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CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS
UNSOLVED PROBLEMS IN
FREIGHT TRANSPORT
CLIMBING THE THREE
MOUNTAINTOPS OF
REAL-TIME DATA
Per Olof Arnäs
Chalmers University of Technology
@Dr_PO
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
about.me/perolofarnas
Slides: slideshare.net/poar
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Northern LEAD 

Logistics Research Centre
Founded by:
Chalmers University of Technology
University of Gothenburg
Logistics and Transport Society LTS
Tomorrow’s logistics. We are finding the answers.
Around 70 researchers
Research centre for
sustainable logistics
solutions
Five core research
groups Organises, facilitates,
disseminates highly
relevant logistics
researchCollaboration between
Chalmers and University
of Gothenburg
Physical
Distribution
Production
Logistics
Industrial marketing
& purchasing
Logistics &
Transport
Optimization
Professors 10
Visiting Professors 6
Associate Professors 5
Post docs 6
Faculty 14
PhD students 32
Total 73
Five core
research groups
Thought leadership
through
high quality
research and
innovation
Challenges
and trends
Outcomes for
policy and
business
Volatility and risk
Demographic
changes
Complexity and
structural
flexibility
Resource
limitations
Manufacturing
and retail
revolution
Environmental
impact
Focused areas
Urban Transport
Long Distance Transport
Purchasing of
transport
Logistics and Production Networks
Information,
planning and
control
Measurements
and measuring
Service
development in
networks
Resource
utilisation
Intermodality
Per Olof Arnäs
The Transport
industry
3 things:
Carbon-free transport by Stéfan on Flickr
…physical
3d boxes by crystaljingsr on Flickr
Technology	
  Management	
  and	
  Economics	
  
Logis4kcs	
  and	
  Transporta4onCC-­‐BY	
  Per	
  Olof	
  Arnäs
…public
Traffic Jam by Giorgio Minguzzi on Flickr
Technology	
  Management	
  and	
  Economics	
  
Logis4kcs	
  and	
  Transporta4onCC-­‐BY	
  Per	
  Olof	
  Arnäs
…analogue
542 miles by Jason on Flickr
Per Olof Arnäs Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr
Development of transportation
technology has been
fairly linear
…for the last 5500 years
We are in the middle of a gigantic
exponential development curve
beginning
A new global eco system where new
types of, knowledge based, industries
compete with traditional ones
http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr
Startups compete with airlines by
inventing videoconferencing.
http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
Startups don’t compete with airlines...
Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr (CC-BY,SA)
by purchasing a bunch of planes
hiring a bunch of pilots
and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
RESOURCE UTILISATION LOW
Safety imbalance
Variation in resource demand
Chain imbalance
Caused by the chain
Technological imbalance
E.g. mismatch in equipment
Operational imbalance
Goods and resource flow not compatible
Structural imbalance
Uneven transport demand
Safety imbalance
Variation in resource demand
Chain imbalance
Caused by the chain
Technological imbalance
E.g. mismatch in equipment
Operational imbalance
Goods and resource flow not compatible
Structural imbalance
Uneven transport demand
Several of these
imbalances can be
reduced by reducing
uncertainties
InSearchOfLostTimebybogenfreundonFlickr
But the biggest problem
in transportation is time.
There is not enough of it.
Ever.
The transport industry
does not like real-time
decisions.
At all.
DSC_9073.jpg by James England on Flickr (CC-BY)
The transport industry
does not like real-time
decisions.
At all.
Batch-handling
Zip codes
Zones
Time-tables
DSC_9073.jpg by James England on Flickr (CC-BY)
Image: Alain Delorme, alaindelorme.com
The current model is
focused on economy of
scale and standardization
Image: Alain Delorme, alaindelorme.com
The current model is
focused on economy of
scale and standardization
The current paradigm
So…
What are we
doing about
all this?
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515
Source: Gartner August 2013
Augmenting
humans with
technology
Machines
replacing
humans
Humans and
machines
working
alongside each
other
Machines
better
understanding
humans and
the
environment
Humans better
understanding
machines
Machines and
humans
becoming
smarter
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515
Source: Gartner August 2013
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515
?
Source: Gartner August 2013
Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
Transportation/
logistics?
Opportunities
Digitization Increasinggoods volumes
New
technology
Political
interest
Quad Aces by fitzsean on Flickr
ICT Maturity
App
"Multi-Touch" by DaveLawler on Flickr (CC-BY)
smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Speculative
shipping
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/
14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Speculative
shipping
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/
14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
Package item(s) as a package for
eventual shipment to a delivery address
Associate unique ID with package
Select destination geographic area for
package
Ship package to selected distribution
geographic area without completely
specifying delivery address
Orders
satisfied by item(s)
received?
Package redirected?
Determine package location
Convey delivery address, package ID to
delivery location
Assign delivery address to package
Deliver package to delivery address
Convey indication of new destination
geographic area and package ID to
current location
Yes
Yes
No
No
smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Speculative
shipping
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/
14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
Package item(s) as a package for
eventual shipment to a delivery address
Associate unique ID with package
Select destination geographic area for
package
Ship package to selected distribution
geographic area without completely
specifying delivery address
Orders
satisfied by item(s)
received?
Package redirected?
Determine package location
Convey delivery address, package ID to
delivery location
Assign delivery address to package
Deliver package to delivery address
Convey indication of new destination
geographic area and package ID to
current location
Yes
Yes
No
No
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS
Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive
Time horizons
We are approaching
this boundary
…and we are
starting to
move past it!
Real-time!
Digitization fronts
Goods Vehicle
Business
process
Infra-
structure
Goods Vehicle
Business
process
Infra-
structure
Barcodes	
  
RFID	
  
Sensors
ERP systems	
  
TMS systems	
  
E-invoices	
  
Cloudbased
services
Order handling	
  
Driver support	
  
Vehicle economics
RDS-TMC	
  
Road taxes	
  
Active traffic support
Digitization fronts
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS
Business
processes
Infra-	

structure
Paperbased
Phone

Papers
Road
signs
A
nalogue
tools
R
D
S
M
onitorfuel
cosnum
ption
Digitization version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
E-mail
Fax
TMS-
systems
Excel
Route
planning
G
PS
fornavigation
Electronically
generated
freight docum
ents
Barcodes
RFID-tags
Simple order
handling
Advanced order
handling
Openinterface
W
eb
based
UI
Platform
based
system
s
Hardware-
oriented
Datacollection
systems
(proprietary)
Communication
withvehicles
E-invoice
W
eb
based
booking
Route
optimisation
ThesocialwebOpenconnectivity
Integrated
prognosis
Data
collection
system
s
(open)
Tolling
system
s
Webservices
with traffic data
Dynamic
routing
systems
Performance
BasedaccessPerformanceBasedaccess
Mashups

Multipledata
sources
Probedata
Individual
routing
inform
ation
Platooning
Platooning
Exceptions
handling
Smartgoods
Manual
Computers
Software
Functions
Distributed
decision
making
G
oods
as
bi-
directional
hyperlink
Paperbased
CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers
Goods Vehicle
Goods
Vehicles
Business
processes
Infrastructure
Stra-
tegic
Tac-
tical
Opera-
tional
Pre-
dictiveWhat happens
when access to
real-time data
increases?
not quite clear on the concept by woodleywonderworks on Flickr (CC-BY)
The Action of New York City by
Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Need for speed
The Action of New York City by
Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)
Need for speed
Data collection
Dataprocessing Data
exploitation
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
3 mountaintops to climb…
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Fixed Historical
3 data types
Mountaintop #1
Collection of data in real-time
Snapshot
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
5 data domains
Vehicle CargoDriver Company
Infrastructure/
facility
at least…
Mountaintop #1
Collection of data in real-time
Length

Weight

Width

Height
Capacity

+ other PBS-criteria
Emissions

Fuel consumption

Route
Position

Speed

Direction
Weight

Origin

Destination
Accepted ETA
Temperature

+ other state variables
Temperature + other
state variables
Education/training
Speed (ISA)

Rest/break schedule

Traffic behaviour
Belt usage

Alco lock history
Schedule status (time to
next break etc.)
Contracts/
agreements
Previous interactions Backoffice support
Fixed Historical Snapshot
Vehicle
Cargo
Driver
Company
Infrastructure/
facility
Map
+ fixed data layers
Traffic history
Current traffic
Queue
Availability
DATA MATRIX
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Mountaintop #2
Processing of data in real-time
Locals and Tourists #1 (GTWA #2): London by Eric Fischer on Flickr
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Mountaintop #2
Processing of data in real-time
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Mountaintop #3
Exploiting data in real-time
Connected. 362/365 by AndYaDontStop
on Flickr (CC-BY)
Lisa for I/O Keynote by Max Braun on
Flickr (CC-BY)
Fulham-Manchester
United 24-02-2007 by
vuhlser on Flickr (CC-BY)
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
Mountaintop #3
Exploiting data in real-time
Boeing-KC-97 Stratotanker by x-ray delta one on Flickr (CC-BY)
CASES

(MANY)
CASES 

(MANY MORE)
Challenges
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Difficulties increase with scale
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Supply chain,
simple
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Supply chain,
simple
Supply chain,
complex
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Company
Supply chain,
simple
Supply chain,
complex
Eco system
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Not all ideas age with grace
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Someone must do the work
The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
Not everyone will want to
adopt new things…
CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS
UNSOLVED PROBLEMS IN
FREIGHT TRANSPORT
CLIMBING THE THREE
MOUNTAINTOPS OF
REAL-TIME DATA
Per Olof Arnäs
Chalmers University of Technology
@Dr_PO
per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se
about.me/perolofarnas
Slides: slideshare.net/poar
En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)

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Real-Time Data Revolution in Freight Transport

  • 1. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS UNSOLVED PROBLEMS IN FREIGHT TRANSPORT CLIMBING THE THREE MOUNTAINTOPS OF REAL-TIME DATA Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers University of Technology @Dr_PO per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se about.me/perolofarnas Slides: slideshare.net/poar En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 2. Northern LEAD 
 Logistics Research Centre Founded by: Chalmers University of Technology University of Gothenburg Logistics and Transport Society LTS
  • 3. Tomorrow’s logistics. We are finding the answers. Around 70 researchers Research centre for sustainable logistics solutions Five core research groups Organises, facilitates, disseminates highly relevant logistics researchCollaboration between Chalmers and University of Gothenburg
  • 4. Physical Distribution Production Logistics Industrial marketing & purchasing Logistics & Transport Optimization Professors 10 Visiting Professors 6 Associate Professors 5 Post docs 6 Faculty 14 PhD students 32 Total 73 Five core research groups
  • 5. Thought leadership through high quality research and innovation Challenges and trends Outcomes for policy and business Volatility and risk Demographic changes Complexity and structural flexibility Resource limitations Manufacturing and retail revolution Environmental impact Focused areas Urban Transport Long Distance Transport Purchasing of transport Logistics and Production Networks Information, planning and control Measurements and measuring Service development in networks Resource utilisation Intermodality
  • 6. Per Olof Arnäs The Transport industry 3 things: Carbon-free transport by Stéfan on Flickr
  • 7. …physical 3d boxes by crystaljingsr on Flickr
  • 8. Technology  Management  and  Economics   Logis4kcs  and  Transporta4onCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs …public Traffic Jam by Giorgio Minguzzi on Flickr
  • 9. Technology  Management  and  Economics   Logis4kcs  and  Transporta4onCC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs …analogue 542 miles by Jason on Flickr
  • 10.
  • 11. Per Olof Arnäs Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr Development of transportation technology has been fairly linear …for the last 5500 years
  • 12. We are in the middle of a gigantic exponential development curve beginning
  • 13. A new global eco system where new types of, knowledge based, industries compete with traditional ones
  • 14. http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr
  • 15. Startups compete with airlines by inventing videoconferencing. http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Startups don’t compete with airlines... Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr (CC-BY,SA) by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.
  • 16.
  • 18. Safety imbalance Variation in resource demand Chain imbalance Caused by the chain Technological imbalance E.g. mismatch in equipment Operational imbalance Goods and resource flow not compatible Structural imbalance Uneven transport demand
  • 19. Safety imbalance Variation in resource demand Chain imbalance Caused by the chain Technological imbalance E.g. mismatch in equipment Operational imbalance Goods and resource flow not compatible Structural imbalance Uneven transport demand Several of these imbalances can be reduced by reducing uncertainties
  • 20. InSearchOfLostTimebybogenfreundonFlickr But the biggest problem in transportation is time. There is not enough of it. Ever.
  • 21. The transport industry does not like real-time decisions. At all. DSC_9073.jpg by James England on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 22. The transport industry does not like real-time decisions. At all. Batch-handling Zip codes Zones Time-tables DSC_9073.jpg by James England on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 23. Image: Alain Delorme, alaindelorme.com The current model is focused on economy of scale and standardization
  • 24. Image: Alain Delorme, alaindelorme.com The current model is focused on economy of scale and standardization
  • 26. So… What are we doing about all this?
  • 27. http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515 Source: Gartner August 2013 Augmenting humans with technology Machines replacing humans Humans and machines working alongside each other Machines better understanding humans and the environment Humans better understanding machines Machines and humans becoming smarter Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
  • 28. http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515 Source: Gartner August 2013 Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies
  • 29. http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515 ? Source: Gartner August 2013 Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies Transportation/ logistics?
  • 31. ICT Maturity App "Multi-Touch" by DaveLawler on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 32. smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA) Speculative shipping http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/ 14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767
  • 33. smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA) Speculative shipping http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/ 14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767 Package item(s) as a package for eventual shipment to a delivery address Associate unique ID with package Select destination geographic area for package Ship package to selected distribution geographic area without completely specifying delivery address Orders satisfied by item(s) received? Package redirected? Determine package location Convey delivery address, package ID to delivery location Assign delivery address to package Deliver package to delivery address Convey indication of new destination geographic area and package ID to current location Yes Yes No No
  • 34. smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA) Speculative shipping http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/ 14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767 Package item(s) as a package for eventual shipment to a delivery address Associate unique ID with package Select destination geographic area for package Ship package to selected distribution geographic area without completely specifying delivery address Orders satisfied by item(s) received? Package redirected? Determine package location Convey delivery address, package ID to delivery location Assign delivery address to package Deliver package to delivery address Convey indication of new destination geographic area and package ID to current location Yes Yes No No
  • 35. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive Time horizons We are approaching this boundary …and we are starting to move past it! Real-time!
  • 37. Goods Vehicle Business process Infra- structure Barcodes   RFID   Sensors ERP systems   TMS systems   E-invoices   Cloudbased services Order handling   Driver support   Vehicle economics RDS-TMC   Road taxes   Active traffic support Digitization fronts
  • 38. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS Business processes Infra- structure Paperbased Phone
 Papers Road signs A nalogue tools R D S M onitorfuel cosnum ption Digitization version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 E-mail Fax TMS- systems Excel Route planning G PS fornavigation Electronically generated freight docum ents Barcodes RFID-tags Simple order handling Advanced order handling Openinterface W eb based UI Platform based system s Hardware- oriented Datacollection systems (proprietary) Communication withvehicles E-invoice W eb based booking Route optimisation ThesocialwebOpenconnectivity Integrated prognosis Data collection system s (open) Tolling system s Webservices with traffic data Dynamic routing systems Performance BasedaccessPerformanceBasedaccess Mashups
 Multipledata sources Probedata Individual routing inform ation Platooning Platooning Exceptions handling Smartgoods Manual Computers Software Functions Distributed decision making G oods as bi- directional hyperlink Paperbased CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers Goods Vehicle
  • 39. Goods Vehicles Business processes Infrastructure Stra- tegic Tac- tical Opera- tional Pre- dictiveWhat happens when access to real-time data increases? not quite clear on the concept by woodleywonderworks on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 40. The Action of New York City by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) Need for speed
  • 41. The Action of New York City by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA) Need for speed Data collection Dataprocessing Data exploitation
  • 42. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) 3 mountaintops to climb…
  • 43. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Fixed Historical 3 data types Mountaintop #1 Collection of data in real-time Snapshot
  • 44. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) 5 data domains Vehicle CargoDriver Company Infrastructure/ facility at least… Mountaintop #1 Collection of data in real-time
  • 45. Length
 Weight
 Width
 Height Capacity
 + other PBS-criteria Emissions
 Fuel consumption
 Route Position
 Speed
 Direction Weight
 Origin
 Destination Accepted ETA Temperature
 + other state variables Temperature + other state variables Education/training Speed (ISA)
 Rest/break schedule
 Traffic behaviour Belt usage
 Alco lock history Schedule status (time to next break etc.) Contracts/ agreements Previous interactions Backoffice support Fixed Historical Snapshot Vehicle Cargo Driver Company Infrastructure/ facility Map + fixed data layers Traffic history Current traffic Queue Availability DATA MATRIX
  • 46. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Mountaintop #2 Processing of data in real-time Locals and Tourists #1 (GTWA #2): London by Eric Fischer on Flickr
  • 47. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Mountaintop #2 Processing of data in real-time
  • 48. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Mountaintop #3 Exploiting data in real-time Connected. 362/365 by AndYaDontStop on Flickr (CC-BY) Lisa for I/O Keynote by Max Braun on Flickr (CC-BY) Fulham-Manchester United 24-02-2007 by vuhlser on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 49. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY) Mountaintop #3 Exploiting data in real-time Boeing-KC-97 Stratotanker by x-ray delta one on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 52. Challenges The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 53. Company Difficulties increase with scale The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 54. Company Supply chain, simple The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 55. Company Supply chain, simple Supply chain, complex The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 56. Company Supply chain, simple Supply chain, complex Eco system The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)
  • 57. The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Not all ideas age with grace
  • 58. The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Someone must do the work
  • 59. The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY) Not everyone will want to adopt new things…
  • 60.
  • 61. CC-BY PER OLOF ARNÄS UNSOLVED PROBLEMS IN FREIGHT TRANSPORT CLIMBING THE THREE MOUNTAINTOPS OF REAL-TIME DATA Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers University of Technology @Dr_PO per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se about.me/perolofarnas Slides: slideshare.net/poar En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)