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Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Just a question of money?
The political use of social media in Hungary
Prof. Gábor Polyák
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
The two-tier Hungarian media system
Pro-governmet media
Access to public resources
Functioning as biased supporter of
government (parties), unconditional loyalty
Highly centralised editorial decisions,
homogenous approach
Independent media
No access to public resources
Functioning as public watchdog
Autonomus newsrooms with own worldview
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Transforming media consumption habits
https://mertek.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Mertek-fuzetek_30.pdf
https://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/digital-news-report/2023/hungary
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
News consumption in the online environment
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Extending traditional media to social media?
Independent players on social media:
• bottom-up operation, following the logic of
social media
Pro-government players on social
media:
• copying the way the traditional pro-
government media operate largely top-down
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Advertising market weight of the platforms
https://mrsz.hu/cmsfiles/a3/57/2022_MRSZ_media_komm_torta_hosszu_v7_FINAL_230418_EN.pdf
Global digital=66%
of total digital
Global digital:
+52% since 2019
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Political communication network on social media
„321 Facebook pages have been
identified that provide uncritical
government messages to the
public”
„pro-government channels on
Facebook publish 3,500 posts per
month in the segment we know”
(Német, Minkó, Katona, 2021)
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Megafon, the political influencer agency
„The organisation has previously said that it receives no public
money and that its supporters are right-wing businessmen.
However, the company's reports only tell how much they have
received in each year: they do not specify from whom. In 2022,
Megafon received HUF 2.76 billion, 2.34 billion in 2021, HUF
250 million in 2020. (~14 million EUR in a sum)” (Nagy 2023)
„it is not illegal to claim that Megafon's operations are
indirectly financed by public money through a foundation and
a company” (Bozzay 2022)
the organisation's close links to pro-government think tanks and
media
15 (known) poilitical influencers
most of them came from the traditional pro-government media,
pro-government public sphere
promotion, training, infrastructure
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
YouTube campaigns
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
YouTube channels for Russian propaganda
formerly regular commentators in
the pro-government media
strongly pro-Russian statements at
the beginning of the aggression
against Ukraine
„Ultrahang” as alternative channel
to spread the Russian narrative
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Pro-government communities
a mix of bottom-up and top-down modes of operation
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Partizán: a success story in critical public space
innovative media experiment
YouTube channel, daily content updates
since the Covid19, thematic blocks
„ leftism+activism”
80% of their viewers are male and the
strongest age group is 18-35
second-line Fidesz politicians also give
interviews
long in-depth interviews
small donations, big donors, grants
"the new public service media" - wonder
waiting
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Rich variety in social media's critical public sphere
https://mertek.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Mertek-fuzetek_30.pdf
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Crowdfunding as proof of the close relationship between the
content creator and the audience
Are there any news sources, press
products, radio stations or internet
portals to which you subscribe or
which you support financially?
• Voting age population: 11%
• 18-29 years old: 9%
• Pro-government voter: 9%
• Opposition voter: 15%
• No party: 12%
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
What news sources do you subscribe to/support?
Percentage who subscribe to or support a news source (N=132; pro-government: N=38; opposition:
N=49%; no party: N=41)
0
14
1
3
2
4
9
8
6
4
17
11
17
20
0
12
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
8
13
17
6
14
22
24
12
13
9
0
0
2
2
9
3
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
49
nem említ konkrét hírforrást
egyéb
Élet és Irodalom
JÓLVANEZÍGY (YouTube)
Nők Lapja
Szabad Föld
Magyar Nemzet
Mandiner
Hetek Közéleti Hetilap
Magyar Hang
444.hu
Klubrádió
nyomtatott HVG
HVG 360
Telex.hu
Partizán
megyei napilap
kormánypárti
ellenzéki
pártnélküli
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
The failure of the Fidesz media logic?
After the 2022 elections, a clear shift in favour of social media,
with resources diverted from traditional pro-government media
Supposedly, Fidesz has deemed the social media campaign a
success
However: the theme ("The opposition would take the country to
war") rather than the form of communication was the secret of
success
Research does not confirm the pervasive power of Megafon
Lack of innovative funding models and ideas to keep the loyalty
of the public
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Micro-targeting: blessing or curse?
Proposal for a Regulation on the transparency and targeting of political advertising
Limiting political and ideological targeting
• Subject to prior consent
• Foundation, association, non-profit organisation
Advantage for the actor with unlimited resources
Pseudo-civil society organisations for political purposes?
• Megafon NONPROFIT Ltd :)
Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023
Thank you for attention!

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Just a question of money? The political use of social media in Hungary

  • 1. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Just a question of money? The political use of social media in Hungary Prof. Gábor Polyák
  • 2. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 The two-tier Hungarian media system Pro-governmet media Access to public resources Functioning as biased supporter of government (parties), unconditional loyalty Highly centralised editorial decisions, homogenous approach Independent media No access to public resources Functioning as public watchdog Autonomus newsrooms with own worldview
  • 3. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Transforming media consumption habits https://mertek.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Mertek-fuzetek_30.pdf https://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk/digital-news-report/2023/hungary
  • 4. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 News consumption in the online environment
  • 5. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Extending traditional media to social media? Independent players on social media: • bottom-up operation, following the logic of social media Pro-government players on social media: • copying the way the traditional pro- government media operate largely top-down
  • 6. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Advertising market weight of the platforms https://mrsz.hu/cmsfiles/a3/57/2022_MRSZ_media_komm_torta_hosszu_v7_FINAL_230418_EN.pdf Global digital=66% of total digital Global digital: +52% since 2019
  • 7. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Political communication network on social media „321 Facebook pages have been identified that provide uncritical government messages to the public” „pro-government channels on Facebook publish 3,500 posts per month in the segment we know” (Német, Minkó, Katona, 2021)
  • 8. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Megafon, the political influencer agency „The organisation has previously said that it receives no public money and that its supporters are right-wing businessmen. However, the company's reports only tell how much they have received in each year: they do not specify from whom. In 2022, Megafon received HUF 2.76 billion, 2.34 billion in 2021, HUF 250 million in 2020. (~14 million EUR in a sum)” (Nagy 2023) „it is not illegal to claim that Megafon's operations are indirectly financed by public money through a foundation and a company” (Bozzay 2022) the organisation's close links to pro-government think tanks and media 15 (known) poilitical influencers most of them came from the traditional pro-government media, pro-government public sphere promotion, training, infrastructure
  • 9. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 YouTube campaigns
  • 10. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 YouTube channels for Russian propaganda formerly regular commentators in the pro-government media strongly pro-Russian statements at the beginning of the aggression against Ukraine „Ultrahang” as alternative channel to spread the Russian narrative
  • 11. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Pro-government communities a mix of bottom-up and top-down modes of operation
  • 12. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Partizán: a success story in critical public space innovative media experiment YouTube channel, daily content updates since the Covid19, thematic blocks „ leftism+activism” 80% of their viewers are male and the strongest age group is 18-35 second-line Fidesz politicians also give interviews long in-depth interviews small donations, big donors, grants "the new public service media" - wonder waiting
  • 13. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Rich variety in social media's critical public sphere https://mertek.eu/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Mertek-fuzetek_30.pdf
  • 14. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Crowdfunding as proof of the close relationship between the content creator and the audience Are there any news sources, press products, radio stations or internet portals to which you subscribe or which you support financially? • Voting age population: 11% • 18-29 years old: 9% • Pro-government voter: 9% • Opposition voter: 15% • No party: 12%
  • 15. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 What news sources do you subscribe to/support? Percentage who subscribe to or support a news source (N=132; pro-government: N=38; opposition: N=49%; no party: N=41) 0 14 1 3 2 4 9 8 6 4 17 11 17 20 0 12 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 8 13 17 6 14 22 24 12 13 9 0 0 2 2 9 3 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 49 nem említ konkrét hírforrást egyéb Élet és Irodalom JÓLVANEZÍGY (YouTube) Nők Lapja Szabad Föld Magyar Nemzet Mandiner Hetek Közéleti Hetilap Magyar Hang 444.hu Klubrádió nyomtatott HVG HVG 360 Telex.hu Partizán megyei napilap kormánypárti ellenzéki pártnélküli
  • 16. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 The failure of the Fidesz media logic? After the 2022 elections, a clear shift in favour of social media, with resources diverted from traditional pro-government media Supposedly, Fidesz has deemed the social media campaign a success However: the theme ("The opposition would take the country to war") rather than the form of communication was the secret of success Research does not confirm the pervasive power of Megafon Lack of innovative funding models and ideas to keep the loyalty of the public
  • 17. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Micro-targeting: blessing or curse? Proposal for a Regulation on the transparency and targeting of political advertising Limiting political and ideological targeting • Subject to prior consent • Foundation, association, non-profit organisation Advantage for the actor with unlimited resources Pseudo-civil society organisations for political purposes? • Megafon NONPROFIT Ltd :)
  • 18. Social Media and Democracy in Central and Eastern Europe, 5-6 October 2023 Thank you for attention!

Notas do Editor

  1. HDMO Mertek-Median news consumption survey during the European Parliament election campaign, we will analyse videos published on social media through content analysis
  2. State advertisement, frequency, public information State as by far the biggest advertiser Loyality buying No opposition media
  3. basic problem is that I don't know more and more platforms not knowing exactly what to search for among the infinite amount of content Mertek-Medien news consumption survey
  4. The power of algorythms
  5. in the traditional online media, Fidesz has been successful in extending solutions already in place in other segments of the media market the experience of the 2019 local elections for Fidesz reaching out to young people currently 14% of 18-29 year olds would vote for Fidesz (64% of those over 60) Not an organic development
  6. online media players in the Hungarian market also face the same problems as players in all media markets they are combined with the problems arising from the specificities of the Hungarian media situation
  7. Reserach and data visualisation from 2021 shows how pro-government actors are cooperating on social media the diversity of the players is remarkable
  8. „Center for Fundamental Rights” as an alternative, „conservative” interprtation of fundamental rights The leader is this center is the chairman of the board of trustees of KESMA István Kovács, founder and managing director of Megafon is the Director of Strategy in the Center interconnections Centralisation Megafon is financed by the state through a foundation
  9. intrusive, unavoidable campaigns let me quote some titles from news portals No one has spent more on political campaigning in Europe on YouTube than Fidesz's anti-Gyurcsány ad Fidesz and the government spent ten times more on the election campaign than the opposition Megafon runs Europe's most expensive political YouTube campaign this year about the "pro-war left"
  10. Well-known figures the pro-government media built their credibility
  11. repeat and recycle pro-government messages
  12. 2018, after the election
  13. very lively sphere former politician, former television personality, young gamers, professional influencer in comparison, it is very striking how much of a role in Fidesz's social media is played by experts, journalists and politicians who are affiliated with the party; there are many more elderly people among them.
  14. Positive tendency Digital News Report: 9% Fidesz voters' willingness to pay is limited to traditional media the last 13 years have been a learning process for the independent media large amounts of public money have spoiled the pro-government media, leaving them seriously vulnerable in the event of a change of government
  15. Polarisation almost no overlap at all the number of participants is low for this question, so no general conclusions can be drawn
  16. Social media have simply become another platform for the constant repeating of political messages