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Risk Management
University of Economics, Kraków, 2012
              Tomasz Aleksandrowicz
credit risk management

                     credit risk definition
credit risk management tools & techniques
credit risk
• risk of not receiving payment for granted loan or
  purchased products/services
• credit status
   – delayed payment
   – default (90 days+)
• defaulted loan causes losses of principal/interests
  and additional costs
main credit risks
• counterparty risk (risk of default)
• concentration risk (big exposure risk)
• sovereign/country risk (e.g. FX exchange freeze)
CRM tools & techniques
•   credit policy
•   counterparty rating
•   risk based pricing
•   credit insurance/credit derivatives (e.g. CDS)
•   covenants
•   diversification (portfolio of credits)
credit policy
•   rules of credit/borrowing
•   driven by risk appetite
•   credit acceptance rules/process
•   quality of customer/borrower (credit scoring)
•   terms of trade (e.g. 7,14,30 days)
•   lenders: interest rate policy
•   lenders: security and collaterals
•   credit risk department separated form sales
credit rating
• estimation of credit worthiness
• ability of debt repayment by potential borrower
• credit rating assigned to:
   – private individual
   – security (e.g. bond, derivative)
   – security issuer (e.g. corporation, government,
     municipalities, SPV, NGO)
• provided by credit bureau / rating agency
                                                      7
what the rating is?
personal rating
credit bureau




                10
credit bureau
• credit bureau / consumer credit reporting agency
  (UK)
• target private individuals
• evaluation made on overall credit history and current
  assets and liabilities
• data collected from credit institutions (banks, credit
  unions, corporations)
• users of rating pays for rating

                                                       11
criteria for private credit score
•   debt
•   usage of credit lines (i.e. credit cards)
•   ability to pay a loan
•   saving patterns
•   spending patterns
•   interest
•   other (equality issues)

                                                12
FICO credit score formula
FICO rating scale
corporate and sovereign rating
rating agency
• assigns credit ratings for issuers of certain types of
  debt obligations
• target non-individuals: enterprises, organisations and
  governments
• evaluation made on company data (annual/quarterly
  reports)
• analysis of company statement using financial
  analysis tools and methods
• short term and long term debt rating
                                                       16
rating agencies




                  17
rating agencies criticism
• not downgraded companies promptly enough
• too familiar relationship with rated company
  management
• payment model – rating is paid by rated institution
• errors of judgment in rating structured products
• oligopoly allegations



                                                        20
risk based pricing
23
credit insurance/credit derivatives
covenants
•   monitoring e.g. regular reports and audits
•   refrain from paying dividends or other actions
•   limit the borrower’s ability to borrow further money
•   repayment of the loan if specified events occur
•   repayment of the loan when agreed financial ratio
    reach particular level
diversification (portfolio of credits)

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Rm 10-2

  • 1. Risk Management University of Economics, Kraków, 2012 Tomasz Aleksandrowicz
  • 2. credit risk management credit risk definition credit risk management tools & techniques
  • 3. credit risk • risk of not receiving payment for granted loan or purchased products/services • credit status – delayed payment – default (90 days+) • defaulted loan causes losses of principal/interests and additional costs
  • 4. main credit risks • counterparty risk (risk of default) • concentration risk (big exposure risk) • sovereign/country risk (e.g. FX exchange freeze)
  • 5. CRM tools & techniques • credit policy • counterparty rating • risk based pricing • credit insurance/credit derivatives (e.g. CDS) • covenants • diversification (portfolio of credits)
  • 6. credit policy • rules of credit/borrowing • driven by risk appetite • credit acceptance rules/process • quality of customer/borrower (credit scoring) • terms of trade (e.g. 7,14,30 days) • lenders: interest rate policy • lenders: security and collaterals • credit risk department separated form sales
  • 7. credit rating • estimation of credit worthiness • ability of debt repayment by potential borrower • credit rating assigned to: – private individual – security (e.g. bond, derivative) – security issuer (e.g. corporation, government, municipalities, SPV, NGO) • provided by credit bureau / rating agency 7
  • 11. credit bureau • credit bureau / consumer credit reporting agency (UK) • target private individuals • evaluation made on overall credit history and current assets and liabilities • data collected from credit institutions (banks, credit unions, corporations) • users of rating pays for rating 11
  • 12. criteria for private credit score • debt • usage of credit lines (i.e. credit cards) • ability to pay a loan • saving patterns • spending patterns • interest • other (equality issues) 12
  • 13. FICO credit score formula
  • 16. rating agency • assigns credit ratings for issuers of certain types of debt obligations • target non-individuals: enterprises, organisations and governments • evaluation made on company data (annual/quarterly reports) • analysis of company statement using financial analysis tools and methods • short term and long term debt rating 16
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. rating agencies criticism • not downgraded companies promptly enough • too familiar relationship with rated company management • payment model – rating is paid by rated institution • errors of judgment in rating structured products • oligopoly allegations 20
  • 21.
  • 23. 23
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 27. covenants • monitoring e.g. regular reports and audits • refrain from paying dividends or other actions • limit the borrower’s ability to borrow further money • repayment of the loan if specified events occur • repayment of the loan when agreed financial ratio reach particular level