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The Warwickshire Skills Challenge-
how can we meet it?
@Skills4Employ
The Skills challenge: supply and
demand gap
David Ayton-Hill, WCC Manager Economy & Skills
Warwickshire’s economy
Jobs in demand now
STEM professionals
27,000
Business and media
professionals
25,300
Computer
programmer
IT business
analyst
Engineer
Web
developer
Recruiting
consultant Accountant
Quality
engineer
Business
analyst
Administration
occupations
11,000
Receptionist
Administration
clerk
Accounts
assistant
Credit
controller
Skills in demand now
Information Technology
22% of job postings
Business
16% of job postings
Budgeting
Project
management
Teamwork
SQL
Project
Management
Budgeting
Customer
service
KPIs
Sales
8% of job postings
Secretarial
skills
Customer
service
Scheduling
Administrative
support
Expansion demand to 2030
-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Manufacturing
Agriculture forestry & fishing
Financial & insurance
Mining & quarrying
Water sewerage & waste
Other Services
Electricity & gas
Education
Real estate
Information & Communication
Public Administration & Defence
Construction
Arts & Recreation
Wholesale & Retail
Transportation & Storage
Health & Social Work
Administration & Support
Professional services
Accommodation & Food
2017 employment Forecast jobs created by 2030
By 2030, high demand in
Accommodation & Food and
Professional Services
1 in 4 jobs created
6,240 fewer jobs forecast in Manufacturing
by 2030
(although based on national rather than local data)
Expansion and replacement
demand by occupation
Managers
Professionals
Associate professionals
Administration and clerical
Skilled trades
Caring and personal service
occupations
Sales and customer service
Process, plant
& machine
operatives
Elementary occupations
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25
Number
of
C&W
jobs
replaced
by
2030
Number of C&W jobs created by 2030
Fewer jobs created, but strong replacement demand Growers
Shrinkers
Many jobs created, but weaker replacement
demand (high inward mobility)
Size of bubble:
Proportion of net
labour market
requirement
Corporate managers
Managers and
senior officials
Science, research and technology
professionals
Health professionals
Teaching
professionals
Business & public service
professionals
Culture, media, sports occupations
Business and media associate
professionals
Admin and clerical
Secretarial
Skilled metal
trades
Caring and personal service
Customer service
professionals
Process, plant &
machine operatives
Transport drivers and operators
Elementary
-4
1
6
11
16
21
-60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%
New job growth by 2030
Lower qualifications and fewer jobs by 2030
potential high risk of automation
Higher qualifications, however fewer jobs created by 2030
potential to increase business demand
Higher qualifications and many jobs created by 2030
potential to boost productivity
Lower qualifications, however many jobs created by 2030
potential to upskill
Level 4 jobs
Level 3 jobs
Level 2 jobs
Level 1 jobs
Implications on qualifications
Replacement
demand
to
2030
Future growth opportunities
Risk of Automation
Risk of Automation
116,000 jobs in Warwickshire
at very high risk of automation
Key skills of the future
Potential challenge of Brexit
Potential challenge of Brexit
Demand vs Supply
Summary
• Skills shortages constraining growth
• Strong demand for higher skilled, STEM professional occupations,
with forecast growth in new jobs also focussed on these areas
• High levels of replacement demand, more at mid and lower level
occupations
• Automation already happening, and effecting a range of different
sectors and occupations – but also creating new employment
opportunities
• Future increasingly uncertain – but a number of core skills that will be
vital and unlikely to be able to be automated
• Significant imbalance between future supply and expected demand

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LMI_presentation_WCC_(1).pptx

  • 1. The Warwickshire Skills Challenge- how can we meet it? @Skills4Employ
  • 2. The Skills challenge: supply and demand gap David Ayton-Hill, WCC Manager Economy & Skills
  • 4. Jobs in demand now STEM professionals 27,000 Business and media professionals 25,300 Computer programmer IT business analyst Engineer Web developer Recruiting consultant Accountant Quality engineer Business analyst Administration occupations 11,000 Receptionist Administration clerk Accounts assistant Credit controller
  • 5. Skills in demand now Information Technology 22% of job postings Business 16% of job postings Budgeting Project management Teamwork SQL Project Management Budgeting Customer service KPIs Sales 8% of job postings Secretarial skills Customer service Scheduling Administrative support
  • 6. Expansion demand to 2030 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Manufacturing Agriculture forestry & fishing Financial & insurance Mining & quarrying Water sewerage & waste Other Services Electricity & gas Education Real estate Information & Communication Public Administration & Defence Construction Arts & Recreation Wholesale & Retail Transportation & Storage Health & Social Work Administration & Support Professional services Accommodation & Food 2017 employment Forecast jobs created by 2030 By 2030, high demand in Accommodation & Food and Professional Services 1 in 4 jobs created 6,240 fewer jobs forecast in Manufacturing by 2030 (although based on national rather than local data)
  • 7. Expansion and replacement demand by occupation Managers Professionals Associate professionals Administration and clerical Skilled trades Caring and personal service occupations Sales and customer service Process, plant & machine operatives Elementary occupations 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 Number of C&W jobs replaced by 2030 Number of C&W jobs created by 2030 Fewer jobs created, but strong replacement demand Growers Shrinkers Many jobs created, but weaker replacement demand (high inward mobility) Size of bubble: Proportion of net labour market requirement
  • 8. Corporate managers Managers and senior officials Science, research and technology professionals Health professionals Teaching professionals Business & public service professionals Culture, media, sports occupations Business and media associate professionals Admin and clerical Secretarial Skilled metal trades Caring and personal service Customer service professionals Process, plant & machine operatives Transport drivers and operators Elementary -4 1 6 11 16 21 -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% New job growth by 2030 Lower qualifications and fewer jobs by 2030 potential high risk of automation Higher qualifications, however fewer jobs created by 2030 potential to increase business demand Higher qualifications and many jobs created by 2030 potential to boost productivity Lower qualifications, however many jobs created by 2030 potential to upskill Level 4 jobs Level 3 jobs Level 2 jobs Level 1 jobs Implications on qualifications Replacement demand to 2030
  • 11. Risk of Automation 116,000 jobs in Warwickshire at very high risk of automation
  • 12. Key skills of the future
  • 16. Summary • Skills shortages constraining growth • Strong demand for higher skilled, STEM professional occupations, with forecast growth in new jobs also focussed on these areas • High levels of replacement demand, more at mid and lower level occupations • Automation already happening, and effecting a range of different sectors and occupations – but also creating new employment opportunities • Future increasingly uncertain – but a number of core skills that will be vital and unlikely to be able to be automated • Significant imbalance between future supply and expected demand