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Liability Driven Investment (LDI): Pension Risk Management in the 21st Century
1. Liability Driven Investment (LDI): Pension Risk Management in the 21st Century
Robert Gardner – Redington Partners: Pensions Management Institute Newsletter (March 2008)
Liability Driven Investing (LDI) means different things to different people. To some, it means
recognizing that the liability cashflows of a pension scheme are bond like in nature, i.e. they can be
matched by investing scheme assets in long term bonds. To others, like Redington Partners, LDI is
about pension risk management and using Asset Liability Management (ALM) to model, understand
and improve a pension scheme’s investment strategy in order to outperform the scheme’s liabilities.
Redington believes that it is important to look at the assets and liabilities of a pension scheme
holistically and evaluate all of the risks that a scheme is facing, both together and separately. On the
liability side, these risks include interest rates, inflation, and longevity. On the asset side, these risks
include equity, property, credit and currency risks etc.
It is essential that pension schemes develop a framework to assess these risks individually, and
understand how they interact with one another. This is the essence of risk management.
Pension schemes have only recently started using LDI strategies. In October 2001, Boots plc Pension
Scheme converted all of its equity holdings to long term sterling bonds to match the scheme’s future
liabilities. In 2003, Dawid Konotey‐Ahulu and I executed the first ever full LDI hedge (using long‐
dated swaps to hedge the scheme’s liability sensitivity to interest rates and inflation) for Friends
Provident Pension Scheme. The Boots and Friends Provident transactions helped establish the
framework for what Redington calls LDI 1.0.
LDI 1.0
The introduction of LDI to the pensions industry was significant because traditional investment
strategies used by most pension funds were no longer meeting the needs of Trustees and corporate
sponsors. Therefore, pension schemes started implementing LDI strategies to more closely match
and offset the liabilities.
The first investment vehicles used were LDI pooled funds. LDI pooled funds made it possible for
pension schemes to enter into interest rate and inflation swaps (backed by cash) to match the
scheme liabilities. While the swaps in the LDI pooled funds performed as intended, matching a
pension scheme’s liabilities, a number of problems remain unresolved using this investment
strategy.
First, if a pension scheme is running a deficit, an investment strategy using LDI pooled funds only
generates a return equal to Libor. Simply generating a return equal to Libor is not sufficient to close
the gap between the scheme’s assets and liabilities, especially on a buy‐out or solvency basis.
Second, ‘recently’ the cash backing a swaps portfolio has underperformed in current markets, with
many ‘cash funds’ failing to produce their mandated Libor returns.
Finally, the goal of an investment strategy is to meet a given funding target in some point in the
future (X years) by maximising the return on scheme assets to achieve the optimal risk adjusted
return. At Redington, we refer to this as the fuel efficiency of an investment strategy, i.e. minimizing
the volatility for a given excess return over the liabilities.
3. Figure 2: Risk Attribution Chart (Un‐Hedged)
To make this pension scheme more fuel efficient like the Prius, it is first necessary to hedge
unrewarded risk (the risk generated by the liabilities) by crafting a swap overlay to match the
scheme’s liabilities. Furthermore, diversification can be used to reduce the risk generated by the
assets. This combination allows a pension scheme to create an optimal risk adjusted return,
maximizing the scheme’s fuel efficiency.
An example portfolio that has implemented an LDI 2.0 framework is shown in Figure 3. In this
example, the scheme hedged the unrewarded risk (the liabilities) by executing interest rate and
inflation swaps and sold a portion of the scheme’s equity holdings, investing the proceeds in
alternative assets. The results are striking. The overall risk (VaR95) of the portfolio has fallen
significantly, from 17% to 7.5%, meaning that in one year’s time there is a 1 in 20 probability that the
scheme will lose 7.5% of its funding level.
5. Pension schemes must understand a scheme’s mortality assumptions and exposure to longevity risk,
because the fact that people are living longer will have a significant impact on the value of scheme
liabilities. By incorporating longevity risk analysis into a robust ALM framework, it is possible to
adjust the fuel efficiency of a pension scheme and increase expected return to accommodate
increases in life expectancy.
Innovation and the Defined Benefit Pension Scheme
When defined benefit schemes were first established the benefits were not priced properly. As a
result, many defined benefit schemes are now being closed to new members and or adversely
recalibrating pensioner agreements: increasing the minimum retirement age, reducing pension
payments, or a combination of the two. Replacing defined benefit schemes are defined contribution
schemes. This change has shifted the risk from the defined benefit pension scheme to the
individual, who usually has neither the time nor resources to make objective prudent investment
decisions.
At retirement, individuals seek a stable income, and defined benefit pension schemes are the best
vehicle to help achieve this goal. Redington believes that, when properly constructed, a defined
benefit pension scheme can remain open to new employees while significantly reducing the financial
risk and burden to a corporate sponsor.
Until recently there has been a lack of innovation in the pension space. However, the defined
benefit pension landscape is changing. Financial service providers (investment banks, asset
managers, and buy‐out firms) are now providing new strategies and investment vehicles designed
specifically for pension funds.
The evolution of LDI has been rapid and complex. Those schemes that ignore the innovative
approach to asset allocation, funding structure and portfolio hedging are ultimately risking their
members’ pensions. LDI 2.0 (Pension Risk Management in the 21st
Century) is one of the tools
available to help Trustees and corporate sponsors navigate turbulent markets and increase the fuel
efficiency of the pension scheme.