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PRESENTATION OUTLINE
Emerging Trends          INTRODUCTION – PETROLEUM SECTOR OVERVIEW
                         REFINING & MARKETING
         in              NATURAL GAS

Oil & Gas Sector         LNG
                         INFRASTRUCTURE

     in India            RECENT SPURT IN OIL & GAS DISCOVERIES
                               SOME ARE WORLD CLASS
                               GREATELY IMPROVED HYDROCARBON
          By
                               PROSPECTIVITY OF INDIAN SEDIMENTARY BASINS
                         SALIENT ACHIEVEMENTS OF NELP
Dr. Avinash Chandra      NEW INITIATIVES BY DGH
 (PERSONAL VIEW-POINT)
                         GAS HYDRATE PROSPECTS




                                                                            1
PETROLEUM SECTOR : AN OVERVIEW

               Oil and Gas plays key role in Energy Sector
               Share of Oil and Gas in Commercial Energy consumption
                      India : 41%
                      World : 63%
               Per capita consumption of petroleum products
INTRODUCTION          India : 110 Kg
                      World : 920 Kg
               Annual average growth rate for petroleum product
               demand 6-7%, whereas world average is 1.54%
               8th Largest consumer of Oil & Gas, expected to be 4th
               largest consumer in next 10 years.




                                                                       2
Broad Investment Figures in the Oil & Gas
          Sector in India (25 Billion US$ / Year)
  TENTH PLAN (2002-03 to 2006-07)
  PSUs                             Rs. in Crores    US $ in Billion
  Exploration & Production             59,469    or    12.93
  Refining & Marketing                 36,572    or     7.95
                                       96,041    or    20.88
  Pvt/JV Companies
  Likely on Exploration
  Possible on Production
                                About 3,220
                                About 23,000
                                                or
                                                or
                                                         0.70 (?)
                                                         5.00 (?)
                                                                           REFINING & MARKETING
                                      About 27.0 Billion US $

We are broadly looking at Investment of around 6.0 Billion US $ per year
            Plus 0.4 Billion US$ on LNG (0.8 Billion US$ BY 2005)
Country imported Crude Oil & Products worth 18.4 Billion US $ in 2003-04




                                                                                                  3
CRUDE IMPORTS
                      Countries                     %     MTPA
                       Persian Gulf                 65*    58.0
                       North Africa                  3      4.5
                       West Africa                  20     13.0

CRUD IMPORTS    %      South America                 6      5.3
PERSIAN GULF    67
                       North America                 0      2.6
NORTH AFRICA    05
WEST AFRICA     15     Far East                      6      2.6
SOUTH AMERICA   06
                       Russia                        0      1.0
NORTH AMERICA   03
FAR EAST        03     TOTAL                       100     87.0
RUSSIA          01
TOTAL           100   * Percentages fluctuates




                                                                  4
POSSIBLE GAS & OIL SUPPLY
                                                                   CRUDE OIL IMPORT SOURCES
                                   ROUTES
                                                         Type of Crude Oil                    Country
                                                         High Sulphur (60-63%)
                                                           (Lube bearing 35%)                 Saudi Arabia   23.55 MMT in 2003-04
                                  Delhi                                                                      (Total import 90.43 MMT)
                                                           (Non L Type 65%)
                                                              -   ube                         Iraq
                                                                                              UAE
                                                                                              Egypt
84.4            30                                                                            Kuwait
                              Dahej                                                           Oman
                     14                                  Low Sulphur (37-40%)
                                                                                                Yemen
                          6                                                                     Nigeria
                                                                                                Angola
                              6                                                                 Congo
                                                                                                Libya
                                          28
                                                                                                Malaysia
       Oil Supply Routes                                                                        Brunei
                                               2.6 MMt
                                                           The crude oil baskett is well diversified and imports are made from
       Possible Gas Supply Routes                          different regions of the world




                                                                                                                                        5
INDIA IS SELF-SUFFICIENT IN THE REFINING &
               PRICE TRENDS : MARKET CRUDE OIL                                                                                            MARKETING SECTOR

40                                                                                                                     YEAR      REFINING CAPACITY DEMAND FOR PRODUCTS            INVESTMENT
                                                                                                                                       (MTPA)             (MTPA)                    BY PSUs
35
                                                                                                                       2003 0
                                                                                                                          - 4           116.97               105.20
30                                                                                                                     2006 0
                                                                                                                          - 7           137.07               120.40        ABOUT Rs. 14,000 Crs.

25                                                                                                                                                                            (3.0 Billion US $)

20                                                                                                                                               FUTURE CAPACITY BY PSUs

15                                                                                                                     EXPECTED          24.0                 -            ABOUT Rs. 28,560 Crs.
                                                                                                                       BY 2012                                                (6.2 Billion US $)
10                                                                                                             2004
        1991    1992    1993    1994    1995    1996    1997    1998    1999    2000   2001    2002    2003    (upto   (Bina, Paradip
                                                                                                               Nov)
Brent    20     19.32   16.97   15.82   17.02   20.67   19.09   12.72   17.97   28.5   24.44   25.19   28.83   38.01
                                                                                                                       & Bhatinda)
Dubai   16.56   17.21   14.9    14.76   16.09   18.56   18.13   12.13   12.16   17.3   26.24   22.8    23.85   26.76




                                                                                                                                                                                                   6
Oil, Gas & Coal Fields
                                               Of India
              Rajasthan                                       Upper Assam
                                                                   126.9 BCM                LEGEND
               7.3 BCM        Delhi
                                                                                          Oil Fields
                     Cambay                                                               Gas Fields
                      96.9 BCM                                                            Coal Fields


                                                         Kolkata     AAFB

NATURAL GAS          Mumbai
                                                 K. G.
                                                51.9 BCM
                                                                    25.2 BCM


              Mumbai Off.
               393.34 BCM             Chennai

                                       Cauvery                     Balance Rec. : 735 BCM
                                       23.4 BCM                    Reserves

                                                                   R/P Ratio   : 26 Yrs




                                                                                                        7
GAIL (INDIA) LIMITED
                                         PROPOSED NATIONAL GAS GRID
                                                                                           Gas Import Options
           BHATINDA
                                                                                              Turkmenistan
                                      NE
                   DELHI     BAREILLY
                                         P   AL                    ITANAGAR
                                         GANGTOK         BHUTAN
                     AURAIYA
                                                                                                                  Delhi
                                 JAGDISHPUR
      MATHANIA                                           DISPUR
                                                                 KOHIMA
                                                                                              Iran
               KOTA                   PHOOLPUR   SHILLONG
                                             GAYA                IMPHAL
                                                  BANGLADESH
                           VIJAIPUR    BOKARO     AGARTALA
                                                             AIZAWL
           DAHEJ
JAMNAGAR                                                             MYANMAR               Qatar, Oman         Dahej
                                                       KOLKATA
   HAZIRA                                         BHUBANESHWAR                                                                           Myanmar
  MUMBAI     PUNE                                                 A 1 BLOCK,
                                             VIZAG
                                                                  MYANMAR                                                                 Malaysia, Indonesia
  DABHOL
    KOLHAPUR                            KAKINADA
                                                                                                                                          Australia
                   HYDERABAD                                                                         Yemen
            GADAG RAICHUR
                        NELLORE
   CHITRADURGA
            HASAN BANGLORE
                                                                                                             Cochin
   MANGLORE             CHENNAI                       LENGTH - 7890 KMS.
                                                                                                                          LNG imports would supplement
    KANJIRKKOD            TIRUCHCHIRAPALLI
                                                      COST   - 20,200 CRORES                    Gas P/L Import            gas pipeline imports and help in
                    COIMBTORE
            KOCHI
                                                                                                                          development of pipeline grid
                            TUTICORIN                                    ( 4.4 B. US $ )        LNG Import




                                                                                                                                                                8
LNG




      9
INDIA – LNG PROJECTS            LNG CARRIERS REQUIRED FOR INDIAN LNG PROJECTS


                                                             Average Delivery   No. of Vessels
                        LNG Sites                 Capacity      Capacity          Required         Remarks
                                                   MTPA       ship (Pa) Ton      (135000M3)

                       Dahej, Gujarat               5          1.700,000             3           Established
                       Hazir, Gujarat               2.5         1.700,000            1.5         Established
                       Dabhol, Maharashtra          5           1.700,000            3           Established
                       Cochin, Kerala               2.5         1.700,000            1.5          Planned
                       Ennore, Tamil Nadu           5           1.700,000            3            Planned
                       Hazira                       2.5         1.700,000            1.5          Planned
                       Pipavav, Gujarat             5           1.700,000            3           Under Study
                       Jamnagar, Gujarat            5           1.700,000            3           Under Study
                       Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh     2           1.700,000            1           Under Study
                       Mumbai, Maharashtra          2.5         1.700,000            1.5         Under Study
                       Gopalpur, Orissa             2.5         1.700,000            1.5         Under Study

                       Total                      33.5                             24




                                                                                                               10
INDIAN LNG DELIVERY CAPACITY PER SHIP ( 135,000 M3)


                          Distance to                     No. of      Days per      Delivery
Receiving Terminal /                     Volume per
                          Assaluyeh                     Voyage per   round trip   capacity per
Operating Companies                      Voyage (ton)
                         Nautical Mile                     year        (Days)     ship p.a (ton)

Reliance / Jamunagar
  Guillarat, 650 Km         1,040          60,613         44.79        7.81         2,714,643
 Northwest Bombay

 Indigas / Trombay
 Maharashtra, 40Km          1,260          60,544         39.62        8.83         2,398,900
   from Bombay
  Petronet / Cochin
  (Kerala, 1,100 Km         1,750          60,390         31.53        11.10        1,903,873
  South of Bombay)

Ennore (Tamil Nadu, 26
                            2,590          60,127         23.35        14.99        1,403,822
  Km from Madras)

   Vavasi Gopalpur          2,960          60,011         20.95        16.70        1,257,429




                                                                                                   11
Cost Comparision Gas Pipeline / LNG vessels From Assalueh to India
              (Dr. Chandra’s view – point, there are tentative estimates)                    LNG IMPORT PROPOSALS: 5-10 Years
                                                                                                          CAPACITY       Terminals   COMPANIES           LOCATION
                 LNG Vessels                                   Gas Pipeline                               (MMTPA)
                                                                                             PETRONET     5.0+2.5           2                            Dahej (697 mil.US$)
  12 LNG vessels         :   2,160 M.USD   Main gas trunk pipeline           : 3,500 M.USD   LNG          (10 by 2006)                                   Kochi (418 mil.US$)
                                           (including compressor stations)

  Export Terminals       :   2,500 M.USD   Domestic pipeline network         :   500 M.USD   Indian/      2.5               1        Many offers         Kakinada
                                           (additional cost)                                 Private-JV   2.5-5             2        Reliance            Jamnagar,
                                                                                                                                     Industries          Hazira
  Receiving Terminals    :   2,000 M.USD   Pipeline operation cost           : 1,575 M.USD                3.0               1        GAIL/ TEC/          Trombay
  Operation LNG vessels :    2,592 M.USD   Compressors operation cost : 1,589 M.USD                       (future 6.0)               TOTALFINA
  Operation Terminals   :    2,000 M.USD                                                                  2.5               1        TIDCO/UNOCAL/       Ennore
                                                                                                                                     CMS/ Birla Group/
  Port charges           :   1,488 M.USD   Transit fee                       : 6,570 M.USD
                                                                                                                                     Woodside
  TOTAL COST             : 12,740          TOTAL COST                        13,734
                                                                                             Foreign      10.5              3        British Gas         Pipavav
                                                                                             Companies                               Shell               Hazira
                                                                                                                                     Enron               Dabhol
   * My personal tentative estimates
                                                                                                    Likely investment 4-5 billion US$




                                                                                                                                                                               12
MAP SHOWING EEZ & 350 NAUTICAL MILE LIMIT

SEDIMENTARY
 BASINS OF                                          INDIA
                                                                                             EEZ
    INDIA                                                                                   LIMIT


BASINAL AREA : 3.14 M.SQ.KM

SEDIMENTARY AREA IS ABOUT                                                       ANDAMAN &
                                                                                 NICOBAR
4.07% OF THE WORLD’S TOTAL              EEZ LIMIT




                                                               A
                                                                                 ISLANDS




                                                                            K
                                                                         AN
SEDIMENTARY AREA.




                                                                   SRI L
COULD    WE     THEN    NOT
PRODUCE ATLEAST 2-3% OF




                                                               EEZ
WORLD’S TOTAL OIL & GAS
INSTEAD OF MERELY 0.9% AS                                                                MARITIME
AT PRESENT ?                              350 NAUTICAL MILE LIMIT                       BOUNDARY




                                                                                                    13
OIL & GAS RESERVES ESTIMATES
                               (AS ON 1.4.01)

                                                          Oil      Gas
                                                         MMT      MMTOE      Total

                Geological (Initial in-Place)           5,124      1,893 7,017
OUTER LIMITS    Initial Recoverable                     1,447      1,100 2,547
 OF INDIAN
                Balance Recoverable                      714        735      1,449
CONTINENTAL     Reserve/Production Ratio (in
   SHELF        Years)
                                                          22         26        -

                 Total Prognosticated Reserves : 28 billion MT (Oil + OEG)
               Author’s Estimate of Prog. Reserves : 32 billion MT (Oil + OEG)
                           MMTOE : Million Metric Tonnes of Oil Equivalent




                                                                                     14
Natural Gas Demand / Supply
                      RESOURCE BASE                                                                                          Projections
A.   DGH Revised Estimates                  :     32 billion tonnes (235 B.bbl)
                                                                                                                                                                                 391
B.   Earlier Hydrocarbon Resource         :    28 billion tonnes (205 B.bbl)
      50% could be converted to inplace proven reserves i.e. 14 billion tonnes
                                                                                                                    400     Supply
                                                                                                                            CBM
                                                                                                                                     *                          313
                                                                                                                    350
      Resources already established        :   7.2 billion tonnes (52 B.bbl)                                        300     Demand                                         300




                                                                                                        MMSCMD---
      Additional to be established         :   6.8 billion tonnes (49 Bbbl)                                                 LNG                231
                                                                                                                    250
C.   The upgradation can be made in the next 15 – 20 years                                                          200                                   205
                                                                                                                               151     170                150          155
D.   Additional production from                 Additional rec. reserves 3.06 billion tonnes                        150              142
     6.8 billion tonnes (O+OEG)                 Prodn. Rate Oil 24 MMt                                                                   45                45              45
                                                                                                                    100               2              10               15
     Around 50 % oil & 50% gas                                Gas 43 BCM
     Oil rec. 30% & gas rec. 60%                                                                                    50    70              95              95               95
E.   Balance recoverable reserves : 1.4 billion tonnes (10 B.bbl)                                                    0
                                                                                                                          2001-02         2006-07         2011-12          2024-25
     Current Production -         Oil      :    32 MMt / year (234 M.bbl)
                                  Gas      :    29 BCM / year
                                                                                                   SUPPLY PROJECTIONS BASED ON PRESENT RESERVES
     Thus, Total prodn. Could be
     (D+E)
                                            :     Oil 56 MMt/year
                                                  Gas 72 BCM/year
                                                                                               *
                                                                                                   ALMOST 100% INCREASE DUE TO RECENT DISCOVERIES IN PVT./J.V. SECTOR
                                                  (i.e. a peak prodn. of 197 MMSCMD)
     15% higher if DGH estimates are used
                                                                                                   INSTANT DEMAND FOR NATURAL GAS AVAILABLE IN THE COUNTRY
     This can enable Oil & Gas production to increase more than 2 folds                        *




                                                                                                                                                                                       15
Natural Gas Production Trend in India
                               Natural Gas Production Trend in India                                                                                                                                             (Including CBM )
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Additional impact of new gas ’10’




                                                                                                                                    (C.C.) 60.2
                                                                                                                                                     (C.C.) 79.9                                                         + CBM additional ’10’. Total                  Possible (impact of
      80




                                                                                                                      (C.C.) 54.7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                20MCMD More                             CBM by 2021-25
      70




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   (C.C.) 195
                                                                                                        (C.C.) 40.8
                                                                                                                                                                                         250
      60                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          (C.C.) 240
                                                                                                                                                                                               Impact of other new gas ’10’ +
                                                                                                                                                                                               CBM ’10’. Total 20 MCMD More                                                       Accounted
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                (219)
      50
                                                                                                                                                                                         200




                                                                                                                                                                   Gas Prod. In MMSCMD
BCM




      40                                                                                                                                                                                           (C.C.) 150+10+10= 170
                                                                                                                              (34.4)                                                                                                                                              Not Accounted
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  (165)                           (165)
      30                                                                                                         (34.4)                                                                  150
                                                                                                 (29.8)                                                                                                                         (150)
                                                                                                                                                  (26.6)                                                                                                                Production from East Coast
      20                                                                                                                                                                                       (112)                                                                       blocks in N.EC, Cairn,
                                                                                                                                                                                         100                                                                            shallow water GSPCL, Off.
      10                                                                                                                                                                                          (94.2)                   (94.4)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Mahanadi not taken in to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                (73)             account.
      0
                                                                                                                                                                                          50
           1970-71


                     1975-76


                                 1980-81


                                           1985-86


                                                     1990-91


                                                               1994-95


                                                                          1997-98


                                                                                    1999-00


                                                                                              2002-03


                                                                                                            2006-07


                                                                                                                          2011-12


                                                                                                                                         2016-17


                                                                                                                                                       2021-22

                                                                                                                                                                                          0
                                                                                                                                                                                                 2006-07                2011-12                2016-17                      2021-22
                                                                         YEAR
                                                                                                                                                                             Minimum impact of CBM taken into account. Potential Exists but production yet to start




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     16
PATTERN OF GAS USE (1999-2000)                             EXPECTED PATTERN OF GAS USE (2011-12)
                                      TOTAL 65 MMSCMD                                               TOTAL 135 MMSCMD PLUS

                                                            SPONGE IRON   OTHERS 2.5%        CITY GAS &
SPONGE IRON                                                    3.5%                          CNG 12-14%        SHRINKAGE &
                 OTHERS 12%           SHRINKAGE &                                                                 IC 4%
    6%
                                         IC 4%


                                4.0                                               18            5
    3.0                   7.0                                       5                                              FERTILISER 30
                                                                                                                       + 2%
                                       26                                                                 39
                                                               6
                    25
                                                                                        62
                                               FERTILISER
                                                  40%
              POWER 38%
                                                                                         POWER 46 +
                                                                                            50%




                                                                                                                                   17
Domestic Crude Oil Production /
          PETTERNOF GAS USE                                           Product Demand
                                                               Widening Demand - Supply Gap
Total Amount       65 MMSCMD    135 MMSCMD
                    1999-2000      2011-12                     400                                          368
                                                                         Production
                       (%)           (%)                       350       Demand
Power                   38         47+ 2%                      300       Equity oil abroad
                                                               250                                   195
Fertiliser              40          30+ 2
                                                               200




                                                         MMT
Shrinkage & I.C.         4             4                       150          96        110
Sponge Iron              6           3.5                                                                   120
                                                               100                                         56
                                                                       32        33
Others                  12           2.5                        50                           45 65
City Gas & CNG           0            13                         0
                                                                     2001-2002   2002-03      2011-12      2024-25
                       100           100
                                                 17 REFINERIES WITH 117 MTPA CAPACITY (TOTAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY)
                                                 REFINERIES IN ALL PRODUCING AREAS OR WITHIN 300 KMS IN NON-PRODUCING AREAS.
                                                 INSTANT DEMAND FOR CRUDE OIL AVAILABLE IN THE COUNTRY
                                             *




                                                                                                                               18
MEHSANA

         CHANGING EXPLORATION SCENARIO                                                                            N.BALOL BALOL
                                                                                                                BECHRAJI
                                                                                                              W.BECHRAJI
                                                                                                                             JOTANASOBHASAN

                                                                                                                               LINCH
                                                                                                                                    AKAJ MANSA
                                                                                                                                                                        CAMBAY BASIN
                                                                                                                      N. KADI
                                                                                                                                      PALIYAD
                                                                                                                                            LIMBODRA
                                                                                                                     S. KADI
              Total Sedimentary Area : 3.14 M. Sq. Km.                                                                          KALOL
                                                                                                                                           GANDHINAGAR


     Mod. to                                                             Mod. to
    Well Expl.
                     1995 - 96                                          Well Expl.         1998 - 99                   SANAND
                                                                                                                                        AHMEDABAD
                                                                                                                             AHMEDABAD
      0.498                                                               0.498                                                 NANDEJ          HIRAPUR

                                                                                 15%                                                       WASANA
               15%                                                                                                                      NAWAGAAM
Poorly                                                             Poorly                  41%                                      DHOLKA
 Expl.     17%                                                              17%                                              ASMALI VATRAK
                       50%                                          Expl.
0.529                                                              0.529
                                                                                                                                     KANWARA


               18%                                                                   27%      Unexplored                AKHALJUNI
                                                                                                                                    CAMBAY
                                                                                                                                                      SISWA ANKLAV

                                                                                                1.276
                                                                                                                                          N.KATHANA
                                                                                                                                                  KATHANA
                                                                                                                                                               BARODA   Current Annual      3.23 BCM
           Expl.      Unexplored                                              Expl.                                                                          PADRA
                                                                                                                                                                        Gas Prodn.
                                                                                                                                                         DABKA
         Initiated      1.557                                               Initiated                                                      JAMBUSAR       N.SARBHAN
           0.556                                                              0.837          Pre-NELP                       S.MALPUR                      MATAR
                                                                                                                                    NADA         JAMBUSAR               Envisaged Annual    5.22 BCM
                                    Mod. to                    2002 - 03                                                                      GANDHAR
                                                                                                                                                      PALEJ
                                                                                                                                                                        Gas Prodn. at end
                                    Well Expl.
                                     0.535                     Unexplored                                                                     PAKHAJAN
                                                                                                                                                DAHEJ
                                                                                                                                                                        X Plan (2006 0
                                                                                                                                                                                   - 7)
                                                 17%             1.019                                     BHAVNAGAR       GULF                               ANDADA
                                                                                                                                                           ANKLESHWAR
                                                         32%                                                                OF          MOTWAN          SISODRA
                                                                                                                                                  KUNDARA
                                                                                                                          CAMBAY
                             Poorly Expl.   19%                                                                                                KIM      KOSAMBA
                                0.590                                                                                                          OLPAD
                                                                                                                               BHANDUT
                                                                                                                           PARVATI
                                                   32%                                                                        LAKSHMI
                                                                                                                                                SURAT
                                                                                                                       AMBE                     HAZIRA
                                                          Expl. Initiated
                         NELP – I, II & III                   0.996                                              NORTH TAPTI      GAURI




                                                                                                                                                                                                       19
MUMBAI
                            OFFSHORE                     AKM
                                                                FIELD NAMES
                                                                ADIYAKKAMANGALAM
                                                                                                                          CAUVERY
                              BASIN                      ATK
                                                         BVG
                                                         KI
                                                                ATTIKKADAI
                                                                BHUVANAGIRI
                                                                KALI
                                                                                                  KARAIKAL
                                                                                                                           BASIN
                                                         KMP    KAMALAPURAM                       NAGAPATTINAM
 MID                                                     KKL    KARAIKAL
TAPTI   SOUTH TAPTI                                                                 TANJORE
                                                         KZ     KIZHVALUR
                                                         KLP    KOVILKALAPPAL
                      Current Annual        21.59 BCM    KA
                                                         KNR
                                                                KUTRALAM
                                                                KUTTANALLUR
                      Gas Prodn.                         MTR
                                                         NLM
                                                                MATTUR
                                                                NANNILAM
                                                                                                  VEDARANNIYAM
                                                         NRM    NARIMANAM
                                                         NY     NEYVELI
                      Envisaged Annual      20.43 BCM    PVM    PALLIVARAMANGALAM                                   Current Annual      0.40 BCM
                                                         PP     PERIAPATTINAM
                      Gas Prodn. at end                  PE     PERUNGULAM                                          Gas Prodn.
                      X Plan (2006-07)                   PU
                                                         RV
                                                                PUNDI
                                                                RAMANAVALASAI
                                                         TKR    THIRUKKALAR
                                                         TVR
                                                         TA
                                                                THIRUVARUR
                                                                TULSAPATNAM
                                                                                                                    Envisaged Annual    1.23 BCM
                                                         VDR    VADATHERU                                           Gas Prodn. at end
                                                               RAMANATHAPURAM
                                                                                     RAMESWARAM
                                                                                                                    X Plan (2006 0
                                                                                                                               - 7)
                               LEGEND
                               GAS FIELDS                                           OIL                 SRI LANKA
                               GAS FIELDS TO BE PUT ON                              GAS
                                                               TUTICORIN
                               PRODUCTION IN NEXT FIVE
                               YEAR PLAN




                                                                                                                                                   20
KAKINADA



                                                      N
                          GODAVARI RIVER



                          P            RAVVA

                                                              KRISHNA
                                                      M                                               Assam & North
                                                             GODAVARI
KRISHNA
                                                               BASIN                                  Eastern States
                                                      R
 RIVER




                                                                (Excluding
                                                                Deep Water)                       Current Annual      1.96 BCM
                                                                                                  Gas Prodn.

                                                      Q   Oil Discovery 2001
                                                                                                  Envisaged Annual    2.824 BCM
                                                                                        TRIPURA   Gas Prodn. at end
                                                          Gas Discovery 2001                      X Plan (2006 0
                                                                                                             - 7)
                                                                               ROKHIA

                              KG-DWN-98/2

      Current Annual      2.45 BCM
      Gas Prodn.

      Envisaged Annual    2.78 BCM
      Gas Prodn. at end   (Excluding Deep Water)
      X Plan (2006-07)




                                                                                                                                  21
Rajasthan Basin


                                                  PUGAL



                Tanot
                                                                                       RECENT SPURT
 Dandewala

Baggi Tibba      TANOT
 Sadewala
Kharatar
                 Manhera Tibba    OIL Baghewala
                                                                                             IN
  ONGC                  RAMGARH
                                           Current Annual    0.1 BCM
  Ghotaru

 Bakhri Tibba
                         JAISALMER
                                           Gas Prodn.

                                           Envisaged Annual 0.23 BCM
                                                                                    OIL & GAS DISCOVERIES
                                           Gas Prodn. at end
                                           X Plan (2006-07) (Excluding New finds)
      Heavy oil field
      Gas fields




                                                                                                            22
RESERVES ACCRETION TREND
                                                          NELP SCENARIO
                                             400   Average Line 115 MMT for the period 1992-2000 / year
                                                                                                                       348




                  ACCRETION IN MMT (O+OEG)
                                                                                                    329.61
                                             350




                     INPLACE RESERVES
                                             300
                                                                              226.6
Geophysical and                              250
 Geochemical                                 200      166.11
Surveys carried                                                  Average                Average
                                             150
  out by DGH                                                    1992-2000              1992-2000             115

                                             100

                                              50

                                               0
                                                   2000-01                  2001-02              2002-03           2003-04
                                                                                       Year




                                                                                                                             23
OIL & GAS DISCOVERY TREND
                                     NELP SCENARIO
                                                                                   NEW SIGNIFICANT DISCOVERIES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              KAREWA                                           AREA                  Million Sq. Km.



                                                                                                                                                                                DISCOVERIES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               UP TO 200m ISOBATH        1.784




                     20                                        DISCOVERIES                                                                                                                                   HIMALAYAN FORELAND
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     SPITI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -ZANSKAR              INCLUDING DEEP WATER 3.14




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               DAMODAR                     ASSAM SHELF




                                                         16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                RAJASTHAN         GANGA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       ASSAM-ARAKAN

                                                                                                                                       DISCOVERIES                       - 57                                       CAMBAY


                                                                                                                                                                                                             SAURASHTRA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            KUTCH       VINDHYAN       SOUTH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       REWA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  SATPURA            BEN-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         FOLD BELT



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              LEGEND
NO. OF DISCOVERIES




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     GAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            BAY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        NARMADACHATTIS -

                                                                                                                                                     PRE-NELP              13
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           CATEGORY - I BASIN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            OF
                                                                                                                                      LAKSHMI                                                                                 BOMBAY               GARH     BASTAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          BENGAL           CATEGORY - II BASIN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               OFF.  DECCAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    SYNECLISE                                              CATEGORY - III BASIN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          KORI-                                          MAHANADI

                                                                  CHINNEWALA                                                                                                                                              COMORIN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            DEEP
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        BHIMA -            KRISHNA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    PRANHITA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           -
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    GODAVARI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           CATEGORY - IV BASIN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           DEEP SEA BASIN



                                                                     TIBBA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           PRE -CAMBRIAN BASEMENT /
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              OFF.     KALADGI             GODAVARI

                                                                                                                                                     NELP                  19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           TECTONISED SEDIMENTS


                                                                                                                                     ANNAPURNA                                                                                          CUDDAPAH           0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          85 E DEEP
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          OFFSHORE ANDAMAN
                                                                                                                                                                                    BAGHJAN,
                     15
                                                                                                                                                                                                             KERALA KONKAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   -      -                                              -
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         NARCODAM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          NICOBAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       DEEP OFFSHORE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      CAUVERY
                                                                                                                                                                                  MATIMEKHANA,
                                                                 SARASWATI                                                            VASAI EAST     NOC’s                 25
                                                                                                                                                                                    CHABUA &
                                                                RAAGESHWARI
                                                                                                                                                                                  N. CHANDMARI
                                                                     GR-F                                                  Delhi
                                              10                 KAMESHWARI                  Rajasthan
                                9                                 MANGALA                      Basin
                                                                                                                                                                                  BANAMALI &
                                                                                                                                                                                 LAIPLING GAON

                     10                                         N-A, N-C & N-V-1                    RJ-ON-90/1                                                                     SONAMURA
                                                                                    CB-ONN-2000/1
                                                                                                                                                                                   DHIRUBHAI –
                                                                      PK-2                                      I N D I A                  Kolkata                                 9, 10, 11 & 15
                                                                                                     CB-ONN-2000/2
                                                                  BHEEMA, NS
                                                                                                     CB-OS/2                                                                       ENDUMURU-9

                                                                                                     Mumbai
                     5                                                NMT-2                                                                          BAY
                                                                                                                                                                                      G4-2-AB

                                                                                                                                                     OF
                                                                                                                                     KG-DWN-98/3 BAY
                                                                                                                                                   BENGAL                           DHIRUBHAI –
                                                               VASAI EAST & WEST                                                                  OF
                                                                                                                                                   BENGAL                       1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 16
                                                                                                                                     D-6
                                                                    LAKSHMI                                                        D-5                                            KANAKDURGA




                                                                                                                                                                 A
                                                                                                                      Chennai      KG-DWN-98/2




                                                                                                                                                             N
                     0                                                AMBE




                                                                                                                                                             D
                                                                                                                                                                                   ANNAPURNA




                                                                                                                                                             A
                           2000-01        2001-02    2002-03




                                                                                                                                                             M
                                                                      GAURI
                                                                                                                                                                                    PADMAVATI




                                                                                                                                                             A
                                                                                                                                                             N
                                                                     PARVATI
                                                                                         Oil              0    200   400




                                                                                                                                                                     &
                                         Year
                                                                                                                                                                                   GS-49 & GS-KW
                                                                       CBX-1             Gas                   Km




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       24
BLOCK KG-DWN-98/2 (D5)                                                               Deep Waters - K.G Basin
                      SIGNIFICANT DISCOVERIES                                                             LEADS AND PROSPECTS
                                                                       KAKINADA                K.G. BASIN
 EXPLORATION                                        GODAVARI RIVER



                                                    P
  ACTIVITIES                         KANAKA DURGA                                                        RAVVA
                                                                     RAVVA
 CARRIED OUT                                                                      PADMAVATI


2D (LKM)     : 6457                                                                    M
3D (Sq.Km) : 2260
                           KRISHNA



                                                                                         R
                            RIVER
Drilled wells : 6
                                                                                                  0M
                                                                                                50
Discoveries : 3
                                                                              ANNAPURNA
                                                                                                       1000 M                              Proved Gas Field
                                                                                                                                       Proved Oil Field
                                                                                                                                       Prospects/Leads

               Oil Field
               Gas Field




                                                                                                 0M
                                                                                                  0
               Discovery                                                                                                                           Courtesy: CEIL




                                                                                               15
                                                                              Courtesy: CEIL




                                                                                                                                                                    25
NEW DEEP WATER DISCOVERIES                                                     Deep Waters - K.G Basin
                        BLOCK KG-DWN-98/3 (Reliance)
                          KRISHNA – GODAVARI BASIN                        NELP- I                    BLOCK KG-DWN-98/3 (D-6)
                                                                                                       WELL A1 (Dhirubhai – 1)

     INDEX
Gas Discoveries
                                                                                                                                 Late Miocene Sands (1850- 2200m)
Identified Locations          Dhiru-1                                                                  FLAT SPOT
                                                                                                                                 Gross Pay    : 250m (7 Sands

                                                                                                                                 Net Pay      : 140m
                             Dhiru-3
                                           Dhiru-2
                                                                                                                                 Ø            : 22%
                                                         More discoveries
                                                       expected in this area.                                                    K            : 100–5000 md

                                                                                                                                 Sw           : 34%

                                                                                                                                 IGIP         : 3.35 TCF
                                                     This block can produce
                                                     30 to 40 MMSCMD of                                                          Test Production :   40 MMSCFD
                                                     Natural Gas. In this block                                                  Well Depth   : 2903m
                                                     biggest discovery in the
                                                     world for natural gas for
                                                     the year 2002 was found


                                                                                    SEISMIC SECTION THROUGH DISCOVERY WELL




                                                                                                                                                                    26
Deep Waters - K.G Basin
                BLOCK KG-DWN-98/3 (D-6)

                                                                                                                                                      D-9




                                                                                                    NEC-OSN-97/2
                                                                                              0.5
                                                                                                                 D15
                                                            NEW DISCOVERIES:
                                                                                                               D9
                                                            DHIRUBHAI 9, 10 & 11                             D11
                                                                                                            D10




                                                                                   TWT IN SECS.
                                                                                              1.5




                                                                                              2.5
Depositional System
Interpretation &
Discrete Amplitude
Geobodies (enlarged)
                                                                                                               SEISMIC SECTION THROUGH DISCOVERY WELL DHIRUBHAI-9
  DEPOSITIONAL SYSTEM INTERPRETATION         Courtesy:RIL




                                                                                                                                                                    27
Gulf of Cambay
                   SIGNIFICANT DISCOVERIES                                                 New Discovery : VASAI WEST (B-22)
Lakshmi Field Gas Production
Current Rate      : 3.0 MMSCMD
                                                 GULF
Peak Rate         : 3.4 MMSCMD                    OF
                                                CAMBAY
          DST Test Rates
Lakshmi Gas 0.408 MMSCMD
            Oil   15.68 tones
Gauri       Gas 0.532 MMSCMD
            Oil   141.75 tones          CB/OS 2
                                            -
Ambe        Gas 0.001 MMSCMD
            Oil   87.72 tones                PARVATI
Parvati     Oil   242.15 tones




                                           N. TAPTI



                                                                 HAZIRA




                                          LAKSHMI
                                 AMBE                    GAURI
                                                                          Courtesy: CEIL




                                                                                                                               28
OPERATOR : CAIRN ENERGY
      NEW DISCOVERIES : RAJASTHAN BASIN




                                                                                                                                          DE
                                                                                                                                          LH
                           PAK IST AN                                                                                                                                                   N-C




                                                                                                                                           I–
                                                                                                                                                                               N-V-1

BLOCK : RJ/0N-90-1




                                                                                                                                               SA
                                                                                                                                                                                                   MANGALA




                                                                                                                                     IN

                                                                                                                                                 RG
                                                                                                                                  AS
                                                                                                                                                                                                    N-A




                                                                                                                                                       OD
                                                                                                                               -B




                                                                                                                                                         HA
                                                                                                                              B
                                                                                                                            SU




                                                                                                                                                                RID
                         Known Gas
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      NEW DISCOVERIES :


                                                                                                                     R




                                                                                                                                                                   GE
                                                                                                                  AU
                       Producing Area




                                                                                                               AG
                                                                                                          ARCH                                                                                                                        RAJASTHAN BASIN
                                                                                                            -N
                                                                                                                           BIK ANER


                                                                                                          R
                                                                                                   R   NE
                                                        GAR
                                                               H                              PU
                                                                                         AM
                                                                                                     KA

                                                    HAN F




                                                                                                                                                           GE
                                                                                  B IK
                                   J-




                                             K IS        L
                                                     SHE
                                                                                                   BI


                                                                                                                              NAG AUR
                                                       POK H




                                                                                                                                               ARAVALLI RAN
                                                                                                                                                                                              KAMESHWARI
                                   M H




                                                                                                                                                                                                                          SARASWATI
                                                                       NACHNA
                                                         HIG
                                                           ARA
                                        IG
                                         H




                           SHAHG ARH                                  +
                                                              N




                                                                              +                                                                                                                            RAAGESHWARI
                                               JAISALM ER               +
                             LO W                                      +          +
                                                                                   +          POKRAN
                                                ER                            +
                                              M IN             +                                           JO DHPUR
                                            AL S
                                                                                  +

                                          IS -B A+                                                                                                                                                                       GUDA
                                        JA UB + +
                                          S    +
                                                       +               BARM ER
                                                                                  +
                                                     +     +                                                                                                                                                             GR-F
                                                                                         +    +
                                                               BARM




                                                      +
                                                          +               + +
                                                                                                               +
                                                        +                                     +        +
                      New Oil &                                                                    +           +
                                                                                                           +
                                                                   ER G




                     Gas Province                                                                      +
                                                                                  SAN CHO R                                                                             Prospects
                                                                        RAB




                       0      50        100 km
                                                                                                                   +                                                    Oil Discovery
                                                                                                           +           IG NEOUS RO CKS
                                                                       EN




                             SCALE




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          29
STATUS OF PEL
                       AND ML AREAS
                        AS ON 1-6-1996
SALIENT ACHIEVEMENTS
      OF NELP          PEL        203
                       ML         163
                       TOTAL      366




                                         30
Status of Exploration Rounds
                     80
                          72
                     70

STATUS OF PEL        60


AND ML AREAS         50
                                    45         46
                                                         45
                                                                                              48

                     40
 AS ON 1-4-2003                                                        34
                                                                                 28                27
                                                                                                     25 25 2323 27 2323 24
                     30

                                                                                                                          2120
                     20                                                     18
                               13                   12
                                         10                   10
                     10                    6         5             7         7        7
                                5                                                         5
PEL        273        0

                            IV        V          VI        VII           VIII      JV   NELP-1 NELP-2 NELP-3 NELP-4
ML         245            (1991)    (1993)     (1993)    (1994)        (1994)    (1995) (1999) (2000) (2002) (2003)

TOTAL      518              No. of Blocks Offered                      No. of Blocks Bid For                 Blocks Awarded

                  -
                  4 5times more blocks are awarded under NELP each year, compared to earlier
                  rounds due to better terms and excellent prospectivity of new blocks.




                                                                                                                                 31
AWARDED ACREAGE DISTRIBUTION


                               PVT.       SHALLOW
        NOC                 (Pre-NELP)    OFFSHORE
        0.23                                 0.18                ONLAND
                               0.10
                                                                   0.10
           16%
                         7%                        24%
                                                              13%           NEW INITIATIVES
                 77%                                   63%                        BY
           NELP- I, II III & IV
                0.76
                                                 DEEP WATER
                                                    0.48                         DGH
Total PEL Area – about 1.3 M. Sq. km.    Total NELP Area- 0.99 M. Sq. km.




                                                                                              32
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)
Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)

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Emerging trends in oil & gas sectors in india (6 jan'04)

  • 1. PRESENTATION OUTLINE Emerging Trends INTRODUCTION – PETROLEUM SECTOR OVERVIEW REFINING & MARKETING in NATURAL GAS Oil & Gas Sector LNG INFRASTRUCTURE in India RECENT SPURT IN OIL & GAS DISCOVERIES SOME ARE WORLD CLASS GREATELY IMPROVED HYDROCARBON By PROSPECTIVITY OF INDIAN SEDIMENTARY BASINS SALIENT ACHIEVEMENTS OF NELP Dr. Avinash Chandra NEW INITIATIVES BY DGH (PERSONAL VIEW-POINT) GAS HYDRATE PROSPECTS 1
  • 2. PETROLEUM SECTOR : AN OVERVIEW Oil and Gas plays key role in Energy Sector Share of Oil and Gas in Commercial Energy consumption India : 41% World : 63% Per capita consumption of petroleum products INTRODUCTION India : 110 Kg World : 920 Kg Annual average growth rate for petroleum product demand 6-7%, whereas world average is 1.54% 8th Largest consumer of Oil & Gas, expected to be 4th largest consumer in next 10 years. 2
  • 3. Broad Investment Figures in the Oil & Gas Sector in India (25 Billion US$ / Year) TENTH PLAN (2002-03 to 2006-07) PSUs Rs. in Crores US $ in Billion Exploration & Production 59,469 or 12.93 Refining & Marketing 36,572 or 7.95 96,041 or 20.88 Pvt/JV Companies Likely on Exploration Possible on Production About 3,220 About 23,000 or or 0.70 (?) 5.00 (?) REFINING & MARKETING About 27.0 Billion US $ We are broadly looking at Investment of around 6.0 Billion US $ per year Plus 0.4 Billion US$ on LNG (0.8 Billion US$ BY 2005) Country imported Crude Oil & Products worth 18.4 Billion US $ in 2003-04 3
  • 4. CRUDE IMPORTS Countries % MTPA Persian Gulf 65* 58.0 North Africa 3 4.5 West Africa 20 13.0 CRUD IMPORTS % South America 6 5.3 PERSIAN GULF 67 North America 0 2.6 NORTH AFRICA 05 WEST AFRICA 15 Far East 6 2.6 SOUTH AMERICA 06 Russia 0 1.0 NORTH AMERICA 03 FAR EAST 03 TOTAL 100 87.0 RUSSIA 01 TOTAL 100 * Percentages fluctuates 4
  • 5. POSSIBLE GAS & OIL SUPPLY CRUDE OIL IMPORT SOURCES ROUTES Type of Crude Oil Country High Sulphur (60-63%) (Lube bearing 35%) Saudi Arabia 23.55 MMT in 2003-04 Delhi (Total import 90.43 MMT) (Non L Type 65%) - ube Iraq UAE Egypt 84.4 30 Kuwait Dahej Oman 14 Low Sulphur (37-40%) Yemen 6 Nigeria Angola 6 Congo Libya 28 Malaysia Oil Supply Routes Brunei 2.6 MMt The crude oil baskett is well diversified and imports are made from Possible Gas Supply Routes different regions of the world 5
  • 6. INDIA IS SELF-SUFFICIENT IN THE REFINING & PRICE TRENDS : MARKET CRUDE OIL MARKETING SECTOR 40 YEAR REFINING CAPACITY DEMAND FOR PRODUCTS INVESTMENT (MTPA) (MTPA) BY PSUs 35 2003 0 - 4 116.97 105.20 30 2006 0 - 7 137.07 120.40 ABOUT Rs. 14,000 Crs. 25 (3.0 Billion US $) 20 FUTURE CAPACITY BY PSUs 15 EXPECTED 24.0 - ABOUT Rs. 28,560 Crs. BY 2012 (6.2 Billion US $) 10 2004 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 (upto (Bina, Paradip Nov) Brent 20 19.32 16.97 15.82 17.02 20.67 19.09 12.72 17.97 28.5 24.44 25.19 28.83 38.01 & Bhatinda) Dubai 16.56 17.21 14.9 14.76 16.09 18.56 18.13 12.13 12.16 17.3 26.24 22.8 23.85 26.76 6
  • 7. Oil, Gas & Coal Fields Of India Rajasthan Upper Assam 126.9 BCM LEGEND 7.3 BCM Delhi Oil Fields Cambay Gas Fields 96.9 BCM Coal Fields Kolkata AAFB NATURAL GAS Mumbai K. G. 51.9 BCM 25.2 BCM Mumbai Off. 393.34 BCM Chennai Cauvery Balance Rec. : 735 BCM 23.4 BCM Reserves R/P Ratio : 26 Yrs 7
  • 8. GAIL (INDIA) LIMITED PROPOSED NATIONAL GAS GRID Gas Import Options BHATINDA Turkmenistan NE DELHI BAREILLY P AL ITANAGAR GANGTOK BHUTAN AURAIYA Delhi JAGDISHPUR MATHANIA DISPUR KOHIMA Iran KOTA PHOOLPUR SHILLONG GAYA IMPHAL BANGLADESH VIJAIPUR BOKARO AGARTALA AIZAWL DAHEJ JAMNAGAR MYANMAR Qatar, Oman Dahej KOLKATA HAZIRA BHUBANESHWAR Myanmar MUMBAI PUNE A 1 BLOCK, VIZAG MYANMAR Malaysia, Indonesia DABHOL KOLHAPUR KAKINADA Australia HYDERABAD Yemen GADAG RAICHUR NELLORE CHITRADURGA HASAN BANGLORE Cochin MANGLORE CHENNAI LENGTH - 7890 KMS. LNG imports would supplement KANJIRKKOD TIRUCHCHIRAPALLI COST - 20,200 CRORES Gas P/L Import gas pipeline imports and help in COIMBTORE KOCHI development of pipeline grid TUTICORIN ( 4.4 B. US $ ) LNG Import 8
  • 9. LNG 9
  • 10. INDIA – LNG PROJECTS LNG CARRIERS REQUIRED FOR INDIAN LNG PROJECTS Average Delivery No. of Vessels LNG Sites Capacity Capacity Required Remarks MTPA ship (Pa) Ton (135000M3) Dahej, Gujarat 5 1.700,000 3 Established Hazir, Gujarat 2.5 1.700,000 1.5 Established Dabhol, Maharashtra 5 1.700,000 3 Established Cochin, Kerala 2.5 1.700,000 1.5 Planned Ennore, Tamil Nadu 5 1.700,000 3 Planned Hazira 2.5 1.700,000 1.5 Planned Pipavav, Gujarat 5 1.700,000 3 Under Study Jamnagar, Gujarat 5 1.700,000 3 Under Study Kakinada, Andhra Pradesh 2 1.700,000 1 Under Study Mumbai, Maharashtra 2.5 1.700,000 1.5 Under Study Gopalpur, Orissa 2.5 1.700,000 1.5 Under Study Total 33.5 24 10
  • 11. INDIAN LNG DELIVERY CAPACITY PER SHIP ( 135,000 M3) Distance to No. of Days per Delivery Receiving Terminal / Volume per Assaluyeh Voyage per round trip capacity per Operating Companies Voyage (ton) Nautical Mile year (Days) ship p.a (ton) Reliance / Jamunagar Guillarat, 650 Km 1,040 60,613 44.79 7.81 2,714,643 Northwest Bombay Indigas / Trombay Maharashtra, 40Km 1,260 60,544 39.62 8.83 2,398,900 from Bombay Petronet / Cochin (Kerala, 1,100 Km 1,750 60,390 31.53 11.10 1,903,873 South of Bombay) Ennore (Tamil Nadu, 26 2,590 60,127 23.35 14.99 1,403,822 Km from Madras) Vavasi Gopalpur 2,960 60,011 20.95 16.70 1,257,429 11
  • 12. Cost Comparision Gas Pipeline / LNG vessels From Assalueh to India (Dr. Chandra’s view – point, there are tentative estimates) LNG IMPORT PROPOSALS: 5-10 Years CAPACITY Terminals COMPANIES LOCATION LNG Vessels Gas Pipeline (MMTPA) PETRONET 5.0+2.5 2 Dahej (697 mil.US$) 12 LNG vessels : 2,160 M.USD Main gas trunk pipeline : 3,500 M.USD LNG (10 by 2006) Kochi (418 mil.US$) (including compressor stations) Export Terminals : 2,500 M.USD Domestic pipeline network : 500 M.USD Indian/ 2.5 1 Many offers Kakinada (additional cost) Private-JV 2.5-5 2 Reliance Jamnagar, Industries Hazira Receiving Terminals : 2,000 M.USD Pipeline operation cost : 1,575 M.USD 3.0 1 GAIL/ TEC/ Trombay Operation LNG vessels : 2,592 M.USD Compressors operation cost : 1,589 M.USD (future 6.0) TOTALFINA Operation Terminals : 2,000 M.USD 2.5 1 TIDCO/UNOCAL/ Ennore CMS/ Birla Group/ Port charges : 1,488 M.USD Transit fee : 6,570 M.USD Woodside TOTAL COST : 12,740 TOTAL COST 13,734 Foreign 10.5 3 British Gas Pipavav Companies Shell Hazira Enron Dabhol * My personal tentative estimates Likely investment 4-5 billion US$ 12
  • 13. MAP SHOWING EEZ & 350 NAUTICAL MILE LIMIT SEDIMENTARY BASINS OF INDIA EEZ INDIA LIMIT BASINAL AREA : 3.14 M.SQ.KM SEDIMENTARY AREA IS ABOUT ANDAMAN & NICOBAR 4.07% OF THE WORLD’S TOTAL EEZ LIMIT A ISLANDS K AN SEDIMENTARY AREA. SRI L COULD WE THEN NOT PRODUCE ATLEAST 2-3% OF EEZ WORLD’S TOTAL OIL & GAS INSTEAD OF MERELY 0.9% AS MARITIME AT PRESENT ? 350 NAUTICAL MILE LIMIT BOUNDARY 13
  • 14. OIL & GAS RESERVES ESTIMATES (AS ON 1.4.01) Oil Gas MMT MMTOE Total Geological (Initial in-Place) 5,124 1,893 7,017 OUTER LIMITS Initial Recoverable 1,447 1,100 2,547 OF INDIAN Balance Recoverable 714 735 1,449 CONTINENTAL Reserve/Production Ratio (in SHELF Years) 22 26 - Total Prognosticated Reserves : 28 billion MT (Oil + OEG) Author’s Estimate of Prog. Reserves : 32 billion MT (Oil + OEG) MMTOE : Million Metric Tonnes of Oil Equivalent 14
  • 15. Natural Gas Demand / Supply RESOURCE BASE Projections A. DGH Revised Estimates : 32 billion tonnes (235 B.bbl) 391 B. Earlier Hydrocarbon Resource : 28 billion tonnes (205 B.bbl) 50% could be converted to inplace proven reserves i.e. 14 billion tonnes 400 Supply CBM * 313 350 Resources already established : 7.2 billion tonnes (52 B.bbl) 300 Demand 300 MMSCMD--- Additional to be established : 6.8 billion tonnes (49 Bbbl) LNG 231 250 C. The upgradation can be made in the next 15 – 20 years 200 205 151 170 150 155 D. Additional production from Additional rec. reserves 3.06 billion tonnes 150 142 6.8 billion tonnes (O+OEG) Prodn. Rate Oil 24 MMt 45 45 45 100 2 10 15 Around 50 % oil & 50% gas Gas 43 BCM Oil rec. 30% & gas rec. 60% 50 70 95 95 95 E. Balance recoverable reserves : 1.4 billion tonnes (10 B.bbl) 0 2001-02 2006-07 2011-12 2024-25 Current Production - Oil : 32 MMt / year (234 M.bbl) Gas : 29 BCM / year SUPPLY PROJECTIONS BASED ON PRESENT RESERVES Thus, Total prodn. Could be (D+E) : Oil 56 MMt/year Gas 72 BCM/year * ALMOST 100% INCREASE DUE TO RECENT DISCOVERIES IN PVT./J.V. SECTOR (i.e. a peak prodn. of 197 MMSCMD) 15% higher if DGH estimates are used INSTANT DEMAND FOR NATURAL GAS AVAILABLE IN THE COUNTRY This can enable Oil & Gas production to increase more than 2 folds * 15
  • 16. Natural Gas Production Trend in India Natural Gas Production Trend in India (Including CBM ) Additional impact of new gas ’10’ (C.C.) 60.2 (C.C.) 79.9 + CBM additional ’10’. Total Possible (impact of 80 (C.C.) 54.7 20MCMD More CBM by 2021-25 70 (C.C.) 195 (C.C.) 40.8 250 60 (C.C.) 240 Impact of other new gas ’10’ + CBM ’10’. Total 20 MCMD More Accounted (219) 50 200 Gas Prod. In MMSCMD BCM 40 (C.C.) 150+10+10= 170 (34.4) Not Accounted (165) (165) 30 (34.4) 150 (29.8) (150) (26.6) Production from East Coast 20 (112) blocks in N.EC, Cairn, 100 shallow water GSPCL, Off. 10 (94.2) (94.4) Mahanadi not taken in to (73) account. 0 50 1970-71 1975-76 1980-81 1985-86 1990-91 1994-95 1997-98 1999-00 2002-03 2006-07 2011-12 2016-17 2021-22 0 2006-07 2011-12 2016-17 2021-22 YEAR Minimum impact of CBM taken into account. Potential Exists but production yet to start 16
  • 17. PATTERN OF GAS USE (1999-2000) EXPECTED PATTERN OF GAS USE (2011-12) TOTAL 65 MMSCMD TOTAL 135 MMSCMD PLUS SPONGE IRON OTHERS 2.5% CITY GAS & SPONGE IRON 3.5% CNG 12-14% SHRINKAGE & OTHERS 12% SHRINKAGE & IC 4% 6% IC 4% 4.0 18 5 3.0 7.0 5 FERTILISER 30 + 2% 26 39 6 25 62 FERTILISER 40% POWER 38% POWER 46 + 50% 17
  • 18. Domestic Crude Oil Production / PETTERNOF GAS USE Product Demand Widening Demand - Supply Gap Total Amount 65 MMSCMD 135 MMSCMD 1999-2000 2011-12 400 368 Production (%) (%) 350 Demand Power 38 47+ 2% 300 Equity oil abroad 250 195 Fertiliser 40 30+ 2 200 MMT Shrinkage & I.C. 4 4 150 96 110 Sponge Iron 6 3.5 120 100 56 32 33 Others 12 2.5 50 45 65 City Gas & CNG 0 13 0 2001-2002 2002-03 2011-12 2024-25 100 100 17 REFINERIES WITH 117 MTPA CAPACITY (TOTAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY) REFINERIES IN ALL PRODUCING AREAS OR WITHIN 300 KMS IN NON-PRODUCING AREAS. INSTANT DEMAND FOR CRUDE OIL AVAILABLE IN THE COUNTRY * 18
  • 19. MEHSANA CHANGING EXPLORATION SCENARIO N.BALOL BALOL BECHRAJI W.BECHRAJI JOTANASOBHASAN LINCH AKAJ MANSA CAMBAY BASIN N. KADI PALIYAD LIMBODRA S. KADI Total Sedimentary Area : 3.14 M. Sq. Km. KALOL GANDHINAGAR Mod. to Mod. to Well Expl. 1995 - 96 Well Expl. 1998 - 99 SANAND AHMEDABAD AHMEDABAD 0.498 0.498 NANDEJ HIRAPUR 15% WASANA 15% NAWAGAAM Poorly Poorly 41% DHOLKA Expl. 17% 17% ASMALI VATRAK 50% Expl. 0.529 0.529 KANWARA 18% 27% Unexplored AKHALJUNI CAMBAY SISWA ANKLAV 1.276 N.KATHANA KATHANA BARODA Current Annual 3.23 BCM Expl. Unexplored Expl. PADRA Gas Prodn. DABKA Initiated 1.557 Initiated JAMBUSAR N.SARBHAN 0.556 0.837 Pre-NELP S.MALPUR MATAR NADA JAMBUSAR Envisaged Annual 5.22 BCM Mod. to 2002 - 03 GANDHAR PALEJ Gas Prodn. at end Well Expl. 0.535 Unexplored PAKHAJAN DAHEJ X Plan (2006 0 - 7) 17% 1.019 BHAVNAGAR GULF ANDADA ANKLESHWAR 32% OF MOTWAN SISODRA KUNDARA CAMBAY Poorly Expl. 19% KIM KOSAMBA 0.590 OLPAD BHANDUT PARVATI 32% LAKSHMI SURAT AMBE HAZIRA Expl. Initiated NELP – I, II & III 0.996 NORTH TAPTI GAURI 19
  • 20. MUMBAI OFFSHORE AKM FIELD NAMES ADIYAKKAMANGALAM CAUVERY BASIN ATK BVG KI ATTIKKADAI BHUVANAGIRI KALI KARAIKAL BASIN KMP KAMALAPURAM NAGAPATTINAM MID KKL KARAIKAL TAPTI SOUTH TAPTI TANJORE KZ KIZHVALUR KLP KOVILKALAPPAL Current Annual 21.59 BCM KA KNR KUTRALAM KUTTANALLUR Gas Prodn. MTR NLM MATTUR NANNILAM VEDARANNIYAM NRM NARIMANAM NY NEYVELI Envisaged Annual 20.43 BCM PVM PALLIVARAMANGALAM Current Annual 0.40 BCM PP PERIAPATTINAM Gas Prodn. at end PE PERUNGULAM Gas Prodn. X Plan (2006-07) PU RV PUNDI RAMANAVALASAI TKR THIRUKKALAR TVR TA THIRUVARUR TULSAPATNAM Envisaged Annual 1.23 BCM VDR VADATHERU Gas Prodn. at end RAMANATHAPURAM RAMESWARAM X Plan (2006 0 - 7) LEGEND GAS FIELDS OIL SRI LANKA GAS FIELDS TO BE PUT ON GAS TUTICORIN PRODUCTION IN NEXT FIVE YEAR PLAN 20
  • 21. KAKINADA N GODAVARI RIVER P RAVVA KRISHNA M Assam & North GODAVARI KRISHNA BASIN Eastern States R RIVER (Excluding Deep Water) Current Annual 1.96 BCM Gas Prodn. Q Oil Discovery 2001 Envisaged Annual 2.824 BCM TRIPURA Gas Prodn. at end Gas Discovery 2001 X Plan (2006 0 - 7) ROKHIA KG-DWN-98/2 Current Annual 2.45 BCM Gas Prodn. Envisaged Annual 2.78 BCM Gas Prodn. at end (Excluding Deep Water) X Plan (2006-07) 21
  • 22. Rajasthan Basin PUGAL Tanot RECENT SPURT Dandewala Baggi Tibba TANOT Sadewala Kharatar Manhera Tibba OIL Baghewala IN ONGC RAMGARH Current Annual 0.1 BCM Ghotaru Bakhri Tibba JAISALMER Gas Prodn. Envisaged Annual 0.23 BCM OIL & GAS DISCOVERIES Gas Prodn. at end X Plan (2006-07) (Excluding New finds) Heavy oil field Gas fields 22
  • 23. RESERVES ACCRETION TREND NELP SCENARIO 400 Average Line 115 MMT for the period 1992-2000 / year 348 ACCRETION IN MMT (O+OEG) 329.61 350 INPLACE RESERVES 300 226.6 Geophysical and 250 Geochemical 200 166.11 Surveys carried Average Average 150 out by DGH 1992-2000 1992-2000 115 100 50 0 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 Year 23
  • 24. OIL & GAS DISCOVERY TREND NELP SCENARIO NEW SIGNIFICANT DISCOVERIES KAREWA AREA Million Sq. Km. DISCOVERIES UP TO 200m ISOBATH 1.784 20 DISCOVERIES HIMALAYAN FORELAND SPITI -ZANSKAR INCLUDING DEEP WATER 3.14 DAMODAR ASSAM SHELF 16 RAJASTHAN GANGA ASSAM-ARAKAN DISCOVERIES - 57 CAMBAY SAURASHTRA KUTCH VINDHYAN SOUTH REWA SATPURA BEN- FOLD BELT LEGEND NO. OF DISCOVERIES GAL BAY NARMADACHATTIS - PRE-NELP 13 CATEGORY - I BASIN OF LAKSHMI BOMBAY GARH BASTAR BENGAL CATEGORY - II BASIN OFF. DECCAN SYNECLISE CATEGORY - III BASIN KORI- MAHANADI CHINNEWALA COMORIN DEEP BHIMA - KRISHNA PRANHITA - GODAVARI CATEGORY - IV BASIN DEEP SEA BASIN TIBBA PRE -CAMBRIAN BASEMENT / OFF. KALADGI GODAVARI NELP 19 TECTONISED SEDIMENTS ANNAPURNA CUDDAPAH 0 85 E DEEP OFFSHORE ANDAMAN BAGHJAN, 15 KERALA KONKAN - - - NARCODAM NICOBAR DEEP OFFSHORE CAUVERY MATIMEKHANA, SARASWATI VASAI EAST NOC’s 25 CHABUA & RAAGESHWARI N. CHANDMARI GR-F Delhi 10 KAMESHWARI Rajasthan 9 MANGALA Basin BANAMALI & LAIPLING GAON 10 N-A, N-C & N-V-1 RJ-ON-90/1 SONAMURA CB-ONN-2000/1 DHIRUBHAI – PK-2 I N D I A Kolkata 9, 10, 11 & 15 CB-ONN-2000/2 BHEEMA, NS CB-OS/2 ENDUMURU-9 Mumbai 5 NMT-2 BAY G4-2-AB OF KG-DWN-98/3 BAY BENGAL DHIRUBHAI – VASAI EAST & WEST OF BENGAL 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 16 D-6 LAKSHMI D-5 KANAKDURGA A Chennai KG-DWN-98/2 N 0 AMBE D ANNAPURNA A 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 M GAURI PADMAVATI A N PARVATI Oil 0 200 400 & Year GS-49 & GS-KW CBX-1 Gas Km 24
  • 25. BLOCK KG-DWN-98/2 (D5) Deep Waters - K.G Basin SIGNIFICANT DISCOVERIES LEADS AND PROSPECTS KAKINADA K.G. BASIN EXPLORATION GODAVARI RIVER P ACTIVITIES KANAKA DURGA RAVVA RAVVA CARRIED OUT PADMAVATI 2D (LKM) : 6457 M 3D (Sq.Km) : 2260 KRISHNA R RIVER Drilled wells : 6 0M 50 Discoveries : 3 ANNAPURNA 1000 M Proved Gas Field Proved Oil Field Prospects/Leads Oil Field Gas Field 0M 0 Discovery Courtesy: CEIL 15 Courtesy: CEIL 25
  • 26. NEW DEEP WATER DISCOVERIES Deep Waters - K.G Basin BLOCK KG-DWN-98/3 (Reliance) KRISHNA – GODAVARI BASIN NELP- I BLOCK KG-DWN-98/3 (D-6) WELL A1 (Dhirubhai – 1) INDEX Gas Discoveries Late Miocene Sands (1850- 2200m) Identified Locations Dhiru-1 FLAT SPOT Gross Pay : 250m (7 Sands Net Pay : 140m Dhiru-3 Dhiru-2 Ø : 22% More discoveries expected in this area. K : 100–5000 md Sw : 34% IGIP : 3.35 TCF This block can produce 30 to 40 MMSCMD of Test Production : 40 MMSCFD Natural Gas. In this block Well Depth : 2903m biggest discovery in the world for natural gas for the year 2002 was found SEISMIC SECTION THROUGH DISCOVERY WELL 26
  • 27. Deep Waters - K.G Basin BLOCK KG-DWN-98/3 (D-6) D-9 NEC-OSN-97/2 0.5 D15 NEW DISCOVERIES: D9 DHIRUBHAI 9, 10 & 11 D11 D10 TWT IN SECS. 1.5 2.5 Depositional System Interpretation & Discrete Amplitude Geobodies (enlarged) SEISMIC SECTION THROUGH DISCOVERY WELL DHIRUBHAI-9 DEPOSITIONAL SYSTEM INTERPRETATION Courtesy:RIL 27
  • 28. Gulf of Cambay SIGNIFICANT DISCOVERIES New Discovery : VASAI WEST (B-22) Lakshmi Field Gas Production Current Rate : 3.0 MMSCMD GULF Peak Rate : 3.4 MMSCMD OF CAMBAY DST Test Rates Lakshmi Gas 0.408 MMSCMD Oil 15.68 tones Gauri Gas 0.532 MMSCMD Oil 141.75 tones CB/OS 2 - Ambe Gas 0.001 MMSCMD Oil 87.72 tones PARVATI Parvati Oil 242.15 tones N. TAPTI HAZIRA LAKSHMI AMBE GAURI Courtesy: CEIL 28
  • 29. OPERATOR : CAIRN ENERGY NEW DISCOVERIES : RAJASTHAN BASIN DE LH PAK IST AN N-C I– N-V-1 BLOCK : RJ/0N-90-1 SA MANGALA IN RG AS N-A OD -B HA B SU RID Known Gas NEW DISCOVERIES : R GE AU Producing Area AG ARCH RAJASTHAN BASIN -N BIK ANER R R NE GAR H PU AM KA HAN F GE B IK J- K IS L SHE BI NAG AUR POK H ARAVALLI RAN KAMESHWARI M H SARASWATI NACHNA HIG ARA IG H SHAHG ARH + N + RAAGESHWARI JAISALM ER + LO W + + + POKRAN ER + M IN + JO DHPUR AL S + IS -B A+ GUDA JA UB + + S + + BARM ER + + + GR-F + + BARM + + + + + + + + New Oil & + + + ER G Gas Province + SAN CHO R Prospects RAB 0 50 100 km + Oil Discovery + IG NEOUS RO CKS EN SCALE 29
  • 30. STATUS OF PEL AND ML AREAS AS ON 1-6-1996 SALIENT ACHIEVEMENTS OF NELP PEL 203 ML 163 TOTAL 366 30
  • 31. Status of Exploration Rounds 80 72 70 STATUS OF PEL 60 AND ML AREAS 50 45 46 45 48 40 AS ON 1-4-2003 34 28 27 25 25 2323 27 2323 24 30 2120 20 18 13 12 10 10 10 6 5 7 7 7 5 5 PEL 273 0 IV V VI VII VIII JV NELP-1 NELP-2 NELP-3 NELP-4 ML 245 (1991) (1993) (1993) (1994) (1994) (1995) (1999) (2000) (2002) (2003) TOTAL 518 No. of Blocks Offered No. of Blocks Bid For Blocks Awarded - 4 5times more blocks are awarded under NELP each year, compared to earlier rounds due to better terms and excellent prospectivity of new blocks. 31
  • 32. AWARDED ACREAGE DISTRIBUTION PVT. SHALLOW NOC (Pre-NELP) OFFSHORE 0.23 0.18 ONLAND 0.10 0.10 16% 7% 24% 13% NEW INITIATIVES 77% 63% BY NELP- I, II III & IV 0.76 DEEP WATER 0.48 DGH Total PEL Area – about 1.3 M. Sq. km. Total NELP Area- 0.99 M. Sq. km. 32