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What is Parallel Vote Tabulation
           (PVT)?
 The parallel Vote Tabulation (PVT) often called
  ‘quick count’ is an election observation
  methodology that is employed for independent
  verification of election results.
 It involves observation of the election day voting
  and counting processes at polling units,
  collection of all polling unit information and
  independent tabulation of these information.
Components of PVT



 An independent check on the official vote totals;
  and
 A systematic analysis of the qualitative aspects
  of an electoral process
PVT Goals

 Deter fraud – most basic reason why conducting
  PVT.
 Detect fraud – detect vote-counting fraud.
 Timely forecast of election results
 Promote confidence in the election process and
  the results as announced by the election
  management body (in Nigeria – INEC)
PVT Goals Cont’d

 Assess the quality of the process – most
  challenges of electoral processes are based on
  anecdotes. PVT goes beyond anecdotes to
  characterize the magnitude and severity of
  problems in the electoral process.
 Encourages citizens to participate in the electoral
  process.
PVT Goals Cont’d

 Extend organizational reach and skills building
  – building of a network of CSO partners.
 Set the stage for future activities – most
  organizations that conducted PVTs have been
  seen to be honest and have continued in other
  governance related projects other than election
  observation.
PVT Prerequisites
 Access to the polling units/polling unit data
 Credibility with citizens – two main
  components of credibility to be considered is
  competence and independence.
 Adequate resources – significant human,
  technical and financial resources.
 Adequate project management structure.
 Carefully developed checklist form
PVT underlying principles
 Use of statistical principles of probability and
  sampling
 Rapid collation of results from the field using
  suitable ICT tools.
 Use of suitable technologies to capture and
  analyze results collected from observers on
  the field
 Well trained observers assigned to pre-
  sampled polling units.
Statistical principles
 Reliability and validity
 Adequate sample size – (offers faster,
  cheaper and more practical approach to
  studying the entire process).
 The population – PVT uses the population
  eligible to vote (registered voters). – INEC
  registered approx. – 70 million Nigerians
 Probability: The law of large numbers and the
  central limit theorem.
Constructing the sample
 Identify the unit of analysis – polling units in the
  case of Nigeria
 Determine the margin of error and confidence
  levels;
 Determine the most appropriate type of random
  sample; - {general random samples or stratified
  random samples}.
Rapid collation of reports from Observers
     on the field using adequate ICT tool


 Carefully study the environment and strategize
  on the most effective ICT tools available.
 In Nigeria – we used Mobile/SMS aggregated
  through a content provider (aggregator).
 Aggregators network could accept SMS from all
  (8 – 9) GSM & CDMA provider – i.e. MTN, Glo,
  Airtel, Etisalat, Starcomm, Visafone, Reltel,
  Zoom.
Suitable technologies to capture and
  analyze observer reported data
 RapidSMS
  free and open-source framework for dynamic
   data collection, logistics coordination and
   communication, leveraging basic short
   message service (SMS) mobile phone
   technology.

  Read more on RapidSMS @ www.rapidsms.org
Adequately trained Observer network
                 NSC

              Secretariat

           State Coordinating
               Committee
         Local Government Area
               Supervisors

         Election day Observers
Observation Tool - Checklist
 An independent check on the official vote
  totals; and a systematic analysis of the
  qualitative aspects of an electoral process


 A checklist is a type of informational job aid
  used to reduce failure by compensating for
  potential limits of human memory and
  attention. It helps to ensure consistency and
  completeness in carrying out a task
Parallel vote tabulation   nigeria experience
Parallel vote tabulation   nigeria experience

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Parallel vote tabulation nigeria experience

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. What is Parallel Vote Tabulation (PVT)?  The parallel Vote Tabulation (PVT) often called ‘quick count’ is an election observation methodology that is employed for independent verification of election results.  It involves observation of the election day voting and counting processes at polling units, collection of all polling unit information and independent tabulation of these information.
  • 4. Components of PVT  An independent check on the official vote totals; and  A systematic analysis of the qualitative aspects of an electoral process
  • 5. PVT Goals  Deter fraud – most basic reason why conducting PVT.  Detect fraud – detect vote-counting fraud.  Timely forecast of election results  Promote confidence in the election process and the results as announced by the election management body (in Nigeria – INEC)
  • 6. PVT Goals Cont’d  Assess the quality of the process – most challenges of electoral processes are based on anecdotes. PVT goes beyond anecdotes to characterize the magnitude and severity of problems in the electoral process.  Encourages citizens to participate in the electoral process.
  • 7. PVT Goals Cont’d  Extend organizational reach and skills building – building of a network of CSO partners.  Set the stage for future activities – most organizations that conducted PVTs have been seen to be honest and have continued in other governance related projects other than election observation.
  • 8. PVT Prerequisites  Access to the polling units/polling unit data  Credibility with citizens – two main components of credibility to be considered is competence and independence.  Adequate resources – significant human, technical and financial resources.  Adequate project management structure.  Carefully developed checklist form
  • 9. PVT underlying principles  Use of statistical principles of probability and sampling  Rapid collation of results from the field using suitable ICT tools.  Use of suitable technologies to capture and analyze results collected from observers on the field  Well trained observers assigned to pre- sampled polling units.
  • 10. Statistical principles  Reliability and validity  Adequate sample size – (offers faster, cheaper and more practical approach to studying the entire process).  The population – PVT uses the population eligible to vote (registered voters). – INEC registered approx. – 70 million Nigerians  Probability: The law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.
  • 11. Constructing the sample  Identify the unit of analysis – polling units in the case of Nigeria  Determine the margin of error and confidence levels;  Determine the most appropriate type of random sample; - {general random samples or stratified random samples}.
  • 12. Rapid collation of reports from Observers on the field using adequate ICT tool  Carefully study the environment and strategize on the most effective ICT tools available.  In Nigeria – we used Mobile/SMS aggregated through a content provider (aggregator).  Aggregators network could accept SMS from all (8 – 9) GSM & CDMA provider – i.e. MTN, Glo, Airtel, Etisalat, Starcomm, Visafone, Reltel, Zoom.
  • 13. Suitable technologies to capture and analyze observer reported data RapidSMS  free and open-source framework for dynamic data collection, logistics coordination and communication, leveraging basic short message service (SMS) mobile phone technology.  Read more on RapidSMS @ www.rapidsms.org
  • 14. Adequately trained Observer network NSC Secretariat State Coordinating Committee Local Government Area Supervisors Election day Observers
  • 15. Observation Tool - Checklist  An independent check on the official vote totals; and a systematic analysis of the qualitative aspects of an electoral process  A checklist is a type of informational job aid used to reduce failure by compensating for potential limits of human memory and attention. It helps to ensure consistency and completeness in carrying out a task

Notas do Editor

  1. The more the data we have, the more certain we can be about predicting outcomes accurately. There is safety in numbers.Central limit theorem holds that the greater the number of observations (sample points), the more likely it is that the distribution of the data points will tend to conform to a known pattern.
  2. The desired margin of error depends on what degree of accuracy is required from the estimates.The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in a survey&apos;s results. The larger the margin of error, the less faith one should have that the poll&apos;s reported results are close to the &quot;true&quot; figures; that is, the figures for the whole population. Margin of error occurs whenever a population is incompletely sampled.Condfidence level measure the reliability of a dataset.