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“America’s Expeditionary Force in Readiness”




   General James F. Amos
Commandant of the Marine Corps



            Naval War College
              23 April 2012
Emerging Security Environment
                       Sources of Stress




       Nuclear   Top Ten     Water         Conflict      Youth       Undernourished
       Armed     Oil         Stress        Terrorism     Bulge       Population
       States    Reserves                  Crime

Competition for resources - youth bulge & unemployment - natural disasters - social
unrest - hostile cyber activity - violent extremism (criminal, terrorist, religious) -
regional conflict - proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and advanced
weaponry in the hands of the irresponsible. These challenges are harbingers of
potential crisis around the world.
Emerging Security Environment…
                the Numbers are Telling…

   95% of international
                                         21 of the world’s 28 mega-cities are
communications travels via
                                           within 62 mi / 100 km of the sea
    underwater cables




 42,000 trading                 49% of the world’s oil travels
   ships are                       through 7 major sea
 underway daily                         chokepoints
                                                                     50% of the world's
                                                                   population lives within
                           95% of the world’s                     62 mi / 100 km of a coast
                         commerce moves by sea


“…At the Geo-Strategic level, it’s all about the littorals.”
                        70% of the world is water
“Our strategic guidance rightfully focuses our attention
       on the Pacific and Central Command regions.”



     So what does this mean to Naval Forces?

• Fwd presence matters - enables true Crisis Response
• Prepositioned forces & equipment remain essential elements of
  our national strategy
• Need to continue to lighten the force
• Freedom of navigation/commerce is important
• US Military posture must be…
   – Geographically distributed…operationally resilient…politically
     sustainable
• US must develop allies and coalitions
• Cyber security - critical to mil opns & defense of homeland
2012 Strategic Pivot to Asia-Pacific

From 2001-2010, ~70K people/ year were         12 of the top 15 U.S. trading partners
 killed in the Asia Pacific region due to       (import / export) are in Asia-Pacific
  natural disasters, resulting in 65% of
  world’s total death from such causes
and ~$35B of economic damage per year
 (Western half of Ring of Fire depicted)


                                                                      U.S. maintains 5
                                                                      security treaties
     15 of the world’s 28                                               in the Asia-
   Megacities are in the Asia                                          Pacific region
           Pacific –
   13 of those 15 are within
      100 km of the sea



                                   Asia Pacific region
                                   contains 61% of the
                                   world’s population
2012 Strategic Vigilance in CENTCOM,…


                            U.S. Designated State
Arab Awakening                Sponsor of Terror




   Fragile States                   Al Qaeda Hot
                                        Spots

    Regional Security
        Partners
                        6 of 12 (50%) OPEC Nations are in
                          CENTCOM (65% of world’s oil
                                    reserves)
…AFRICOM and…

                             ~22% of US oil imports comes from Africa
   Terrorist,
 extremist and
   insurgent                                  U.S. Designated State
    areas of                                   Sponsors of Terror
   influence
   (AQIM, Al
 Shabab, LRA,
 Boko Haram)
                                                           Somali
                                                            Pirate
                                                           Activity
  9 of the 10 Countries in the
world with the most prevalence
of infectious disease (HIV/AIDs,
 cholera, tuberculosis, malaria,
    measles) are in AFRICOM

     9 of the 10 Countries in the world at the greatest risk of conflict are in
   AFRICOM (based on Governance, Demographics, Religion, Water, Energy,
             Disease, Gender, Education, Corruption, & Economics)
SOUTHCOM

                                   U.S. top sources of net crude oil and
                                     petroleum product imports (10%
                                     Venezuela and 9% from Mexico)


Increasing murder &                          Fragile state & repeat
 violence associated                             Humanitarian
with drug trafficking                        Assistance / Disaster
/ transnational crime                           Relief location


Panama Canal facilitates 5%              Prevalence of narco-
of the global seaborne trade             trafficking and Drug
    and 12% of American                          Transit
international seaborne trade


                                        Active insurgencies (Peru –
        Free Trade and Trade           Sendero Luminoso; Columbia
       Promotion Agreements                       – FARC)
              with U.S.
USMC Lane vs. other DOD Forces Domain

   Crisis Response Force
   High State of Readiness
                                                                  AIR FORCE
   Expeditionary Nature                                           Air & Space
   Scalable & Task Organized
   Amphibious
   Any Clime and Place


                                 NAVY                                     ARMY
                                Oceans                                    Ground




“…at the front door of crisis and conflict, we possess the finesse, the training and the
tools to knock at the door diplomatically, pick the lock skillfully, or kick it in violently.”
The Post-OEF Active Duty Marine Corps…
            America’s Crisis Response Force

• 23 Infantry Bns (27 to 23), 18 Fixed Wing Sqdrns (25 to 18), & 32 Rotary
  Wing Sqdrns (36 to 32)
          Every Unit Fully Manned and Equipped!
         Operations and Maintenance Fully Funded!
        Incorporated lessons learned from OIF/OEF!

• Marine Special Operators + ~3,100
• Irregular Warfare Marines + ~8,200
Increased Intelligence Surveillance & Reconnaissance, Explosive
Ordnance Disposal, Precision Fire Support, Information Operations,
Engineers, Civil Affairs, enablers for partnership and capacity building
• Cyberwarfare Operators            + ~600

   The Marine Corps of 182.1K is the Nation’s risk mitigator for an
 uncertain future…the United States’ crisis response force…one that
       will be “the most ready when the nation is least ready.”
Questions?

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Ready Marines

  • 1. “America’s Expeditionary Force in Readiness” General James F. Amos Commandant of the Marine Corps Naval War College 23 April 2012
  • 2. Emerging Security Environment Sources of Stress Nuclear Top Ten Water Conflict Youth Undernourished Armed Oil Stress Terrorism Bulge Population States Reserves Crime Competition for resources - youth bulge & unemployment - natural disasters - social unrest - hostile cyber activity - violent extremism (criminal, terrorist, religious) - regional conflict - proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and advanced weaponry in the hands of the irresponsible. These challenges are harbingers of potential crisis around the world.
  • 3. Emerging Security Environment… the Numbers are Telling… 95% of international 21 of the world’s 28 mega-cities are communications travels via within 62 mi / 100 km of the sea underwater cables 42,000 trading 49% of the world’s oil travels ships are through 7 major sea underway daily chokepoints 50% of the world's population lives within 95% of the world’s 62 mi / 100 km of a coast commerce moves by sea “…At the Geo-Strategic level, it’s all about the littorals.” 70% of the world is water
  • 4. “Our strategic guidance rightfully focuses our attention on the Pacific and Central Command regions.” So what does this mean to Naval Forces? • Fwd presence matters - enables true Crisis Response • Prepositioned forces & equipment remain essential elements of our national strategy • Need to continue to lighten the force • Freedom of navigation/commerce is important • US Military posture must be… – Geographically distributed…operationally resilient…politically sustainable • US must develop allies and coalitions • Cyber security - critical to mil opns & defense of homeland
  • 5. 2012 Strategic Pivot to Asia-Pacific From 2001-2010, ~70K people/ year were 12 of the top 15 U.S. trading partners killed in the Asia Pacific region due to (import / export) are in Asia-Pacific natural disasters, resulting in 65% of world’s total death from such causes and ~$35B of economic damage per year (Western half of Ring of Fire depicted) U.S. maintains 5 security treaties 15 of the world’s 28 in the Asia- Megacities are in the Asia Pacific region Pacific – 13 of those 15 are within 100 km of the sea Asia Pacific region contains 61% of the world’s population
  • 6. 2012 Strategic Vigilance in CENTCOM,… U.S. Designated State Arab Awakening Sponsor of Terror Fragile States Al Qaeda Hot Spots Regional Security Partners 6 of 12 (50%) OPEC Nations are in CENTCOM (65% of world’s oil reserves)
  • 7. …AFRICOM and… ~22% of US oil imports comes from Africa Terrorist, extremist and insurgent U.S. Designated State areas of Sponsors of Terror influence (AQIM, Al Shabab, LRA, Boko Haram) Somali Pirate Activity 9 of the 10 Countries in the world with the most prevalence of infectious disease (HIV/AIDs, cholera, tuberculosis, malaria, measles) are in AFRICOM 9 of the 10 Countries in the world at the greatest risk of conflict are in AFRICOM (based on Governance, Demographics, Religion, Water, Energy, Disease, Gender, Education, Corruption, & Economics)
  • 8. SOUTHCOM U.S. top sources of net crude oil and petroleum product imports (10% Venezuela and 9% from Mexico) Increasing murder & Fragile state & repeat violence associated Humanitarian with drug trafficking Assistance / Disaster / transnational crime Relief location Panama Canal facilitates 5% Prevalence of narco- of the global seaborne trade trafficking and Drug and 12% of American Transit international seaborne trade Active insurgencies (Peru – Free Trade and Trade Sendero Luminoso; Columbia Promotion Agreements – FARC) with U.S.
  • 9. USMC Lane vs. other DOD Forces Domain Crisis Response Force High State of Readiness AIR FORCE Expeditionary Nature Air & Space Scalable & Task Organized Amphibious Any Clime and Place NAVY ARMY Oceans Ground “…at the front door of crisis and conflict, we possess the finesse, the training and the tools to knock at the door diplomatically, pick the lock skillfully, or kick it in violently.”
  • 10. The Post-OEF Active Duty Marine Corps… America’s Crisis Response Force • 23 Infantry Bns (27 to 23), 18 Fixed Wing Sqdrns (25 to 18), & 32 Rotary Wing Sqdrns (36 to 32) Every Unit Fully Manned and Equipped! Operations and Maintenance Fully Funded! Incorporated lessons learned from OIF/OEF! • Marine Special Operators + ~3,100 • Irregular Warfare Marines + ~8,200 Increased Intelligence Surveillance & Reconnaissance, Explosive Ordnance Disposal, Precision Fire Support, Information Operations, Engineers, Civil Affairs, enablers for partnership and capacity building • Cyberwarfare Operators + ~600 The Marine Corps of 182.1K is the Nation’s risk mitigator for an uncertain future…the United States’ crisis response force…one that will be “the most ready when the nation is least ready.”