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K E E P I N G Y O U WAT C H I N G
H O U S E O F C A R D S
B R I A N H O LT
@ H O LT B T
b i t . l y /
t e c h s u m m i t p r 1 6
W H AT D O Y O U R U S E R S WA N T ?
Y O U H AV E N O * * * * I N G C L U E .
N E I T H E R D O T H E Y.
S O W H Y C A N ’ T I T R A C K M Y D ATA B E F O R E A N D
A F T E R I A D D F E AT U R E S ?
B O O K S A L E S O N M Y W E B S I T E
0
17.5
35
52.5
70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
launched new feature
W H AT A C T U A L LY H A P P E N E D
launched new feature
Oprah put my book in her book club
0
15
30
45
60
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
A B A B A B A B A B A B A B A B
W H AT A C T U A L LY H A P P E N E D
0
17.5
35
52.5
70
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
A B A B A B A B A B A B A B A B
started my a/b test
Oprah put my book in her book club
vs
2 0 % L I F T I N V I E W I N G
W H Y ?
W E H AV E O U R T H E O R I E S B U T O F T E N I T ’ S T O U G H
T O E S TA B L I S H C A U S A L I T Y.
A / B T E S T I N G I S N O T A S O L U T I O N .
Y O U R N E W A / B T E S T
R E D C E L L
💩
💩
B L U E C E L L
💩
💩 💩💩
💩💩💩 💩
G R E E N C E L L
💰
I F Y O U R E F I N E A 💩 E X P E R I E N C E V I A A / B
T E S T I N G , Y O U E N D U P W I T H A R E F I N E D
💩 E X P E R I E N C E
T RY E N T I R E LY N E W E X P E R I E N C E S T O O 💰
A / B T E S T S
• DO
• Verify hypothesis
• Indicate positive directions to go in
• Identify areas of consumer sensitivity
• Identify the key metrics you’re tracking (revenue versus sign-ups)
• DON’T
• Create your hypothesis after you have run the test
• Introduce your bias
• Assume that A/B testing will give you answers
D O N ’ T B E S H O R T- S I G H T E D
• Some tests may indicate positive short-term results but hide long-term
wins.
• e.g. SEO win versus monetization win
A D V I C E ?
• Simpler is almost always better
• Faster
• Less options and less choices
• Less friction
• Make choices you know most users will make; allow other users the
escape hatch*
A / B T E S T I N G H A R D PA R T S
• Be willing to throw work out
• Be willing to do ideas and features you don’t like
• Realize your consumers will tell you one thing but act another way
• Be willing to ignore the indication of the results
K E E P I N G Y O U WAT C H I N G H O U S E O F C A R D S ?
• We A/B test everything at Netflix. Every button, every layout, every
algorithm, every color. It’s all A/B tested to be the least friction possible.
• That keeps the interface intuitive and out of the way between you Frank
Underwood’s hostile Washington DC takeover.
H O W D O I A / B T E S T ?
• Open Source
• PlanOut (Facebook)
• SixPack (SeatGeek)
• Abba (Stripe)
• Proctor (Indeed)
H O W D O I A / B T E S T ?
• Commercial
• Optimizely
• Google Analytics Experiments
• KISSmetrics
B R I A N H O LT
@ H O LT B T

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Keeping you watching "house of cards" by Brian Holt

  • 1. K E E P I N G Y O U WAT C H I N G H O U S E O F C A R D S B R I A N H O LT @ H O LT B T
  • 2. b i t . l y / t e c h s u m m i t p r 1 6
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. W H AT D O Y O U R U S E R S WA N T ?
  • 7. Y O U H AV E N O * * * * I N G C L U E .
  • 8. N E I T H E R D O T H E Y.
  • 9. S O W H Y C A N ’ T I T R A C K M Y D ATA B E F O R E A N D A F T E R I A D D F E AT U R E S ?
  • 10. B O O K S A L E S O N M Y W E B S I T E 0 17.5 35 52.5 70 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 launched new feature
  • 11.
  • 12. W H AT A C T U A L LY H A P P E N E D launched new feature Oprah put my book in her book club 0 15 30 45 60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A B A B A B A B A B A B A B A B
  • 13. W H AT A C T U A L LY H A P P E N E D 0 17.5 35 52.5 70 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 A B A B A B A B A B A B A B A B started my a/b test Oprah put my book in her book club
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. vs
  • 17. 2 0 % L I F T I N V I E W I N G
  • 18. W H Y ?
  • 19.
  • 20. W E H AV E O U R T H E O R I E S B U T O F T E N I T ’ S T O U G H T O E S TA B L I S H C A U S A L I T Y.
  • 21. A / B T E S T I N G I S N O T A S O L U T I O N .
  • 22. Y O U R N E W A / B T E S T
  • 23. R E D C E L L 💩
  • 24. 💩 B L U E C E L L 💩 💩 💩💩 💩💩💩 💩
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. G R E E N C E L L 💰
  • 28. I F Y O U R E F I N E A 💩 E X P E R I E N C E V I A A / B T E S T I N G , Y O U E N D U P W I T H A R E F I N E D 💩 E X P E R I E N C E
  • 29. T RY E N T I R E LY N E W E X P E R I E N C E S T O O 💰
  • 30. A / B T E S T S • DO • Verify hypothesis • Indicate positive directions to go in • Identify areas of consumer sensitivity • Identify the key metrics you’re tracking (revenue versus sign-ups) • DON’T • Create your hypothesis after you have run the test • Introduce your bias • Assume that A/B testing will give you answers
  • 31. D O N ’ T B E S H O R T- S I G H T E D • Some tests may indicate positive short-term results but hide long-term wins. • e.g. SEO win versus monetization win
  • 32. A D V I C E ? • Simpler is almost always better • Faster • Less options and less choices • Less friction • Make choices you know most users will make; allow other users the escape hatch*
  • 33. A / B T E S T I N G H A R D PA R T S • Be willing to throw work out • Be willing to do ideas and features you don’t like • Realize your consumers will tell you one thing but act another way • Be willing to ignore the indication of the results
  • 34. K E E P I N G Y O U WAT C H I N G H O U S E O F C A R D S ? • We A/B test everything at Netflix. Every button, every layout, every algorithm, every color. It’s all A/B tested to be the least friction possible. • That keeps the interface intuitive and out of the way between you Frank Underwood’s hostile Washington DC takeover.
  • 35. H O W D O I A / B T E S T ? • Open Source • PlanOut (Facebook) • SixPack (SeatGeek) • Abba (Stripe) • Proctor (Indeed)
  • 36. H O W D O I A / B T E S T ? • Commercial • Optimizely • Google Analytics Experiments • KISSmetrics
  • 37. B R I A N H O LT @ H O LT B T