2024 04 03 AZ GOP LD4 Gen Meeting Minutes FINAL.docx
2011 07 palestinian-survey_charts
1. Arab Spring and Frozen Peace
Palestinian Opinion, Summer 2011
Key findings from a national survey of 1,010 Palestinians Adults in the
West Bank and Gaza, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
June 20 through July 8, 2011
2. The research
Methodology:
Face-to-Face survey of 1,010 random-sample Palestinian adults (18+)
656 in the West Bank
353 in the Gaza Strip
Margin of Error: 3.1% at 95% confidence
3.8% in the West Bank
5.2% in Gaza
Survey conducted June 22 through July 8, 2011, by Greenberg Quinlan
Rosner via Palestinian research partner, “Palestinian Center for Public
Opinion” directed by Dr. Nabil Kukali.
Page 2July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
3. Highlighted results
• Great ambivalence about Arab Spring – and do not see
Palestinian struggle as part of it.
• UN declaration of independent Palestinian state not of high
interest or priority for Palestinians.
• Fatah and PA leadership have rising standing, while Hamas and
Iran has crashed in public support, especially in Gaza.
• This is a period of great aversion to violence and opposition to a
Third Intifada.
• This is a period for negotiation, though no belief that current
Israeli government interested.
• Shift to material well-being – with greater focus on jobs and
investment, health care and governmental performance
Page 3July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
4. Highlighted results
• Majority support for Obama plan, though not a lot of confidence
in the US to watch out for Palestinian interests.
• Majority say negotiate, not boycott Netanyahu’s plan, despite its
parameters.
• One third accept agreement with two homelands for two peoples,
but majority prefer path to one state. Near universal support for
Jerusalem as Palestinian capital, where Jewish history is denied.
• Broad belief in key parts of Hamas charter expressing jihad
against the Jews – but do not accept part rejecting peaceful
solution.
• Moderate version of Islam predominant in territories, though
Gaza more supportive of Sharia law.
Page 4July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
6. 38
35
32
27
22
17
16
0 25 50 75 100Note: Asked of half sample.
Page 6July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Pessimistic
Uncertain
Pleased
Doubtful
Hopeful
Worried
Proud
Arab Spring reactions divided and uncertain
“Of the following adjectives, which TWO best describe how you feel about the recent events in
the Arab World?”
7. 13
34
11
17
31
29
19
11
23
57
33
47
59
60
43
14
5
63
58
14
34
20
8
12 35
33
41
88
74
64
47
35
100 75 50 25 0 25 50 75 100
Strongly disagree Strongly agree
Palestinians not part of Arab Spring; concerns
about instability
Palestinians are not really a part of the revolutions
taking place in the Arab countries.
Now I'm going to read you a series of statements. After I read each statement, please tell me
whether you agree or disagree.
Page 7July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
The events in Libya and Syria set powerful, negative
examples for change in the Palestinian territories.
The revolutions in the Arab world weaken Israel.
The revolutions in the Arab world offer new
opportunities to Palestinians.
The events in Tunisia and Egypt set powerful, positive
examples for change in the Palestinian territories.
I worry that the revolutions in Arab countries will
bring instability to the Palestinian territories.
The revolutions in the Arab World are taking
attention away from the Palestinian cause.
The events in Tunisia, Egypt and elsewhere make me
proud to be Arab.
9. 64
57
79
5 6
32
40
17
21
712 50
25
50
75
100
Support Oppose Support Oppose Support Oppose
Strongly support resolution Strongly oppose resolution
+62
Broad but not intense support for seeking a
U.N. resolution, especially in Gaza
Thinking about possible actions regarding the Israeli-Palestinian conflict:
Some Palestinian leaders, like Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, have
voiced an intention to seek recognition of a Palestinian state from the United Nations
soon, without a negotiated peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians.
Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE seeking a UN resolution recognizing a declared Palestinian state without a
peace agreement between the parties?
GazaWest BankTotal
Page 9July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
+17+32
10. 16
37
44
0
25
50
75
Bring the establishment of
an independent Palestinian
state closer
Set back the establishment
of an independent
Palestinian state
Make no difference
Only 40 percent think U.N. action will bring
independent state closer
“Do you think a UN resolution recognizing a Palestinian state will bring the establishment of a
truly independent Palestinian state closer, set back the establishment of a truly independent
Palestinian state, or make no difference?”
Page 10July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
11. 41
19
41
15
0
25
50
75
100
"If the UN General Assembly votes to
recognize a Palestinian state it will help
strengthen the position of the Palestinian
Authority and make an agreement with
Israel more likely."
"If the UN General Assembly votes to
recognize a Palestinian state without any
negotiations between Israel and
Palestinians, it will make an agreement with
Israel less likely."
Make agreement more likely, strongly Make agreement less likely, strongly
+/-0
Palestinians evenly divided on what U.N.
recognition without negotiation will mean for a
peace agreement with Israel
“Please tell me whether agree with the first statement more or the second statement more, even
if neither is exactly right.”
Page 11July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
12. 2
2
2
1
83
36
23
23
18
7
4
0 25 50 75 100
Percent of total population
Note: Asked of half sample.
Page 12July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Abbas: address jobs, health care, education and
movement but not UN
Promote mass protests against Israel
Reduce the corruption in the government
Secure foreign aid to the Palestinians
Pursue peace negotiations with Israel
Get the UN to recognize a Palestinian state
Increase security with Palestinians policing more areas
Build up the Palestinian government and institutions to
prepare for becoming a Palestinian state
Get Israel to lift roadblocks and ease movement
Strengthen schools and education
Expand healthcare services and solve water shortages
Create new jobs
“Which TWO of the following are the highest priority for President Abbas in dealing with
national questions facing the Palestinian people?”
14. Majority in West Bank see things going in the
right direction – Gaza much more pessimistic
GazaWest Bank
“Generally speaking, do you think that things in the West Bank/Gaza are going in the right
direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
Page 14July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
15. 15
4 9 11
59
52
43
51
7 7 11 11
41
48
57
48
0
25
50
75
100
Well Not Well Well Not Well Well Not well Well Not Well
Not well at all Very well
In Gaza, however, quality of life has increased –
while slipping in West Bank
GazaWest Bank
“And generally speaking, how would you say things are going for your family - would you say
things are going very well, well, not too well, or not well at all?”
Oct. 2010 July 2011 Oct. 2010 July 2011
Page 15July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
16. 8
6
9
11
21
26
34
34
44
0 25 50
Percent of total population
Page 16July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Egypt opening its borders and issuing work permits
A peace deal with Israel
Websites that will offer free ads on job openings
Seminars and free training for local people to obtain hi-tech
related jobs and start their own companies
More foreign aid
Investment in agriculture
Israel opening its borders and issuing work permits
Getting Israel to lift more checkpoints so there is more
freedom of movement
Microfinance that can give seed money for starting new
companies
Micro-financing, ease of movement, permits
represent important economic moves
“Which TWO would be the most help in creating more good jobs for Palestinians?”
17. 60 61
70
22
17
8
35 34
29
22
27
17
0
25
50
75
Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove
Strongly approve Strongly disapprove
October 2010July 2009 July 2011
After holding steady, Abbas approval has
increased 10 points since October 2010
Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Mahmoud Abbas as President of the
Palestinian Authority ?
18. Fayyad too has seen a growth in approval,
though not quite as dramatic
Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Salam Fayyad as prime minister of the
Palestinian Authority?
Approve Disapprove
Oct. 2010 Oct. 2010July 2011 July 2011
Page 18July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
19. 38 40
2942
31
23
58 56
67
12
20
23
0
25
50
75
Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove
Strongly approve Strongly disapprove
Note: Only of Gaza respondents. 2009 question asked “in the Palestinian territories.”
October 2010July 2009 July 2011
Disapproval of Hamas is Gaza has dramatically
increased in recent months
“Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Hamas in Gaza?”
July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | Page 19
20. 42 36 12
34
55
77
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100 % cool (0-49 degrees) % Warm (51-100 degrees)
Feelings toward Iran fallen dramatically
“Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organizations, and countries, with one hundred meaning a
VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not
particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more
favorable your feelings are toward that person, country, or organization…”
Iran
July 2011
Iran
Mean: 48.0 Mean: 19.2Mean: 40.4
Page 20July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Iran
July 2009 October 2010
21. 22
50
73
10
0
25
50
75
100
Iran and its president, Ahmadinejad, are
friends of the Palestinian people.
Iran and its president, Ahmadinejad, care
about themselves and their own agenda.
Iran is a friend, strongly Iran has own agenda, strongly
+51
Iran not friends of the Palestinian people – has
its own agenda
“Please tell me whether agree with the first statement more or the second statement more, even
if neither is exactly right.”
Page 21July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
22. 16
7
3
3
31
22
18
27
45
62
73
80
48
17
42
34
75 50 25 0 25 50 75 100
Strongly Don't Believe Strongly Believe
“Next I will read some statements that come from the Hamas charter. For each statement please
state whether you believe it or do not believe it.”
Page 22July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
When our enemies usurp some Islamic lands, Jihad becomes a duty binding
on all Muslims. In order to face the usurpation of Palestine by the Jews, we
have no escape from raising the banner of Jihad. We must spread the spirit of
Jihad among the (Islamic) Umma, clash with the enemies and join the ranks of
the Jihad fighters.
Peace initiatives, the so-called peaceful solutions, and the international
conferences to resolve the Palestinian problem, are all contrary to the beliefs
of the Islamic Resistance Movement. There is no solution to the Palestinian
problem except by Jihad.
The Day of Judgment will not come about until Muslims fight the Jews, when
the Jew will hide behind stones and trees. The stones and trees will say O
Muslims, O Abdulla, there is a Jew behind me, come and kill him. Only the
Gharkad tree, would not do that because it is one of the trees of the Jews.
For our struggle against the Jews is extremely wide-ranging and grave, so
much so that it will need all the loyal efforts we can wield, to be followed by
further steps and reinforced by successive battalions from the multifarious
Arab and Islamic world, until the enemies are defeated and Allah's victory
prevails.
But elements of Hamas charter find strong support
– except rejection of a peaceful solution
23. Strong support for reconciliation, and belief that
it serves the national interest
Page 23July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
81
6
1727
0
25
50
75
100
Support Oppose
Strongly support Strongly oppose
Thinking of the recent agreement between
Hamas and Fatah, do you believe it serves
the Palestinian national interest right now or
does not serve the Palestinian national
interest right now?
14
67
0
25
50
75
100
Serves interest Does not serve interest
Serves interest Does not serve interest
Personally, do you support the recent
agreement between Hamas and Fatah?
24. 52 55
20
11
35
1333
38
0
25
50
75
100
Fatah will govern Hamas will take over Fatah will govern Hamas will take over
Fatah will govern, strongly Hamas will take over, strongly
Few now expect a Hamas takeover
Page 24July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Statement One: When a Palestinian state
is created, Fatah will be able to govern
it.
Statement Two: When a Palestinian
state is created Hamas will take over
and lead it.
+17
July 2011October 2010
+42
Note: Asked of half sample.
25. 12
7
31
15
23
12
2
4
14
7
10
6
28
20
41
35
37
30
52
67
8
42
24
51
0 25 50 75 100
2010
2011
2010
2011
2010
2011
DK 1-4: Not enthusiastic 5: In the middle 6-9: Enthusiastic 10: Very
Total
6-10
Gaza
87
West Bank
78
All Palestinians
81
Page 25 | November 2010
Enthusiasm for voting increases dramatically
in wake of reconciliation
Thinking about the next Palestinian Authority elections, how likely are you to vote on
a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you are certain to vote and 1 means you are
certain not to vote? You can choose any number from 1 to 10.
80
49
61
Page 25July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
26. 17
15
4646
16
3
13
47
2
20
5
19
0
25
50
Fatah Change/Reform (Hamas) Third Way Other
First Bar = All Palestinians Second Bar = West Bank Third Bar = Gaza
Page 26 | November 2010
Were elections held today, Fatah clearly
dominates across territories
I know the election is a long way away, but if parliamentary elections were held today,
for whom would you vote if the parties were”
Page 26July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
27. 15
28
15
5
28
45
50
16
4
13
2
47
0
25
50
Fatah Change/Reform (Hamas) Third Way Other
First Bar = July 2009 Second Bar: October 2010 Third Bar = July 2011
In West Bank, sharp decline for Hamas,
strengthening of Fatah, other parties since Oct.
“I know the election is a long way away, but if parliamentary elections were held
today, for whom would you vote if the parties were…”
Page 27July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
28. 30
27
46
20
33
12
2
14
2
44
5
19
0
25
50
Fatah Change/Reform (Hamas) Third Way Other
Hamas also drops in Gaza
“I know the election is a long way away, but if parliamentary elections were held
today, for whom would you vote if the parties were…”
First Bar = July 2009 Second Bar: October 2010 Third Bar = July 2011
Page 28July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
31. 51
75
71
36
65
50
62
71
57
30
65
77
6
66
0
25
50
75
100
Percent of total Percent Male Percent under 35 Percent less
educated
Percent low
income
Percent attend
weekly Friday
prayers
Percent ID Hamas
Of those who support violent resistance… Of those who support diplomatic engagement…
Those supporting violent resistance are less
educated, lower income, more religious than
those who supporting diplomatic engagement
Page 31July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Statement One: This is a time for violent
resistance against Israel.
Statement Two: This is the time for
diplomatic engagement with Israel.
32. 60
37 35
56
65
51
81 79
48
75
30
62
53
7
0
25
50
75
100
Percent of total Percent family
doing well
Percent highest
priority: jobs
Percent vote
Hamas
Percent
approve Abbas
Percent accept
2-state
Percent believe
peace possible
Of those who support violent resistance… Of those who support diplomatic engagement…
The 30 percent who believe this time for violent
resistance are doing somewhat better, and
more likely to vote Hamas in next election
Page 32July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Statement One: This is a time for violent
resistance against Israel.
Statement Two: This is the time for
diplomatic engagement with Israel.
33. 79
9
1
7
3
2
0
3
7
2
15
73
0 25 50 75 100
Of those who support violent resistance… Of those who support diplomatic engagement…
Television top source of news in times of crisis
In times of developing crisis, would you say you get more of your information from television,
radio, newspaper, Facebook or other internet sites?
None
Newspaper
Facebook
Internet
Radio
Television
Page 33July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
34. 71
61
54
14
14
12
17
57
59
70
0 25 50 75 100
Of those who support violent resistance… Of those who support diplomatic engagement…
Very little difference in media habit among those
supporting violent resistance/diplomatic engagement
“Do you…”
Page 34July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Have a Twitter account?
Watch videos on YouTube?
Visit Israeli websites?
Have a Facebook account?
Have access to a reliable internet
connection, through either your home,
work, or mobile phone
35. 72
58
56
16
12
38
39
47
52
59
0 25 50 75 100
Al-Jazeera
Al-Arabya
Pal. Braodcasting Corp.
Al-Aqsa
Al Manar
Al-Arabya
Al-Jazeera
Pal. Braodcasting Corp.
Al Manar
Al-Aqsa
Of those who support violent resistance… Of those who support diplomatic engagement…
Top television channels do differ between the
ideologies
Supporting
Diplomatic
Engagement
Page 35July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Supporting Violent
Resistance
Generally, which television stations do you watch most to get information about international
issues?
36. 12
81
4
59
0
25
50
75
100
"Prime Minister Netanyahu is serious
about wanting peace and supporting a
two-state solution."
"Prime Minister Netanyahu isn't really
serious about wanting peace and
supporting a two state solution."
Netanyahu serious, strongly Netanyahu not serious, strongly
+69
Disbelieve that Netanyahu is serious about
wanting peace, supporting a solution
“Please tell me whether agree with the first statement more or the second statement more, even
if neither is exactly right.”
Page 36July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
37. Netanyahu plan: majority favor negotiating, not
boycotting
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu recently said that he is open to a plan that would create a
Palestinian state using pieces of biblical Israel, but that he would not consider any plan that
divides Jerusalem and that Palestinian refugees should settle in Palestine, not Israel.
Should the Palestinian Authority go to the negotiating table with these parameters, or should
they continue to boycott negotiations?
52 51 53
14 19
43 45 40
12 12 1116
0
25
50
75
100
Go to negotiating
table
Continue to
boycott
Go to negotiating
table
Continue to
boycott
Go to negotiating
table
Continue to
boycott
Negotiate, strongly Continue to boycott, strongly
+9 +13+6
GazaWest BankTotal
Page 37July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
38. 52
40
76
28
13
46
60
2134
22
57
23
0
25
50
75
100
Harms me
personally
Bad, but does not
harm me
personally
Harms me
personally
Bad, but does not
harm me
personally
Harms me
personally
Bad, but does not
harm me
personally
Harms me personally, seriously Not harm me personally, seriously
+6 +55+20
GazaWest BankTotal
Page 38July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Personal harm from settlement expansion seen
significantly more in Gaza than West Bank
Statement One: Israeli settlement
expansion harms me personally.
Statement Two: Israeli settlement
expansion is a bad thing but it does not
harm me personally.
39. 41
92
3 0
0
25
50
75
100
The capital of
Palestine
The capital of Israel The capital of both
Israel and Palestine
A neutral,
international city
Not the capital of
either Israel or
Palestine
Jerusalem should be capital of a Palestinian
state
“If the Palestinians were to be given their own state, which of the following best describes what
you think should happen to Jerusalem. Should it be…”
Page 39July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
41. 27
71
50
0
25
50
75
100
A lot/Some Just a Little/Hardly at all
A lot Hardly at all
+44
Only a quarter trust US to advance Palestinian
interests
“How much can Palestinians trust the United States and President Barack Obama to help
advance the interests of the Palestinian people? Would you say that they can trust the US and
President Barack Obama A LOT, some, just a little, or NOT AT ALL?”
Page 41July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
42. But a majority favors two-state solution with
Obama’s border parameters: 1967 with swaps
U.S. President Barack Obama recently announced principles that should be a foundation for
any peace negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. He said the border between Israel
and Palestine should be based on the 1967 lines with mutually-agreed swaps of land to take
account of realities on the ground so both sides can achieve a secure and just peace.
Would you favor or oppose a two-state solution with these borders?
57
40
5 50
25
50
75
100
Support two-state solution with Obama
parameters
Oppose two-state solution with Obama
parameters
Strongly support Strongly oppose +17
Page 42July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
43. But one third support formulation of
homelands for two peoples
Page 43July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
63
31
0
25
50
75
100
Accept Reject
Accept Reject
President Obama said there should be
two states: Palestine as the homeland
for the Palestinian people and Israel as
the homeland of the Jewish people. Do
you think PALESTINIAN LEADERS
should accept or reject that concept?
61
34
0
25
50
75
100
Accept Reject
Accept Reject
President Obama said there should be
two states: Palestine as the homeland
for the Palestinian people and Israel as
the homeland of the Jewish people. Do
YOU accept or reject that concept?
45. 23
73 60
27
51
15
-100
-75
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
Two-state solution with
independent Palestinian state side-
by-side with Israel as a Jewish
state
Two-state solution A one-state solution
% Warm (51-100) % Cool (0-49)
Page 45July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Mean: 59.4Mean: 33.9Mean: 19.1
“Now, I’d like you to rate your feelings toward some people, organizations, and countries, with one hundred meaning a
VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not
particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more
favorable your feelings are toward that person, country, or organization…”
Feelings towards different solution types
46. 60
44
18
14
36
52
23
28
0
25
50
75
100
Accept two-state solution Will not accept two-state
solution
Accept two-state solution Will not accept two-state
solution
Accept two-state, strongly Will not accept two-state, strongly
+24
This represents a huge drop in acceptance of a
two-state solution
Page 46July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
+8
July 2011October 2010
Statement One: I will accept a two-state
solution.
Statement Two: I will not accept a two-
state solution.
47. 34
40
23
27
56
53
63
111312 5
13
0
25
50
75
100
Israel will exist Not Certain Israel will exist Not Certain Israel will exist Not Certain
Israel will exist, strongly Not certain Israel will exist, strongly
+40
Palestinians uncertain about Israel’s existence
as a Jewish state in 25 years
GazaWest BankTotal
Statement One: I am certain Israel will
exist 25 years from now as a Jewish
state with a Jewish majority.
Statement Two: I am not so certain that
Israel will exist 25 years from now as a
Jewish state with a Jewish majority..
+13+22
Page 47July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
48. 30 25
22
60
52
12 12
30
0
25
50
75
100
Two-state solution, side
by side
Move to one Palestinian
state
Two-state solution, side
by side
Move to one Palestinian
state
Two-state solution side by side, strongly Move to one Palestinian state, strongly
Page 48July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
+30
July 2011October 2010
+27
Real goal is to move to one Palestinian state
Statement One: The best goal is for a
two-state solution that keeps two states
living side by side.
Statement Two: The real goal should be
to start with two states but then move
to it all being one Palestinian state.
Note: Asked of half sample.
49. 30
66
16
32
0
25
50
75
100
"I can accept permanently a two-state
solution with one a homeland for the
Palestinian people living side-by-side with
Israel, a homeland for the Jewish people."
"The real goal should to start with a two
state solution but then move to it all being
one Palestinian state."
Accept two-state solution, strongly Move to all one Palestinian state, strongly
+36
Two-thirds believe that the real goal should be
to move beyond a two-state solution to a single
Palestinian state
“Please tell me whether agree with the first statement more or the second statement more, even
if neither is exactly right.”
Page 49July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
51. 26
69
16
45
0
25
50
75
100
I want to see a Palestinian state end up
similar to a Muslim country like Turkey.
I don't want to see a Palestinian state end
up like Turkey because it is too secular
and Islam has too little influence there.
Like Turkey, strongly Not like Turkey, strongly
+43
Palestinians view Turkey as too secular, don’t
want to see state go that route
“Please tell me whether agree with the first statement more or the second statement more, even
if neither is exactly right.”
Page 51July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
52. 29
14
56
18
46
53
31
40
7
18 25
23
0
25
50
75
100
Run by Sharia Run by Civil Run by Sharia Run by Civil Run by Sharia Run by Civil
Sharia Law, strongly Civil Law, strongly
+25
Plurality prefer a Palestinian state run by Civil
Law; Sharia preference driven by Gaza
GazaWest BankTotal
Statement One: A Palestinian state
should be run by Sharia Law.
Statement Two: A Palestinian state
should be run by Civil Law.
+39+17
Page 52July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
53. 7 10
33
38
28
23 24 22
42 44
38
10
2
24
19
11
8
33
0
25
50
75
No Sharia Co-exist Strong
Sharia
No Sharia Co-exist Strong
Sharia
No Sharia Co-exist Strong
Sharia
Plurality believe that Sharia can co-exist with
civil law
Gaza
“Which ONE of the following statements best describes your personal attitude toward Sharia Law?”
Page 53January 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
West BankTotal
Sharia has no place in civil society
Following Sharia is a personal religious choice made by individuals and not the state
Sharia can co-exist with civil law by overseeing family and religious matters for Muslim members of society
Sharia can co-exist with civil law by overseeing family and religious matters for everyone
Sharia should oversee all aspects of society but should cede ultimate authority to democratic rule of law
Sharia should be the only rule of law
54. 23
22
24
50
58
35
39
43
32
59
61
54
10
5
18
8
18
77
82
69
73
80
62
5
3
6
2
14
25
43
40
38
21
17
29
37
100 75 50 25 0 25 50 75 100
Total
WB
Gaza
Total
WB
Gaza
Total
WB
Gaza
Not well at all Very Well
Opposition to gender discrimination,
arranged marriages
Parents ought to choose their
children's future spouses.
Women should not be allowed to
drive a car
Women and men should never
touch in public
Next I will read a list of things some people believe. For each one, please tell me if you agree or
disagree
Page 54January 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
55. 82
14
68
80
25
50
75
100
Homosexuality should be
punished by law.
Homosexuality should not be
punished by law.
Punished, strongly Not punished, strongly
+68
Homosexuality should be discouraged by
society and punished by law
“Please tell me whether agree with the first statement more or the second statement more, even
if neither is exactly right.”
15
81
5
74
0
25
50
75
100
Homosexuality is a way of
life that should be accepted
by society.
Homosexuality is a way of
life that should be
discouraged by society.
Accepted, strongly Discouraged, strongly
+66
Page 55July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
57. 61
43
31
26
38
55
0
25
50
75
100
Will occur Will not occur Will occur Will not occur Will occur Will not occur
Will occur Will not occur
+5
Majority of Palestinians do not believe there
will be a third intifada
“Some Palestinians have called for a Third Intifada. Do you believe a Third Intifada will occur or
not occur in the near future?”
+35+24
GazaWest BankTotal
Page 57July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
58. 32
27
42
33 34
64
70
55
7 3
16
34
0
25
50
75
100
Support Oppose Support Oppose Support Oppose
Strongly support Strongly Oppose
+32 +13+43
GazaWest BankTotal
Majority of Palestinians would oppose a third
intifada
“Would you support or oppose a third intifada?”
Page 58July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
59. 47
40
10
0
25
50
75
100
Helped Hurt Made no difference
Helped Hurt Made no difference
Nakba: majority says made no difference or
hurt
“Now thinking of the Palestinian protests late last month, around the Nakba, and in early June.
Do you believe those protests helped the Palestinian cause, hurt the Palestinian cause, or made
no difference?”
Page 59July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
57
60. 20 38
54
90
25
50
75
100
"The Palestinians crossing the border in
mass from Syria into the Golan were really
just being using by President Assad to
deflect attention from his problems."
"The Palestinians crossing the border in
mass from Syria into Golan were a good way
for Palestinians to express their grievances
and helped the cause."
Being used by Assad, strongly Expressing their grievances, strongly
+34
Crossing border from Syria into Golan a good
way to express grievances
“Please tell me whether agree with the first statement more or the second statement more, even
if neither is exactly right.”
Page 60July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
62. 90
84
91
42
84
19
34
27
59
27
7
8
7
72
62
61
53
29
22
14
100 75 50 25 0 25 50 75 100
Wrong Right
Denying Jewish presence and honoring martyrs
‘right’ but not firing rockets at civilians
The Israeli armed response to the boats carrying supplies to the
Gaza strip in May 2010
Denying that Palestinians have a long history in Jerusalem going
back thousands of years.
Israeli firing rockets at armed fighters who are operating from
civilian areas
The Israeli economic blockade of the Gaza strip because of rockets
being fired into Israel.
The killings in Itamar
Teaching songs and chants in Palestinian schools that talk about
hating the Jews.
Firing rockets at Israeli cities and citizens.
Naming streets after Palestinian suicide bombers like Dalal al
Mughrabi who killed civilians in Israel
Denying that Jews have a long history in Jerusalem going back
thousands of years.
The kidnapping of Israeli soldiers by Palestinian groups and
holding them hostage
“Now I am going to read you a series of statements. For each one, please tell me whether you
think it is right or wrong.”
Page 62January 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Note: All are asked of half sample.
63. 47
66
56
17
42
46
60
82
58
29
70
64
13
77
0
25
50
75
100
Percent of total Percent Male Percent under 35 Percent less
educated
Percent low
income
Percent attend
weekly Friday
prayers
Percent ID Hamas
Percent of those who think killings in Itamar RIGHT… Percent of those who think killings in Itamar WRONG…
Those believing Itamar killings are ‘right’ are
young; those thinking it ‘wrong’ are less
educated and significantly lower income
Page 63July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
“Now I am going to read you a series of statements. For each one, please tell me whether you
think it is right or wrong… the killings in Itamar.”
Note: Asked of half sample.
64. 29
61
56
26
29
71
42
59
44
26
55
77
0
25
50
75
Percent of total Percent warm to Fatah Percent vote Fatah in
next election
Percent support violent
resistence
Percent accept 2-state Percent believe peace
possible
Of those who think killings in Itamar RIGHT… Of those who think killings in Itamar WRONG…
The 30 percent who see Itamar killings right are
less likely to accept two-state solution, slightly
more likely to vote Fatah in next election
Page 64July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
“Now I am going to read you a series of statements. For each one, please tell me whether you
think it is right or wrong… the killings in Itamar.”
No difference
support for violent
over diplomatic
engagement
Note: Asked of half sample.
65. 67
51
57
23
19
67
63
54
18
16
0 25 50 75 100
Al-Arabya
Al-Jazeera
Pal. Braodcasting Corp.
Al-Aqsa
Al Manar
Al-Arabya
Al-Jazeera
Pal. Braodcasting Corp.
Al Manar
Al-Aqsa
Percent of those think killings in Itamar RIGHT… Percent of those think killings in Itamar WRONG…
Top television channels do differ between the
ideologies, particularly Al-Jazeera
Killings in Itamar
WRONG
Page 65July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Killings in Itamar
RIGHT
Generally, which television stations do you watch most to get information about international
issues?
Note: Asked of half sample.
66. Majorities favor the kidnapping of Shalit,
oppose his release
Do you favor or oppose the release of the
Israeli soldier, Gilad Shalit?
Do you favor or oppose the kidnaping of the
Israeli soldier, Gilad Shalit?
Page 66July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
51
34
0
25
50
75
100
Favor Oppose
Favor Oppose
29
56
0
25
50
75
100
Favor Oppose
Favor Oppose
67. 75
72
64
55
53
48
39
44
29
24
20
25
20 42
0 25 50 75 100
Very important
Things Palestinians can do for peace
“Now I'd like to read you a list of actions that PALESTINIANS might take as steps toward making peace. After
each, please tell me how important that step would be - would it be very important, somewhat important, just a
little important, or not at all important toward making peace?”
Hamas agreeing to disarm
Pressuring Hamas to release Israeli solider Gilad Shalit
Hamas renouncing terrorism
Ending the call for the killing of civilians
Official education curriculum teaching children the benefits of
peace and co-existence
Page 67July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
Ending the practice of naming of streets and squares after
martyrs who killed civilians
Pressuring Hamas to end rocket fire from Gaza
68. 24
17
16
15
7
7
4
6
2
2
0 25 50 75
Very important
Map, recognition, Israeli governance of
Jerusalem rated extremely low
“Now I'd like to read you a list of actions that Israel might take as steps toward making peace. After each, please
tell me how important that step would be - would it be very important, somewhat important, just a little important,
or not at all important toward making peace?”
Allow settlers who want to stay and become citizens of Palestine to
do so
Agree to let Israel continue to govern Jerusalem so long as Muslims
can continue to live and pray there.
Recognize Israel as the Nation State of the Jewish people
Agree to land swaps for Israel to keep major settlement blocks in
exchange for other land
Depicting Israel on a map of the region in schoolbooks and official
documents to show it exists
Page 68July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
70. 71
17
5
3
0
4
80
7
8
3
2
0
0 25 50 75 100
West Bank Gaza
Television top source of news in times of crisis
In times of developing crisis, would you say you get more of your information from television,
radio, newspaper, Facebook or other internet sites?
None
Newspaper
Facebook
Internet
Radio
Television
Page 70July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
71. 70
61
59
23
15
6
12
3
3
2
6
2
1
0
17
56
56
41
23
32
18
8
15
11
11
7
9
9
5
3
0 25 50 75 100
(Al-Arabya)
(Al-Jazeera)
(Palestinian Broadcasting Corporation)
(Al Manar)
(Al-Aqsa TV)
(LBC)
(BBC Arabic)
(Al Hurra)
(The BBC)
(Al-Quds Educational TV)
(Israeli TV Channel 1/2/10)
(CNN)
(RT)
(Nile News)
(Other stations)
West Bank Gaza
Al-Arabya replaces Al-Jazeera; Al-Jazeera,
Palestinian Broadcasting Corp round out top 3
Generally, which television stations do you watch most to get information about international issues?
Page 71July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
72. 55
57
19
22
2
4
6
1
2
25
5
25
21
11
4
21
11
7
5
5
0
52
0 25 50 75 100
(Al-Quds)
(Al-Ayyam)
(Al-Hayat Al-Jadidah)
(Al-Hayat)
(Falasteen)
(Al Manar)
(Wafa News Agency)
(Free Palestine)
(Local newspapers)
(Other)
(None)
West Bank Gaza
Al-Quds, Al-Ayyam reach the most Palestinian
readers; Gaza less likely to look to print for news
Generally, which newspapers/magazines do you read to get information about international issues?
Page 72July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
73. 61
43
21
1
16
23
13
14
2
2
22
3
6
13
40
50
22
7
18
4
7
4
13
17
0 25 50 75 100
(Radio Tariq Al Mahabeh)
(Radio Ajyal)
(Local stations)
(Gaza FM)
(Holy Quran Radio)
(Radio Sawa)
(BBC Arabic)
(Angham Radio)
(Voice of America)
(Birzeit Outland)
Other
None
West Bank Gaza
Radio Tariq Al Mahabek, Radio Ajyal top in West
Bank; Gaza looks local especially to Gaza FM
Generally, which radio stations do you listen to for information about international issues?
Page 73July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
74. 70
59
11
54
15
72
70
10
68
13
52
40
12
28
19
0 15 30 45 60 75
% Yes: Total % Yes: West Bank % Yes: Gaza
Do you…
Have a Twitter account?
Watch videos on YouTube?
Visit Israeli websites?
Have a Facebook account?
Have access to a reliable internet connection,
through either your home, work, or mobile phone
Page 74 | November 2010
Page 74July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
75. Facebook use is high
“Do you have a
Facebook
account or not?”
“(If they have Facebook) How often would you
say you log into your Facebook Account?
“(If they have Facebook) And how often would
you say you update your Facebook page?
63
26
11
64
24
11
60
30
9
Daily or More Monthly or More Less than Once a
Month
Page 75July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
76. 52
24 23
33 29
38
78
17
5
Daily or More Monthly or More Less than Once a
Month
48
33
20
32 36 32
68
28
4
Daily or More Monthly or More Less than Once a
Month
Total West Bank Gaza
Twitter use not as pervasive, but those who use
in Gaza, use often
Yes
15%
No
85%
“(If they have Twitter) How often would you say
you post to your Twitter account?
Page 76July 2011 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
“(If they have Twitter) And how often would you
say you read your Twitter feed?
“Do you have a
Twitter account?”
77. www.greenbergresear
ch.com
Washington, DC
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