1.
Smart
Ci)es|Smarter
Ci)zens?
-­‐
Tim
Jones
|
Vienna
|
25
Nov
2014

2.
World’s
largest
open
foresight
programme
CollaboraAons
and
change
since
2010
QuesAons
for
the
next
decade
Scope
Future
Agenda
2010
Recent
Developments
3
Future
Challenges
This
a6ernoon,
we
will
explore
three
different
perspecAves
of
the
evolving
smart,
digital,
intelligent
city,
discuss
some
implicaAons
and
also
raise
some
quesAons
for
further
debate.

3.
Future
Agenda
2010:
The
World
in
2020

4.
Future
Agenda
The
Future
Agenda
is
the
world’s
largest
open
foresight
program
that
looks
at
the
big
issues
for
the
next
decade
so
that
organisaAons
can
bePer
focus
and
sAmulate
innovaAon.

5.
Future
Agenda
view
of
the
Future
of
Ci)es
The
first
program
in
2010
shared
50
insights
on
2020
that
have
been
used
widely.
Of
these,
a
number
were
specifically
related
to
the
changes
taking
place
in
our
ciAes.

6.
Imbalanced
Popula)on
Growth
By
2020
we
will
add
another
750m
people
to
the
planet,
and
mostly
in
places
least
able
to
accommodate
them:
With
a
conAnued
shi6
to
urban
living,
we
are
stressing
the
system.

7.
Developing
World
Mobility
Next
year
32
people
an
hour
will
be
moving
into
Shanghai,
39
into
Kinshasa
and
Jakarta,
42
into
Mumbai
and
Karachi,
50
into
Dhaka
and
58
into
Lagos.

8.
Richer
Poorer
Widening
differences
in
wealth
between
and
within
urban
and
rural
communiAes
will
conAnue
to
extend
the
gap
between
rich
and
poor
-­‐
but
they
will
sAll
need
each
other.

9.
Energy
Consump)on
We
know
that
Asian
ciAes
are
more
efficient
than
American
ciAes:
Los
Angeles
uses
25%
of
its
GDP
in
moving
people
and
goods.
In
Hong
Kong
the
corresponding
figure
is
only
5%.

10.
Dense
Ci)es
As
urban
migraAon
increases,
efficient,
densely
populated
ciAes,
not
distributed
opAons,
are
the
ideal
benchmarks
for
more
sustainable
places
to
live.

11.
Paris
–
The
Role
Model?
For
many,
the
blueprint
for
the
sustainable,
livable
city
is
Paris:
Many
urban
planners
and
architects
see
this
as
a
highly
efficient
and
social
urban
model
that
is
aPracAve
to
residents.

12.
Ubiquitous
Data
Access
We
will
be
connected
everywhere
-­‐
everything
that
can
benefit
from
a
network
connecAon
will
have
one.
50
billion
devices
and
a
trillion
sensors
will
be
generaAng
so
much
data
that
we
are
doubling
capacity
every
month.

13.
Intelligent
Highways
Mesh
networks
and
ubiquitous
mobile
connecAons
deliver
the
automated
highways
ambiAon
and
so
improve
safety,
increase
capacity
and
reduce
congesAon.

14.
Intelligent
buildings
Smarter,
bePer
connected,
self-­‐monitoring
homes
and
offices
provide
safer,
more
secure,
low
energy
buildings
able
to
self-­‐manage
uAliAes.

15.
Mega
City
States
Increasing
compeAAon
between
ciAes
over-­‐rides
naAonal
prioriAes
as
mayors
lead
bold
iniAaAves
to
place
their
ciAes
at
the
forefront
of
the
global
stage:
The
C40
becomes
more
influenAal
than
the
G20.

16.
Recent
Developments
and
Collabora)ons

17.
Smart
Cars
Every
vehicle
has
thousands
of
sensor-­‐connected
computers
that
collecAvely
deliver
the
intelligent
car
that
is
able
to
monitor
itself,
its
environment
and
its
passengers.

18.
Autonomous
Vehicles
Led
by
urban
delivery
pods
and
long
distance
trucks,
the
rise
of
automaAcally
driven
vehicles
leads
to
the
reinvenAon
of
the
travel
experience
around
infotainment.

19.
From
Cars
To
People
We
are
seeing
a
shi6
of
focus
from
ciAes
designed
for
cars
to
ciAes
designed
for
people.
The
influence
of
GM,
Ford
and
Exxon
is
giving
way
to
a
new
group
of
authoritaAve
bodies.

20.
Amsterdam
–
People
Centric
Transport
O6en
seen
as
Europe’s
most
sustainable
city,
Amsterdam
is
the
global
leader
in
supporAng
non-­‐motorized
transport.
70%
of
mobility
in
Amsterdam
is
either
walking
or
cycling.

21.
The
Smart
City
Ideal
Many
see
the
perfect
smart
city
to
be
one
where
renewable
energy
systems,
effecAve
transport
networks
and
digital
infrastructures
all
align
to
create
a
super-­‐efficient
sustainable
environment
for
everyone.

22.
Global
Drivers
of
Change
In
the
past
few
years
we
have
seen
clear
progress
on
the
Smart
CiAes
ambiAon
–
much
of
which
has
been
focused
on
collaboraAon
with
some
key
mulAnaAonals.

23.
IBM
|
Rio
de
Janeiro
IBM’s
Smarter
CiAes
/
Smarter
Planet
iniAaAve
has
been
embraced
by
mayors
in
many
key
ciAes:
Massive
sensor
networks,
cloud-­‐based
storage
and
predicAve
analyAcs
have
all
been
coming
to
the
fore.

24.
Cisco
|
Songdo
Songdo
in
Korea
has
embraced
Cisco’s
‘Smart+Connected’
view
of
the
city.
Ubiquitous
data
sharing,
automated
buildings,
high-­‐speed
networks
and
pervasive
interacAon
are
all
part
of
the
connected
ideal.

25.
Intel
|
San
Jose
Intel’s
collaboraAon
with
the
city
of
San
Jose
is
a
demonstrator
of
the
capability
of
the
‘Internet
of
Things’
focused
on
improving
air
quality,
noise
polluAon
and
traffic
flows
via
a
more
connected
infrastructure.

26.
Siemens|
Masdar
Although
behind
schedule,
Masdar
is
sAll
aiming
to
be
one
of
the
most
sustainable,
environmental
and
smart
ciAes
on
the
planet.
Key
partnerships
with
Siemens
are
focused
on
more
effecAve,
low
energy
systems.

27.
Smarter
Ci)zens
A
big
quesAon
however
concerns
how
much
ciAes
can
be
intelligent
in
themselves
vs.
enabling
ciAzens
to
be
more
informed,
take
bePer
decisions
and
so
parAcipate
more
in
the
development
and
execuAon
of
key
strategies.

28.
Pervasive
Smart
Phones
At
the
core,
1bn
‘always-­‐connected’
smartphones
and
the
associated
high
speed
wireless
networks
are
enabling
a
fundamental
shi6
in
how
personal
data
is
generated,
shared
and
used
globally.

29.
Predic)ve
Analy)cs
The
mining
and
(re)combinaAon
of
mulAple
disparate
data
sources
to
model
and
analyze
current
and
historical
facts
is
already
enabling
more
organisaAons
to
bePer
anAcipate
and
share
emergent
needs.

30.
Singapore
–
Urban
Mobility
With
its
populaAon
doubling,
Singapore
sees
mass
transit
as
a
core
driver
for
a
more
effecAve
city
–
By
2030,
80%
of
households
will
be
within
a
10
minute
walk
of
a
train
staAon
and
75%
of
journeys
will
be
on
public
systems.

31.
New
York
–
Engaged
Ci)zens
As
the
pioneer
in
providing
open
connecAvity
for
all,
New
York
has
been
a
hot-­‐spot
for
the
development
of
ciAzen
based
networks:
The
Bryant
Park
RestoraAon
CorporaAon
was
one
of
the
first
catalysts
for
change.

32.
London
–
Open
Data
London
has
more
open
public
data
sets
than
any
other
European
city.
It
is
fast
becoming
a
leading
centre
for
more
intelligent
use
of
shared
informaAon
for
greater
collaboraAon
and
bePer
decision
making.

33.
Christchurch
–
Sensing
City
Following
the
2011
earthquake,
Christchurch
in
New
Zealand
is
taking
advantage
of
an
unprecedented
opportunity
to
rethink
the
city
and
is
introducing
integrated
sensor
networks
to
improve
data
sharing

34.
Calgary
–
Flooding
Liability
Following
the
2013
floods,
the
government
in
Calgary,
Canada,
gave
homeowners
a
one-­‐off
payment
with
the
opAon
to
either
rebuild
or
relocate.
No
future
state
help
would
be
available.

35.
Floa)ng
Ci)es
The
ten
most
‘at
risk
ciAes’
from
climate
change
globally
already
have
a
combined
populaAon
of
over
150m
and
are
projected
to
have
grown
by
a
further
50%
by
2025
–
Few,
if
any,
will
be
insured.

36.
Different
Ci)es
–
Different
Solu)ons
In
seeking
new
models,
organisaAons
such
as
Shell
have
recognised
that
global
challenges
require
local
soluAons
-­‐
but
different
city
types
can
also
adopt
similar
approaches
to
improving
efficiency.

37.
The
world’s
leading
open
foresight
program
Three
Future
Challenges
|
Ques)ons
for
Future
Smart
Ci)es

38.
Informa)on
vs.
Ac)on
How
do
we
know
that
people
will
make
bePer
decisions
when
equipped
with
more
relevant
informaAon?
Calorie
labeling
in
New
York
helped
some
but
others
used
it
to
make
unexpected,
lower
health
decisions.

39.
Owning
Your
Digital
Shadow
Increasing
consumer
awareness
of
the
value
of
their
digital
footprints
is
driving
the
desire
for
greater
control
of
personal
data
–
so
who
will
own
the
data
we
need
to
share
to
enable
smarter
ciAes
and
ciAzens?

40.
Ci)zen-­‐Led
Change
How
can
boPom-­‐up
ciAzen-­‐iniAated
change
best
align
with
the
major
challenges
we
have
to
address
around
energy,
water
and
food
consumpAon
in
a
world
of
less
space
and
more
waste?

41.
“CiAes
have
the
capability
of
providing
something
for
everybody,
only
because,
and
only
when,
they
are
created
by
everybody.”
Jane
Jacobs
-­‐
The
Death
and
Life
of
Great
American
Ci4es

42.
Future
Agenda
84
Brook
Street
London
W1K
5EH
+44
203
0088
141
futureagenda.org
Am.jones@futureagenda.org
The
world’s
leading
open
foresight
program