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Preliminary

    FY   2012
       Budget
    Forecast


        February 9, 2011
    Presentation to Principals

1
What are we talking about?
    Shortfall in state/local funding
                $250 to $275 million
                        or at least $870 per student


          Loss of   Federal Funds
    939 positions
      ARRA (Title I, IDEA), EduJobs
2
Why is this happening?




                                       Shortfall
    It’s called a Structural Deficit
5
What has already been cut?
                                       Since 2007

    •   20% of central office staff
    •   Block schedule & AVID funding
    •   School staffing – 3%
    •   Class size increase: Grades 1-3 (by 2)
    •   Administrative staffing
    •   Textbook/supply budgets
            A total of $375 million has been cut
              and 1,734 positions eliminated
3
What about the Capital Funds?
    State is proposing to take a total of
        $300 million from CCSD’s
           Debt Service Reserve




4
What would that mean?
    •   The debt service property tax rate ($0.5534) will need
        to increase to cover future debt service costs
    •   And/or CCSD will need to push debt service costs out
        into the long-term future (which will cost more in
        interest payments)
    •   $150 million per year of the state’s ‘guaranteed’
        funding is coming from CCSD’s capital funds
    •   This is a one-time, stop-gap measure that will leave a
        big financial ‘hole” to fill in the next biennium
    •   Goes against promises made to voters in 1998

        State law would need to be changed to allow this
4
Why are we short $250-$275 million?
    State Funds                       - $196 million
    Debt Service Funds                + $150 million
    Loss of room tax                   - $35 million
    Property tax decrease              - $48 million
    Fund balance used up               - $62 million
    Employee Contractual provisions    - $68 million
    (step, increments, PERS)

      NOTE: This assumes no new revenue
6
             sources are identified
How bad is it?
     $ 250-275 million =
   14 more students per class
or 33 less days in the year
      or 16% cut in pay/benefits
or 95% of central office
    A reduction of as many as 3,800 positions

7
How can you help?
                Tell us…
    What you have had to do at your
     school to deal with cuts made
                already?
    What would the impact be if your
     staffing was reduced again?


7
When will we know?
    Tentative budget must be adopted in
    April & the final budget in May
                Reduction-in-force process
                        must begin in April
    State funding will likely not
    be known until June
                Negotiated agreements roll
                    forward until bargained
8
Our Strategy ?

    Plan for the     Work for the
      Worst            Best

        Participate as a Team



8

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CCSD - Preliminary FY2012 Budget Forecast

  • 1. Preliminary FY 2012 Budget Forecast February 9, 2011 Presentation to Principals 1
  • 2. What are we talking about? Shortfall in state/local funding $250 to $275 million or at least $870 per student Loss of Federal Funds 939 positions ARRA (Title I, IDEA), EduJobs 2
  • 3. Why is this happening? Shortfall It’s called a Structural Deficit 5
  • 4. What has already been cut? Since 2007 • 20% of central office staff • Block schedule & AVID funding • School staffing – 3% • Class size increase: Grades 1-3 (by 2) • Administrative staffing • Textbook/supply budgets A total of $375 million has been cut and 1,734 positions eliminated 3
  • 5. What about the Capital Funds? State is proposing to take a total of $300 million from CCSD’s Debt Service Reserve 4
  • 6. What would that mean? • The debt service property tax rate ($0.5534) will need to increase to cover future debt service costs • And/or CCSD will need to push debt service costs out into the long-term future (which will cost more in interest payments) • $150 million per year of the state’s ‘guaranteed’ funding is coming from CCSD’s capital funds • This is a one-time, stop-gap measure that will leave a big financial ‘hole” to fill in the next biennium • Goes against promises made to voters in 1998 State law would need to be changed to allow this 4
  • 7. Why are we short $250-$275 million? State Funds - $196 million Debt Service Funds + $150 million Loss of room tax - $35 million Property tax decrease - $48 million Fund balance used up - $62 million Employee Contractual provisions - $68 million (step, increments, PERS) NOTE: This assumes no new revenue 6 sources are identified
  • 8. How bad is it? $ 250-275 million = 14 more students per class or 33 less days in the year or 16% cut in pay/benefits or 95% of central office A reduction of as many as 3,800 positions 7
  • 9. How can you help? Tell us… What you have had to do at your school to deal with cuts made already? What would the impact be if your staffing was reduced again? 7
  • 10. When will we know? Tentative budget must be adopted in April & the final budget in May Reduction-in-force process must begin in April State funding will likely not be known until June Negotiated agreements roll forward until bargained 8
  • 11. Our Strategy ? Plan for the Work for the Worst Best Participate as a Team 8