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‫שי רוזן‬
shayr@realcommerce.co.il




                           Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Shay Rosen
Senior Consultant, Realcommerce
Shayr@realcommerce.co.il
http://il.linkedin.com/in/shayrosen
http://www.facebook.com/shayrs
M: 052-5118539



                                      Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
The 2nd Digital Tsunami




Mobile Trends and innovations – 2010
               Shay Rosen
         shayr@realcommerce.co.il   Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Tsunami Indication (1)




                         Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Tsunami Indication (2)
• Global mobile penetration – 5bn Users
• Global mobile Internet – 0.8-1bn
• Fixed Internet users – 1.4bn

  Mobile Internet will Surpass Fixed Internet
                Access in 2015



                                                  Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
        Sources: U.N. telecommunications agency
Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Tsunami Indication (3)
• Smartphone sales –
               20%-30% CAGR
               1.5bn -2bn units will be sold in the next 5 years
• Smartphones dominant mobile data usage
                          2010          2011         2012          2013   2014                 2015

   Mobile Internet
                          84M          100M          113M          128M   145M                 158M
 users via handsets

Smartphone traffic
  as % of handset          79%          90%           95%           97%    98%                  98%
            traffic

    Feature phone
     traffic as % of       21%          10%            5%           3%      2%                   2%
    handset traffic




                                                                          Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
                         Sources: Coda Research Consultancy, 03/201 0
Tsunami Indication (3)
   • Mobile data usage Growth – 5 year forecast
              700% growth per user - ~1GB per user per month
              4000% mobile data consumption growth in the US




                                                                         Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Sources: Informa Telecoms, 11/2010, Coda Research Consultancy, 03/2010
App Downloads




                Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
The Mobile User




                  Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
iPhone Usage Habits

•   75% fall asleep with their iPhone
•   69%: it’s more likely I forget my wallet at home
    than my iPhone
•   34%: I’m addicted
•   74% think iPhone makes them more organised
•   54% think iPhone improves their productivity
•   74% think iPhone make them “Cooler”


Iphone users treat the the iPhone
   as an extention
   of their body and personality!




                                                                     Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
                       Sources: Stanford University Survey 03/2010
iPhone Users

•   Age – 20-50 Years Old
•   Average – 37 years old
•   55% male
•   Income- Higher than average
•   Highly engaged
•   Experienced
•   Intolerant




                                                                  Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
                   Sources: Admob mobile Metrics survey 01/2010
Apps, apps, apps
• 50% of mobile data from smartphones is consumed by apps
• 7bn downloads on apple appstore to date
• “There’s an app for that”




                                                                Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
              Sources: Zokem mobile insights statistics, 2010
More apps
•    Average 10 Downloads per user per
     month
•    60 apps installed on iPhone
     at any given time
•    Only 10 are in use
•    Average app daily usage time:
     Less than 5 minutes per app
•    80% of apps are dropped on first
     month
•    Over 250,000 apps available
•    Over 7bn downloads to date

    No More “Farts” please. We are looking for true value
                       even if it’s free


                                                                 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
                            Sources: Admob mobile Metrics 2010
Social Networks
• 200M users access facebook from their mobile device (300%
  yearly growth)
• Up 50% in less than 6 months
• Expected to catch up with Desktop users in the next year
• (Privacy!!)




                                                    Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
                             Sources: Facebook PR
Location
•   Foursquare - ~4MM users world wide
•   Gowalla - ~1M
•   Facebook places
•   Facebook Deals
•   (Privacy!!)




                                         Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Video
• 95MM users expected to watch video on their
  mobile device in 2015
• Switch from “Snacking” to Full Episodes
• Use of Tablets expected
   to strengthen trend
• Israel might be slightly
   different because
  of local differences

                                                         Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
          Sources: Coda Research Consultancy, 03/201 0
Shopping
• US - 600% Growth since 2008
• eBay 1.5Bn$ Sales in 2010
• ShopSavvy
  In Store Price Comparison
• Mobile coupons




                                                       Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
            Research, 02/201 0, ebay PR Sources: ABI
Advertising
• (Very) High
  response rate!
• Location Based
• Personalized
• Local search
• Reach media
• (Privacy!!)


                                 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Payments
•   In app payments
•   Paypal
•   Peer to peer Square
•   NFC
•   FaceCash
•   Qpay



                             Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Banking
• Check Account Balance
• Perform account related
  transaction
• Money Transfer
• Trade
• SMS – Very common
• Apps - growing


                            Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Everything goes mobile




                         Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
The Mobile User    Willing to pay for
   Always connected                           quality products
   (Spreads the
   word)




Highly engaged,
willing to try anything                      Responsive to
                                             targeted, relevant
                                             ads

         Impatient
         0 tolerance
         Concerned about
         Privacy




                                                 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Mobile apps UI
Survival guide




                 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
The 4 C’s - Golden Rules for best mobile UX

      •Clear
      •Context
      •Conventional
      •Connected


                                   Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Clear (1)
What does this app do? (Only one thing)




                                          Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Clear (2)
How do I use it?




                               Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Context (1)
Who will be using my app?




                                 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Context (2)
  On which circumstances?
• At night
• While driving
• While running
• in class




                                    Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Conventional
• Do not change familiar UI
• Do not teach the user
• Small details are important
• Consistent
• Keep state




                                         Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Connected
• To my Brand
• To the web site and other channels
• To the user’s social life




                                        Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
A winner app

• Clear Goal
• Intuitive
• Designed for right circumstances
• Standard UI
• Connected to brand and
channels
• Connected to user’s social world




                                     Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Thoughts about planning
• Buy an iPhone
• Use it a lot, downloads all the apps you can, get adicted
• Ask the right questions:
      • Who are my users?
      • When and where will they use my app
      • Am I providing real value?
      • Can the user achieve her goal in less the 3 minutes?
      • Is the app simple enough to understand?
• Sketch a lot
• Try it on the “Dumb user”
• listen
• Think again
• Do not compromise




                                                               Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Post Development tasks
• The project is not over
• Be findable
• Push your app in all channels
• Listen to feedback
• Get better
• Listen again
• Get even better




                                           Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
It’s worth it!
   Angry Birds
17.5M Downloads
                                      •ShopSavvy – 80K
>$6.5M Revenue
                                      downlosds a day

                                      •Red laser – 2M Downloads




                                      Brand apps
      eBay                            Zippo Virtual lighter
      $600M Sales in 2009             >10M Downloads
      Expecting $1.5B in 2010




                                                 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
Thanks!

          Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
‫שי רוזן‬
shayr@realcommerce.co.il




                           Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010

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Shay Rosen's Mobile Trends and Innovations Insights

  • 1. ‫שי רוזן‬ shayr@realcommerce.co.il Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 2. Shay Rosen Senior Consultant, Realcommerce Shayr@realcommerce.co.il http://il.linkedin.com/in/shayrosen http://www.facebook.com/shayrs M: 052-5118539 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 3. The 2nd Digital Tsunami Mobile Trends and innovations – 2010 Shay Rosen shayr@realcommerce.co.il Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 4. Tsunami Indication (1) Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 5. Tsunami Indication (2) • Global mobile penetration – 5bn Users • Global mobile Internet – 0.8-1bn • Fixed Internet users – 1.4bn Mobile Internet will Surpass Fixed Internet Access in 2015 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: U.N. telecommunications agency
  • 6. Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 7. Tsunami Indication (3) • Smartphone sales – 20%-30% CAGR 1.5bn -2bn units will be sold in the next 5 years • Smartphones dominant mobile data usage 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Mobile Internet 84M 100M 113M 128M 145M 158M users via handsets Smartphone traffic as % of handset 79% 90% 95% 97% 98% 98% traffic Feature phone traffic as % of 21% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2% handset traffic Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Coda Research Consultancy, 03/201 0
  • 8. Tsunami Indication (3) • Mobile data usage Growth – 5 year forecast 700% growth per user - ~1GB per user per month 4000% mobile data consumption growth in the US Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Informa Telecoms, 11/2010, Coda Research Consultancy, 03/2010
  • 9. App Downloads Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 10. The Mobile User Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 11. iPhone Usage Habits • 75% fall asleep with their iPhone • 69%: it’s more likely I forget my wallet at home than my iPhone • 34%: I’m addicted • 74% think iPhone makes them more organised • 54% think iPhone improves their productivity • 74% think iPhone make them “Cooler” Iphone users treat the the iPhone as an extention of their body and personality! Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Stanford University Survey 03/2010
  • 12. iPhone Users • Age – 20-50 Years Old • Average – 37 years old • 55% male • Income- Higher than average • Highly engaged • Experienced • Intolerant Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Admob mobile Metrics survey 01/2010
  • 13. Apps, apps, apps • 50% of mobile data from smartphones is consumed by apps • 7bn downloads on apple appstore to date • “There’s an app for that” Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Zokem mobile insights statistics, 2010
  • 14. More apps • Average 10 Downloads per user per month • 60 apps installed on iPhone at any given time • Only 10 are in use • Average app daily usage time: Less than 5 minutes per app • 80% of apps are dropped on first month • Over 250,000 apps available • Over 7bn downloads to date No More “Farts” please. We are looking for true value even if it’s free Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Admob mobile Metrics 2010
  • 15. Social Networks • 200M users access facebook from their mobile device (300% yearly growth) • Up 50% in less than 6 months • Expected to catch up with Desktop users in the next year • (Privacy!!) Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Facebook PR
  • 16. Location • Foursquare - ~4MM users world wide • Gowalla - ~1M • Facebook places • Facebook Deals • (Privacy!!) Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 17. Video • 95MM users expected to watch video on their mobile device in 2015 • Switch from “Snacking” to Full Episodes • Use of Tablets expected to strengthen trend • Israel might be slightly different because of local differences Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Sources: Coda Research Consultancy, 03/201 0
  • 18. Shopping • US - 600% Growth since 2008 • eBay 1.5Bn$ Sales in 2010 • ShopSavvy In Store Price Comparison • Mobile coupons Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010 Research, 02/201 0, ebay PR Sources: ABI
  • 19. Advertising • (Very) High response rate! • Location Based • Personalized • Local search • Reach media • (Privacy!!) Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 20. Payments • In app payments • Paypal • Peer to peer Square • NFC • FaceCash • Qpay Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 21. Banking • Check Account Balance • Perform account related transaction • Money Transfer • Trade • SMS – Very common • Apps - growing Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 22. Everything goes mobile Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 23. The Mobile User Willing to pay for Always connected quality products (Spreads the word) Highly engaged, willing to try anything Responsive to targeted, relevant ads Impatient 0 tolerance Concerned about Privacy Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 24. Mobile apps UI Survival guide Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 25. The 4 C’s - Golden Rules for best mobile UX •Clear •Context •Conventional •Connected Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 26. Clear (1) What does this app do? (Only one thing) Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 27. Clear (2) How do I use it? Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 28. Context (1) Who will be using my app? Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 29. Context (2) On which circumstances? • At night • While driving • While running • in class Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 30. Conventional • Do not change familiar UI • Do not teach the user • Small details are important • Consistent • Keep state Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 31. Connected • To my Brand • To the web site and other channels • To the user’s social life Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 32. A winner app • Clear Goal • Intuitive • Designed for right circumstances • Standard UI • Connected to brand and channels • Connected to user’s social world Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 33. Thoughts about planning • Buy an iPhone • Use it a lot, downloads all the apps you can, get adicted • Ask the right questions: • Who are my users? • When and where will they use my app • Am I providing real value? • Can the user achieve her goal in less the 3 minutes? • Is the app simple enough to understand? • Sketch a lot • Try it on the “Dumb user” • listen • Think again • Do not compromise Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 34. Post Development tasks • The project is not over • Be findable • Push your app in all channels • Listen to feedback • Get better • Listen again • Get even better Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 35. It’s worth it! Angry Birds 17.5M Downloads •ShopSavvy – 80K >$6.5M Revenue downlosds a day •Red laser – 2M Downloads Brand apps eBay Zippo Virtual lighter $600M Sales in 2009 >10M Downloads Expecting $1.5B in 2010 Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 36. Thanks! Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010
  • 37. ‫שי רוזן‬ shayr@realcommerce.co.il Shay Rosen’s Work, Copyright 2010