The survey found that:
- A majority (61%) of likely voters think America should support Israel over the Palestinians in the Israel-Palestinian conflict. Support is consistent across party and age lines.
- Large majorities believe that Iran is building nuclear weapons (80%) and that Iran's nuclear program poses a very big threat to Israel (over 60%) and the US/NATO allies (39-41%).
- Americans strongly support sanctions against Iran (78%), even if sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians (76-88% support across groups), and expanded economic/diplomatic sanctions coupled with direct talks (75-81% support).
- However, only around 30% think sanctions and
Public Opinion on Iran Nuclear Program and Sanctions
1.
2. 2
Methodology
On behalf of The Israel Project, Public Opinion
Strategies conducted a national survey of N=800
likely voters.
The survey was administered by phone and was
conducted July 18-19, 21-22, 2012. The survey
has a margin of error of +3.46%.
3.
4. 4
61%
71%
69%
59%
66%
58%
44%
63%
60%57%
56%58%
51%
58%56%
51%51%
55%
58%56%
60%
57%
61%
10% 8% 6% 7% 6%
9%
5%
8%
5% 5% 7% 9%
5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6%
10% 8% 6% 7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Israel Supporter Palestinian SupporterNeither/Don’t Know/Refused
** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
Crisis in
Egypt
Flotilla Incident Talks
Stall
Peace talks
renew
Gaza War
Israel-Hamas Truce
Annapolis
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East,
please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a
supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
Voters continue to believe the US should side with
Israel in the conflict with the Palestinians.
Lebanon
5. 5
82%
56%
45%
1%
5%
13%
GOP
(38%)
IND
(17%)
DEM
(44%)
Israel Pales. Israel
By Party
Pales.Israel
There is consensus across party lines.
February 2012
77 53 83 8 46
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East,
please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a
supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
6. 6
51%
60%
64% 62%
71%
12%
2%
7% 6% 5%
18-34
(24%)
35-44
(21%)
45-54
(14%)
55-64
(21%)
65+
(19%)
Israel Pales. Israel Pales.Israel Israel Israel Pales.
And, among all age groups.
Pales.
By Age
Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East,
please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a
supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians?
February 2012
45 12 50 6 67 2 64 7 63 5
9. 9
60%
27%
7% 3%
Total
Over 60% of Americans continue to believe
Iran is a very big threat to Israel.
Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or
no threat at all to each of the following places...
Israel
Very
Big Threat
Not Much
Threat
No Threat
Moderate
Threat
February 2012
67 21 5 4
10. 10
Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or
no threat at all to each of the following places...
34%
41%
15%
9%
Total
Very
Big Threat
Moderate
Threat
While one-third of voters say that Iran’s
nuclear program is a very big threat to the
United States...
February 2012
44 35 13 7
The United States*
*Asked of Sample A Only, N=400
Not Much
Threat No Threat
11. 11
Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or
no threat at all to each of the following places...
39% 41%
12%
6%
Total
Very
Big Threat
Not Much
Threat No Threat
Moderate
Threat
A higher percentage believe that Iran’s nuclear
program is a very big threat to the US and its
NATO allies.
The United States and its NATO allies**
**Asked of Sample B Only, N=400
12.
13. 13
78%
86%
67%
75%
17%
11%
23% 20%
Total GOP
(39%)
IND
(17%)
DEM
(43%)
Americans continue to strongly support
sanctions against Iran.
Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and
trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program...
Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?*
By PartyTotal
Support Oppose Support Oppose
*Asked of Sample A, N=400
56%
Strongly
64%
Strongly 51%
Strongly
52%
Strongly
Support Oppose Support Oppose
February 2012
82 16 89 11 83 15 75 23
14. 14
66%
73%
82%
87% 83%
29%
20%
15%
8% 11%
18-34
(25%)
35-44
(19%)
45-54
(15%)
55-64
(21%)
65+
(19%)
Support for sanctions is high
across all age groups.
By Age
Sup Opp
*Asked of Sample A, N=400
37%
Strong
Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp
51%
Strong
58%
Strong
74%
Strong
66%
Strong
February 2012
74 22 81 17 90 10 86 13 81 17
Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and
trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program...
Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?*
15. 15
80%
87%
78%
74%
16%
9%
18%
23%
Total GOP
(43%)
IND
(15%)
DEM
(42%)
And, even if Americans learn that sanctions
could cause hardship for Iranians, support
remains high.
And, if you learned that these sanctions cause hardship for ordinary Iranians,
would you still support these sanctions?*
By PartyTotal
Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No
*Asked among those who support sanctions, N=312
+64 +51+78 +60
17. 17
30%
22% 19%
40%
67%
77% 79%
55%
Total GOP
(38%)
IND
(16%)
DEM
(45%)
There’s still not a strong sense that sanctions and
diplomacy will prevent Iran from developing
nuclear capabilities.
How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s
development of nuclear capabilities?**
By PartyTotal
Likely
Not
Likely
**Asked of Sample B, N=400
6%
Very
32%
Not
At All 4%
Very
38%
Not
At All
36%
Not
At All
9%
Very
26%
Not
At All
Likely
Not
Likely Likely
Not
Likely Likely
Not
Likely
February 2012
32 67 20 80 30 68 46 54
18. 18
34%
22%
28%
32% 32%
60%
75%
71%
65% 67%
18-34
(23%)
35-44
(23%)
45-54
(13%)
55-64
(21%)
65+
(19%)
And, this sentiment is true across age.
By Age
Likely
Not
Likely
**Asked of Sample B, N=400
6%
Very
30%
Not
At All
Likely
Not
Likely
4%
Very
37%
Not
At All
Likely
Not
Likely
7%
Very
27%
Not
At All
Likely
Not
Likely
6%
Very
28%
Not
At All
Likely
Not
Likely
8%
Very
34%
Not
At All
How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s
development of nuclear capabilities?**
February 2012
34 66 30 68 28 70 29 71 37 61
19. 19
Americans continue to support expanded
economic and diplomatic sanctions.
80% 81%
75% 78% 78%
15% 13%
20% 19% 18%
Dec
2009
May
2010
Nov
2011
Feb
2012
July
2012
Sup Opp
54%
Strng
Sup Opp
55%
Strng
Sup Opp
12%
Strng
44%
Strng
Sup
49%
Strng
Opp
48%
Strng
Expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions coupled with direct talks with Iran to negotiate
over its nuclear program
** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies.
Now I am going to read you a series of actions that can be taken with regard to Iran if they do not stop
their nuclear program. After I read each one, please tell me whether you support or oppose that action...
OppSup
+65 +60+55 +59+68
20. 214 North Fayette Street
Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-7655
Web: www.pos.org