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Interim Results
     For the six months
ended 31 December 2011




              Stuart Murray
            9 February 2012
Disclaimer


Certain forward looking statements may be contained in the presentation which include, without
limitation, expectations regarding metal prices, estimates of production, operating expenditure,
capital expenditure and projections regarding the completion of capital projects as well as the
financial position of the company. Such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent
risks and uncertainties which could cause actual values, results, performance or achievements to
differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward looking statements as a
result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, changes in the
regulatory environment and other business and operational risks.


No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Aquarius that the material contained
in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be correct. Except for statutory liability which
cannot be excluded, each of Aquarius, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any
responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in this presentation and
excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for any loss or damage which may be
suffered by any person as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or
omission there from. Aquarius accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any
inaccuracy, omission or change in information in this presentation or any other information made
available to a person nor any obligation to furnish the person with any further information.



Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                    2
Financial Highlights
(Six months to 31 December 2011)

•     Revenue decreased by 25% to US$252.4 million; volumes, prices, sales adjustments

•     Mine EBITDA decreased by 69% to US$29.0 million; lower revenues, higher costs

•     Reported net income impacted by US$91.2 million non-cash foreign exchange loss

        • Arising substantially from the revaluation of intercompany loans within the Group

        • Resulting in:

                 • Net loss of US$113.5 million

                 • Loss per share of 24.31 US cents

•     Group cash balance at half-year end of $230.1 million




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                     3
Operational Highlights
(Six months to 31 December 2011)

•     Group attributable production decreased by 14% to 215,453 PGM ounces
•     US Dollar PGM prices stable over period, but weakened during Q2
        •    Due to deteriorating macroeconomic conditions
        •    Resulting in negative sales adjustments and return of pipeline advances
•     The Rand weakened by 7% on average against the US Dollar
•     Stable average US Dollar PGM Basket Price, while average Rand Basket Price increased by 5%
•     Production in SA down due to (industry-wide) increase in ‘Section 54’ safety stoppages
•     Production at P&SAs further impeded by implementation issues relating to new support installation
•     Everest suffered a two week strike and ongoing poor industrial relations
•     Ground conditions remain an issue
•     On-mine unit cash costs in SA rose by 35% in Rand terms, largely due to lower production
•     Mimosa performed strongly again, continuing to produce at capacity
•     Operations at Blue Ridge remained suspended for the entire six month period


Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                            4
Production – Impact Analysis by Operation
4E oz production variance y-o-y


         260,000       250,972


         240,000                                                                                       Strong              Increased
                                                                                                    performance            ownership


         220,000                                                                                                                         215,453


                                          New support installation,
         200,000                                section 54s
                                                                       Strike, poor
                                                                         ground
                                                                                       Operations
                                                                       conditions,
                                                                                       suspended
                                                                       section 54s
         180,000


         160,000


         140,000


         120,000


         100,000
                        H1 2011        Kroondal           Marikana      Everest       Blue Ridge     Mimosa       CTRP   Platinum Mile   H1 2012




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011             February 2012                                                                5
Production Profile
SA issues take toll

        300,000


        250,000


        200,000


        150,000


        100,000


          50,000


                 -
                                 Dec-09                     Jun-10               Dec-10            Jun-11          Dec-11


                  Everest            Blue Ridge             Platinum Mile        CTRP     Mimosa        Marikana    Kroondal



Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011        February 2012                                                 6
Dollar Pricing
Volatile and falling
      Pt, Ru & Au ($/oz)                                                                                          Pd ($/oz)

                                                                                                                 900
            2,400
                                                                                                                 850

            2,200                                                                                                800

                                                                                                                 750
            2,000
                                                                                                                 700
            1,800
                                                                                                                 650

            1,600                                                                                                600

                                                                                                                 550
            1,400
                                                                                                                 500
            1,200
                                                                                                                 450

            1,000                                                                                                 400
                Jan 11                            Apr 11                 Jul 11             Sep 11           Dec 11


                                Platinum                    Gold                  Rhodium            Palladium

Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011    February 2012                                                    7
US Dollar Basket Prices
Stable period-on-period average prices (but negative price adjustments in Q2)
                            SOUTH AFRICA                                                                    ZIMBABWE

                                     (0%)
                                                                                                                14%
                  1,378                                     1,373                                                                1,338
                                                                                                1,173




                  H1 '11                                    H1 '12                              H1 '11                           H1 '12



                                                      By-products                    Ir/Ru      Ni/Cu       Cr2O3        Ir/Ru            Ni/Cu/Co


                                                                                                10%                                  7%
                                                                                                29%                                 38%
                                                     Primary products

                                                                                                60%                                 51%


                                                                                             South Africa                         Zimbabwe
                                                                                              Platinum       Palladium     Rhodium          Gold

Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011            February 2012                                                                   8
Rand exchange rate
Finally some currency relief ……. but temporary………

              R/$




          8.50



          8.00



          7.50



          7.00



          6.50
             Jan 11                                  Apr 11                   Jul 11   Sep 11   Dec 11




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011     February 2012                       9
Rand revenues falling despite exchange rate
ZAR and US$ SA Baskets and ZAR/US$ rebased to 100


     140

     130

     120

     110

     100

       90

       80

       70
        Jan 11                     Mar 11                   May 11             Jul 11       Sep 11      Nov 11
                               SA 4E Basket Price ($)                          SA 4E Basket Price (R)     Rand



Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011      February 2012                                     10
Price volatility hampers investment decisions
ZAR and SA and ZIM US$ Baskets

          $/oz                                                                                                         R/oz


       1,750                                                                                                           12,000

       1,650                                                                                                           11,500

       1,550
                                                                                                                       11,000
       1,450
                                                                                                                       10,500
       1,350
                                                                                                                       10,000
       1,250

       1,150                                                                                                           9,500


       1,050                                                                                                            9,000
            Jan 11                              Apr 11                  Jul 11             Sep 11                 Dec 11

                                             SA $ Basket                    Zim $ Basket            SA R Basket



Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                                                     11
Kroondal
(P&SA1 - AQP 50%)
                             H1 '12                                                                      175,704
Production (4E oz)                                                      (24%)
                             H1 '11                                                                                             230,019

                             H1 '12                                                             1,409
     Revenue (Rm)
                             H1 '11
                                                                        (32%)
                                                                                                                   2,056

                             H1 '12                                                                                  8,459
Cash Costs (R/oz)                                                        47%
                             H1 '11                                                              5,757

                             H1 '12                           7.9       (79%)
Mine EBITDA ($m)1
                             H1 '11                                                                                                37.6
                             H1 '12         -6%
    Cash Margin (%)                                                    (116%)
                             H1 '11                                                                                              36%

                             H1 '12                                                                                  1,346
     Capex (R/oz)2                                                       99%
                             H1 '11                                                       678

•       Kroondal produced below capacity during H1 2012
•       Partly due to manual installation of new hangingwall support, leading to delays in the blasting cycle
          •   Now largely resolved - phased approach and locally-made rock drills for hangingwall support installation
•       Exacerbated by unsatisfactory contractor arrangements – exaggerates fixed costs to detriment of unit costs
          •   Renegotiating contractor arrangements
•       Only remaining threat to production is industry-wide increase in ‘section 54’ stoppages
          •   Dialogue ongoing with Inspectorate of Mines regarding this situation
    1 Mine EBITDA is attributable, i.e. 50% of total. All other numbers are on a 100% basis
    2 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included

Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011     February 2012                                                12
Cash cost analysis – an example
Kroondal – increases in costs by category

    9,000


    8,000


    7,000


    6,000


    5,000
                                                                      Reversible


    4,000


    3,000
                   FY11 - H1        Volume            Grade   Recoveries       Mining   Processing   Utilities   Admin   FY12 - H1


Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011      February 2012                                                         13
Marikana
(P&SA1 - AQP 50%)
                             H1 '12                                                54,802
Production (4E oz)                                          (10%)
                             H1 '11                                                                                60,587

                             H1 '12                                                                     451
     Revenue (Rm)
                             H1 '11
                                                            (20%)
                                                                                                                              561

                             H1 '12                                                                            9,800
Cash Costs (R/oz)                                            22%
                             H1 '11                                                             8,026

                             H1 '12                 -2.3    (244%)
Mine EBITDA ($m)1
                             H1 '11                                                                                         1.6
                             H1 '12                 -19%
 Cash Margin (%)                                            (244%)
                             H1 '11                                                                                               13%

                             H1 '12                                      1,557
     Capex (R/oz)2                                           (0%)
                             H1 '11                                                                                1,561

 •     Marikana also produced below capacity during H1 2012, and ramp-up slowed
 •     Largely due to the same issues faced by Kroondal
          •     Same mitigants now in place
 •     As with Kroondal, only remaining threat to production is industry-wide increase in ‘section 54’ stoppages
          •     Dialogue ongoing with Inspectorate of Mines regarding this situation
 •     Two shafts at Marikana are in ramp-up, and as such are uneconomic at current prices


 1 Mine EBITDA is attributable, i.e. 50% of total. All other numbers are on a 100% basis
 2 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included

Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011     February 2012                                            14
Everest
(AQP 100%)
                             H1 '12                                                41,787
Production (4E oz)                                                (8%)
                             H1 '11                                                                                     45,561

                             H1 '12                                                                      353
     Revenue (Rm)
                             H1 '11
                                                                 (23%)
                                                                                                                        457

                             H1 '12                                                                              10,311
Cash Costs (R/oz)                                                 31%
                             H1 '11                                                              7,879

                             H1 '12       -8.3                  (172%)
Mine EBITDA ($m)
                             H1 '11                                                                              11.6
                             H1 '12               -22%
 Cash Margin (%)                                                (202%)
                             H1 '11                                                                             21%

                             H1 '12                                                     1,501
     Capex (R/oz)1                                               (50%)
                             H1 '11                                                                             2,975

 •      Ramp-up slowed by thicker-than-anticipated oxide zone first encountered in Q4 ‘11
 •      Everest now being optimised to produce at a lower level for the next 12-18 months
          •    While shallower mining, poor ground conditions and challenging economic environment persist
          •    While Hoogland open pit mining authorisation and s102 consent for Booysendal South remain outstanding
 •      Additional negative impacts on production caused by:
          •    Section 54 stoppages and maintenance problems in Q1 ‘12 – 36 shifts lost
          •    Dispute between union and contractor in Q2 ‘12 – two and a half weeks lost to resulting strike
 •      Contractor and industrial relations issues are temporary and are being resolved
 1 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included

Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                                          15
Mimosa
(AQP 50%)
                             H1 '12                                                                               104,254
Production (4E oz)                                           3%
                             H1 '11                                            101,156

                             H1 '12                                                                                     146
     Revenue (Rm)
                             H1 '11
                                                             1%
                                                                              145

                             H1 '12                                                                                    726
Cash Costs (R/oz)                                           18%
                             H1 '11                                                 623

                             H1 '12                         (16%)              34.3
Mine EBITDA ($m)1
                             H1 '11                                                                                    40.6
                             H1 '12                                     52%
 Cash Margin (%)                                            (7%)
                             H1 '11                                                                              56%

                             H1 '12                                                                               315
     Capex (R/oz)2                                           7%
                             H1 '11                                     295
 •      Mimosa continues to produce at or above capacity, and cost control initiatives have contained cost increases
 •      Political and regulatory issues intensifying
         •     Royalties on gold and PGMs doubled – now highest globally
         •     Ground rents increased by 50,000% from January 2012 - now material cost
         •     Community Trust formed, to form indivisible part of full indigenisation solution
         •     Negotiations with Zimbabwe government relating to Indigenisation Plan continues
 •      Electricity supply interruptions increasing significantly

 1 Mine EBITDA is attributable, i.e. 50% of total. All other numbers are on a 100% basis
 2 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included

Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011     February 2012                                            16
Tailings Operations

CTRP (AQP 50%)                                                              Platinum Mile (AQP 100%1)

• Production of 1,769 PGM ounces;                                           • Production of 6,415 PGM ounces,
  885 PGM ounces attributable to Aquarius                                     5,402 attributable to Aquarius1
• Plant EBITDA of ($0.8m) loss                                              • Plant EBITDA of ($0.2m) loss
• Cash margin for the period of (168%),                                     • Cash margin for the period of 16%,
  down from 20% in H1 ‘11                                                     down from 31% in H1 ‘11
• Unit costs were up 128% at R13,087 per                                    • Unit costs were up 23% at R7,019 per
  PGM ounce                                                                   PGM ounce
• Plant modifications and upgrades were                                     • Volumes, grades and recoveries remained fairly
  completed in the second quarter of FY ‘12 and                               constant year-on-year
  throughput and recoveries showed a steady
  increase in the final months of the period under                          • Lower basket prices impacted negatively on
  review                                                                      cash margins but the operation is running
                                                                              profitably
• It is expected that the operation will again
  operate profitably from the third quarter of                              • Feasibility study to evaluate the viability of
  FY2012 onwards                                                              pumping Kroondal tailings to be treated at the
                                                                              operation has commenced


 1 AQP now indirectly owns 91.7% of Platinum Mile, and as a result it was consolidated in the AQP accounts from September 2011

Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                                                        17
Contribution
By operation
                                                                                       H1 ‘12 attributable production:
                     H1 ‘12 Mine EBITDA: US$29.0m                                           215,453 PGM ounces
                                                                                                Tailings 3%
    45

    40

    35

    30                                                                                 Mimosa 24%
                                                                                                              Kroondal 41%
    25

    20

    15                                                                                 Everest 19%
    10
                                                                                                      Marikana
     5
                                                                                                       13%
     0
           Mimosa      Kroondal     Everest    Marikana     Tailings       Total




•     Mine EBITDA = Revenue - Interest Income - Cash Costs + FX Gain (Loss) on Sales




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011              February 2012                                         18
P&L analysis and breakdown

  ($m)                                                                      31-Dec-11   31-Dec-10    Change
  Revenue                                                                       252.4       336.2     (83.8)
  Cost of sales                                                               (273.0)     (241.3)     (31.7)
  Administrative costs                                                          (7.4)        (8.1)      0.7
  Financing costs                                                              (17.6)      (15.4)      (2.2)
  Foreign exchange (loss)/gain                                                 (91.3)        66.2    (157.5)
  Settlement of contractor dispute                                                  -        (7.8)      7.8
  Other                                                                           1.1         0.3       0.8
  Income tax benefit/(expense)                                                   22.2      (35.8)      58.0
  Net (loss)/profit after tax                                                 (113.5)        94.3    (207.8)
  Headline (Loss)/Earnings                                                    (113.8)        94.2    (208.0)
  Mine EBITDA                                                                    29.0        93.1     (64.1)




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                                  19
P&L analysis and breakdown
Revenue



  ($m)                                                                      31-Dec-11   31-Dec-10   Change

  Revenue from concentrate sales                                                273.5       311.8    (38.3)

  PGM sales adjustments                                                        (24.7)        16.5    (41.2)

  Interest income                                                                 3.6         7.8     (4.2)

  Revenue                                                                       252.4       336.2    (83.8)




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                               20
P&L analysis and breakdown
Cost of Sales



 ($m)                                                                       31-Dec-11   31-Dec-10   Change

 Amortisation & depreciation                                                     31.5        22.1     (9.4)

 Fair Value Uplift                                                                4.9         5.7      0.8

 Cost of production                                                             233.3       210.9    (22.4)

 Royalties: Zimbabwe (attributable 50%)                                           3.2         2.6     (0.6)

 Royalties: SA Commercial *                                                       0.1           -     (0.1)

 Total cost of sales                                                            273.0       241.3    (31.7)
  * MPRDA royalties (SA) included in taxation




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                               21
P&L analysis and breakdown
Financing Costs


 ($m)                                                                       31-Dec-11   31-Dec-10   Change

 Interest paid on borrowings (coupon on convert, etc)                             9.5         7.1      2.4


 Accretion of interest on convertible bond                                        5.0         4.8      0.2

 Accretion of mine-site rehab liability
 (unwinding of AQPSA’s provision)                                                 2.6         3.1     (0.5)


 Pipeline finance                                                                 0.5         0.4     (0.1)

 Financing costs                                                                 17.6        15.4      2.2




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                               22
P&L analysis and breakdown
Foreign Exchange ($m)
      0



   -20



   -40



   -60



   -80



  -100



  -120
                Non cash
                                                                              Cash
  -140
              FX loss on AQP             FX loss on cash    FX loss on pipeline   FX loss - other   FX gain on sales   Total FX loss
               Group loans                    assets


Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011     February 2012                                                            23
P&L analysis and breakdown
Income Tax Expense


 ($m)                                                                       31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change

 South African Corporate tax (credit) – income tax                               1.0      (0.8)     1.8

 South African Corporate tax (credit) – MPRDA royalty                           (0.6)      2.4     (3.0)

 Zimbabwe Corporate tax                                                          7.0       8.8     (1.8)

 Movement in Zimbabwe deferred tax                                               3.1       3.0      0.1

 Movement in South African deferred tax (incl. Ridge)                          (32.7)     22.4    (55.1)

 Income tax expense/(credit)                                                   (22.2)     35.8    (58.0)




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                            24
Balance sheet analysis and breakdown

  ($m)                                                                     31-Dec-11               31-Dec-10      Change
  Total non-current assets                                                      886.8                  1,009.5    (122.7)
  Total current assets                                                          370.4                     546.4   (176.0)
  Total assets                                                                 1,257.3                 1,555.9    (298.6)
  Total non-current liabilities                                                 442.6                     500.6    (58.0)
  Total current liabilities                                                     105.6                     110.0     (4.4)
  Total liabilities                                                             548.2                     610.2    (62.0)
  Net assets                                                                    709.0                     945.7   (236.7)
  Shareholders equity                                                           709.0                     945.7   (236.7)


   Non-current assets –                        Cash & cash equivalents –         Non-current liabilities –
   decrease due to impairment                  decrease in cash balance          decrease due to $52m
   of Ridge assets, foreign                    resulting from investing          decrease in deferred tax
   exchange movements and                      activities and dividends paid     liability, $19m decrease in
   amortisation charged
                                                                                 mine closure rehab provision,
                                                                                 offset by $13m increase in
                                                                                 finance leases



Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011      February 2012                                        25
Cash flow statement analysis and breakdown


    ($m)                                                                     31-Dec-11            31-Dec-10                  Change
    Net operating cash flow                                                         24.9                53.6                   (28.7)
    Net investing cash flow                                                       (69.2)              (59.4)                    (9.8)
    Net financing cash flow                                                       (34.3)              (32.3)                    (2.0)


Net operating cash flow includes:                           Net investing cash flow includes:       Net financing cash flow includes:
• Net inflow from operations                                • Payments for mine development         • Interest paid of $9m
  of $27m                                                     and property, plant and equipment
                                                                                                    • Dividends paid of $19m
                                                              of $42m
•    Income tax paid of $7m
                                                            • Acquisition of Platinum Mile
                                                              Resources of $12m
                                                            • Deposit for Booysendal mineral
                                                              acquisition of $15m




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011         February 2012                                                    26
Outlook


•     Supply
        • supply is constrained as cost, capital and regulatory pressures are mounting
        • overproduction relative to fundamental demand since GFC remains
        • but limited supply-side response possible to any increase in demand
•     Demand
        • light vehicle manufacturing still recovering in US and Japan, slowing in Europe
        • shifting to Asian focus
        • heavy duty vehicle market is growing                                 Fundamentals are good –
•     Tighter regulation                                                        but all bets are off until
                                                                            macroeconomic certainty returns
       •     more vehicles, new countries
•     Aquarius
        • overcome challenges relating to new safety support methodologies
        • fixing problems with contractors
        • focus on efficiency and cash conservation until environment improves
        • No interim dividend declared
Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012                                     27
For more information please contact:



• Gavin Mackay
   • Tel: +44 (0) 7909 547 042
   • Email: gavin.mackay@aquariusplatinum.com




Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011   February 2012

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20120209 aqp h1 2012 presentation final

  • 1. Interim Results For the six months ended 31 December 2011 Stuart Murray 9 February 2012
  • 2. Disclaimer Certain forward looking statements may be contained in the presentation which include, without limitation, expectations regarding metal prices, estimates of production, operating expenditure, capital expenditure and projections regarding the completion of capital projects as well as the financial position of the company. Such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties which could cause actual values, results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other business and operational risks. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Aquarius that the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of Aquarius, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or omission there from. Aquarius accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any inaccuracy, omission or change in information in this presentation or any other information made available to a person nor any obligation to furnish the person with any further information. Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 2
  • 3. Financial Highlights (Six months to 31 December 2011) • Revenue decreased by 25% to US$252.4 million; volumes, prices, sales adjustments • Mine EBITDA decreased by 69% to US$29.0 million; lower revenues, higher costs • Reported net income impacted by US$91.2 million non-cash foreign exchange loss • Arising substantially from the revaluation of intercompany loans within the Group • Resulting in: • Net loss of US$113.5 million • Loss per share of 24.31 US cents • Group cash balance at half-year end of $230.1 million Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 3
  • 4. Operational Highlights (Six months to 31 December 2011) • Group attributable production decreased by 14% to 215,453 PGM ounces • US Dollar PGM prices stable over period, but weakened during Q2 • Due to deteriorating macroeconomic conditions • Resulting in negative sales adjustments and return of pipeline advances • The Rand weakened by 7% on average against the US Dollar • Stable average US Dollar PGM Basket Price, while average Rand Basket Price increased by 5% • Production in SA down due to (industry-wide) increase in ‘Section 54’ safety stoppages • Production at P&SAs further impeded by implementation issues relating to new support installation • Everest suffered a two week strike and ongoing poor industrial relations • Ground conditions remain an issue • On-mine unit cash costs in SA rose by 35% in Rand terms, largely due to lower production • Mimosa performed strongly again, continuing to produce at capacity • Operations at Blue Ridge remained suspended for the entire six month period Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 4
  • 5. Production – Impact Analysis by Operation 4E oz production variance y-o-y 260,000 250,972 240,000 Strong Increased performance ownership 220,000 215,453 New support installation, 200,000 section 54s Strike, poor ground Operations conditions, suspended section 54s 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 H1 2011 Kroondal Marikana Everest Blue Ridge Mimosa CTRP Platinum Mile H1 2012 Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 5
  • 6. Production Profile SA issues take toll 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 - Dec-09 Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11 Dec-11 Everest Blue Ridge Platinum Mile CTRP Mimosa Marikana Kroondal Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 6
  • 7. Dollar Pricing Volatile and falling Pt, Ru & Au ($/oz) Pd ($/oz) 900 2,400 850 2,200 800 750 2,000 700 1,800 650 1,600 600 550 1,400 500 1,200 450 1,000 400 Jan 11 Apr 11 Jul 11 Sep 11 Dec 11 Platinum Gold Rhodium Palladium Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 7
  • 8. US Dollar Basket Prices Stable period-on-period average prices (but negative price adjustments in Q2) SOUTH AFRICA ZIMBABWE (0%) 14% 1,378 1,373 1,338 1,173 H1 '11 H1 '12 H1 '11 H1 '12 By-products Ir/Ru Ni/Cu Cr2O3 Ir/Ru Ni/Cu/Co 10% 7% 29% 38% Primary products 60% 51% South Africa Zimbabwe Platinum Palladium Rhodium Gold Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 8
  • 9. Rand exchange rate Finally some currency relief ……. but temporary……… R/$ 8.50 8.00 7.50 7.00 6.50 Jan 11 Apr 11 Jul 11 Sep 11 Dec 11 Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 9
  • 10. Rand revenues falling despite exchange rate ZAR and US$ SA Baskets and ZAR/US$ rebased to 100 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Jan 11 Mar 11 May 11 Jul 11 Sep 11 Nov 11 SA 4E Basket Price ($) SA 4E Basket Price (R) Rand Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 10
  • 11. Price volatility hampers investment decisions ZAR and SA and ZIM US$ Baskets $/oz R/oz 1,750 12,000 1,650 11,500 1,550 11,000 1,450 10,500 1,350 10,000 1,250 1,150 9,500 1,050 9,000 Jan 11 Apr 11 Jul 11 Sep 11 Dec 11 SA $ Basket Zim $ Basket SA R Basket Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 11
  • 12. Kroondal (P&SA1 - AQP 50%) H1 '12 175,704 Production (4E oz) (24%) H1 '11 230,019 H1 '12 1,409 Revenue (Rm) H1 '11 (32%) 2,056 H1 '12 8,459 Cash Costs (R/oz) 47% H1 '11 5,757 H1 '12 7.9 (79%) Mine EBITDA ($m)1 H1 '11 37.6 H1 '12 -6% Cash Margin (%) (116%) H1 '11 36% H1 '12 1,346 Capex (R/oz)2 99% H1 '11 678 • Kroondal produced below capacity during H1 2012 • Partly due to manual installation of new hangingwall support, leading to delays in the blasting cycle • Now largely resolved - phased approach and locally-made rock drills for hangingwall support installation • Exacerbated by unsatisfactory contractor arrangements – exaggerates fixed costs to detriment of unit costs • Renegotiating contractor arrangements • Only remaining threat to production is industry-wide increase in ‘section 54’ stoppages • Dialogue ongoing with Inspectorate of Mines regarding this situation 1 Mine EBITDA is attributable, i.e. 50% of total. All other numbers are on a 100% basis 2 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 12
  • 13. Cash cost analysis – an example Kroondal – increases in costs by category 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 Reversible 4,000 3,000 FY11 - H1 Volume Grade Recoveries Mining Processing Utilities Admin FY12 - H1 Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 13
  • 14. Marikana (P&SA1 - AQP 50%) H1 '12 54,802 Production (4E oz) (10%) H1 '11 60,587 H1 '12 451 Revenue (Rm) H1 '11 (20%) 561 H1 '12 9,800 Cash Costs (R/oz) 22% H1 '11 8,026 H1 '12 -2.3 (244%) Mine EBITDA ($m)1 H1 '11 1.6 H1 '12 -19% Cash Margin (%) (244%) H1 '11 13% H1 '12 1,557 Capex (R/oz)2 (0%) H1 '11 1,561 • Marikana also produced below capacity during H1 2012, and ramp-up slowed • Largely due to the same issues faced by Kroondal • Same mitigants now in place • As with Kroondal, only remaining threat to production is industry-wide increase in ‘section 54’ stoppages • Dialogue ongoing with Inspectorate of Mines regarding this situation • Two shafts at Marikana are in ramp-up, and as such are uneconomic at current prices 1 Mine EBITDA is attributable, i.e. 50% of total. All other numbers are on a 100% basis 2 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 14
  • 15. Everest (AQP 100%) H1 '12 41,787 Production (4E oz) (8%) H1 '11 45,561 H1 '12 353 Revenue (Rm) H1 '11 (23%) 457 H1 '12 10,311 Cash Costs (R/oz) 31% H1 '11 7,879 H1 '12 -8.3 (172%) Mine EBITDA ($m) H1 '11 11.6 H1 '12 -22% Cash Margin (%) (202%) H1 '11 21% H1 '12 1,501 Capex (R/oz)1 (50%) H1 '11 2,975 • Ramp-up slowed by thicker-than-anticipated oxide zone first encountered in Q4 ‘11 • Everest now being optimised to produce at a lower level for the next 12-18 months • While shallower mining, poor ground conditions and challenging economic environment persist • While Hoogland open pit mining authorisation and s102 consent for Booysendal South remain outstanding • Additional negative impacts on production caused by: • Section 54 stoppages and maintenance problems in Q1 ‘12 – 36 shifts lost • Dispute between union and contractor in Q2 ‘12 – two and a half weeks lost to resulting strike • Contractor and industrial relations issues are temporary and are being resolved 1 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 15
  • 16. Mimosa (AQP 50%) H1 '12 104,254 Production (4E oz) 3% H1 '11 101,156 H1 '12 146 Revenue (Rm) H1 '11 1% 145 H1 '12 726 Cash Costs (R/oz) 18% H1 '11 623 H1 '12 (16%) 34.3 Mine EBITDA ($m)1 H1 '11 40.6 H1 '12 52% Cash Margin (%) (7%) H1 '11 56% H1 '12 315 Capex (R/oz)2 7% H1 '11 295 • Mimosa continues to produce at or above capacity, and cost control initiatives have contained cost increases • Political and regulatory issues intensifying • Royalties on gold and PGMs doubled – now highest globally • Ground rents increased by 50,000% from January 2012 - now material cost • Community Trust formed, to form indivisible part of full indigenisation solution • Negotiations with Zimbabwe government relating to Indigenisation Plan continues • Electricity supply interruptions increasing significantly 1 Mine EBITDA is attributable, i.e. 50% of total. All other numbers are on a 100% basis 2 Capex figures are total capex, i.e. both stay-in-business and expansion capex included Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 16
  • 17. Tailings Operations CTRP (AQP 50%) Platinum Mile (AQP 100%1) • Production of 1,769 PGM ounces; • Production of 6,415 PGM ounces, 885 PGM ounces attributable to Aquarius 5,402 attributable to Aquarius1 • Plant EBITDA of ($0.8m) loss • Plant EBITDA of ($0.2m) loss • Cash margin for the period of (168%), • Cash margin for the period of 16%, down from 20% in H1 ‘11 down from 31% in H1 ‘11 • Unit costs were up 128% at R13,087 per • Unit costs were up 23% at R7,019 per PGM ounce PGM ounce • Plant modifications and upgrades were • Volumes, grades and recoveries remained fairly completed in the second quarter of FY ‘12 and constant year-on-year throughput and recoveries showed a steady increase in the final months of the period under • Lower basket prices impacted negatively on review cash margins but the operation is running profitably • It is expected that the operation will again operate profitably from the third quarter of • Feasibility study to evaluate the viability of FY2012 onwards pumping Kroondal tailings to be treated at the operation has commenced 1 AQP now indirectly owns 91.7% of Platinum Mile, and as a result it was consolidated in the AQP accounts from September 2011 Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 17
  • 18. Contribution By operation H1 ‘12 attributable production: H1 ‘12 Mine EBITDA: US$29.0m 215,453 PGM ounces Tailings 3% 45 40 35 30 Mimosa 24% Kroondal 41% 25 20 15 Everest 19% 10 Marikana 5 13% 0 Mimosa Kroondal Everest Marikana Tailings Total • Mine EBITDA = Revenue - Interest Income - Cash Costs + FX Gain (Loss) on Sales Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 18
  • 19. P&L analysis and breakdown ($m) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change Revenue 252.4 336.2 (83.8) Cost of sales (273.0) (241.3) (31.7) Administrative costs (7.4) (8.1) 0.7 Financing costs (17.6) (15.4) (2.2) Foreign exchange (loss)/gain (91.3) 66.2 (157.5) Settlement of contractor dispute - (7.8) 7.8 Other 1.1 0.3 0.8 Income tax benefit/(expense) 22.2 (35.8) 58.0 Net (loss)/profit after tax (113.5) 94.3 (207.8) Headline (Loss)/Earnings (113.8) 94.2 (208.0) Mine EBITDA 29.0 93.1 (64.1) Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 19
  • 20. P&L analysis and breakdown Revenue ($m) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change Revenue from concentrate sales 273.5 311.8 (38.3) PGM sales adjustments (24.7) 16.5 (41.2) Interest income 3.6 7.8 (4.2) Revenue 252.4 336.2 (83.8) Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 20
  • 21. P&L analysis and breakdown Cost of Sales ($m) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change Amortisation & depreciation 31.5 22.1 (9.4) Fair Value Uplift 4.9 5.7 0.8 Cost of production 233.3 210.9 (22.4) Royalties: Zimbabwe (attributable 50%) 3.2 2.6 (0.6) Royalties: SA Commercial * 0.1 - (0.1) Total cost of sales 273.0 241.3 (31.7) * MPRDA royalties (SA) included in taxation Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 21
  • 22. P&L analysis and breakdown Financing Costs ($m) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change Interest paid on borrowings (coupon on convert, etc) 9.5 7.1 2.4 Accretion of interest on convertible bond 5.0 4.8 0.2 Accretion of mine-site rehab liability (unwinding of AQPSA’s provision) 2.6 3.1 (0.5) Pipeline finance 0.5 0.4 (0.1) Financing costs 17.6 15.4 2.2 Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 22
  • 23. P&L analysis and breakdown Foreign Exchange ($m) 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100 -120 Non cash Cash -140 FX loss on AQP FX loss on cash FX loss on pipeline FX loss - other FX gain on sales Total FX loss Group loans assets Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 23
  • 24. P&L analysis and breakdown Income Tax Expense ($m) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change South African Corporate tax (credit) – income tax 1.0 (0.8) 1.8 South African Corporate tax (credit) – MPRDA royalty (0.6) 2.4 (3.0) Zimbabwe Corporate tax 7.0 8.8 (1.8) Movement in Zimbabwe deferred tax 3.1 3.0 0.1 Movement in South African deferred tax (incl. Ridge) (32.7) 22.4 (55.1) Income tax expense/(credit) (22.2) 35.8 (58.0) Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 24
  • 25. Balance sheet analysis and breakdown ($m) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change Total non-current assets 886.8 1,009.5 (122.7) Total current assets 370.4 546.4 (176.0) Total assets 1,257.3 1,555.9 (298.6) Total non-current liabilities 442.6 500.6 (58.0) Total current liabilities 105.6 110.0 (4.4) Total liabilities 548.2 610.2 (62.0) Net assets 709.0 945.7 (236.7) Shareholders equity 709.0 945.7 (236.7) Non-current assets – Cash & cash equivalents – Non-current liabilities – decrease due to impairment decrease in cash balance decrease due to $52m of Ridge assets, foreign resulting from investing decrease in deferred tax exchange movements and activities and dividends paid liability, $19m decrease in amortisation charged mine closure rehab provision, offset by $13m increase in finance leases Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 25
  • 26. Cash flow statement analysis and breakdown ($m) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-10 Change Net operating cash flow 24.9 53.6 (28.7) Net investing cash flow (69.2) (59.4) (9.8) Net financing cash flow (34.3) (32.3) (2.0) Net operating cash flow includes: Net investing cash flow includes: Net financing cash flow includes: • Net inflow from operations • Payments for mine development • Interest paid of $9m of $27m and property, plant and equipment • Dividends paid of $19m of $42m • Income tax paid of $7m • Acquisition of Platinum Mile Resources of $12m • Deposit for Booysendal mineral acquisition of $15m Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 26
  • 27. Outlook • Supply • supply is constrained as cost, capital and regulatory pressures are mounting • overproduction relative to fundamental demand since GFC remains • but limited supply-side response possible to any increase in demand • Demand • light vehicle manufacturing still recovering in US and Japan, slowing in Europe • shifting to Asian focus • heavy duty vehicle market is growing Fundamentals are good – • Tighter regulation but all bets are off until macroeconomic certainty returns • more vehicles, new countries • Aquarius • overcome challenges relating to new safety support methodologies • fixing problems with contractors • focus on efficiency and cash conservation until environment improves • No interim dividend declared Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012 27
  • 28. For more information please contact: • Gavin Mackay • Tel: +44 (0) 7909 547 042 • Email: gavin.mackay@aquariusplatinum.com Interim Results for the six months ended 31 December 2011 February 2012