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Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 1Institute for Web Science and Technologies · University of Koblenz-Landau, Germany
Web and Internet Science Group · ECS · University of Southampton, UK &
Bias in the Social Web
Steffen Staab, Christoph Kling & Team
University of Southampton
&
Universität Koblenz-Landau
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 2
Produce
Consume
Cognition
Emotion
Behavior
Socialisation
Knowledge
Observable
Micro-
interactions
in the Web
Apps
Protocols
Data & Information
Governance
WWW
Observable
Macro-
effects in the
Web
Web Science
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 3
Web Observatories Konect
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 4
Bias in the
Data
Bias in the
Algorithm
Bias in the
Social Machine
WebObservatory
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 5
Bias in the Data
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 6
Observing Bias in Data
Credit Hire Sex Ethnic Zip Height ... ...
+ +
+ -
- +
+ +
- -
correlated
Data protection laws
suggest not to process
sensitive data attributes
like „sex“ or „ethnic“
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 7
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 8
Observing Bias in Social Networks
(Lerman et al 15)
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 9
Geographic
Bias in the Algorithm
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 10
fish, rice
seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine
seafood, fish, salmon
fish, salmon, wine
rice, fish
lobster, seafood, shrimp
coffee
coffee, wine
coffee
wine
wine
pizza, wine
pizza, wine
pasta, wine
pasta, shrimp
lobster, shrimp
seafood, shrimp
Tagged photos with geo-coordinates from Flickr
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 11
fish, rice
seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine
seafood, fish, salmon
fish, salmon, wine
seafood, shrimp
lobster, seafood, shrimp
coffee
coffee, wine
coffee
italian, wine
wine
pizza, wine
italian, pizza, wine
pasta, wine
pasta, shrimp
seafood
fish
lobster
shrimp
crab
wine
salmon
wine
pizza
coffee
italian
pasta
seafood, shrimp
lobster, shrimp
Tasks: Discovering topics, finding clusters
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 12
Cultural areas, country borders, geographical features and other
geographical observations exhibit complex spatial distributions
wikipedia.org
Challenge
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 13
fish, rice
lobster, shrimp
seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine
seafood, fish, salmon
seafood, shrimp
fish, salmon, wine
seafood, shrimp
lobster, seafood, shrimp
coffee
coffee, wine
coffee
italian, wine
wine
pizza, wine
italian, pizza, wine
pasta, wine
pasta, shrimp
seafood
fish
lobster
shrimp
crab
wine
salmon
wine
pizza
coffee
italian
pasta
A. Ahmed, L. Hong and A. Smola, 2013 (following (Yin et al 2011; Sizov 2010))
Existing approaches: Gaussian regions
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 14
fish, rice
lobster, shrimp
seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine
seafood, fish, salmon
seafood, shrimp
fish, salmon, wine
seafood, shrimp
lobster, seafood, shrimp
coffee
coffee, wine
coffee
italian, wine
wine
pizza, wine
italian, pizza, wine
pasta, wine
pasta, shrimp
seafood
fish
lobster
shrimp
crab
wine
salmon
wine
pizza
coffee
italian
pasta
MGTM 1: Global Topic Clustering
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 15
fish, rice
lobster, shrimp
seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine
seafood, fish, salmon
seafood, shrimp
fish, salmon, wine
seafood, shrimp
lobster, seafood, shrimp
coffee
coffee, wine
coffee
italian, wine
wine
pizza, wine
italian, pizza, wine
pasta, wine
pasta, shrimp
seafood
fish
lobster
shrimp
crab
wine
salmon
wine
pizza
coffee
italian
pasta
MGTM 2: Determining Neighbourhoods
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 16
Cluster adjacency Dependencies of document-
specific topic distributions
Exchange of topic information between clusters
MGTM 3: Derived Topic Model
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 17
Exchange of topic information between clusters
MGTM 4: Exchange of Topic Information
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 18
Exchange of topic information between clusters
MGTM 4: Exchange of Topic Information
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 19
Exchange of topic information between clusters
MGTM 4: Exchange of Topic Information
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 20
γ
M N
L
H
G
G
α0
G
Al
j
0
θjn
w
η s
d
l
δl
L: #regions
M: #documents in cluster
N: #words in document
G⁰: Global topic distribution
G : Cluster-topic distribution
G : Document-topic distribution
s
d
MGTM
MGTM 5: Composed Model
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 21
Evaluation: Anectodal, Perplexity, Gaming
Gaming study:
intrusion detection
Precision 8 topics
avg / median
LGTA 0.60 / 0.58
Basic model 0.64 / 0.58
MGTM 0.78 / 0.75
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 22
Biases in the Social Machine:
The Case of Liquid Feedback
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 23
...
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 24
Online Delegative Democracy
CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 25
Delegative Democracy
• Between direct and representative democracy
CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 26
Delegative Democracy
• Between direct and representative democracy
• Voters can delegate their vote to other voters
CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 27
CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 28
CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 29
CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
Delegative Democracy
• Between direct and representative democracy
• Voters can delegate their vote to other voters
• Delegations can be revoked at any time
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 30
CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
Delegative Democracy
• Between direct and representative democracy
• Voters can delegate their vote to other voters
• Delegations can be revoked at any time
• Votes are public!
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 31
Dataset:
LiquidFeedback
(German Pirate Party)
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 32
LiquidFeedback – Pirate Party
• Observation: 08/2010 – 11/2013
• 13,836 Members
• 14,964 Delegations
• 499,009 Votes
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 33
LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party
•
Users create initiatives, which are grouped by
issues and belong to areas
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 34
LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party
•
Users create initiatives, which are grouped by
issues and belong to areas
Area: Environmental issues
Issue: CO2 output has to be reduced.
Initiative: Subsidise wind turbines!
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 35
LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party
•
Users create initiatives, which are grouped by
issues and belong to areas
Area: Environmental issues
Issue: CO2 output has to be reduced.
Initiative: Subsidise wind turbines!
Areas: 22
Issues: 3,565
Initiatives: 6,517
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 36
LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party
•
Users create initiatives, which are grouped by
issues and belong to areas
Delegations on global, initiative, issue
and area level
→ “Back-delegations” possible
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 37
Dataset – First Impressions
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 38
Dataset – First Impressions
•
Voting Weight
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 39
Dataset – First Impressions
•
3,658 members > 10 votes
1,156 members > 100 votes
54 members > 1,000 votesMedian all: 8 votes
Median delegating: 42 votes
Median delegates: 64 votes
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 40
Delegation Network
• Temporal analysis
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 41
Delegation Network
• Temporal analysis
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 42
Delegation Network
• Temporal analysis
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 43
Delegation Network
• Temporal analysis
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 44
Delegation Network
• Temporal analysis
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 47
The Power of Voters
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 48
Power
•
Ability to influence the outcome of a vote
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 49
Power
•
Ability to influence the outcome of a vote
5
4
1
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 50
Power
•
Ability to influence the outcome of a vote
5
4 same power
1
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 51
Power Indices
•
Given voting weights of all voters in a vote:
Predict the probability that a given user will be
able determine the outcome of a vote
Banzhaf power index:
Votes are independent
Shapley power index:
Votes are homogeneous
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 52
Power
•
Banzhaf power index:
Votes are independent
Shapley power index:
Votes are homogeneous
Potential Power:
Measured power in the dataset
Exercised Power:
Power used to actually turn votes
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 53
Power Indices
•
20 40 60 80 100
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Delegations d
Powerp
Potential Power
Exercised Power
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 54
Power Indices
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 55
Average Approval Rate
•
(How many users agree with x% of all voted
proposals?)
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 56
Average Approval Rate
•
Powerful voters tend to vote positive and to
agree with the majority
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 57
Power
•
Potential Power:
Measured power in the dataset
Beta power index:
Beta distributed approval rate for Banzhaf index
Regression power index:
Logistic regression for predicting the approval rate –
given the voting weight – of the Banzhaf index
Beta2 power index:
Beta distributed approval rate for Shapley index
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 58
Novel Power Indices
•
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 59
Novel Power Indices
•
(Perplexity ~ normalised log likelihood)
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 60
The Impact of Delegations
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 61
Approval Rate
•
→ Approval rate decreases with voting experience
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 62
Approval Rate
•
→ Delegates stabilise the approval rate!
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 63
Results
•
 Including voting bias in power indices
improves the prediction
 First evaluation of power indices
on a large voting history
 Delegates stabilise the system
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 64
Conclusions
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 65
Bias in the
Data
Bias in the
Algorithm
Bias in the
Social Machine
WebObservatory
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 66
Bias in the
Data
Bias in the
Algorithm
Bias in the
Social Machine
Story telling
Under-
standing
Modelling
Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 67
Institute for Web Science &
Technologies
Semantic
Web
Web Search &
Data Mining
Computational
Social Science
Interactive
Web
Software &
Services

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Bias in the Social Web

  • 1. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 1Institute for Web Science and Technologies · University of Koblenz-Landau, Germany Web and Internet Science Group · ECS · University of Southampton, UK & Bias in the Social Web Steffen Staab, Christoph Kling & Team University of Southampton & Universität Koblenz-Landau
  • 2. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 2 Produce Consume Cognition Emotion Behavior Socialisation Knowledge Observable Micro- interactions in the Web Apps Protocols Data & Information Governance WWW Observable Macro- effects in the Web Web Science
  • 3. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 3 Web Observatories Konect
  • 4. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 4 Bias in the Data Bias in the Algorithm Bias in the Social Machine WebObservatory
  • 5. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 5 Bias in the Data
  • 6. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 6 Observing Bias in Data Credit Hire Sex Ethnic Zip Height ... ... + + + - - + + + - - correlated Data protection laws suggest not to process sensitive data attributes like „sex“ or „ethnic“
  • 7. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 7
  • 8. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 8 Observing Bias in Social Networks (Lerman et al 15)
  • 9. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 9 Geographic Bias in the Algorithm
  • 10. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 10 fish, rice seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine seafood, fish, salmon fish, salmon, wine rice, fish lobster, seafood, shrimp coffee coffee, wine coffee wine wine pizza, wine pizza, wine pasta, wine pasta, shrimp lobster, shrimp seafood, shrimp Tagged photos with geo-coordinates from Flickr
  • 11. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 11 fish, rice seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine seafood, fish, salmon fish, salmon, wine seafood, shrimp lobster, seafood, shrimp coffee coffee, wine coffee italian, wine wine pizza, wine italian, pizza, wine pasta, wine pasta, shrimp seafood fish lobster shrimp crab wine salmon wine pizza coffee italian pasta seafood, shrimp lobster, shrimp Tasks: Discovering topics, finding clusters
  • 12. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 12 Cultural areas, country borders, geographical features and other geographical observations exhibit complex spatial distributions wikipedia.org Challenge
  • 13. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 13 fish, rice lobster, shrimp seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine seafood, fish, salmon seafood, shrimp fish, salmon, wine seafood, shrimp lobster, seafood, shrimp coffee coffee, wine coffee italian, wine wine pizza, wine italian, pizza, wine pasta, wine pasta, shrimp seafood fish lobster shrimp crab wine salmon wine pizza coffee italian pasta A. Ahmed, L. Hong and A. Smola, 2013 (following (Yin et al 2011; Sizov 2010)) Existing approaches: Gaussian regions
  • 14. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 14 fish, rice lobster, shrimp seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine seafood, fish, salmon seafood, shrimp fish, salmon, wine seafood, shrimp lobster, seafood, shrimp coffee coffee, wine coffee italian, wine wine pizza, wine italian, pizza, wine pasta, wine pasta, shrimp seafood fish lobster shrimp crab wine salmon wine pizza coffee italian pasta MGTM 1: Global Topic Clustering
  • 15. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 15 fish, rice lobster, shrimp seafood, fish seafood, shrimp lobster, wine seafood, fish, salmon seafood, shrimp fish, salmon, wine seafood, shrimp lobster, seafood, shrimp coffee coffee, wine coffee italian, wine wine pizza, wine italian, pizza, wine pasta, wine pasta, shrimp seafood fish lobster shrimp crab wine salmon wine pizza coffee italian pasta MGTM 2: Determining Neighbourhoods
  • 16. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 16 Cluster adjacency Dependencies of document- specific topic distributions Exchange of topic information between clusters MGTM 3: Derived Topic Model
  • 17. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 17 Exchange of topic information between clusters MGTM 4: Exchange of Topic Information
  • 18. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 18 Exchange of topic information between clusters MGTM 4: Exchange of Topic Information
  • 19. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 19 Exchange of topic information between clusters MGTM 4: Exchange of Topic Information
  • 20. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 20 γ M N L H G G α0 G Al j 0 θjn w η s d l δl L: #regions M: #documents in cluster N: #words in document G⁰: Global topic distribution G : Cluster-topic distribution G : Document-topic distribution s d MGTM MGTM 5: Composed Model
  • 21. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 21 Evaluation: Anectodal, Perplexity, Gaming Gaming study: intrusion detection Precision 8 topics avg / median LGTA 0.60 / 0.58 Basic model 0.64 / 0.58 MGTM 0.78 / 0.75
  • 22. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 22 Biases in the Social Machine: The Case of Liquid Feedback
  • 23. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 23 ...
  • 24. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 24 Online Delegative Democracy CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
  • 25. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 25 Delegative Democracy • Between direct and representative democracy CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
  • 26. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 26 Delegative Democracy • Between direct and representative democracy • Voters can delegate their vote to other voters CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
  • 27. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 27 CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
  • 28. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 28 CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen
  • 29. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 29 CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen Delegative Democracy • Between direct and representative democracy • Voters can delegate their vote to other voters • Delegations can be revoked at any time
  • 30. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 30 CC-BY-SA Ilmari Karonen Delegative Democracy • Between direct and representative democracy • Voters can delegate their vote to other voters • Delegations can be revoked at any time • Votes are public!
  • 31. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 31 Dataset: LiquidFeedback (German Pirate Party)
  • 32. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 32 LiquidFeedback – Pirate Party • Observation: 08/2010 – 11/2013 • 13,836 Members • 14,964 Delegations • 499,009 Votes
  • 33. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 33 LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party • Users create initiatives, which are grouped by issues and belong to areas
  • 34. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 34 LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party • Users create initiatives, which are grouped by issues and belong to areas Area: Environmental issues Issue: CO2 output has to be reduced. Initiative: Subsidise wind turbines!
  • 35. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 35 LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party • Users create initiatives, which are grouped by issues and belong to areas Area: Environmental issues Issue: CO2 output has to be reduced. Initiative: Subsidise wind turbines! Areas: 22 Issues: 3,565 Initiatives: 6,517
  • 36. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 36 LiquidFeedback – German Pirate Party • Users create initiatives, which are grouped by issues and belong to areas Delegations on global, initiative, issue and area level → “Back-delegations” possible
  • 37. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 37 Dataset – First Impressions •
  • 38. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 38 Dataset – First Impressions • Voting Weight
  • 39. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 39 Dataset – First Impressions • 3,658 members > 10 votes 1,156 members > 100 votes 54 members > 1,000 votesMedian all: 8 votes Median delegating: 42 votes Median delegates: 64 votes
  • 40. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 40 Delegation Network • Temporal analysis •
  • 41. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 41 Delegation Network • Temporal analysis •
  • 42. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 42 Delegation Network • Temporal analysis •
  • 43. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 43 Delegation Network • Temporal analysis •
  • 44. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 44 Delegation Network • Temporal analysis •
  • 45. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 47 The Power of Voters
  • 46. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 48 Power • Ability to influence the outcome of a vote
  • 47. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 49 Power • Ability to influence the outcome of a vote 5 4 1
  • 48. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 50 Power • Ability to influence the outcome of a vote 5 4 same power 1
  • 49. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 51 Power Indices • Given voting weights of all voters in a vote: Predict the probability that a given user will be able determine the outcome of a vote Banzhaf power index: Votes are independent Shapley power index: Votes are homogeneous
  • 50. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 52 Power • Banzhaf power index: Votes are independent Shapley power index: Votes are homogeneous Potential Power: Measured power in the dataset Exercised Power: Power used to actually turn votes
  • 51. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 53 Power Indices • 20 40 60 80 100 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Delegations d Powerp Potential Power Exercised Power
  • 52. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 54 Power Indices •
  • 53. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 55 Average Approval Rate • (How many users agree with x% of all voted proposals?)
  • 54. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 56 Average Approval Rate • Powerful voters tend to vote positive and to agree with the majority
  • 55. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 57 Power • Potential Power: Measured power in the dataset Beta power index: Beta distributed approval rate for Banzhaf index Regression power index: Logistic regression for predicting the approval rate – given the voting weight – of the Banzhaf index Beta2 power index: Beta distributed approval rate for Shapley index
  • 56. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 58 Novel Power Indices •
  • 57. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 59 Novel Power Indices • (Perplexity ~ normalised log likelihood)
  • 58. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 60 The Impact of Delegations
  • 59. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 61 Approval Rate • → Approval rate decreases with voting experience
  • 60. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 62 Approval Rate • → Delegates stabilise the approval rate!
  • 61. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 63 Results •  Including voting bias in power indices improves the prediction  First evaluation of power indices on a large voting history  Delegates stabilise the system
  • 62. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 64 Conclusions
  • 63. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 65 Bias in the Data Bias in the Algorithm Bias in the Social Machine WebObservatory
  • 64. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 66 Bias in the Data Bias in the Algorithm Bias in the Social Machine Story telling Under- standing Modelling
  • 65. Steffen Staab Bias in the Social Web 67 Institute for Web Science & Technologies Semantic Web Web Search & Data Mining Computational Social Science Interactive Web Software & Services