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Authoritarian Governments in
         Cyberspace


        Evgeny Morozov
           Oct 08/2009
US Presidents                               ♥      the Internets

                                "The Goliath of totalitarianism will be brought
                                        down by the David of the microchip"
                                                           Ronald Reagan, 1989
  Photo: National Archives




                             “Trying to control the Internet is like trying to nail
                             Jell-o to the wall”
                                                                Bill Clinton, 2000
    Photo: White House




                                   “Imagine if the Internet took hold in China.
                                        Imagine how freedom would spread"
    Photo: White House                    John Lennon George Bush, 1999
Main tenets of cyber-utopianism...
    1. The growth in highly mobile/decentralized Internet
   communities will result in the decline of the authoritarian
                         (nation) state

  2. Better access to information/technology makes people
                  more likely to dissent/revolt

  3. New information networks make it easier to raise global
     awareness/avoid genocides→ new pressures on these
                           regimes

  4. Internet has empowered dissidents & activists, making
             them more effective/louder than before

   5. Internet has created new ways of conducting “public
   diplomacy” - smart power – allowing ordinary citizens to
                partake & influence foreign policy
Main tenets of cyber-utopianism...
  1. The growth of highly mobile/decentralized
      Internet communities will result in the
     decline of the authoritarian (nation) state
  2. Better access to information/technology makes people
                  more likely to dissent/revolt

  3. New information networks make it easier to raise global
     awareness/avoid genocides→ new pressures on these
                           regimes

  4. Internet has empowered dissidents & activists, making
             them more effective/louder than before

   5. Internet has created new ways of conducting “public
   diplomacy” - smart power – allowing ordinary citizens to
                partake & influence foreign policy
Will the growth of highly
mobile/decentralized communities
 really result in the decline of the
        authoritarian state?
Does technology erode state power?



 “The role of the nation state will change
   dramatically and there will be no more
   room for nationalism than there is for
   smallpox...”
             Being Digital (1996), Nicolas Negroponte
Information Revolution Marches On?




                 Photo by oceandesetoiles/Flickr CC
Welcome to Cyber-Utopia!

Connectivity X           Devices                  =    Democracy




                                                      Photo: Gadl/Flickr CC
                 Photo: Jeremy Visser/Flickr CC
“Blogs are the new faxes”




Photo: Marcin Wichary/Flickr CC
Authoritarian regimes USE the Web to...



  1. Spread propaganda/advance their own
           agenda (“spinternet”)

   2. Generate useful info & add legitimacy
        (“authoritarian deliberation”)

  3. Monitor/identify dissent early on (“gulag
                      2.0”)
I. The Rise of the “Spinternet”
Is message control via
   Digg and Wikipedia
   more difficult/less
    effective than via
         Pravda?
Who sets the agenda in social media?


 Wikipedia: 1% of users responsible for half of the
                    site's edits
  Digg: top 100 users responsible for half of the
                site's top stories
  98% chance your submission won't make the
              Digg frontpage today
Subvert and Profit
Gameabiliy and astroturfing
Facebook friends at 20 cents/friend
Aggressive Search Engine Optimization
Also: the UK
“Knowledge transfer”
China's 50 Cent Party (wumaodang)




            ~280,000 members

     Regular National/Local Trainings

   “Priority” Sites Required to Cooperate
Russia: “New Media Stars” start-up
“Researching the basic ways of promoting
state interests with the help of specialized
              social networks”
Kremlin: generou$ propaganda


• In 2010 Russia will spend more on propaganda
           than on fighting unemployment

• Budgets of online-only state media up by 75%
                 despite the crisis

   • Huge increase in international outreach
Iran: Spinning Religious Discourse

“Bureau for the Development of Religious Web
  Logs” established at the Religious School of
                 Qom in 2006


 350 teachers and clergy in Qom were trained,
           with at least 800 students


     Particular concern: blogging women
Iranian blogosphere: 2008
Iranian blogosphere: 2009
Iranian efforts pay off
Nigeria's “Anti-Blogging” Project
Who'll lead Egypt's Facebook
          revolution?
Spinning vs Censoring




   Photo by Mr.Enjoy/Flickr CC
Streisand effect to blame
II. “Authoritarian Deliberation”




Photo by dunechaser/Flickr CC
Russia: Bloggers' Chamber
“Instead [of becoming a base for the civil society], RuNet
   has become home to various antisocial and criminal
   elements...these people must feel the hand of the
   government Internet censorship. Censorship efforts
   should be very selective, very responsible, and very
   careful. And they should follow the deliberations of the
   national consultative body that would be comprised
   of the leading Internet personalities and bloggers.
   This new consultative body should develop a set of rules
   guiding "tolerant online behavior" that would help to
   extirpate all virtual confrontation”


                             Sergey Mironov, Sept 30/2009
“We pay great attention to
 suggestions and advice from our
 netizens. The web is an important
 channel for us to understand the
 concerns of the public and assemble
 the wisdom of the public”.

                       Hu Jintao, 2008
Often more critical than official media




                Ashley Esarey, based on 2006 data/500 blogs
China: “Elude the Cat”
Uses of “authoritarian deliberation”


  1. Generate information useful to government:
                       wikis

   2. Share the blame for failed policies with the
                    public: spin

 3. Increase legitimacy (both at home and abroad):
                         scale
Authoritarian Deliberation in China


“CCP gains the ability to legitimate policies by
 reference to a relatively inclusive deliberation
 process rather than to an official ideology... This
 increases the political capacities of the CCP while
 furthering the careers of party officials”
         He Baogang and Mark Warren, ““The Deliberative Turn in Chinese Political Development””
Kremlin's new project: Liberty.ru
Pavlovsky on Liberty.ru



“Liberty.ru will help political parties tap into
collective wisdom, see what people are really
concerned about; the parties would even be
able to borrow some major policy points from
these online discussions”
                             Gleb Pavlovsky, 2009
Thailand: Crowdsourcing Censorship
Saudi Arabia's “flagging” campaign
III. Monitoring & Identifying
      Dissent Early On
China: TRS Technologies


“Currently [the police force] still does surveillance via
  keyword searches on search engines, with every
  officer being given a certainthe 200-people-strongto
       Marketing manager of number of keywords
                                     TRS Technologies
  cover...We equipped eight police stations in
  Shanghai with our data-mining equipment...Now
  the work of 10 internet cops can be done by just
  one”
• Marketing Manager, TRS Technologies (200+ staff)
Thank you!

Blog: neteffect.foreignpolicy.com
    Twitter: evgenymorozov

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Authoritarian Governments in Cyberspace

  • 1. Authoritarian Governments in Cyberspace Evgeny Morozov Oct 08/2009
  • 2. US Presidents ♥ the Internets "The Goliath of totalitarianism will be brought down by the David of the microchip" Ronald Reagan, 1989 Photo: National Archives “Trying to control the Internet is like trying to nail Jell-o to the wall” Bill Clinton, 2000 Photo: White House “Imagine if the Internet took hold in China. Imagine how freedom would spread" Photo: White House John Lennon George Bush, 1999
  • 3. Main tenets of cyber-utopianism... 1. The growth in highly mobile/decentralized Internet communities will result in the decline of the authoritarian (nation) state 2. Better access to information/technology makes people more likely to dissent/revolt 3. New information networks make it easier to raise global awareness/avoid genocides→ new pressures on these regimes 4. Internet has empowered dissidents & activists, making them more effective/louder than before 5. Internet has created new ways of conducting “public diplomacy” - smart power – allowing ordinary citizens to partake & influence foreign policy
  • 4. Main tenets of cyber-utopianism... 1. The growth of highly mobile/decentralized Internet communities will result in the decline of the authoritarian (nation) state 2. Better access to information/technology makes people more likely to dissent/revolt 3. New information networks make it easier to raise global awareness/avoid genocides→ new pressures on these regimes 4. Internet has empowered dissidents & activists, making them more effective/louder than before 5. Internet has created new ways of conducting “public diplomacy” - smart power – allowing ordinary citizens to partake & influence foreign policy
  • 5. Will the growth of highly mobile/decentralized communities really result in the decline of the authoritarian state?
  • 6. Does technology erode state power? “The role of the nation state will change dramatically and there will be no more room for nationalism than there is for smallpox...” Being Digital (1996), Nicolas Negroponte
  • 7. Information Revolution Marches On? Photo by oceandesetoiles/Flickr CC
  • 8. Welcome to Cyber-Utopia! Connectivity X Devices = Democracy Photo: Gadl/Flickr CC Photo: Jeremy Visser/Flickr CC
  • 9. “Blogs are the new faxes” Photo: Marcin Wichary/Flickr CC
  • 10. Authoritarian regimes USE the Web to... 1. Spread propaganda/advance their own agenda (“spinternet”) 2. Generate useful info & add legitimacy (“authoritarian deliberation”) 3. Monitor/identify dissent early on (“gulag 2.0”)
  • 11. I. The Rise of the “Spinternet”
  • 12. Is message control via Digg and Wikipedia more difficult/less effective than via Pravda?
  • 13. Who sets the agenda in social media? Wikipedia: 1% of users responsible for half of the site's edits Digg: top 100 users responsible for half of the site's top stories 98% chance your submission won't make the Digg frontpage today
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 18. Facebook friends at 20 cents/friend
  • 19. Aggressive Search Engine Optimization
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 25. China's 50 Cent Party (wumaodang) ~280,000 members Regular National/Local Trainings “Priority” Sites Required to Cooperate
  • 26. Russia: “New Media Stars” start-up
  • 27.
  • 28. “Researching the basic ways of promoting state interests with the help of specialized social networks”
  • 29. Kremlin: generou$ propaganda • In 2010 Russia will spend more on propaganda than on fighting unemployment • Budgets of online-only state media up by 75% despite the crisis • Huge increase in international outreach
  • 30. Iran: Spinning Religious Discourse “Bureau for the Development of Religious Web Logs” established at the Religious School of Qom in 2006 350 teachers and clergy in Qom were trained, with at least 800 students Particular concern: blogging women
  • 33.
  • 36. Who'll lead Egypt's Facebook revolution?
  • 37. Spinning vs Censoring Photo by Mr.Enjoy/Flickr CC
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. Russia: Bloggers' Chamber “Instead [of becoming a base for the civil society], RuNet has become home to various antisocial and criminal elements...these people must feel the hand of the government Internet censorship. Censorship efforts should be very selective, very responsible, and very careful. And they should follow the deliberations of the national consultative body that would be comprised of the leading Internet personalities and bloggers. This new consultative body should develop a set of rules guiding "tolerant online behavior" that would help to extirpate all virtual confrontation” Sergey Mironov, Sept 30/2009
  • 44. “We pay great attention to suggestions and advice from our netizens. The web is an important channel for us to understand the concerns of the public and assemble the wisdom of the public”. Hu Jintao, 2008
  • 45.
  • 46. Often more critical than official media Ashley Esarey, based on 2006 data/500 blogs
  • 48. Uses of “authoritarian deliberation” 1. Generate information useful to government: wikis 2. Share the blame for failed policies with the public: spin 3. Increase legitimacy (both at home and abroad): scale
  • 49. Authoritarian Deliberation in China “CCP gains the ability to legitimate policies by reference to a relatively inclusive deliberation process rather than to an official ideology... This increases the political capacities of the CCP while furthering the careers of party officials” He Baogang and Mark Warren, ““The Deliberative Turn in Chinese Political Development””
  • 51. Pavlovsky on Liberty.ru “Liberty.ru will help political parties tap into collective wisdom, see what people are really concerned about; the parties would even be able to borrow some major policy points from these online discussions” Gleb Pavlovsky, 2009
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59. III. Monitoring & Identifying Dissent Early On
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62. China: TRS Technologies “Currently [the police force] still does surveillance via keyword searches on search engines, with every officer being given a certainthe 200-people-strongto Marketing manager of number of keywords TRS Technologies cover...We equipped eight police stations in Shanghai with our data-mining equipment...Now the work of 10 internet cops can be done by just one” • Marketing Manager, TRS Technologies (200+ staff)
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.