 24.5 Carcass weight (kg) 73 90 Carcass sold/sow/year (kg) 1580 2060 Feed cost ($USA/tonne0 340 290 HFC (kg/kg carcass weight) 3.85 3.4 HFC (MJ DE/kg carcass weight) 52.4 47.5 HFC (Mcal/kg carcass weight) 12.5 11.3

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THE USA INDUSTRY –EXAMPLE OF GLOBAL SITUATION

Changes in the structure of the USA pork industry

Pig price (cents/LB LW) between 1989 and 2008

Global business indicators 2007 Business Indicators USA Canada Brazil Denmark Netherlands Pigs weaned 22.9 22.3 20.0 26.4 24.7 Carcass weight Carcass 93 94 79 82 89 Carcass weight (kg/sow/y) 1945 1935 1406 2003 2200 Feed costs ($/tonne) 265 339 350 336 348 HFC (kg/kg carcass weight) 3.80 3.56 3.80 3.75 3.62 HFC (MJ DE/kg) 55 44 52 50 49

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Dr. Roger Campbell - The Future of Pork Industries

1. The future pork industries – challenges and opportunities 2011 and beyond

3. Efficiency of production 2009-2010 Business Indicator Average Top 20% Pigs weaned/sow/year 21.8 24.5 Carcass weight (kg) 73 90 Carcass sold/sow/year (kg) 1580 2060 Feed cost ($USA/tonne0 340 290 HFC (kg/kg carcass weight) 3.85 3.4 HFC (MJ DE/kg carcass weight) 52.4 47.5 HFC (Mcal/kg carcass weight) 12.5 11.3

4. Pork and grain prices 2004-2010

7. Profitability ($/kg carcass weight)

8. Pig slaughter in Australia (05-10)

9. Carcass weights (kg)

10. Imports (1993-2010)

11. Origin of imports

12. THE USA INDUSTRY –EXAMPLE OF GLOBAL SITUATION

13. Productivity in the USA pork industry

14. Changes in the structure of the USA pork industry

15. Pig price (cents/LB LW) between 1989 and 2008

16. Profit over time (cents/LB live weight)

17. Domestic growth –limited by flat demand

18. The “good” news -Exports

19. Global business indicators 2007 Business Indicators USA Canada Brazil Denmark Netherlands Pigs weaned 22.9 22.3 20.0 26.4 24.7 Carcass weight Carcass 93 94 79 82 89 Carcass weight (kg/sow/y) 1945 1935 1406 2003 2200 Feed costs ($/tonne) 265 339 350 336 348 HFC (kg/kg carcass weight) 3.80 3.56 3.80 3.75 3.62 HFC (MJ DE/kg) 55 44 52 50 49

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Dr. Roger Campbell - The Future of Pork Industries

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