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BEACON ECONOMICS
Office Vacancy Rates
                       Los Angeles (MD), Q1-82 to Q4-09
                 25



                 20




Percentage, SA
                 15



                 10



                  5

                      Q1-82          Q3-86          Q1-91      Q3-95   Q1-00   Q3-04   Q1-09
                       Source: Property & Portfolio Research
Office Net Absorption
                                                                                                                                                                          Q1-90 to Q1-10
                                                                                                                                                              4,000




                                                                                                                                  Thousands of Square Feet
                                                                                                                                                              2,000


                                                                                                                                                                    0


                                              Office Cost of Rent                                                                                            -2,000
                                              Q1-90 to Q4-09
Gross Dollar per Square Foot per Year




                                        30                                                                                                                   -4,000
                                                                                                                                                                        Q1-90         Q2-93          Q3-96         Q4-99     Q1-03      Q2-06          Q3-09

                                        25                                                                                                                                                Los Angeles (MD)                       Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                                          Orange County (MD)                     San Diego (MSA)
                                        20                                                                                                                                *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                                                                                                                                                          Source: Property & Portfolio Research

                                        15


                                        10
                                             Q1-90         Q2-93           Q3-96          Q4-99   Q1-03      Q2-06        Q3-09

                                                                 Los Angeles (MD)                   Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                 Orange County (MD)                 San Diego (MSA)
                                              *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                              Source: Property & Portfolio Research




                                                                                                                                                                   Office Cap Rates
                                                                                                                                                                   Q1-90 to Q4-09
                                                                                                                                                             10


                                                                                                                                                              9
                                                                                                                                  Percent




                                                                                                                                                              8


                                                                                                                                                              7


                                                                                                                                                              6

                                                                                                                                                                  Q1-90           Q2-93          Q3-96           Q4-99       Q1-03      Q2-06          Q3-09

                                                                                                                                                                                        Los Angeles (MD)                       Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                                        Orange County (MD)                     San Diego (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                   *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                                                                                                                                                   Source: Property & Portfolio Research
17.7   27.13   −1.4         59, 335                                  0                            −238
15.0   20.98   −3.1         29, 488                                  0                             −30
18.3   23.06   −1.5         18, 461                                  0                             −37
19.5   26.17   −1.8         41, 377                                100                            −250
19.1   23.79   −0.1         57, 437                                  0                             −86
17.4   29.13   −1.5         40, 495                                  0                            −122
19.7   25.78   −2.1         15, 194                                  0                             106
16.4   39.13   −4.1         80, 226                                325                            −128
17.7   28.54   −2.1        342, 013                                425                            −784




                                      Retail Vacancy Rate
                                      Q1-90 to Q4-09
                                25

                                20

                                15
                      Percent




                                10

                                 5

                                 0
                                     Q1-90         Q2-93           Q3-96          Q4-99   Q1-03      Q2-06        Q3-09

                                                         Los Angeles (MD)                   Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                         Orange County (MD)                 San Diego (MSA)
                                      *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                      Source: Property & Portfolio Research
Retail Net Absorption
                                                                                                                                                                          Q1-90 to Q4-09
                                                                                                                                                                 4,000




                                                                                                                                  Thousands of Square Feet
                                                                                                                                                                 2,000


                                                                                                                                                                     0


                                                                                                                                                             -2,000


                                                                                                                                                             -4,000
                                                                                                                                                                         Q1-90        Q2-93          Q3-96           Q4-99    Q1-03       Q2-06        Q3-09
                                              Retail Cost of Rent
                                                                                                                                                                                          Los Angeles (MD)                       Inland Empire (MSA)
                                              Q1-90 to Q4-09
                                                                                                                                                                                          Orange County (MD)                     San Diego (MSA)
                                        30
Gross Dollar per Square Foot per Year




                                                                                                                                                                          *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                                                                                                                                                          Source: Property & Portfolio Research
                                        25


                                        20


                                        15


                                        10
                                             Q1-90         Q2-93           Q3-96          Q4-99   Q1-03      Q2-06        Q3-09

                                                                 Los Angeles (MD)                   Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                 Orange County (MD)                 San Diego (MSA)
                                              *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                              Source: Property & Portfolio Research




                                                                                                                                                                  Retail Cap Rates
                                                                                                                                                                  Q1-90 to Q4-09

                                                                                                                                                             9


                                                                                                                                                             8
                                                                                                                                  Percent




                                                                                                                                                             7


                                                                                                                                                             6


                                                                                                                                                             5
                                                                                                                                                                 Q1-90           Q2-93          Q3-96           Q4-99        Q1-03       Q2-06         Q3-09

                                                                                                                                                                                       Los Angeles (MD)                        Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                                       Orange County (MD)                      San Diego (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                  *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                                                                                                                                                  Source: Property & Portfolio Research
Industrial Vacancy Rate
                Q1-90 to Q4-09
          20


          15
Percent




          10


           5


           0
               Q1-90         Q2-93           Q3-96          Q4-99   Q1-03      Q2-06        Q3-09

                                   Los Angeles (MD)                   Inland Empire (MSA)
                                   Orange County (MD)                 San Diego (MSA)
                *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                Source: Property & Portfolio Research
Industrial Net Absorption
                                                                                                                                                                               Q1-90 to Q4-09
                                                                                                                                                                      6,000




                                                                                                                                       Thousands of Square Feet
                                                                                                                                                                      4,000

                                                  Industrial Cost of Rent
                                                                                                                                                                      2,000
                                                  Q1-90 to Q4-09
Triple Net Dollar per Square Foot per Year




                                             8                                                                                                                            0


                                             7                                                                                                                    -2,000


                                             6                                                                                                                    -4,000
                                                                                                                                                                              Q1-90        Q2-93          Q3-96           Q4-99    Q1-03       Q2-06        Q3-09
                                             5                                                                                                                                                 Los Angeles (MD)                       Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                                               Orange County (MD)                     San Diego (MSA)
                                             4                                                                                                                                 *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                                                                                                                                                               Source: Property & Portfolio Research

                                                 Q1-90         Q2-93           Q3-96           Q4-99   Q1-03       Q2-06       Q3-09

                                                                      Los Angeles (MD)                   Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                      Orange County (MD)                 San Diego (MSA)
                                                  *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                                  Source: Property & Portfolio Research




                                                                                                                                                                       Industrial Cap Rates
                                                                                                                                                                       Q1-90 to Q4-09
                                                                                                                                                                  9


                                                                                                                                                                  8
                                                                                                                                       Percent




                                                                                                                                                                  7


                                                                                                                                                                  6


                                                                                                                                                                  5
                                                                                                                                                                      Q1-90           Q2-93          Q3-96           Q4-99        Q1-03       Q2-06         Q3-09

                                                                                                                                                                                            Los Angeles (MD)                        Inland Empire (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                                            Orange County (MD)                      San Diego (MSA)
                                                                                                                                                                       *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed
                                                                                                                                                                       Source: Property & Portfolio Research
1, 955.8                2, 177.4          1, 687.7
                                                              105.2                   105.0              30.2
                                                              210.9                   228.3              61.1
                                                              127.1                   116.7              46.0
                                                              647.3                   493.8             171.3
                                                              775.8                   687.0             445.7
                                                               19.4                     8.1               5.0
                                                              502.0                   476.4             197.6
                                                           4, 660.3                4, 552.4          2, 680.1



                                  Value of Total Non-Residential Permits
                                  Los Angeles County, Jan-95 to Mar-10
                           500




                           400
Millions of Dollars (SA)




                           300




                           200




                           100
                                 Jan-95     Jan-97      Jan-99       Jan-01      Jan-03   Jan-05   Jan-07   Jan-09
                                  Source: Construction Industry Research Board

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What’s Next L.A.? Economic Conference, Commercial Real Estate Section

  • 1.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Office Vacancy Rates Los Angeles (MD), Q1-82 to Q4-09 25 20 Percentage, SA 15 10 5 Q1-82 Q3-86 Q1-91 Q3-95 Q1-00 Q3-04 Q1-09 Source: Property & Portfolio Research
  • 6. Office Net Absorption Q1-90 to Q1-10 4,000 Thousands of Square Feet 2,000 0 Office Cost of Rent -2,000 Q1-90 to Q4-09 Gross Dollar per Square Foot per Year 30 -4,000 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 25 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) 20 *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research 15 10 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research Office Cap Rates Q1-90 to Q4-09 10 9 Percent 8 7 6 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research
  • 7.
  • 8. 17.7 27.13 −1.4 59, 335 0 −238 15.0 20.98 −3.1 29, 488 0 −30 18.3 23.06 −1.5 18, 461 0 −37 19.5 26.17 −1.8 41, 377 100 −250 19.1 23.79 −0.1 57, 437 0 −86 17.4 29.13 −1.5 40, 495 0 −122 19.7 25.78 −2.1 15, 194 0 106 16.4 39.13 −4.1 80, 226 325 −128 17.7 28.54 −2.1 342, 013 425 −784 Retail Vacancy Rate Q1-90 to Q4-09 25 20 15 Percent 10 5 0 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research
  • 9. Retail Net Absorption Q1-90 to Q4-09 4,000 Thousands of Square Feet 2,000 0 -2,000 -4,000 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Retail Cost of Rent Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Q1-90 to Q4-09 Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) 30 Gross Dollar per Square Foot per Year *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research 25 20 15 10 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research Retail Cap Rates Q1-90 to Q4-09 9 8 Percent 7 6 5 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research
  • 10. Industrial Vacancy Rate Q1-90 to Q4-09 20 15 Percent 10 5 0 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research
  • 11. Industrial Net Absorption Q1-90 to Q4-09 6,000 Thousands of Square Feet 4,000 Industrial Cost of Rent 2,000 Q1-90 to Q4-09 Triple Net Dollar per Square Foot per Year 8 0 7 -2,000 6 -4,000 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 5 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) 4 *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research Industrial Cap Rates Q1-90 to Q4-09 9 8 Percent 7 6 5 Q1-90 Q2-93 Q3-96 Q4-99 Q1-03 Q2-06 Q3-09 Los Angeles (MD) Inland Empire (MSA) Orange County (MD) San Diego (MSA) *These data are seasonally adjusted and smoothed Source: Property & Portfolio Research
  • 12. 1, 955.8 2, 177.4 1, 687.7 105.2 105.0 30.2 210.9 228.3 61.1 127.1 116.7 46.0 647.3 493.8 171.3 775.8 687.0 445.7 19.4 8.1 5.0 502.0 476.4 197.6 4, 660.3 4, 552.4 2, 680.1 Value of Total Non-Residential Permits Los Angeles County, Jan-95 to Mar-10 500 400 Millions of Dollars (SA) 300 200 100 Jan-95 Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Source: Construction Industry Research Board