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Teemu Kurppa
teemu.kurppa@iki.fi

     HUIKEA.com
Platform = Stage
               How to choose
                     a mobile
        development platform?
Platforms
1M   20M   140M   30M   30M   1B
1M   20M   140M   50M   30M   1B
 Java ME
       1B


Flash Lite
    500M


    Web
       1B
1M   20M   140M   50M   30M   1B
 Java ME
       1B


Flash Lite
    500M


    Web
       1B
1M   20M   140M   50M   30M   1B
 Java ME
       1B


Flash Lite
    500M


    Web
       1B
1M   20M   140M   50M   30M   1B
 Java ME
       1B


Flash Lite
    500M


    Web
       1B
1M   20M   140M   50M   30M   1B
 Java ME
       1B


Flash Lite
    500M


    Web
       1B
1M   20M   140M   50M   30M   1B
 Java ME
       1B


Flash Lite
    500M


    Web
       1B
1M   20M   140M   50M   30M   1B
 Java ME
       1B


Flash Lite
    500M


    Web
       1B
iPhone changed
the game
Why iPhone matters?

      Sold units


      140M
S60
Why iPhone matters?

         Sold units


         140M
 S60
         20M
iPhone
Why iPhone matters?

                          % flat-rate
                          data plan
         Sold units


         140M             0.20
 S60                  ×
         20M
iPhone
Why iPhone matters?

                          % flat-rate   Potential
                          data plan    customers
         Sold units


         140M             0.20         28M
 S60                  ×            =
         20M
iPhone
Why iPhone matters?

                          % flat-rate   Potential
                          data plan    customers
         Sold units


         140M             0.20         28M
 S60                  ×            =
                          1.00
         20M
iPhone                ×
Why iPhone matters?

                          % flat-rate   Potential
                          data plan    customers
         Sold units


         140M             0.20         28M
 S60                  ×            =
                          1.00
         20M                           20M
iPhone                ×            =
Why iPhone matters?

                                                 Educated
                   % flat-rate    % knows
      Sold units   data plan    about apps       customers


                                 0.10
      140M x 0.20 x                              3M
S60                                          =
iPhone 20M x 1.00 x              0.50            10M
                                             =
Does Java matter?

                                                     Educated
                       % flat-rate    % knows
          Sold units   data plan    about apps       customers


                                     0.10
          140M x 0.20 x                              3M
S60                                              =
iPhone 20M x 1.00 x                  0.50        = 10M


           1B      x 0.01 x          0.10            1M
Java ME                                          =
Big Asian advertiser joined
36.3




30.0                                                                                                        29.0 Nokia




20.0


                                                                                                            15.5 Apple


                                                                                                            11.7 Motorola
                                                                                                            10.5 Samsung
10.0
                                                                                                            9.5 SonyEricsson
                                                                            iPhone 3G release

                                                                                                            3.5   RIM
                                                                                                            1.8   HTC
 0.0
        Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun     Jul     Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec

       2007                                                         2008
                                                                                                             dirtyaura.org/blog
The initial
user experience
of your app
on E65
Purchase decision!
Where is the game I just downloaded?
The initial
user experience
of your app
on iPhone
Purchase decision!
AppStore solves 2 problems
A distribution
solution
A payment
solution
for both users and publishers
500 million apps installed
500 million apps installed

40 million devices
500 million apps installed
   ÷
40 million devices
   =
12.5 apps in every device
20 000 apps published
AppStore
does not solve
marketing
for you
How to choose a platform?
  Do what you know
  - Learn the platform

  Think distribution and monetization first
  - technological possibilities second

  Choose mobile web
  - if possible

  Do for current hot top devices
   - not for everybody, not for the past or the future
The platform
is
a stage
that defines
an audience
you
reach.
Q&A

 HUIKEA.com
     teemu@huikea.com
 http://dirtyaura.org/blog
Attributions




               by cgo2
               http://www.flickr.com/photos/cgo2/1032558204/sizes/o/

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Platform = Stage. How to choose a mobile development platform?