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By
Jeffrey Bahar
Deputy CEO
Spire Research and Consulting
Retail, Distribution and
Logistics Forum
Jakarta, December 20, 2017
ADDRESSING CHALLENGES
OF CROSS BORDER
E-COMMERCE LOGISTIC AND
PAYMENT IN ASEAN-6
2
CUSTOMERJOURNEY
Online Consumer
(Ronnie is looking to buy the
newest edition of Nike Golf
Shoes. Unfortunately, it is not
available in Indonesia)
Nike
Lunar
Control
Vapor 2
1
2
3
37%
Clothing, Accessories and Footwear
22%
Cosmetic, Health and Beauty Product
17%
Books, CDs, DVDs, and Video Game
13%
Computer Hardware, Software, and Peripherals
12%
Toys
Top 5 Products Purchased by ASEAN Countries from Abroad
Check Out
(Once he checked out and
made a payment, the E-
Commerce platform will
proceed the order).
The costs include cost of
goods, shipping cost, and
import duty
Get it Online
(He then decided to search it
on many websites, and found it
in the US e-commerce
platform)
Occurs domestically Occurs internationally
Customer journey starts when the need of particular product is not offered domestically
PAYMENT
Source: Google Consumer Barometer, n=8750
Source: SP Commerce,
Various Sources and Spire Analysis
Paypal / Alipay
Others
Bank Transfer
Cash on Delivery
Credit Card
Most Preferred Domestic Payment
Methods in ASEAN-6
Paypal / Alipay
Others
Credit Card
Most Preferred Cross-Border
Payment Methods in ASEAN-6
3
CUSTOMERJOURNEY
4
5
6
Occurs domestically Occurs internationally
Warehouse at Origin Country
(The e-commerce platform will
give notice to dispatch goods
for delivery to destination
country) – fulfillment process
International Shipping
(The International logistic will
take care all of the delivery
processes and the custom in
destination country)
Custom Clearance
(In this case, the import duty
for “Nike Lunar Control Vapor
2” to be shipped to Indonesia
will be charged 25% of import
duty and 10% of VAT)
North
America
South
America
Europe Africa Asia Australia
North
America
1-2 2-9 2-9 3-4 3-4 3-4
South 2-3 2-3 3-4 6-7 6-7 6-7
Average Cross Border Shipping Time (in Days)
USPS
EMS
UPS
EMS (Post)
DHL
FEDEX
TNT
Worldwide Logistic Players
From
To
LOGISTICANDCUSTOM
The challenges of SEA cross border e-commerce include geographic, economic, lingual and
regulation.
Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis
4
CUSTOMERJOURNEYLOGISTICANDCUSTOM
USD 204.75
USD 192.5
USD 202.99
USD 187.25
USD 258.67
USD 231
3
1
2
4
5
6
A pair of golf shoes (USD 175) through cross border e-
commerce from the United States to ASEAN-6 may vary
depends on the import duty, VAT, STLG and income tax. In
this case, the costs does not include shipping and
insurance cost.
Custom
(Lead Time Needed)
Additional
No. of Days
North America 1-2
South America 2-3
Europe 1-2
Africa N/A
Asia 1-4
Australia 2-3
Custom Time (in Days)
*The Average (WORLD) Number of Days needed for custom clearance is 3 days
*Rates based on the calculation of golf shoes as a product.
Each product may have different rates.
Custom affects as one of the hurdles purchasing from cross border e-commerce
Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis
Country
Import
Duty
VAT STLG
additional
Tax
Singapore 0% 7% - -
Thailand 5% 7% - -
Custom Rate
5
CUSTOMERJOURNEY
7
8
9
Occurs domestically Occurs internationally
Warehouse at
Destination Country
(Order is Ready for Delivery)
Local Delivery
(Order is Delivered by Using
Local Carrier)
End Customer
The delivery received by clients
LOGISTIC
The rate of logistic effectiveness and efficiency is affected by the development of infrastructure
within the country. However, infrastructure for archipelago countries such as Philippines and
Indonesia are still underdeveloped.
Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis
The Development of Infrastructure in ASEAN 6
SG
MY
TH
ID
PH
VN
LALAMOVE
NINJA VAN
DELIVEREE
The Emergence of ASEAN
6 Cross-Border Logistic
Players
Decent
Less Decent
Note:
MARKETOVERVIEW
416
538
696
900
25
34.5
47.5
65.3
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Global & Cross Border E-Commerce Market
(in Billion USD)
Global E-Commerce Market Global Cross Border E-Commerce Market
Cross Border E-Commerce Market in ASEAN 6
>
Global&CrossBorderE-CommerceMarket
Contribution 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Global Cross Border E-Commerce Market to Global E-Commerce Market 18.17% 19.39% 21.06% 23.20%
Cross Border E-Commerce Market in ASEAN 6 to Global Cross Border E-Commerce
The trends of cross border e-commerce higher than the growth of global e-commerce
itself, particularly in ASEAN 6 which the growth is reached 37.58%
Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis
2,290
2,774
3,305
3,879
Total of Global E-Commerce Market
25
416
34.5
538
47.5
696
65.3
>90
0
6
MARKETOVERVIEWASEAN-6E-COMMERCE
7
Number of Internet User (in Million)
4.71 46 22 60 50.5 132.7
30.34
2.9
24.74
33.26 13.98
11.58
29%
17%
35%
45%
51%
9%
E-Commerce Penetration
(Number of Purchases Compared
to Total Population)
The e-commerce market has an extensive potential to grow owing to significant growth of total
internet user in ASEAN 6.
Source: Various Sources (2016) and Spire Analysis
18%
25%
66%
64%
62%
17%
Conversion Rate
(Number of E-Commerce Purchaser
to Internet Users)
1
2
3
4
Number of People Purchasing Product
Through E-Commerce (in Million)
MARKETOVERVIEW
8
67%
49%
48%
38%
33%
4%
Number of People Did Cross Border
E-Commerce
ASEAN-6CROSSBORDERE-COMMERCE
Source : Google Consumer Barometer, n=14174
Notes : the percentage is based upon the e-commerce users Source: The Consumer Barometer Survey 2014/15. N=8750.
The challenges faced in cross border e-commerce transaction involved logistic and payment issues
36% 39% 46% 53% 47% 73%
I Prefer to Buy Products Within My Country
Source : Google Consumer Barometer, n=18587
Notes : the percentage is based upon the internet users
Delivery time takes too long30%
Website seems insecure28%
No international shipping offered26%
Supply issues when conducting cross-border transaction:
Demand side: why SEA customers do not purchase cross-border
e-commerce?
Perceiving product is more expensive31%
Assuming delivery time will be longer29%
Perceiving the return procedure will be difficult and costly
27%
24%
23%
It wasn’t convenient
I worry about paying in a foreign currency
No suitable or convenient payment methods24%
23% Process for ordering wasn’t clear
Notes:
Logistic Issue
Payment Issue
RECOMMENDATION
Current Situation
Current Challenges Need
to be Taken Care of
Possible Recommended
Actions
Focusing on last mile delivery
alternatives to guarantee service
and to adapt the challenges
Numerous payment solution
providers available, such as: Paypal,
Alipay, etc. to facilitate cross-border
transaction
Notes:
Logistic Issue
Payment Issue
Expensive shipping cost owing to
limited number of logistic
provider for cross-border delivery
Poor transport infrastructure &
warehouse readiness
Available logistic providers that can
accommodate cross-border delivery.
Increase the number of local
transhipment warehouse to reduce
shipping cost
Insecure transaction owing to
inconsistency of conversion rate,
import duty and tax clearance
No single payment system that
ensure safety and trustworthy
one single integrated platform to
remove complexity of international
payment
(to cooperate with PSP)
Integrated trade information for
regional ASEAN by ATR (ASEAN
Trade Repository)
provide clear return procedure,
available contact for customers and
engage omnichannel
Clarity on return, payment
procedure
and delivery process.
9
Tel: (62-21) 5794 5800
Fax: (62-21 5794 5808
Wisma 46 Kota BNI, 25th Floor, Unit 07 & 09
Jalan Sudirman Kav. 1, Jakarta 10220
INDONESIA
indonesia.info@spireresearch.com
www.spireresearch.com

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171220_Addressing challenges for cross border e-commerce logistic and payment in ASEAN-6

  • 1. By Jeffrey Bahar Deputy CEO Spire Research and Consulting Retail, Distribution and Logistics Forum Jakarta, December 20, 2017 ADDRESSING CHALLENGES OF CROSS BORDER E-COMMERCE LOGISTIC AND PAYMENT IN ASEAN-6
  • 2. 2 CUSTOMERJOURNEY Online Consumer (Ronnie is looking to buy the newest edition of Nike Golf Shoes. Unfortunately, it is not available in Indonesia) Nike Lunar Control Vapor 2 1 2 3 37% Clothing, Accessories and Footwear 22% Cosmetic, Health and Beauty Product 17% Books, CDs, DVDs, and Video Game 13% Computer Hardware, Software, and Peripherals 12% Toys Top 5 Products Purchased by ASEAN Countries from Abroad Check Out (Once he checked out and made a payment, the E- Commerce platform will proceed the order). The costs include cost of goods, shipping cost, and import duty Get it Online (He then decided to search it on many websites, and found it in the US e-commerce platform) Occurs domestically Occurs internationally Customer journey starts when the need of particular product is not offered domestically PAYMENT Source: Google Consumer Barometer, n=8750 Source: SP Commerce, Various Sources and Spire Analysis Paypal / Alipay Others Bank Transfer Cash on Delivery Credit Card Most Preferred Domestic Payment Methods in ASEAN-6 Paypal / Alipay Others Credit Card Most Preferred Cross-Border Payment Methods in ASEAN-6
  • 3. 3 CUSTOMERJOURNEY 4 5 6 Occurs domestically Occurs internationally Warehouse at Origin Country (The e-commerce platform will give notice to dispatch goods for delivery to destination country) – fulfillment process International Shipping (The International logistic will take care all of the delivery processes and the custom in destination country) Custom Clearance (In this case, the import duty for “Nike Lunar Control Vapor 2” to be shipped to Indonesia will be charged 25% of import duty and 10% of VAT) North America South America Europe Africa Asia Australia North America 1-2 2-9 2-9 3-4 3-4 3-4 South 2-3 2-3 3-4 6-7 6-7 6-7 Average Cross Border Shipping Time (in Days) USPS EMS UPS EMS (Post) DHL FEDEX TNT Worldwide Logistic Players From To LOGISTICANDCUSTOM The challenges of SEA cross border e-commerce include geographic, economic, lingual and regulation. Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis
  • 4. 4 CUSTOMERJOURNEYLOGISTICANDCUSTOM USD 204.75 USD 192.5 USD 202.99 USD 187.25 USD 258.67 USD 231 3 1 2 4 5 6 A pair of golf shoes (USD 175) through cross border e- commerce from the United States to ASEAN-6 may vary depends on the import duty, VAT, STLG and income tax. In this case, the costs does not include shipping and insurance cost. Custom (Lead Time Needed) Additional No. of Days North America 1-2 South America 2-3 Europe 1-2 Africa N/A Asia 1-4 Australia 2-3 Custom Time (in Days) *The Average (WORLD) Number of Days needed for custom clearance is 3 days *Rates based on the calculation of golf shoes as a product. Each product may have different rates. Custom affects as one of the hurdles purchasing from cross border e-commerce Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis Country Import Duty VAT STLG additional Tax Singapore 0% 7% - - Thailand 5% 7% - - Custom Rate
  • 5. 5 CUSTOMERJOURNEY 7 8 9 Occurs domestically Occurs internationally Warehouse at Destination Country (Order is Ready for Delivery) Local Delivery (Order is Delivered by Using Local Carrier) End Customer The delivery received by clients LOGISTIC The rate of logistic effectiveness and efficiency is affected by the development of infrastructure within the country. However, infrastructure for archipelago countries such as Philippines and Indonesia are still underdeveloped. Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis The Development of Infrastructure in ASEAN 6 SG MY TH ID PH VN LALAMOVE NINJA VAN DELIVEREE The Emergence of ASEAN 6 Cross-Border Logistic Players Decent Less Decent Note:
  • 6. MARKETOVERVIEW 416 538 696 900 25 34.5 47.5 65.3 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F Global & Cross Border E-Commerce Market (in Billion USD) Global E-Commerce Market Global Cross Border E-Commerce Market Cross Border E-Commerce Market in ASEAN 6 > Global&CrossBorderE-CommerceMarket Contribution 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F Global Cross Border E-Commerce Market to Global E-Commerce Market 18.17% 19.39% 21.06% 23.20% Cross Border E-Commerce Market in ASEAN 6 to Global Cross Border E-Commerce The trends of cross border e-commerce higher than the growth of global e-commerce itself, particularly in ASEAN 6 which the growth is reached 37.58% Source: Various Sources and Spire Analysis 2,290 2,774 3,305 3,879 Total of Global E-Commerce Market 25 416 34.5 538 47.5 696 65.3 >90 0 6
  • 7. MARKETOVERVIEWASEAN-6E-COMMERCE 7 Number of Internet User (in Million) 4.71 46 22 60 50.5 132.7 30.34 2.9 24.74 33.26 13.98 11.58 29% 17% 35% 45% 51% 9% E-Commerce Penetration (Number of Purchases Compared to Total Population) The e-commerce market has an extensive potential to grow owing to significant growth of total internet user in ASEAN 6. Source: Various Sources (2016) and Spire Analysis 18% 25% 66% 64% 62% 17% Conversion Rate (Number of E-Commerce Purchaser to Internet Users) 1 2 3 4 Number of People Purchasing Product Through E-Commerce (in Million)
  • 8. MARKETOVERVIEW 8 67% 49% 48% 38% 33% 4% Number of People Did Cross Border E-Commerce ASEAN-6CROSSBORDERE-COMMERCE Source : Google Consumer Barometer, n=14174 Notes : the percentage is based upon the e-commerce users Source: The Consumer Barometer Survey 2014/15. N=8750. The challenges faced in cross border e-commerce transaction involved logistic and payment issues 36% 39% 46% 53% 47% 73% I Prefer to Buy Products Within My Country Source : Google Consumer Barometer, n=18587 Notes : the percentage is based upon the internet users Delivery time takes too long30% Website seems insecure28% No international shipping offered26% Supply issues when conducting cross-border transaction: Demand side: why SEA customers do not purchase cross-border e-commerce? Perceiving product is more expensive31% Assuming delivery time will be longer29% Perceiving the return procedure will be difficult and costly 27% 24% 23% It wasn’t convenient I worry about paying in a foreign currency No suitable or convenient payment methods24% 23% Process for ordering wasn’t clear Notes: Logistic Issue Payment Issue
  • 9. RECOMMENDATION Current Situation Current Challenges Need to be Taken Care of Possible Recommended Actions Focusing on last mile delivery alternatives to guarantee service and to adapt the challenges Numerous payment solution providers available, such as: Paypal, Alipay, etc. to facilitate cross-border transaction Notes: Logistic Issue Payment Issue Expensive shipping cost owing to limited number of logistic provider for cross-border delivery Poor transport infrastructure & warehouse readiness Available logistic providers that can accommodate cross-border delivery. Increase the number of local transhipment warehouse to reduce shipping cost Insecure transaction owing to inconsistency of conversion rate, import duty and tax clearance No single payment system that ensure safety and trustworthy one single integrated platform to remove complexity of international payment (to cooperate with PSP) Integrated trade information for regional ASEAN by ATR (ASEAN Trade Repository) provide clear return procedure, available contact for customers and engage omnichannel Clarity on return, payment procedure and delivery process. 9
  • 10. Tel: (62-21) 5794 5800 Fax: (62-21 5794 5808 Wisma 46 Kota BNI, 25th Floor, Unit 07 & 09 Jalan Sudirman Kav. 1, Jakarta 10220 INDONESIA indonesia.info@spireresearch.com www.spireresearch.com

Notas do Editor

  1. Custom value: https://www.atkearney.co.uk/documents/10192/5540871/Lifting+the+Barriers+to+E-Commerce+in+ASEAN.pdf/d977df60-3a86-42a6-8d19-1efd92010d52 Calculatorduty.com -Indonesia: NIKE LUNAR CONTROL VAPOR 2 has an import duty rate of 25% and VAT rate of 10%, STLG rate is 0%, Income Tax rate is 20% . If the product is made of endangered species, import of this product requires a CITES license. Notes on import taxes due Please include the cost of shipping to ensure correct import tax calculation Please note that your shipping provider may add an additional handling fee USD/IDR exchange rate of 13550.0162, is assumed Simplyduty.com -Singapore: Duty & Tax Charges Duty: 0 SGD (Rate of 0 %) VAT: 16.55 SGD (Rate of 7 %) Total: 16.55 SGD Your Total Landed Cost Calculation Value of Goods: 175 USD Duty: 0 SGD VAT: 16.55 SGD Shipping: 0 USD Insurance: 0 USD Total: 253 SGD This was calculated using an exchange rate: USD:SGD  1.35116 -Thailand Duty & Tax Charges Duty: 285.16 THB (Rate of 5 %) VAT: 684.39 THB (Rate of 7 %) Total: 969.55 THB Your Total Landed Cost Calculation Value of Goods: 175 USD Duty: 285.16 THB VAT: 684.39 THB Shipping: 0 USD Insurance: 0 USD Total: 6672.84 THB This was calculated using an exchange rate: USD:THB  32.590196 -Malaysia Duty & Tax Charges Duty: 35.67 MYR (Rate of 5 %) VAT: 78.48 MYR (Rate of 6 %) Total: 114.15 MYR Your Total Landed Cost Calculation Value of Goods: 175 USD Duty: 35.67 MYR VAT: 78.48 MYR Shipping: 0 USD Insurance: 0 USD Total: 827.63 MYR This was calculated using an exchange rate: USD:MYR  4.077002 -Philippines Duty & Tax Charges Duty: 882.35 PHP (Rate of 10 %) VAT: 1941.17 PHP (Rate of 12 %) Total: 2823.52 PHP Your Total Landed Cost Calculation Value of Goods: 175 USD Duty: 882.35 PHP VAT: 1941.17 PHP Shipping: 0 USD Insurance: 0 USD Total: 11647.02 PHP This was calculated using an exchange rate: USD:PHP  50.419998 -Vietnam Duty: 0 VND (Rate of 0 %) VAT: 397407.5 VND (Rate of 10 %) Total: 397407.5 VND Your Total Landed Cost Calculation Value of Goods: 175 USD Duty: 0 VND VAT: 397407.5 VND Shipping: 0 USD Insurance: 0 USD Total: 4371482.5 VND This was calculated using an exchange rate: USD:VND  22709 Nike Lunar Control Vapor 2, USD 175, Free Shipping Cost Singapore USD 187.25 Thailand USD 204.75 Malaysia USD 202.99 Philippines USD 231 Vietnam USD 192.5 Indonesia USD 284.37 Challenges The top three of website issues when purchasing products online from other countries are delivery times too long (30%). The website seemed insecure (28%) and no international shipping offered (26%). Two mention about logistic. Why SEA don’t purchase online from abroad? The top three reasons are perceiving product more expensive (31%), assuming the delivery will take longer (29%) and perceiving that the returns would be difficult and costly (27%). Two mention about logistic procedure Inconsistent and time-consuming customs. Import duties vary widely among countris which hampers the regionwide e-commerce market and consumer adoption. For example in Singapore, goods valued at less than 400 Singapore dollars (about 300 usd) are shipped dutry-free, while in Malaysia the limit is 500 ringgit (about 140 usd). Liits, vat and duties also differ for different product types (eg the chart of tax for 100 dollar dress). For a 175 usd golf shoes purchased from an ASEAN country, a digital buyer would have to pay an additional one-third of the dress price in duties and taxes in Tahiland, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines, if the dress has to be returned, reclaiming import duties would either be impossible or overly expensive, kin some countries, importing certain product categories also requires import permits. Talking Point: Challenge: logistic cost is too high, geographic of ASEAN countries (Indonesia and Philippines), poor transport infrastructure, lack of warehouse readiness, inconsistent and consuming custom, inefficient last mile delivery, - Reserving Inventory for International Sales (=warehouse readiness) Myriad of rules/regulations governing local and international sales (=inconsistent custom procedures) / Complex taxes Payment Processing Another Talking Points that can be considered (some of them may be similar / terulang): For long-haul offshore origins, transition time could be unpredictable with limited track-and-trace the reverse logistics for return are costly and complicated. payment needs to be localized and integrated to motivate purchases, and in some cultures where pre-payment is not preferred, effective COD option needs to be provided. – (as for now Lack of international trusted payment methods) Lack of efficient, cheap, and reliable logistic options Inconsistent and time-consuming custom procedures
  2. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-17/growth-blessed-southeast-asia-has-more-to-cheer-about-in-201 https://databoks.katadata.co.id/datapublish/2017/12/18/bagaimana-daya-saing-infrastruktur-indonesia-di-tingkat-asean8
  3. Population of Cross Border E-Commerce: https://www.consumerbarometer.com/en/ Internet User, Internet Penetration, Number of People Purchasing Via-E-Commerce, Purchased Product/Service Online, E-Commerce Penetration: https://www.slideshare.net/wearesocialsg/digital-in-2017-global-overview?next_slideshow=1 https://www.slideshare.net/wearesocialsg/digital-in-2017-southeast-asia https://www.pricezagroup.com/2017/cross-border-ecommerce-southeast-asia/ Talking point insight: The term cross-border eCommerce generally refers to online business transactions between consumers and merchants located in different countries. Cross-border eCommerce can be broadly segregated into B2B (i.e. one business purchasing products/services from another business), B2C (i.e. end consumers purchasing products/services from a business) and C2C (i.e. individuals selling and purchasing from one another through online marketplaces such as Amazon or eBay). While all three types of cross-border eCommerce scenarios have various regulatory nuances, given the huge size of the B2C market, this is the segment experts and retailers alike are eyeing with most anticipation!
  4. Population of Cross Border E-Commerce: https://www.consumerbarometer.com/en/ Internet User, Internet Penetration, Number of People Purchasing Via-E-Commerce, Purchased Product/Service Online, E-Commerce Penetration: https://www.slideshare.net/wearesocialsg/digital-in-2017-global-overview?next_slideshow=1 https://www.slideshare.net/wearesocialsg/digital-in-2017-southeast-asia http://www.bain.com/Images/BAIN_BRIEF_Can_Southeast_Asia_Live_Up_to_Ecommerce_potential.pdf
  5. Population of Cross Border E-Commerce: https://www.consumerbarometer.com/en/ Internet User, Internet Penetration, Number of People Purchasing Via-E-Commerce, Purchased Product/Service Online, E-Commerce Penetration: https://www.slideshare.net/wearesocialsg/digital-in-2017-global-overview?next_slideshow=1 https://www.slideshare.net/wearesocialsg/digital-in-2017-southeast-asia
  6. https://www.datexcorp.com/last-mile-delivery-part-1-omni-channel-retail-affecting-transportation-logistics/