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Steven Rattner
May 15, 2014
Addressing Income Inequality
2
3
Piketty’s Important New Book
4
Instant Bestseller
Source: NY Times best sellers list May 11, 2014
5
But Weighty and Complex
Trends in Income and Wealthy Inequality
6
19.3%
4.1%
18.0%
2.8%
%
Note: Excludes capital gains
Source: Emmanuel Saez, Thomas Piketty
Income Inequality in the US
7
Wealth Is More Unequal Than Income
Source: Thomas Piketty
33.8%
17.4%
8
Source: Thomas Piketty
The Super Rich Have Gained the Most
Decomposing the Top 1%
1%-0.5% 0.5%-0.1% 0.1%-0.01%
0.01%
9
US Leads in Income Inequality
Note: As of 2010
Source: Thomas Piketty
10
Income Inequality: US vs. Europe
Source: Thomas Piketty
14.7%
17.4%
8.8%
6.9%
11
Wealth Inequality: US vs. Europe
Source: Thomas Piketty
33.8%
28.0%
24.4%
20.7%
12
State of the Middle Class
13
US Middle Class Is Losing Its Lead…
Note: As of 2010
Source: NY Times, Luxembourg Income Study Analysis
14
…And Is No Longer World’s Richest
Note: As of 2010
Source: NY Times, Luxembourg Income Study Analysis
15
Causes and Consequences
16
Causes
 Principal causes:
 Technology
 Globalization
 Secondary causes:
 “Winners-take-all” labor markets
 Tax policy
 Declining unionization
17
Skills Matter
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
18
Impact of Globalization
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Change in Wages by Sector (Jun-09 to Apr-14)
19
Lower Tax Rates, Higher Inequality
Note: Change in top income shares and top marginal tax rates since 1960
Source: Emmanuel Saez, Thomas Piketty
20
US Does Less to Redistribute Income
Source: Janet Gornick, Luxembourg Income Study
21
Source: IRS
Average Tax Rate for the Richest 400
19.91%
1997 (Clinton cuts):
- Lowered cap gains
tax from 28% to 20%
- Lowered 15% tax
bracket to 10% 2003 (Bush cuts):
- Lowered cap gains
tax from 20% to 15%
- Lowered dividends
tax from 35% to 15%
2001 (Bush cuts):
- Lowered tax brackets
from 15%, 28, 31, 36,
and 39.6 to 10%, 15,
25, 28, 33, and 35
1993 (Clinton hikes):
- Created 36% and
39.6% tax brackets
for the richest 1.2%
- Created a 35% tax
rate for corporations
Inequality Associated with Immobility
Source: Alan Krueger’s Great Gatsby Curve, Corak (2011), CEA estimates
23
But Mobility Has Not Changed Over Time
Source: “Equality of Opportunity Project” by Raj Chetty , Nathaniel Hendren, Patrick Kline,
Emmanuel Saez and Nicholas Turner
24
Source: Andrew Berg and Jonathan D. Ostry, IMF
More Inequality May Mean Less Growth
25
More Inequality May Mean Less Growth
26
Source: Andrew Berg and Jonathan D. Ostry, IMF
Source: OECD Income Distribution and Poverty Database, OECD Economic Outlook Database
Or It May Not
27
Solutions
28
Solutions
 Education / retraining / vocational training
 More progressive tax policies
 Increased Federal investment spending (R&D,
infrastructure etc.)
 Enhanced social welfare programs
 Fair (but free) trade
29
To End On An Optimistic Note
30
Global Income Growth
1988 - 2008
Source: Branko Milanovic. Annotations by James Plunkett.
31

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