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UK Opinion on Middle East & Iran
Findings from national survey of 2048
Conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
February 24-27, 2012
General Mood
Overall, 6-in-10 see Britain going in the wrong
direction, but Opinion Elite are more positive –
at near parity
Would you say that the country is going in the right direction or the wrong direction?
41
48
59
52
0
25
50
75
Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction
Overall Opinion Elite
Page 3March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
In Britain, Obama, the U.S., NATO and U.N. have high
favourability; domestic politicians and organisations
much lower
Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organisations, and countries, with 100 meaning a
VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; 0 meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not
particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from 0 to 100, the higher the number the more favorable
your feelings are toward that person, country, or organisation.
25 29 25 31
48 53 54 61
60 55 52 51 41 33 32 26
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Barack Obama The United
States
NATO The United
Nations
David
Cameron
The Coalition
Government
The European
Union
Nick Clegg
Warm Cool
Page 4March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Thinking generally about threats, the economy is
very strong – but Iran, Syria, nuclear war, terrorism
and Muslim extremism all come up as big fears
Thinking about everything that's going on in the world right now, in brief -- what ONE thing troubles you the
most?
Page 5March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Based on open-end response at start of survey; bigger the world, the more often it was mentioned. Population: Overall
Arab/Muslim states have very low favourability – and
Muslim Brotherhood/Sharia Law extremely low;
Tremendous indecision on the Arab Spring
45
51
31
69
64 61
28 27 26
8 6 5
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Warm Cool
Sharia LawMuslim
Brotherhood
SyriaThe Arab
Spring
EgyptTurkey
Page 6March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organisations, and countries, with 100 meaning a
VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; 0 meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not
particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from 0 to 100, the higher the number the more favorable
your feelings are toward that person, country, or organisation.
Focus on Iran
11
6 16
9
71
54
79 77
Warm Cool
High negatives for Iran and Ahmadinejad, more
negative name recognition among Opinion Elite
Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organizations, and countries, with one hundred
meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty
meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the
number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person, country, or organization.
Page 8
Overall Opinion Elite
Iran Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad
Iran Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad
March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Thinking specifically about situation in Iran/Iran’s nuclear programme, does t it pose a very big threat, a
moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following?
Iran seen as threat to all by majority,
biggest threat to Israel
74
71
68
59
57
85
76
77
65
61
0 20 40 60 80 100
Overall Opinion Elite
Europe
Israel
The United States
Other Arab countries in the Middle East
The Iranian people
Page 9March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Clear majority support for sanctions against
Iran to discourage the nuclear programme
As you may know, the European Union has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to
discourage Iran’s nuclear programme. Do you support or oppose these sanctions?
Page 10
37
48
68
76
7 8
25
16
0
25
50
75
100
Support Oppose Neither support
nor oppose
Support Oppose Neither support
nor oppose
Strongly support Strongly oppose Neither support nor oppose
Opinion EliteOverall
March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
And even after highlighting recent oil embargo,
sanctions have majority support –
especially amongst opinion elite
Iran has recently cut off their oil supply to nations, including Britain, that have instituted economic sanctions
against them. With this in mind, would you support or oppose sanctions against Iran?
Page 11
29
38
59
71
13 12
19
14
0
25
50
75
100
Support Oppose Neither support
nor oppose
Support Oppose Neither support
nor oppose
Strongly support Strongly oppose Neither support nor oppose
Opinion EliteOverall
March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
But most doubt that sanctions will prevent Iran
from developing nuclear capabilities
How likely do you think it is that the goal of preventing Iranian development of nuclear capabilities can be
achieved through sanctions and diplomacy?
Page 12
3 7
20
2537
41
67 70
0
25
50
75
100
Likely Not likely Likely Not likely
Very likely Not likely at all
Opinion EliteOverall
March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Not much trust for Iran in negotiations
The Iranian government has recently indicated that it is interested in negotiating in light of the economic
sanctions. Would you trust these negotiations to be done in good faith by Iran?
Page 13
21
30
45 48
34
22
0
25
50
75
100
Yes No Don't Know Yes No Don't Know
Yes No Don't Know
Opinion EliteOverall
March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
www.greenbergresearch.com Washington, DC
10 G Street NE,
Suite 500
Washington, DC 20002
Ph: +1 202 478 8300
Fax: +1 202 478 8301
London, UK
405 Carrington House,
6 Hertford Street
London, UK W1J 7SU
Ph: +44 (0) 207 499 5204
Fax: +44 (0) 207 499 5284

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2012 02 uk-national_survey_charts_release1

  • 1. UK Opinion on Middle East & Iran Findings from national survey of 2048 Conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research February 24-27, 2012
  • 3. Overall, 6-in-10 see Britain going in the wrong direction, but Opinion Elite are more positive – at near parity Would you say that the country is going in the right direction or the wrong direction? 41 48 59 52 0 25 50 75 Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Overall Opinion Elite Page 3March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 4. In Britain, Obama, the U.S., NATO and U.N. have high favourability; domestic politicians and organisations much lower Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organisations, and countries, with 100 meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; 0 meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from 0 to 100, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person, country, or organisation. 25 29 25 31 48 53 54 61 60 55 52 51 41 33 32 26 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 Barack Obama The United States NATO The United Nations David Cameron The Coalition Government The European Union Nick Clegg Warm Cool Page 4March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 5. Thinking generally about threats, the economy is very strong – but Iran, Syria, nuclear war, terrorism and Muslim extremism all come up as big fears Thinking about everything that's going on in the world right now, in brief -- what ONE thing troubles you the most? Page 5March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | Based on open-end response at start of survey; bigger the world, the more often it was mentioned. Population: Overall
  • 6. Arab/Muslim states have very low favourability – and Muslim Brotherhood/Sharia Law extremely low; Tremendous indecision on the Arab Spring 45 51 31 69 64 61 28 27 26 8 6 5 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 Warm Cool Sharia LawMuslim Brotherhood SyriaThe Arab Spring EgyptTurkey Page 6March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organisations, and countries, with 100 meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; 0 meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and 50 meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from 0 to 100, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person, country, or organisation.
  • 8. 11 6 16 9 71 54 79 77 Warm Cool High negatives for Iran and Ahmadinejad, more negative name recognition among Opinion Elite Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organizations, and countries, with one hundred meaning a VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person, country, or organization. Page 8 Overall Opinion Elite Iran Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Iran Mahmoud Ahmadinejad March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 9. Thinking specifically about situation in Iran/Iran’s nuclear programme, does t it pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following? Iran seen as threat to all by majority, biggest threat to Israel 74 71 68 59 57 85 76 77 65 61 0 20 40 60 80 100 Overall Opinion Elite Europe Israel The United States Other Arab countries in the Middle East The Iranian people Page 9March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 10. Clear majority support for sanctions against Iran to discourage the nuclear programme As you may know, the European Union has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran’s nuclear programme. Do you support or oppose these sanctions? Page 10 37 48 68 76 7 8 25 16 0 25 50 75 100 Support Oppose Neither support nor oppose Support Oppose Neither support nor oppose Strongly support Strongly oppose Neither support nor oppose Opinion EliteOverall March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 11. And even after highlighting recent oil embargo, sanctions have majority support – especially amongst opinion elite Iran has recently cut off their oil supply to nations, including Britain, that have instituted economic sanctions against them. With this in mind, would you support or oppose sanctions against Iran? Page 11 29 38 59 71 13 12 19 14 0 25 50 75 100 Support Oppose Neither support nor oppose Support Oppose Neither support nor oppose Strongly support Strongly oppose Neither support nor oppose Opinion EliteOverall March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 12. But most doubt that sanctions will prevent Iran from developing nuclear capabilities How likely do you think it is that the goal of preventing Iranian development of nuclear capabilities can be achieved through sanctions and diplomacy? Page 12 3 7 20 2537 41 67 70 0 25 50 75 100 Likely Not likely Likely Not likely Very likely Not likely at all Opinion EliteOverall March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 13. Not much trust for Iran in negotiations The Iranian government has recently indicated that it is interested in negotiating in light of the economic sanctions. Would you trust these negotiations to be done in good faith by Iran? Page 13 21 30 45 48 34 22 0 25 50 75 100 Yes No Don't Know Yes No Don't Know Yes No Don't Know Opinion EliteOverall March 2012 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
  • 14. www.greenbergresearch.com Washington, DC 10 G Street NE, Suite 500 Washington, DC 20002 Ph: +1 202 478 8300 Fax: +1 202 478 8301 London, UK 405 Carrington House, 6 Hertford Street London, UK W1J 7SU Ph: +44 (0) 207 499 5204 Fax: +44 (0) 207 499 5284