Presentation given at Avren's Femtocell Americas Conference: December 6, 2011.

1. Outsmart Your Competitors
Do LTE and Femtocells Need One Another?
December 6, 2011
Peter Jarich
Service Director, Mobile Ecosystem
Current Analysis
pjarich@currentanalysis.com
Washington DC / London / Paris Follow Current Analysis
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

2. Agenda
 LTE & Femtocells: Getting Our Facts Straight
 LTE: Why & Where
 Femtocells: Why and What
 The LTE and Femtocell Intersection Points
 What We’re Not Hearing From the Market
Follow Current Analysis 2
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

3. Prepping Us For MWC2012
Follow Current Analysis 3
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

4. The LTE Rationale
Source: AT&T
Follow Current Analysis 4
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

5. The LTE Rationale
Source: AT&T
Follow Current Analysis 5
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

6. The LTE Momentum
Follow Current Analysis 6
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

7. The LTE Small Cells
Commercial
≠ Momentum
Follow Current Analysis 7
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

8. The Femtocell Rationale (Today)
What’s The Femto
Use Case?
Follow Current Analysis 8
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

9. The Capabilities of HSPA+
Just your average Twitter conversation…
 @pnjarich: So, the iPhone 4S tops out at HSPA+ 14.4. Not
even 21 Mbps?
 @GlennF: @pnjarich Why would anyone need more than
14.4 Mbps on a phone? Who cares?
 @pnjarich: @GlennF Operators, that’s who. When you’re
trying to maximize network capacity, HSPA+ 21 (or, better
yet, 42) matters.
 @GlennF: @pnjarich Understood.
Follow Current Analysis 9
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

10. Have We Defined “Femtocell” Yet?
VS.
Follow Current Analysis 10
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

11. LTE & Scale
Follow Current Analysis 11
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

12. The Fragmentation of Spectrum
Think
Coverage!
Think
Scale!
Follow Current Analysis 12
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

13. No Spectrum Left Behind
Think, “Why
TDD Now?”
Think
Refarming,
Auctions,
Reclamation,
etc.
Follow Current Analysis 13
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

14. That Means WiFi Too, Right?
Source: AT&T
Follow Current Analysis 14
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

15. …and Multi-Tech Gateways
Source: Cisco
Follow Current Analysis 15
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

16. …and New Backhaul Architectures
Follow Current Analysis 16
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

17. …and New Backhaul Architectures
Follow Current Analysis 17
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

18. …and Core Architecture Evangelism
Circa 2008?
Source: Acme Packet
Follow Current Analysis 18
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

19. Conclusions and Recommendations
LTE Is Moving Forward What We’ll Need To
Fine Without Femtos Get There
The Public Story is Easy  Subsidies
to Understand  Apps
 LTE Story Beyond
The Residential Story is Capacity
Confounded by…
 Multi-standard
 WiFi
Femtos
 Coverage vs. Capacity
 3G Capabilities
 Evangelism!
Follow Current Analysis 19
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.

20. Thank you
Name: P. Jarich
Title: Service Director, Mobile Ecosystem
Email: pjarich@currentanalysis.com
Phone: 703.788.3792
Twitter: @pnjarich
Website: www.currentanalysis.com
Follow Current Analysis 20
© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.