You can see a video recording of the presentation here: http://stream.3dstudio.fi/lifecycle/player.html?src=http://stream.3dstudio.fi/lifecycle/manifest/Klimstra_presentation.f4m
Presented by Dr Jacob Klimstra in Power-Gen Asia 2012 in Bangkok, Thailand.
2. Have you read the book?
From Poverty with/via Power
Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
October 3-4, Bangkok
3. Electricity use and GDP (PPP)
Gross Domestic Product (PPP) per capita per year in
2009 (year 2000 US$)
40000 Trend line R2
North America
35000 = 0.95
30000
Europe
25000
World
20000
Latin Am. average
15000
China
10000
Middle East
5000
0 Asia (ex China)
Africa
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000
Electricity use per capita per year (kWh)
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
5. A challenge: everybody wants electricity
and even more electricity
In 20 years time: world electricity use will
double from 20 PWh to 40 PWh
Developing world, electric transport, gadgets, heat
pumps
‘What a great future for the Power Sector‘
50 watt 2000 watt
Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
October 3-4, Bangkok
6. Wind power in Europe …. (Germany)
Capacity factor = 17.4%, peak factor 5.1
Statistical distribution wind power N-E Germany
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
7. Wind output Denmark if 50% electricity
from wind
7000
6000
5000
Power (MW)
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 900.00 1000.00
First 1000 hours of the year 2012
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
8. Danish conventional power generation if
50% of electricity from wind
7000.00
6000.00
5000.00
4000.00
Power (MW)
3000.00
2000.00
1000.00
0.00
-1000.00 0.00 100.00 200.00 300.00 400.00 500.00 600.00 700.00 800.00 900.00 1000.00
-2000.00 First 1000 hours of the year 2012
-3000.00
-4000.00
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
9. New dynamics due to solar PV
Steep peaks of short duration:
1600
gas engines
1400
1200
POWER ('MW')
1000
800 SOLAR
DEMAND
600
GENERATORS
400
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
TIME of the day (h)
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
10. Fast response needed
100
90
80
Power output (%)
70
gas engine
60
GTCC
50
40 steam plant
30
20
10
0
0 60 120 180 240 300 360 420
time (minute)
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
11. Effect of utilisation factor on capital costs
Relative capital costs per kWh 30
25
---------- gas engine power plant
---------- coal-fired power plant
20 ---------- nuclear power plant
15
10
5
0
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Utilisation factor (%)
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra Consultancy 11
12. Smart power generation: efficient, flexible, fast, low costs
ultra-reliable electricity grid connection
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
ultra-reliable fuel supply
Multiple units in parallel run only
when needed
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
13. CASCADING: Only run when it is really needed
50
45
40
fuel efficiency (%)
35
30
25
cascading power plant
20
15 single generating unit
10
5
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Power output (MW)
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
14. Minimum maintenance costs
specific maintenance costs (€cts/kWh)
7
6
single generating unit
5
4 cascading power plant
3
2
1
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Power output (MW)
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila
16. San Antonio, Texas 4 x 6 x 9 MW = 216 MW
Flexible (fuel, power capacity) Hot and Dry ambient conditions
Fast response
Energy efficient
Clean EXISTS ALREADY NOW !!!
Reliable
Available
Economic
Quick to build
Aesthetic
October 3-4, Bangkok Jacob Klimstra for Wartsila