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Draft version October 10, 2014
Preprint typeset using LATEX style emulateapj v. 5/2/11
A PRECISE WATER ABUNDANCE MEASUREMENT FOR THE HOT JUPITER WASP-43b
Laura Kreidberg1,12
, Jacob L. Bean1,13
, Jean-Michel D´esert2
, Michael R. Line3
, Jonathan J. Fortney3
, Nikku
Madhusudhan4
, Kevin B. Stevenson1,14
, Adam P. Showman5
, David Charbonneau6
, Peter R. McCullough7
, Sara
Seager8
, Adam Burrows9
, Gregory W. Henry10
, Michael Williamson10
, Tiffany Kataria5
& Derek Homeier11
Draft version October 10, 2014
ABSTRACT
The water abundance in a planetary atmosphere provides a key constraint on the planet’s primordial
origins because water ice is expected to play an important role in the core accretion model of planet
formation. However, the water content of the solar system giant planets is not well known because
water is sequestered in clouds deep in their atmospheres. By contrast, short-period exoplanets have
such high temperatures that their atmospheres have water in the gas phase, making it possible to
measure the water abundance for these objects. We present a precise determination of the water
abundance in the atmosphere of the 2 MJup short-period exoplanet WASP-43b based on thermal
emission and transmission spectroscopy measurements obtained with the Hubble Space Telescope. We
find the water content is consistent with the value expected in a solar composition gas at planetary
temperatures (0.4−3.5× solar at 1 σ confidence). The metallicity of WASP-43b’s atmosphere suggested
by this result extends the trend observed in the solar system of lower metal enrichment for higher
planet masses.
Subject headings: planets and satellites: atmospheres — planets and satellites: composition — planets
and satellites: individual: WASP-43b
1. INTRODUCTION
Water ice is an important building block for planet for-
mation under the core accretion paradigm (Pollack et al.
1996). According to this model, protoplanetary cores
form by sticky collisions of planetesimals. Once the cores
reach a threshold mass, they experience runaway accre-
tion of nearby material. Beyond the water frost line, wa-
ter is expected to be the dominant component by mass of
planetesimals in solar composition protoplanetary disks
(Marboeuf et al. 2008; Johnson et al. 2012). Measure-
ments of a planet’s water content can therefore help con-
strain the disk chemistry, location, and surface density of
solids where it formed (e.g. Lodders 2004; Mousis et al.
2009; ¨Oberg et al. 2011; Madhusudhan et al. 2011; Mousis
E-mail: laura.kreidberg@uchicago.edu
1 Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of
Chicago, 5640 S. Ellis Ave, Chicago, IL 60637, USA
2 CASA, Department of Astrophysical & Planetary Sciences,
University of Colorado, 389-UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA
3 Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of
California,Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA
4 Institute for Astronomy, University of Cambridge, Cam-
bridge CB3 OHA, UK
5 Department of Planetary Sciences and Lunar and Planetary
Laboratory, The University of Arizona, Tuscon, AZ 85721, USA
6 Department of Astronomy, Harvard University, Cambridge,
MA 02138, USA
7 Space Telescope Science Institute, Baltimore, MD 21218,
USA
8 Department of Physics, Massachussetts Insitute of Technol-
ogy, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA
9 Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University,
Princeton, NJ 08544, USA
10 Center of Excellence in Information Systems, Tennessee
State University, Nashville, TN 37209, USA
11 Centre de Recherche Astrophysique de Lyon, UMR 5574,
CNRS, Universit´e de Lyon, ´Ecole Normale Sup´erieure de Lyon,
46 All´ee d’Italie, F-69364 Lyon Cedex 07, France
12 National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellow
13 Alfred P. Sloan Research Fellow
14 NASA Sagan Fellow
et al. 2012; Helled & Lunine 2014; Marboeuf et al. 2014).
Despite water’s important role in planet formation,
there are few observational constraints on the bulk abun-
dance of water in gas giant planets. The solar system
giants have such low temperatures that water has con-
densed into clouds deep in their atmospheres, and is not
easily accessible to remote observations (Guillot & Gau-
tier 2014). The Galileo probe mass spectrometer entered
Jupiter’s atmosphere and provided a direct measurement
of the water abundance, but found a surprisingly small
value (0.29±0.10× solar) which contrasts with the 2−5×
solar enhancement of most other volatile species (Wong
et al. 2004). The reliability of the water measurement is
uncertain given local meteorological effects at the probe
entry point (Showman & Ingersoll 1998) and it is gener-
ally considered a lower limit. One of the main goals of
NASA’s JUNO mission, which is scheduled to arrive at
Jupiter in 2016, is to make a new measurement of the
atmospheric water abundance (Matousek 2007).
In contrast to the solar system planets, hot exoplan-
ets should harbor gaseous water in their observable at-
mospheres. Detections of water have been reported for
a number of giant exoplanets (Grillmair et al. 2008;
Konopacky et al. 2013; Deming et al. 2013; Birkby et al.
2013), and some previous measurements have yielded
precise constraints on the abundance of water in these
objects (Lee et al. 2013; Line et al. 2014; Madhusudhan
et al. 2014). However, interpretation of past results has
been challenging for cases when theoretical models do
not provide good fits to the observed spectra (e.g. Line
et al. 2014) and when measurement reproducibility has
been questioned (e.g. Swain et al. 2009; Gibson et al.
2011).
The Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC3) instrument on the
Hubble Space Telescope (HST) has enabled transit and
eclipse observations of exoplanets that give repeatable
results over year-long time baselines (Kreidberg et al.
arXiv:1410.2255v1[astro-ph.EP]8Oct2014
2 Kreidberg et al.
2014) and consistent measurements with multiple anayl-
sis techniques (Deming et al. 2013; Kreidberg et al.
2014; Knutson et al. 2014; McCullough et al. 2014). We
use HST/WFC3 to measure precise transmission and
emission spectra for the 2 MJup, short-period exoplanet
WASP-43b that enable comparative planetology with gas
giants in the solar system.
2. OBSERVATIONS AND DATA REDUCTION
We observed three full-orbit phase curves, three pri-
mary transits, and two secondary eclipses of WASP-43b
with 61 HST orbits as part of GO Program 13467. Dur-
ing the observations, we obtained low-resolution time se-
ries spectroscopy with the WFC3 G141 grism over the
wavelength range 1.1 to 1.7 µm. The phase curves each
span the entire orbital period of the planet (19.5 hours)
and include coverage of a transit and eclipse, yielding
a total of six transit and five eclipse observations. Fur-
ther details of the observing campaign are described in a
companion paper (Stevenson et al. 2014). We focus here
on constraints on the planet’s water abundance obtained
from the transit and eclipse data.
We extracted spectroscopic light curves from the data
using a technique outlined in past work (Kreidberg et al.
2014). In our analysis, we used a subset of the total
observations, including only spectra obtained within 160
minutes of the time of central transit or eclipse. We
fit the spectroscopic light curves to derive transmission
and emission spectra, shown in Figure 1. The fitted light
curves are shown in Figures S1 and S2.
The light curve fits consisted of either a transit or
eclipse model (as appropriate, Mandel & Agol 2002) mul-
tiplied by an analytic function of time used to correct
systematic trends in the data. The dominant system-
atic is an HST orbit-long ramp (Berta et al. 2012; Dem-
ing et al. 2013; Kreidberg et al. 2014; Wilkins et al.
2014), which we fit with an exponential function (using
the model-ramp parameterization from Kreidberg et al.
2014). The free parameters in our transit model are the
planet-to-star radius ratio and a linear limb darkening co-
efficient. The eclipse model has one free parameter, the
planet-to-star flux ratio. In all of our spectroscopic light
curve fits, we fixed the orbital inclination to 82.1◦
, the
ratio of semimajor axis to stellar radius to 4.872, and the
time of central transit to 2456601.02748 BJDTDB based
on the best fit to the band-integrated (“white”) transit
light curve. For the eclipse data, we also fixed the planet-
to-star radius ratio to Rp/Rs = 0.12. Our models use
an orbital period equal to 0.81347436 days (Blecic et al.
2014). The secondary eclipse time measured from the
white eclipse light curve is consistent with a circular or-
bit, so we assume zero eccentricity for our spectroscopic
light curve fits.
We show the transit and eclipse depths from this anal-
ysis in Table 1 and the transmission and emission spectra
in Figure 1. All of the fitted light curves have residuals
within 10% of the predicted photon+read noise. The
median reduced chi-squared for the fits is 1.0 (for both
transit and eclipse light curves). We measure consistent
depths from epoch to epoch, which suggests that stel-
lar variability does not significantly impact our measure-
ments. We obtained further confirmation of this from
photometric monitoring of WASP-43 that shows minimal
variation, indicating that the effect of starspots is below
TABLE 1
Transit and Eclipse Depths
Wavelength Transit Deptha Wavelength Eclipse Depth
(µm) (ppm) (µm) (ppm)
1.135 – 1.158 96 ± 54 1.125 – 1.160 367±45
1.158 – 1.181 -14 ± 52 1.160 – 1.195 431±39
1.181 – 1.204 -24 ± 49 1.195 – 1.230 414±38
1.205 – 1.228 -134 ± 52 1.230 – 1.265 482±36
1.228 – 1.251 56 ± 49 1.265 – 1.300 460±37
1.251 – 1.274 -14 ± 52 1.300 – 1.335 473±33
1.274 – 1.297 -24 ± 49 1.335 – 1.370 353±34
1.297 – 1.320 -14 ± 50 1.370 – 1.405 313±30
1.320 – 1.343 6 ± 45 1.405 – 1.440 320±36
1.343 – 1.366 156 ± 50 1.440 – 1.475 394±36
1.366 – 1.389 126 ± 46 1.475 – 1.510 439±33
1.389 – 1.412 116 ± 49 1.510 – 1.545 458±35
1.412 – 1.435 36 ± 46 1.545 – 1.580 595±36
1.435 – 1.458 -34 ± 51 1.580 – 1.615 614±37
1.458 – 1.481 -84 ± 46 1.615 – 1.650 732±42
1.481 – 1.504 -44 ± 51
1.504 – 1.527 6 ± 47
1.527 – 1.550 6 ± 48
1.550 – 1.573 -14 ± 49
1.573 – 1.596 -54 ± 49
1.596 – 1.619 -74 ± 53
1.619 – 1.642 -74 ± 51
a Transit depths are given relative to the mean over all wavelengths,
which is 2.5434%.
the precision of our data. The photometry is presented
in Figure S3.
3. ANALYSIS
We retrieved the planet’s atmospheric properties by
fitting the transmission and dayside emission spectra
with the CHIMERA Bayesian retrieval suite (Line et al.
2013b; Line & Yung 2013; Line et al. 2014). The re-
trieval constrains the molecular abundances and the
temperature-pressure (T-P) profile of WASP-43b’s at-
mosphere. In addition to our HST data, we included
two high-precision, 3.6- and 4.5-µm broadband photo-
metric Spitzer Space Telescope/IRAC secondary eclipse
measurements (Blecic et al. 2014) in the retrieval. We
found that using the highest-precision ground-based sec-
ondary eclipse measurements (Gillon et al. 2012) did not
significantly affect our results, so our final analysis incor-
porates data from HST and Spitzer only.
We analyzed the transmission and emission spectra in-
dependently. In both cases, we retrieved the abundances
of H2O, CH4, CO, and CO2, which are expected to be the
dominant opacity sources at the observed wavelengths for
a hydrogen-rich atmosphere. Our model also includes
collision-induced H2/He absorption. We explored the ef-
fects of including the additional chemical species H2S,
NH3, K, and FeH, and found that our results were un-
changed.
For the emission spectrum retrieval, we used a five-
parameter model for the T-P profile motivated by ana-
lytic gray radiative-equilibrium solutions (Parmentier &
Guillot 2014). The model fits a one-dimensional T-P pro-
file to the hemispherically averaged emission spectrum.
For the transmission spectrum modeling, we retrieved an
effective scale height temperature, a reference pressure at
which the fiducial radius is defined, and an opaque gray
cloud top pressure, in addition to the molecular abun-
dances (Line et al. 2013a). The distributions of retrieved
parameters are shown in Figure 2. The retrieved T-P
3
1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7
Wavelength (µm)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Eclipsedepth(×10−4)
3.0 4.0 5.0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7
Wavelength (µm)
-200
-100
0
100
200
Relativetransitdepth(ppm)
a
b
Fig. 1.— Emission and transmission spectra for WASP-43b. a, The emission spectrum measurements from HST/WFC3 (white circles)
and Spitzer/IRAC (white squares; inset). b, The transmission spectrum from WFC3 (white circles). For both panels, the uncertainties
correspond to 1 σ errors from a Markov chain fit. The error bars for the Spitzer measurements are smaller than the symbols. We show the
best fit models from our retrieval analysis (dark blue lines) with 1- and 2-σ confidence regions denoted by blue and cyan shading. The blue
circles indicate the best fit model averaged over the bandpass of each spectroscopic channel. The fits to both the emission and transmission
spectra have chi-squared values nearly equal to the number of data points n (χ2/n = 1.2 for both).
profile for the dayside emission spectrum is presented in
Stevenson et al. (2014).
4. RESULTS
4.1. Constraints from the Emission Spectrum
The emission spectrum shows strong evidence for water
absorption. We detect water at 11.7 σ confidence (6.4 σ
from the WFC3 data alone), according to the Bayesian
information criterion (BIC). The data constrain the vol-
ume mixing ratio of H2O in the planet’s atmosphere to
be 3.1 × 10−4
– 4.4 × 10−3
at 1 σ confidence. Figure 3
shows the distribution of H2O abundances that fit the
observations.
Water is the only molecule significantly detected over
the WFC3 wavelength range; however, additional con-
straints from the Spitzer data suggest CO and/or CO2
are also present in the planet’s atmosphere. We de-
tect CO+CO2 at 4.7 σ confidence in the combined
WFC3/IRAC spectrum. The measured abundance of
CO2 is relatively high compared to the expected thermo-
chemical value for a solar composition gas (∼ 5 × 10−8
).
We find that a moderately super-solar metallicity com-
position has equilibrium H2O, CO2, and CO abundances
that are within the range of our retrieved values. How-
ever, the CO+CO2 constraints are driven mainly by the
photometric point from the Spitzer 4.5 µm channel. The
bandpass for this channel is about 1 µm wide, and cov-
ers features from CO, CO2, and H2O (Sharp & Burrows
2007). Making a robust determination of the abundances
of these molecules requires spectroscopic observations to
resolve their absorption features. The main conclusions
of this work are unchanged if we exclude the Spitzer data
from our analysis.
The best-fit thermal profile has decreasing temperature
with pressure and is consistent with predictions from a
radiative-convective model for the substellar point over
the range of pressures to which our data are sensitive. We
find no evidence for a thermal inversion. Further details
4 Kreidberg et al.
log H2 O = −3.6+0.8
−0.9
1210864
logCH4
log CH4 = −7.9+2.8
−2.8
10.07.55.02.5
logCO
log CO = −7.2+3.1
−3.1
1210864
logCO2
log CO2 = −8.1+2.7
−2.7
500
750
1000
T
T = 639.5+144.6
−129.2
3.02.52.01.5
logPref
log Pref = −2.4+0.6
−0.4
6.0
4.5
3.0
log H2 O
21012
logPc
12
10
8
6
4
log CH4
10.0
7.5
5.0
2.5
log CO
12
10
8
6
4
log CO2
500
750
1000
T
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
log Pref
2
1
0
1
2
log Pc
log Pc = −0.1+1.1
−0.8
log H2 O = −2.9+0.6
−0.6
12
10
8
6
log CH4
10.0
7.5
5.0
2.5
log CO
6
4
2
log CO2
1400
1600
1800
2000
T100
4.23.63.02.41.8
logH2O
log CH4 = −9.1+2.3
−2.0
121086
logCH4
log CO = −5.9+3.3
−3.9
10.0
7.55.02.5
logCO
log CO2 = −3.9+1.2
−1.2
642
logCO2
T100 = 1593.7+97.1
−141.2
Fig. 2.— Pairs plots of retrieved parameters from the emission spectrum (top right) and the transmission spectrum (lower left). We plot
every tenth point from our MCMC chains. For the emission spectrum fits, we show constraints on the retrieved molecular abundances (in
units of log mixing ratio) and the temperature at the 100 mbar pressure level (T100, in Kelvin). For the transmission spectrum, we show
constraints on the molecular abundances (in units of log mixing ratio), the scale height temperature (in Kelvin), the reference pressure Pref
(in bars), and the cloud-top pressure Pc (in bars).
of the thermal structure of the planet’s atmosphere are
available in Stevenson et al. (2014).
4.2. Constraints from the Transmission Spectrum
We obtain complementary results for the atmospheric
composition based on a retrieval for the transmission
spectrum. Water absorption is detected at 5 σ confi-
dence and is visible in the data, shown in Figure 1 (panel
b). The transmission spectrum fit allows a water vol-
ume mixing ratio between 3.3×10−5
and 1.4×10−3
at
1 σ, which is consistent with the bounds derived from the
emission measurements. No other molecules are detected
in the spectrum according to the BIC. The constraints
on the water abundance (shown in Figure 3) are broader
than those obtained from the emission spectrum because
the abundance is correlated with the reference pressure
level, which is only weakly constrained by the observa-
tions. We remind the reader that the size of features in
the transmission spectrum is controlled by the molecular
abundances, the planet’s atmospheric scale height, and
5
the radius of the planet relative to the star (Miller-Ricci
et al. 2009).
In addition to probing the atmospheric composition,
the data also constrain the temperature at the terminator
and the cloud top pressure. The 1 σ confidence interval
on the scale height temperature is 500–780 K. We find no
evidence for a cloud at the pressure levels to which our
observations are sensitive.
4.3. Joint Constraint on the Water Abundance
We derive consistent water abundances for WASP-43b
from the emission and transmission spectra. This con-
sistency matches the prediction from theoretical models
of hot Jupiters that water has a nearly uniform abun-
dance with both pressure (from 10 to 10−8
bar) and with
temperature (Moses et al. 2011). Therefore, to obtain a
more precise estimate of WASP-43b’s water abundance,
we assume the regions of the atmosphere probed by the
emission and transmission data have the same water con-
tent. Because the measurements are independent, we
can combine their constraints by multiplying the prob-
ability distributions for water abundance retrieved from
each data set. This yields a joint distribution, shown in
Figure 3, which constrains the water volume mixing ra-
tio to 2.4 × 10−4
– 2.1 × 10−3
at 1 σ confidence. This
measurement contrasts with the sub-solar water abun-
dance values reported for three other hot Jupiters by
Madhusudhan et al. (2014), and suggests that additional
observations are needed to understand the diversity in
composition of these objects.
5. DISCUSSION
5.1. Comparison with Solar System Planets
With our well-determined water abundance for the at-
mosphere of WASP-43b, we can begin a comparative
study with the giant planets in the solar system. How-
ever, it is not possible to directly compare water abun-
dances, because the water content in the solar system
giants is poorly constrained. We instead compare the
planets’ metallicities, which we estimate from chemical
species with well-determined abundances. To calculate
metallicity based on a molecule X, we determine the
planet’s enhancement in X relative to the volume mix-
ing ratio of X expected for a solar composition gas at
planetary temperatures. We use solar abundances from
Asplund et al. (2009) for the calculation.
We infer the solar system planets’ metallicities from the
abundance of methane, which has been precisely mea-
sured for all four giant planets. Jupiter’s methane abun-
dance is from the Galileo probe (Wong et al. 2004), while
those of the other planets are from infrared spectroscopy
(Fletcher et al. 2009; Karkoschka & Tomasko 2011; Sro-
movsky et al. 2011). The 1 σ confidence intervals for the
planets’ metallicities are 3.3–5.5, 9.5–10.3, 71–100, and
67–111 × solar for Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune, and Uranus,
respectively. These bounds are shown in Figure 4.
We determine the metallicity of WASP-43b based on
our measured water abundance. The planet’s temper-
ature is cooler at the terminator than at the substellar
point. The difference between these temperatures leads
to a factor of two discrepancy in the expected water vol-
ume mixing ratio for a solar composition gas. This dif-
ference is small relative to the uncertainty in the planet’s
10−3 10−2 10−1 1 10 102
Water abundance relative to solar
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Frequency
10−6 10−5 10−4 10−3 10−2
Water volume mixing ratio
Fig. 3.— Constraints on the water abundance of WASP-43b.
We show the probability distributions of water abundances mea-
sured from the emission spectrum (orange line) and transmission
spectrum (blue line). The water abundance relative to solar is
calculated using a “solar water abundance” of 6.1 × 10−4, which
is the water volume mixing ratio for a solar composition gas in
thermochemical equilibrium at planetary temperatures. The con-
straints from the emission and transmission spectra are consistent
with each other, in accordance with expectations from theoretical
models that the water abundance is constant to within a factor
of ∼ 2 over the pressure levels and temperatures in the observ-
able atmosphere (Moses et al. 2011). The joint constraint from
multiplying the two probability distributions is indicated by the
solid black line, and constrains the water abundance to between
3.1 × 10−4 and 4.4 × 10−3 (0.4 − 3.5× solar) at 1 σ confidence.
measured water abundance, so we therefore adopt the av-
erage predicted water volume mixing ratio (6.1 × 10−4
).
Using the joint constraint from the transmission and
emission spectra, we find the water abundance is 0.4 to
3.5× solar at 1 σ confidence. The 3 σ upper limit on the
water enhancement is 20× solar.
We note that determining the metallicity relative to
solar composition assumes that the planets have a scaled
solar abundance pattern. This assumption could lead to
an incorrect estimate of metallicity in the case of non-
solar abundance ratios. For example, if WASP-43b had
a super-solar carbon-to-oxygen (C/O) ratio, we would
expect a smaller fraction of the total oxygen to be parti-
tioned into H2O (Madhusudhan 2012). We would there-
fore underestimate the planet’s metallicity based on our
assumption of solar abundances. However, given that the
C/O ratio is poorly constrained by our data but broadly
consistent with solar, we proceed with the comparison
with these caveats in mind.
The metallicity estimates for the solar system planets
show a pattern of decreasing metal enhancement with
increasing planet mass (see Figure 4). This trend is gen-
erally thought to be controlled by the relative impor-
tance of accretion of solid planetesimals versus H/He-
dominated gas. Planet population synthesis models aim
to match atmospheric metallicity to planet mass (Fort-
ney et al. 2013; Marboeuf et al. 2014), but there are lim-
ited data available for planets outside the solar system.
The metallicity of WASP-43b indicates that the trend
6 Kreidberg et al.
0.01 0.1 1 10
Mass (MJup)
1
10
100
Metallicity(×solar)
Super-
Earths
Ice
giants Solar System giants
Extrasolar
giant planets
UranusNeptune
Saturn
Jupiter
WASP-43bFig. 4.— Atmospheric metal abundances as a function of planet
mass for the solar system giant planets and WASP-43b. The error
bars correspond to 1 σ uncertainties and represent statistical errors
only. The dashed line is a power law fit to the data. We base the
metallicity estimates on the abundances of representative proxies.
The solar system planet metallicities are inferred from methane,
and the metallicity of WASP-43b is based on our derived water
abundance.
seen in the solar system may extend to exoplanets.
5.2. Prospects for Future Work
WASP-43b, with twice the mass of Jupiter and an or-
bital period of less than one day, exemplifies the oppor-
tunity exoplanets provide to study planet formation over
a larger parameter space than what is available in our
solar system. A more insightful comparative planetology
study using WASP-43b could be performed by improv-
ing the precision of the water abundance estimate and
measuring the abundances of additional molecules. Such
measurements will be enabled by the broad wavelength
coverage and increased sensitivity of next-generation ob-
serving facilities such as the James Webb Space Tele-
scope.
However, a planet’s chemical composition depends on
many factors, including the planet’s formation location
within the protoplanetary disk, the composition, size and
accretion rate of planetesimals, and the planet’s migra-
tion history. Even perfect constraints on the abundances
of many chemical species for a small number of objects
may not yield a unique model for the origin of giant plan-
ets. Fortunately, the plethora of transiting exoplanets
that have already been found and will be discovered with
future missions offer the potential for statistical stud-
ies. Measuring precise chemical abundances for a large
and diverse sample of these objects would facilitate the
development of a more comprehensive theory of planet
formation.
This work is based on observations made with the
NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope that were obtained
at the Space Telescope Science Institute, which is oper-
ated by the Association of Universities for Research in
Astronomy, Inc., under NASA contract NAS 5-26555.
These observations are associated with program GO-
13467. Support for this work was provided by NASA
through a grant from the Space Telescope Science Insti-
tute, the National Science Foundation through a Gradu-
ate Research Fellowship (to L.K.), the Alfred P. Sloan
Foundation through a Sloan Research Fellowship (to
J.L.B.), and the Sagan Fellowship Program (to K.B.S.)
as supported by NASA and administered by the NASA
Exoplanet Science Institute. G.W.H. and M.W.W. ac-
knowledge long-term support from NASA, NSF, Ten-
nessee State University, and the State of Tennessee
through its Centers of Excellence program. D.H. ac-
knowledges support from the European Research Coun-
cil under the European Community’s Seventh Frame-
work Programme (FP7/2007-2013 Grant Agreement no.
247060).
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Supplemental Figures
150 100 50 0 50 100 150
Time from central transit (minutes)
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Relativeflux,offset
Broadband
1.15µm
1.17µm
1.19µm
1.22µm
1.24µm
1.26µm
1.29µm
1.31µm
1.33µm
1.35µm
1.38µm
1.40µm
1.42µm
1.45µm
1.47µm
1.49µm
1.52µm
1.54µm
1.56µm
1.58µm
1.61µm
1.63µm
150 100 50 0 50 100 150
Time from central transit (minutes)
-1,000
0
1,000
O-C(ppm)
-600 0 600
O - C (ppm)
Probabilitydensity
a b c
Fig. S1.— Spectrophotometric transit observations of WASP-43b. a, Transit light curves corrected for systematics (points) compared
to the best-fit model light curves (lines). The data are binned in 5-minute phase increments for visual clarity. b, Residuals for the light
curve fits, binned in phase. The median residual root-mean-square (unbinned) is 353 parts per million, and all spectroscopic channels have
residuals within 5% of the photon noise limit. c, Histogram of the unbinned residuals (colored lines) compared to predictions from the
photon noise (black lines).
9
150 100 50 0 50 100 150
Time from central transit (minutes)
0.980
0.985
0.990
0.995
1.000
Relativeflux,offset
Broadband
1.14µm
1.18µm
1.21µm
1.25µm
1.28µm
1.32µm
1.35µm
1.39µm
1.42µm
1.46µm
1.49µm
1.53µm
1.56µm
1.60µm
1.63µm
150 100 50 0 50 100 150
Time from central transit (minutes)
-1,000
0
1,000
O-C(ppm)
-600 0 600
O - C (ppm)
Probabilitydensity
a b c
Fig. S2.— Eclipse observations of WASP-43b. a, Light curves for 15 spectrophotometric channels, binned in phase in 10-minute increments
and corrected for instrument systematics (points). The best-fit eclipse models are also shown (black lines). b, Residuals for the light curve
fits (also binned in phase). c, Histograms of the unbinned residuals (colored lines) shown in comparison to the expected photon noise (black
lines).
10 Kreidberg et al.
Fig. S3.— (Top): Cousins R band photometry of WASP-43 during the 2013–2014 observing season acquired with the C14 automated
imaging telescope at Fairborn Observatory. Low amplitude brightness variability of approximately 0.005 mag is present. (Middle): Fre-
quency spectrum of the C14 observations, which suggests possible stellar rotation periods of 14.10 and 16.12 days. (Bottom): A least-squares
sine fit of the C14 observations phased with the 14.10-day period shows reasonable coherence over the 2013–2014 observing season.

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A precise water_abundance_measurement_for_the_hot_jupiter_wasp_43b

  • 1. Draft version October 10, 2014 Preprint typeset using LATEX style emulateapj v. 5/2/11 A PRECISE WATER ABUNDANCE MEASUREMENT FOR THE HOT JUPITER WASP-43b Laura Kreidberg1,12 , Jacob L. Bean1,13 , Jean-Michel D´esert2 , Michael R. Line3 , Jonathan J. Fortney3 , Nikku Madhusudhan4 , Kevin B. Stevenson1,14 , Adam P. Showman5 , David Charbonneau6 , Peter R. McCullough7 , Sara Seager8 , Adam Burrows9 , Gregory W. Henry10 , Michael Williamson10 , Tiffany Kataria5 & Derek Homeier11 Draft version October 10, 2014 ABSTRACT The water abundance in a planetary atmosphere provides a key constraint on the planet’s primordial origins because water ice is expected to play an important role in the core accretion model of planet formation. However, the water content of the solar system giant planets is not well known because water is sequestered in clouds deep in their atmospheres. By contrast, short-period exoplanets have such high temperatures that their atmospheres have water in the gas phase, making it possible to measure the water abundance for these objects. We present a precise determination of the water abundance in the atmosphere of the 2 MJup short-period exoplanet WASP-43b based on thermal emission and transmission spectroscopy measurements obtained with the Hubble Space Telescope. We find the water content is consistent with the value expected in a solar composition gas at planetary temperatures (0.4−3.5× solar at 1 σ confidence). The metallicity of WASP-43b’s atmosphere suggested by this result extends the trend observed in the solar system of lower metal enrichment for higher planet masses. Subject headings: planets and satellites: atmospheres — planets and satellites: composition — planets and satellites: individual: WASP-43b 1. INTRODUCTION Water ice is an important building block for planet for- mation under the core accretion paradigm (Pollack et al. 1996). According to this model, protoplanetary cores form by sticky collisions of planetesimals. Once the cores reach a threshold mass, they experience runaway accre- tion of nearby material. Beyond the water frost line, wa- ter is expected to be the dominant component by mass of planetesimals in solar composition protoplanetary disks (Marboeuf et al. 2008; Johnson et al. 2012). Measure- ments of a planet’s water content can therefore help con- strain the disk chemistry, location, and surface density of solids where it formed (e.g. Lodders 2004; Mousis et al. 2009; ¨Oberg et al. 2011; Madhusudhan et al. 2011; Mousis E-mail: laura.kreidberg@uchicago.edu 1 Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Chicago, 5640 S. Ellis Ave, Chicago, IL 60637, USA 2 CASA, Department of Astrophysical & Planetary Sciences, University of Colorado, 389-UCB, Boulder, CO 80309, USA 3 Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of California,Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA 4 Institute for Astronomy, University of Cambridge, Cam- bridge CB3 OHA, UK 5 Department of Planetary Sciences and Lunar and Planetary Laboratory, The University of Arizona, Tuscon, AZ 85721, USA 6 Department of Astronomy, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA 7 Space Telescope Science Institute, Baltimore, MD 21218, USA 8 Department of Physics, Massachussetts Insitute of Technol- ogy, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA 9 Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA 10 Center of Excellence in Information Systems, Tennessee State University, Nashville, TN 37209, USA 11 Centre de Recherche Astrophysique de Lyon, UMR 5574, CNRS, Universit´e de Lyon, ´Ecole Normale Sup´erieure de Lyon, 46 All´ee d’Italie, F-69364 Lyon Cedex 07, France 12 National Science Foundation Graduate Research Fellow 13 Alfred P. Sloan Research Fellow 14 NASA Sagan Fellow et al. 2012; Helled & Lunine 2014; Marboeuf et al. 2014). Despite water’s important role in planet formation, there are few observational constraints on the bulk abun- dance of water in gas giant planets. The solar system giants have such low temperatures that water has con- densed into clouds deep in their atmospheres, and is not easily accessible to remote observations (Guillot & Gau- tier 2014). The Galileo probe mass spectrometer entered Jupiter’s atmosphere and provided a direct measurement of the water abundance, but found a surprisingly small value (0.29±0.10× solar) which contrasts with the 2−5× solar enhancement of most other volatile species (Wong et al. 2004). The reliability of the water measurement is uncertain given local meteorological effects at the probe entry point (Showman & Ingersoll 1998) and it is gener- ally considered a lower limit. One of the main goals of NASA’s JUNO mission, which is scheduled to arrive at Jupiter in 2016, is to make a new measurement of the atmospheric water abundance (Matousek 2007). In contrast to the solar system planets, hot exoplan- ets should harbor gaseous water in their observable at- mospheres. Detections of water have been reported for a number of giant exoplanets (Grillmair et al. 2008; Konopacky et al. 2013; Deming et al. 2013; Birkby et al. 2013), and some previous measurements have yielded precise constraints on the abundance of water in these objects (Lee et al. 2013; Line et al. 2014; Madhusudhan et al. 2014). However, interpretation of past results has been challenging for cases when theoretical models do not provide good fits to the observed spectra (e.g. Line et al. 2014) and when measurement reproducibility has been questioned (e.g. Swain et al. 2009; Gibson et al. 2011). The Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC3) instrument on the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) has enabled transit and eclipse observations of exoplanets that give repeatable results over year-long time baselines (Kreidberg et al. arXiv:1410.2255v1[astro-ph.EP]8Oct2014
  • 2. 2 Kreidberg et al. 2014) and consistent measurements with multiple anayl- sis techniques (Deming et al. 2013; Kreidberg et al. 2014; Knutson et al. 2014; McCullough et al. 2014). We use HST/WFC3 to measure precise transmission and emission spectra for the 2 MJup, short-period exoplanet WASP-43b that enable comparative planetology with gas giants in the solar system. 2. OBSERVATIONS AND DATA REDUCTION We observed three full-orbit phase curves, three pri- mary transits, and two secondary eclipses of WASP-43b with 61 HST orbits as part of GO Program 13467. Dur- ing the observations, we obtained low-resolution time se- ries spectroscopy with the WFC3 G141 grism over the wavelength range 1.1 to 1.7 µm. The phase curves each span the entire orbital period of the planet (19.5 hours) and include coverage of a transit and eclipse, yielding a total of six transit and five eclipse observations. Fur- ther details of the observing campaign are described in a companion paper (Stevenson et al. 2014). We focus here on constraints on the planet’s water abundance obtained from the transit and eclipse data. We extracted spectroscopic light curves from the data using a technique outlined in past work (Kreidberg et al. 2014). In our analysis, we used a subset of the total observations, including only spectra obtained within 160 minutes of the time of central transit or eclipse. We fit the spectroscopic light curves to derive transmission and emission spectra, shown in Figure 1. The fitted light curves are shown in Figures S1 and S2. The light curve fits consisted of either a transit or eclipse model (as appropriate, Mandel & Agol 2002) mul- tiplied by an analytic function of time used to correct systematic trends in the data. The dominant system- atic is an HST orbit-long ramp (Berta et al. 2012; Dem- ing et al. 2013; Kreidberg et al. 2014; Wilkins et al. 2014), which we fit with an exponential function (using the model-ramp parameterization from Kreidberg et al. 2014). The free parameters in our transit model are the planet-to-star radius ratio and a linear limb darkening co- efficient. The eclipse model has one free parameter, the planet-to-star flux ratio. In all of our spectroscopic light curve fits, we fixed the orbital inclination to 82.1◦ , the ratio of semimajor axis to stellar radius to 4.872, and the time of central transit to 2456601.02748 BJDTDB based on the best fit to the band-integrated (“white”) transit light curve. For the eclipse data, we also fixed the planet- to-star radius ratio to Rp/Rs = 0.12. Our models use an orbital period equal to 0.81347436 days (Blecic et al. 2014). The secondary eclipse time measured from the white eclipse light curve is consistent with a circular or- bit, so we assume zero eccentricity for our spectroscopic light curve fits. We show the transit and eclipse depths from this anal- ysis in Table 1 and the transmission and emission spectra in Figure 1. All of the fitted light curves have residuals within 10% of the predicted photon+read noise. The median reduced chi-squared for the fits is 1.0 (for both transit and eclipse light curves). We measure consistent depths from epoch to epoch, which suggests that stel- lar variability does not significantly impact our measure- ments. We obtained further confirmation of this from photometric monitoring of WASP-43 that shows minimal variation, indicating that the effect of starspots is below TABLE 1 Transit and Eclipse Depths Wavelength Transit Deptha Wavelength Eclipse Depth (µm) (ppm) (µm) (ppm) 1.135 – 1.158 96 ± 54 1.125 – 1.160 367±45 1.158 – 1.181 -14 ± 52 1.160 – 1.195 431±39 1.181 – 1.204 -24 ± 49 1.195 – 1.230 414±38 1.205 – 1.228 -134 ± 52 1.230 – 1.265 482±36 1.228 – 1.251 56 ± 49 1.265 – 1.300 460±37 1.251 – 1.274 -14 ± 52 1.300 – 1.335 473±33 1.274 – 1.297 -24 ± 49 1.335 – 1.370 353±34 1.297 – 1.320 -14 ± 50 1.370 – 1.405 313±30 1.320 – 1.343 6 ± 45 1.405 – 1.440 320±36 1.343 – 1.366 156 ± 50 1.440 – 1.475 394±36 1.366 – 1.389 126 ± 46 1.475 – 1.510 439±33 1.389 – 1.412 116 ± 49 1.510 – 1.545 458±35 1.412 – 1.435 36 ± 46 1.545 – 1.580 595±36 1.435 – 1.458 -34 ± 51 1.580 – 1.615 614±37 1.458 – 1.481 -84 ± 46 1.615 – 1.650 732±42 1.481 – 1.504 -44 ± 51 1.504 – 1.527 6 ± 47 1.527 – 1.550 6 ± 48 1.550 – 1.573 -14 ± 49 1.573 – 1.596 -54 ± 49 1.596 – 1.619 -74 ± 53 1.619 – 1.642 -74 ± 51 a Transit depths are given relative to the mean over all wavelengths, which is 2.5434%. the precision of our data. The photometry is presented in Figure S3. 3. ANALYSIS We retrieved the planet’s atmospheric properties by fitting the transmission and dayside emission spectra with the CHIMERA Bayesian retrieval suite (Line et al. 2013b; Line & Yung 2013; Line et al. 2014). The re- trieval constrains the molecular abundances and the temperature-pressure (T-P) profile of WASP-43b’s at- mosphere. In addition to our HST data, we included two high-precision, 3.6- and 4.5-µm broadband photo- metric Spitzer Space Telescope/IRAC secondary eclipse measurements (Blecic et al. 2014) in the retrieval. We found that using the highest-precision ground-based sec- ondary eclipse measurements (Gillon et al. 2012) did not significantly affect our results, so our final analysis incor- porates data from HST and Spitzer only. We analyzed the transmission and emission spectra in- dependently. In both cases, we retrieved the abundances of H2O, CH4, CO, and CO2, which are expected to be the dominant opacity sources at the observed wavelengths for a hydrogen-rich atmosphere. Our model also includes collision-induced H2/He absorption. We explored the ef- fects of including the additional chemical species H2S, NH3, K, and FeH, and found that our results were un- changed. For the emission spectrum retrieval, we used a five- parameter model for the T-P profile motivated by ana- lytic gray radiative-equilibrium solutions (Parmentier & Guillot 2014). The model fits a one-dimensional T-P pro- file to the hemispherically averaged emission spectrum. For the transmission spectrum modeling, we retrieved an effective scale height temperature, a reference pressure at which the fiducial radius is defined, and an opaque gray cloud top pressure, in addition to the molecular abun- dances (Line et al. 2013a). The distributions of retrieved parameters are shown in Figure 2. The retrieved T-P
  • 3. 3 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 Wavelength (µm) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Eclipsedepth(×10−4) 3.0 4.0 5.0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 Wavelength (µm) -200 -100 0 100 200 Relativetransitdepth(ppm) a b Fig. 1.— Emission and transmission spectra for WASP-43b. a, The emission spectrum measurements from HST/WFC3 (white circles) and Spitzer/IRAC (white squares; inset). b, The transmission spectrum from WFC3 (white circles). For both panels, the uncertainties correspond to 1 σ errors from a Markov chain fit. The error bars for the Spitzer measurements are smaller than the symbols. We show the best fit models from our retrieval analysis (dark blue lines) with 1- and 2-σ confidence regions denoted by blue and cyan shading. The blue circles indicate the best fit model averaged over the bandpass of each spectroscopic channel. The fits to both the emission and transmission spectra have chi-squared values nearly equal to the number of data points n (χ2/n = 1.2 for both). profile for the dayside emission spectrum is presented in Stevenson et al. (2014). 4. RESULTS 4.1. Constraints from the Emission Spectrum The emission spectrum shows strong evidence for water absorption. We detect water at 11.7 σ confidence (6.4 σ from the WFC3 data alone), according to the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). The data constrain the vol- ume mixing ratio of H2O in the planet’s atmosphere to be 3.1 × 10−4 – 4.4 × 10−3 at 1 σ confidence. Figure 3 shows the distribution of H2O abundances that fit the observations. Water is the only molecule significantly detected over the WFC3 wavelength range; however, additional con- straints from the Spitzer data suggest CO and/or CO2 are also present in the planet’s atmosphere. We de- tect CO+CO2 at 4.7 σ confidence in the combined WFC3/IRAC spectrum. The measured abundance of CO2 is relatively high compared to the expected thermo- chemical value for a solar composition gas (∼ 5 × 10−8 ). We find that a moderately super-solar metallicity com- position has equilibrium H2O, CO2, and CO abundances that are within the range of our retrieved values. How- ever, the CO+CO2 constraints are driven mainly by the photometric point from the Spitzer 4.5 µm channel. The bandpass for this channel is about 1 µm wide, and cov- ers features from CO, CO2, and H2O (Sharp & Burrows 2007). Making a robust determination of the abundances of these molecules requires spectroscopic observations to resolve their absorption features. The main conclusions of this work are unchanged if we exclude the Spitzer data from our analysis. The best-fit thermal profile has decreasing temperature with pressure and is consistent with predictions from a radiative-convective model for the substellar point over the range of pressures to which our data are sensitive. We find no evidence for a thermal inversion. Further details
  • 4. 4 Kreidberg et al. log H2 O = −3.6+0.8 −0.9 1210864 logCH4 log CH4 = −7.9+2.8 −2.8 10.07.55.02.5 logCO log CO = −7.2+3.1 −3.1 1210864 logCO2 log CO2 = −8.1+2.7 −2.7 500 750 1000 T T = 639.5+144.6 −129.2 3.02.52.01.5 logPref log Pref = −2.4+0.6 −0.4 6.0 4.5 3.0 log H2 O 21012 logPc 12 10 8 6 4 log CH4 10.0 7.5 5.0 2.5 log CO 12 10 8 6 4 log CO2 500 750 1000 T 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 log Pref 2 1 0 1 2 log Pc log Pc = −0.1+1.1 −0.8 log H2 O = −2.9+0.6 −0.6 12 10 8 6 log CH4 10.0 7.5 5.0 2.5 log CO 6 4 2 log CO2 1400 1600 1800 2000 T100 4.23.63.02.41.8 logH2O log CH4 = −9.1+2.3 −2.0 121086 logCH4 log CO = −5.9+3.3 −3.9 10.0 7.55.02.5 logCO log CO2 = −3.9+1.2 −1.2 642 logCO2 T100 = 1593.7+97.1 −141.2 Fig. 2.— Pairs plots of retrieved parameters from the emission spectrum (top right) and the transmission spectrum (lower left). We plot every tenth point from our MCMC chains. For the emission spectrum fits, we show constraints on the retrieved molecular abundances (in units of log mixing ratio) and the temperature at the 100 mbar pressure level (T100, in Kelvin). For the transmission spectrum, we show constraints on the molecular abundances (in units of log mixing ratio), the scale height temperature (in Kelvin), the reference pressure Pref (in bars), and the cloud-top pressure Pc (in bars). of the thermal structure of the planet’s atmosphere are available in Stevenson et al. (2014). 4.2. Constraints from the Transmission Spectrum We obtain complementary results for the atmospheric composition based on a retrieval for the transmission spectrum. Water absorption is detected at 5 σ confi- dence and is visible in the data, shown in Figure 1 (panel b). The transmission spectrum fit allows a water vol- ume mixing ratio between 3.3×10−5 and 1.4×10−3 at 1 σ, which is consistent with the bounds derived from the emission measurements. No other molecules are detected in the spectrum according to the BIC. The constraints on the water abundance (shown in Figure 3) are broader than those obtained from the emission spectrum because the abundance is correlated with the reference pressure level, which is only weakly constrained by the observa- tions. We remind the reader that the size of features in the transmission spectrum is controlled by the molecular abundances, the planet’s atmospheric scale height, and
  • 5. 5 the radius of the planet relative to the star (Miller-Ricci et al. 2009). In addition to probing the atmospheric composition, the data also constrain the temperature at the terminator and the cloud top pressure. The 1 σ confidence interval on the scale height temperature is 500–780 K. We find no evidence for a cloud at the pressure levels to which our observations are sensitive. 4.3. Joint Constraint on the Water Abundance We derive consistent water abundances for WASP-43b from the emission and transmission spectra. This con- sistency matches the prediction from theoretical models of hot Jupiters that water has a nearly uniform abun- dance with both pressure (from 10 to 10−8 bar) and with temperature (Moses et al. 2011). Therefore, to obtain a more precise estimate of WASP-43b’s water abundance, we assume the regions of the atmosphere probed by the emission and transmission data have the same water con- tent. Because the measurements are independent, we can combine their constraints by multiplying the prob- ability distributions for water abundance retrieved from each data set. This yields a joint distribution, shown in Figure 3, which constrains the water volume mixing ra- tio to 2.4 × 10−4 – 2.1 × 10−3 at 1 σ confidence. This measurement contrasts with the sub-solar water abun- dance values reported for three other hot Jupiters by Madhusudhan et al. (2014), and suggests that additional observations are needed to understand the diversity in composition of these objects. 5. DISCUSSION 5.1. Comparison with Solar System Planets With our well-determined water abundance for the at- mosphere of WASP-43b, we can begin a comparative study with the giant planets in the solar system. How- ever, it is not possible to directly compare water abun- dances, because the water content in the solar system giants is poorly constrained. We instead compare the planets’ metallicities, which we estimate from chemical species with well-determined abundances. To calculate metallicity based on a molecule X, we determine the planet’s enhancement in X relative to the volume mix- ing ratio of X expected for a solar composition gas at planetary temperatures. We use solar abundances from Asplund et al. (2009) for the calculation. We infer the solar system planets’ metallicities from the abundance of methane, which has been precisely mea- sured for all four giant planets. Jupiter’s methane abun- dance is from the Galileo probe (Wong et al. 2004), while those of the other planets are from infrared spectroscopy (Fletcher et al. 2009; Karkoschka & Tomasko 2011; Sro- movsky et al. 2011). The 1 σ confidence intervals for the planets’ metallicities are 3.3–5.5, 9.5–10.3, 71–100, and 67–111 × solar for Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune, and Uranus, respectively. These bounds are shown in Figure 4. We determine the metallicity of WASP-43b based on our measured water abundance. The planet’s temper- ature is cooler at the terminator than at the substellar point. The difference between these temperatures leads to a factor of two discrepancy in the expected water vol- ume mixing ratio for a solar composition gas. This dif- ference is small relative to the uncertainty in the planet’s 10−3 10−2 10−1 1 10 102 Water abundance relative to solar 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 Frequency 10−6 10−5 10−4 10−3 10−2 Water volume mixing ratio Fig. 3.— Constraints on the water abundance of WASP-43b. We show the probability distributions of water abundances mea- sured from the emission spectrum (orange line) and transmission spectrum (blue line). The water abundance relative to solar is calculated using a “solar water abundance” of 6.1 × 10−4, which is the water volume mixing ratio for a solar composition gas in thermochemical equilibrium at planetary temperatures. The con- straints from the emission and transmission spectra are consistent with each other, in accordance with expectations from theoretical models that the water abundance is constant to within a factor of ∼ 2 over the pressure levels and temperatures in the observ- able atmosphere (Moses et al. 2011). The joint constraint from multiplying the two probability distributions is indicated by the solid black line, and constrains the water abundance to between 3.1 × 10−4 and 4.4 × 10−3 (0.4 − 3.5× solar) at 1 σ confidence. measured water abundance, so we therefore adopt the av- erage predicted water volume mixing ratio (6.1 × 10−4 ). Using the joint constraint from the transmission and emission spectra, we find the water abundance is 0.4 to 3.5× solar at 1 σ confidence. The 3 σ upper limit on the water enhancement is 20× solar. We note that determining the metallicity relative to solar composition assumes that the planets have a scaled solar abundance pattern. This assumption could lead to an incorrect estimate of metallicity in the case of non- solar abundance ratios. For example, if WASP-43b had a super-solar carbon-to-oxygen (C/O) ratio, we would expect a smaller fraction of the total oxygen to be parti- tioned into H2O (Madhusudhan 2012). We would there- fore underestimate the planet’s metallicity based on our assumption of solar abundances. However, given that the C/O ratio is poorly constrained by our data but broadly consistent with solar, we proceed with the comparison with these caveats in mind. The metallicity estimates for the solar system planets show a pattern of decreasing metal enhancement with increasing planet mass (see Figure 4). This trend is gen- erally thought to be controlled by the relative impor- tance of accretion of solid planetesimals versus H/He- dominated gas. Planet population synthesis models aim to match atmospheric metallicity to planet mass (Fort- ney et al. 2013; Marboeuf et al. 2014), but there are lim- ited data available for planets outside the solar system. The metallicity of WASP-43b indicates that the trend
  • 6. 6 Kreidberg et al. 0.01 0.1 1 10 Mass (MJup) 1 10 100 Metallicity(×solar) Super- Earths Ice giants Solar System giants Extrasolar giant planets UranusNeptune Saturn Jupiter WASP-43bFig. 4.— Atmospheric metal abundances as a function of planet mass for the solar system giant planets and WASP-43b. The error bars correspond to 1 σ uncertainties and represent statistical errors only. The dashed line is a power law fit to the data. We base the metallicity estimates on the abundances of representative proxies. The solar system planet metallicities are inferred from methane, and the metallicity of WASP-43b is based on our derived water abundance. seen in the solar system may extend to exoplanets. 5.2. Prospects for Future Work WASP-43b, with twice the mass of Jupiter and an or- bital period of less than one day, exemplifies the oppor- tunity exoplanets provide to study planet formation over a larger parameter space than what is available in our solar system. A more insightful comparative planetology study using WASP-43b could be performed by improv- ing the precision of the water abundance estimate and measuring the abundances of additional molecules. Such measurements will be enabled by the broad wavelength coverage and increased sensitivity of next-generation ob- serving facilities such as the James Webb Space Tele- scope. However, a planet’s chemical composition depends on many factors, including the planet’s formation location within the protoplanetary disk, the composition, size and accretion rate of planetesimals, and the planet’s migra- tion history. Even perfect constraints on the abundances of many chemical species for a small number of objects may not yield a unique model for the origin of giant plan- ets. Fortunately, the plethora of transiting exoplanets that have already been found and will be discovered with future missions offer the potential for statistical stud- ies. Measuring precise chemical abundances for a large and diverse sample of these objects would facilitate the development of a more comprehensive theory of planet formation. This work is based on observations made with the NASA/ESA Hubble Space Telescope that were obtained at the Space Telescope Science Institute, which is oper- ated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, Inc., under NASA contract NAS 5-26555. These observations are associated with program GO- 13467. Support for this work was provided by NASA through a grant from the Space Telescope Science Insti- tute, the National Science Foundation through a Gradu- ate Research Fellowship (to L.K.), the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation through a Sloan Research Fellowship (to J.L.B.), and the Sagan Fellowship Program (to K.B.S.) as supported by NASA and administered by the NASA Exoplanet Science Institute. G.W.H. and M.W.W. ac- knowledge long-term support from NASA, NSF, Ten- nessee State University, and the State of Tennessee through its Centers of Excellence program. D.H. ac- knowledges support from the European Research Coun- cil under the European Community’s Seventh Frame- work Programme (FP7/2007-2013 Grant Agreement no. 247060). REFERENCES Asplund, M., Grevesse, N., Sauval, A. J., & Scott, P. 2009, Ann. Rev. Astron. Astrophys., 47, 481 Berta, Z. K., Charbonneau, D., D´esert, J.-M., et al. 2012, Astrophys. J. , 747, 35 Birkby, J. L., de Kok, R. J., Brogi, M., et al. 2013, Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc., 436, L35 Blecic, J., Harrington, J., Madhusudhan, N., et al. 2014, Astrophys. J., 781, 116 Deming, D., Wilkins, A., McCullough, P., et al. 2013, Astrophys. J., 774, 95 Fletcher, L. N., Orton, G. S., Teanby, N. A., Irwin, P. G. J., & Bjoraker, G. L. 2009, Icarus, 199, 351 Fortney, J. J., Mordasini, C., Nettelmann, N., et al. 2013, Astrophys. J., 775, 80 Gibson, N. 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  • 8. 8 Kreidberg et al. Supplemental Figures 150 100 50 0 50 100 150 Time from central transit (minutes) 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Relativeflux,offset Broadband 1.15µm 1.17µm 1.19µm 1.22µm 1.24µm 1.26µm 1.29µm 1.31µm 1.33µm 1.35µm 1.38µm 1.40µm 1.42µm 1.45µm 1.47µm 1.49µm 1.52µm 1.54µm 1.56µm 1.58µm 1.61µm 1.63µm 150 100 50 0 50 100 150 Time from central transit (minutes) -1,000 0 1,000 O-C(ppm) -600 0 600 O - C (ppm) Probabilitydensity a b c Fig. S1.— Spectrophotometric transit observations of WASP-43b. a, Transit light curves corrected for systematics (points) compared to the best-fit model light curves (lines). The data are binned in 5-minute phase increments for visual clarity. b, Residuals for the light curve fits, binned in phase. The median residual root-mean-square (unbinned) is 353 parts per million, and all spectroscopic channels have residuals within 5% of the photon noise limit. c, Histogram of the unbinned residuals (colored lines) compared to predictions from the photon noise (black lines).
  • 9. 9 150 100 50 0 50 100 150 Time from central transit (minutes) 0.980 0.985 0.990 0.995 1.000 Relativeflux,offset Broadband 1.14µm 1.18µm 1.21µm 1.25µm 1.28µm 1.32µm 1.35µm 1.39µm 1.42µm 1.46µm 1.49µm 1.53µm 1.56µm 1.60µm 1.63µm 150 100 50 0 50 100 150 Time from central transit (minutes) -1,000 0 1,000 O-C(ppm) -600 0 600 O - C (ppm) Probabilitydensity a b c Fig. S2.— Eclipse observations of WASP-43b. a, Light curves for 15 spectrophotometric channels, binned in phase in 10-minute increments and corrected for instrument systematics (points). The best-fit eclipse models are also shown (black lines). b, Residuals for the light curve fits (also binned in phase). c, Histograms of the unbinned residuals (colored lines) shown in comparison to the expected photon noise (black lines).
  • 10. 10 Kreidberg et al. Fig. S3.— (Top): Cousins R band photometry of WASP-43 during the 2013–2014 observing season acquired with the C14 automated imaging telescope at Fairborn Observatory. Low amplitude brightness variability of approximately 0.005 mag is present. (Middle): Fre- quency spectrum of the C14 observations, which suggests possible stellar rotation periods of 14.10 and 16.12 days. (Bottom): A least-squares sine fit of the C14 observations phased with the 14.10-day period shows reasonable coherence over the 2013–2014 observing season.