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Presentation:

                       Quality Risk Management




                                   Purpose

  To safeguard the organisation, its customers, reputation, assets and the
  interests of stakeholders by identifying and managing all risks and to meet
  the achievement of its business objectives to ensure that growth is achieved
  in a controlled, responsible and sustainable manner.




Peter D. Schellinck                                    Antwerp, 6 June 2011
Risk Assessment?
A strategic approach to planning, at all levels and
across all functions of an organization, that
identifies exposures of activities and assists in
making risk adjusted business decisions every day.              GET RID OF SILOS


Risk Appetite?
•    Risk appetite is the degree of uncertainty an organisation is
     willing to accept to reach its goals.
•    Risk appetite is a key factor in evaluating strategic options.
•    Risk Assessment helps management consider risk appetite
     when setting goals that align with overall company strategy,
     and managing risks related to that strategy.

Work with the company’s management to decide:
•  What is your company’s risk tolerance?
•  How much or what are you willing to risk to accomplish the mission or activity?
•  How much can your company afford to lose in any one occurrence or in the
   aggregate?
Understanding the company and the activity


          What does the                      Does the
          Company do?                      activity fit the
         (Mission, Goals,                   Company’s
           Objectives)                     mission, goals,
                                            objectives?



 What could happen?
                                                           Group Risk
 •    Could there be bodily
      injury, property damage or
                                                          Management
      other liability exposures                             Charter
      caused by this service or
      activity?
 •    Is there any impact on                What is Risk?
      workload?
 •    Could there be any           The danger or probability of loss.
      damage to the systems?
Risk Management Approach
Develop a Group Risk Governance

   1.     Get a good understanding of the company’s risk profile
   2.     Manage and monitor the key risk within their tolerances
   3.     Get Organised: Organisation and Framework
   4.     Establish a process for assessing risk appetite taking into account:

         a)    Current risk portfolio
         b)    External stakeholders expectations: regulators, rating agencies, investors (long
               term / short term), employees, customers,…
         c)    Economic cycles
         d)    Board of Directors


Risk Management:

   1.     Driven by strategy
   2.     Part of the management process of the company
   3.     Inherent to good governance
Risk Assessment: agree on a definition
The conventional approach to risk defines it as being the chance, in quantifiable
terms, of an accident occurrence.

The process of risk assessment and management is generally based on three sets
of sequenced and inter-related activities:

     –  the assessment of risk in terms of what can go wrong, the probability of it
     going wrong, and the possible consequences;

     –  the management of risk in terms of what can be done, the options and trade-
     offs available between the costs, benefits and risks; and

     –  the impact of risk management decisions and policies on the future options
     and undertakings.

Performing each set of activity requires multi-perspective analysis and modelling of
all conceivable sources and impacts of risks as well as viable options for decision
making and management.
Risk Assessment structure

Risk Management for each activity consists of:

    –     Data Model

    –     Risk Management Processes – Application Development

    –     RM Framework & Sub-process References

         •    Definition of Scope and Framework
         •    Monitor and Review
         •    Operational Processes
         •    Risk Acceptance
         •    Risk Assessment
         •    Risk Communication
         •    Risk Treatment
Risk Management Infrastructure
Risk Management infrastructure bridges organizational silos to help the organization in its efforts to:

           • Synchronize – coordinate risk management across institutional boundaries

           • Harmonize – help risk managers all speak the same language and define risk in the same
              manner

           • Rationalize – eliminate duplication of effort

The goals of a common risk management infrastructure include:

           • Get everyone “singing from the same song sheet” – Constrain, guide, or channel
              behaviours in ways that align with the goals, strategies, and tactics established by
              management and the board

           • Create the ability to manage risk exposures so that the organization can take enough of
              the right risks to pursue its strategic goals

           • Create “risk aware” thinking and decision making at all levels

           • Enable appropriate flows of risk information up, down, and across the organization

           • Enable and support management of risks at the appropriate level
Rules and Regulations: snap shot!
•    The framework to be established can be inspired from the recommendations of the Committee of
     Sponsoring Organisation of the Treadway Commission (COSO I and II), the Institute of Risk
     Management, based on AIRMIC (Association of Insurers and Risk Managers), ISO 31000, the
     Australia and New Zealand standard 4360 (AS/NZ 4360 - 1999), the AMRAE (Association pour le
     Management des Risques et des Assurances de l’Entreprise), the RIMS (Risk and Insurance
     Management Society), ECGI (European Corporate Governance Institute) and other internationally
     respected advisers on risk management.

•    The Occupational Health and Safety Assessment Series, OHSAS 18000, has been developed to
     help organizations control and minimize occupational health and safety risks. OHSAS 18001 is a
     specific standard for occupational health and safety management systems designed to eliminate or
     minimize the risk to employees and other interested parties who may be exposed to occupational
     health and safety risks associated with the business’ activities. OHSAS 18001 is compatible with
     ISO 9001 and ISO 14001 management systems. OHSAS 18001 represents a progression of a
     management system philosophy, from quality to environmental, continuing to occupational health
     and safety.

•    One of the main elements of the security amendment of the Community Customs Code
     ( Regulation (EC) 648/2005) is the creation of the AEO concept. On the basis of Article 5a of the
     security amendments, Member States can grant the AEO status to any economic operator meeting
     the following common criteria: customs compliance, appropriate record-keeping, financial solvency
     and, where relevant, security and safety standards.

Regulatory context:

In Belgium: as from April 6, 2010 a corporate governance statement is mandatory!
Risk Management Methodology
              Ongoing Risk Assessment


                                                                   Risk
  Identify                Analyze                                                               Mitigation
                                                                Mitigation
    Risk                   Risk                                                                    Plan
                                                                 Option
Identify risk by:                                             •  Assign owner             •  Level of effort required
                         •  Evaluate potential impact
•  Main assumptions         of risk                                                       •  Estimated cost
•  Brainstorm            •  Estimate probability                                          •  Schedule of risk reduction
•  Past Experience       •  Rank and Prioritise Risk                                        activities
•  Potential sources                                         Control                      •  Program activities and milestones
•  Examine the context                                                                    •  Metrics for tracking & monitoring
•  Worst case scenario                                                                    •  Party responsible for managing
                                                             Avoidance                      mitigation & avoidance
                                                                                          •  Escalation strategy
                                                             Assumption
                   Lessons
                   Learned                                   Transfer
                                                                                                  Implement
                                                                                                  Mitigation
                                                                                                     Plan
       Monthly
                                     Monitor            •  Review effectiveness
      Reporting
                                      Risk              •  Review risk approach
                                                        •  Confirm project/activity is within risk parameters
Risk Assessment Cycle

   Risk                Decide how?
Management
 Planning


                                                   Find them               Qualitative
                                 Risk
                                                                             Risk
                             Identification                                                     Sift
                                                                            Analysis
     Act and measure



                   Risk
                                               •  Avoid, reduce, share,
                                                  accept
                                                                                         Quantitative
 Reporting:
 •  Risks       Monitoring &                   •  Action plans linked to                    Risk
 •  Incidents                                     budget and planning
                  Control                                                                 Analysis
                                                    Risk                                        Measure
                                                  Response
                              Decide actions
                                                  Planning
Risk Universe
Board Recommendations
To fulfil their responsibilities and to provide value, board members should:

     • Put risk on the agenda. Make time for risk before risk demands it.
        Every board meeting is not too often to discuss risk.
     • Inventory the current risk structure. How are risks managed? Are
         silos being bridged?
     • Summon the management team. Engage in periodic risk dialogue.
        Identify risks that will prevent the organization from executing on its key
        strategies.
     • Discuss risk scenarios. Where do the greatest opportunities lie? What
        could thwart the organization’s strategic objectives?
     • Check organizational appetite — and diet. Determine how much risk
        the organization is able to take on. How much is it willing to take on?
        And how much is it actually taking on? Are these in line?
     • Get reasonable assurance. Ask management: How confident are you?
        Why?
     • Get independent reassurance. Have internal audit or an outside
        consultant evaluate the effectiveness of the full risk management
        program. Can management’s assurances be relied upon?
Risk intelligent
Books have been written on what went wrong. But here’s a quick summary:

    1) The potential interaction of multiple risks was underestimated or
       disregarded.
    2) Probabilistic modelling was overemphasized; shortcuts were taken;
       scenario planning was underutilized; transparency into potential issues
       was absent.
    3) Risk managers were isolated in silos.
    4) Warnings were ignored; those who delivered them were dismissed as
       naysayers or criticized for not being team players.
    5) A short-term perspective with a single-minded focus on making the
       quarterly numbers predominated.
    6) Companies lacked a comprehensive approach to firm-wide risk
       management; authority and responsibility were poorly controlled and
       defined.
    7) Risk management often focused on compliance rather than
       performance, leading to inadequate assessments and responses.


In other words: It’s time to become Risk Intelligent with QRM.
QRM: Quality Risk Management 1
1. With QMR, a common definition of risk, which addresses both value
     preservation and value creation, is used consistently throughout the
     organization.

2. With QMR, a common risk framework supported by appropriate
     standards is used throughout the organization to manage risks.

3. With QRM, key roles, responsibilities, and authority relating to risk
     management are clearly defined and delineated within the
     organization.

4. With QRM, a common risk management infrastructure is used to support
     the business units and functions in the performance of their risk
     responsibilities.

5. With QRM, governing bodies (e.g., Boards, Audit Committees, etc.) have
     appropriate transparency and visibility into the organization’s risk
     management practices to discharge their responsibilities.
QRM: Quality Risk Management 2
6. With QRM, executive management is charged with primary
     responsibility for designing, implementing, and maintaining an
     effective risk program.

7. With QRM, business units (departments, agencies, etc.) are responsible
     for the performance of their business and the management of risks
     they take within the risk framework established by executive
     management.

8. With QRM, certain functions (e.g., HR, finance, IT, tax, legal etc.) have
     a pervasive impact on the business and provide support to the
     business units as it relates to the organization’s risk program.

9. With QRM, certain functions (e.g., internal audit, risk management,
     compliance, etc.) provide objective assurance as well as monitor and
     report on the effectiveness of an organization’s risk program to
     governing bodies and executive management.
Matrix for Risk Reporting
                          Loss of Cash Flow


Financial

 50 mln €



 20 mln €



 10 mln €



  5 mln €



  1 mln €


               0%   20%   40%         60%     80%   100%
  0 mln €
Sustainability Reporting
Social performance

   Our employees

        Number of full time employees (FTE)
        Gender (female representation) %
        Employee engagement %
        Performance appraisals %

   Safety

        Lost time injury frequency (LTIF) frequency
        Fatalities number

Economic performance
   Revenue Euro million

   Electricity cost Euro million
Sustainability Reporting
Environmental performance

Energy consumption                            Other air emissions
Fuel oil 1,000 tonnes                         SOx 1,000 tonnes
Diesel 1,000 tonnes                           NOx 1,000 tonnes
Natural gas 1,000 tonnes                      VOCs 1,000 tonnes
Electricity 1,000 MWh                         Particulate matters 1,000 tonnes
Energy consumption GJ
                                              Other resource consumption
                                              Steel consumption 1,000 tonnes
Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
GHG emissions 1,000 tonnes CO2                Waste total e 1,000 tonnes
                                              – recycled (composting, reused, recycled) 1,000 tonnes
Direct GHG emissions (Scope 1 GHG Protocol)   – solid (landfill, on-site storage, incineration) 1,000 tonnes
CO2 1,000 tonnes                              – hazardous (controlled deposit) 1,000 tonnes
CH4 1,000 tonnes
N2O 1,000 tonnes                              Water consumption 1,000 m3
HFC 1,000 tonnes                              – surface water 1,000 m3
                                              – ground water 1,000 m3
PFC 1,000 tonnes
                                              – rain water 1,000 m3
SF6 1,000 tonnes
                                              – municipal water supplies /water utilities 1,000 m3

Indirect GHG emissions (Scope 2 GHG           Spills m3
Protocol)
CO2 1,000 tonnes
CH4 1,000 tonnes
N2O 1,000 tonnes
Sustainability Reporting
Injuries by activity

Activity                     Total                            Total

Equipment Overhaul – Major
                                     Safety drill, training
Insulation/Fire Proofing
                                     Maintenance - Minor
Shore leave                          Painting/Blasting
Working aloft (at heights)
                                     Crane Operations
Anchor handling
                                     Use Of Power Tools
Small Craft Operations
Falling Object                       Mooring/Unmooring
Towing                               Operation

Tank Cleaning
                                     Off-duty activities
Equipment Overhaul – Minor
                                     Cargo Operations
Unknown
                                     Domestic
General Movement                     Manual Handling
                                     Other
Bunker transfer operation            Maintenance – Major
Enclosed space activities
Gangway/pilot operations
Welding/burning                                                Totals

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Presentation qrm shc

  • 1. Presentation: Quality Risk Management Purpose To safeguard the organisation, its customers, reputation, assets and the interests of stakeholders by identifying and managing all risks and to meet the achievement of its business objectives to ensure that growth is achieved in a controlled, responsible and sustainable manner. Peter D. Schellinck Antwerp, 6 June 2011
  • 2. Risk Assessment? A strategic approach to planning, at all levels and across all functions of an organization, that identifies exposures of activities and assists in making risk adjusted business decisions every day. GET RID OF SILOS Risk Appetite? •  Risk appetite is the degree of uncertainty an organisation is willing to accept to reach its goals. •  Risk appetite is a key factor in evaluating strategic options. •  Risk Assessment helps management consider risk appetite when setting goals that align with overall company strategy, and managing risks related to that strategy. Work with the company’s management to decide: •  What is your company’s risk tolerance? •  How much or what are you willing to risk to accomplish the mission or activity? •  How much can your company afford to lose in any one occurrence or in the aggregate?
  • 3. Understanding the company and the activity What does the Does the Company do? activity fit the (Mission, Goals, Company’s Objectives) mission, goals, objectives? What could happen? Group Risk •  Could there be bodily injury, property damage or Management other liability exposures Charter caused by this service or activity? •  Is there any impact on What is Risk? workload? •  Could there be any The danger or probability of loss. damage to the systems?
  • 4. Risk Management Approach Develop a Group Risk Governance 1.  Get a good understanding of the company’s risk profile 2.  Manage and monitor the key risk within their tolerances 3.  Get Organised: Organisation and Framework 4.  Establish a process for assessing risk appetite taking into account: a)  Current risk portfolio b)  External stakeholders expectations: regulators, rating agencies, investors (long term / short term), employees, customers,… c)  Economic cycles d)  Board of Directors Risk Management: 1.  Driven by strategy 2.  Part of the management process of the company 3.  Inherent to good governance
  • 5. Risk Assessment: agree on a definition The conventional approach to risk defines it as being the chance, in quantifiable terms, of an accident occurrence. The process of risk assessment and management is generally based on three sets of sequenced and inter-related activities: –  the assessment of risk in terms of what can go wrong, the probability of it going wrong, and the possible consequences; –  the management of risk in terms of what can be done, the options and trade- offs available between the costs, benefits and risks; and –  the impact of risk management decisions and policies on the future options and undertakings. Performing each set of activity requires multi-perspective analysis and modelling of all conceivable sources and impacts of risks as well as viable options for decision making and management.
  • 6. Risk Assessment structure Risk Management for each activity consists of: –  Data Model –  Risk Management Processes – Application Development –  RM Framework & Sub-process References •  Definition of Scope and Framework •  Monitor and Review •  Operational Processes •  Risk Acceptance •  Risk Assessment •  Risk Communication •  Risk Treatment
  • 7. Risk Management Infrastructure Risk Management infrastructure bridges organizational silos to help the organization in its efforts to: • Synchronize – coordinate risk management across institutional boundaries • Harmonize – help risk managers all speak the same language and define risk in the same manner • Rationalize – eliminate duplication of effort The goals of a common risk management infrastructure include: • Get everyone “singing from the same song sheet” – Constrain, guide, or channel behaviours in ways that align with the goals, strategies, and tactics established by management and the board • Create the ability to manage risk exposures so that the organization can take enough of the right risks to pursue its strategic goals • Create “risk aware” thinking and decision making at all levels • Enable appropriate flows of risk information up, down, and across the organization • Enable and support management of risks at the appropriate level
  • 8. Rules and Regulations: snap shot! •  The framework to be established can be inspired from the recommendations of the Committee of Sponsoring Organisation of the Treadway Commission (COSO I and II), the Institute of Risk Management, based on AIRMIC (Association of Insurers and Risk Managers), ISO 31000, the Australia and New Zealand standard 4360 (AS/NZ 4360 - 1999), the AMRAE (Association pour le Management des Risques et des Assurances de l’Entreprise), the RIMS (Risk and Insurance Management Society), ECGI (European Corporate Governance Institute) and other internationally respected advisers on risk management. •  The Occupational Health and Safety Assessment Series, OHSAS 18000, has been developed to help organizations control and minimize occupational health and safety risks. OHSAS 18001 is a specific standard for occupational health and safety management systems designed to eliminate or minimize the risk to employees and other interested parties who may be exposed to occupational health and safety risks associated with the business’ activities. OHSAS 18001 is compatible with ISO 9001 and ISO 14001 management systems. OHSAS 18001 represents a progression of a management system philosophy, from quality to environmental, continuing to occupational health and safety. •  One of the main elements of the security amendment of the Community Customs Code ( Regulation (EC) 648/2005) is the creation of the AEO concept. On the basis of Article 5a of the security amendments, Member States can grant the AEO status to any economic operator meeting the following common criteria: customs compliance, appropriate record-keeping, financial solvency and, where relevant, security and safety standards. Regulatory context: In Belgium: as from April 6, 2010 a corporate governance statement is mandatory!
  • 9. Risk Management Methodology Ongoing Risk Assessment Risk Identify Analyze Mitigation Mitigation Risk Risk Plan Option Identify risk by: •  Assign owner •  Level of effort required •  Evaluate potential impact •  Main assumptions of risk •  Estimated cost •  Brainstorm •  Estimate probability •  Schedule of risk reduction •  Past Experience •  Rank and Prioritise Risk activities •  Potential sources Control •  Program activities and milestones •  Examine the context •  Metrics for tracking & monitoring •  Worst case scenario •  Party responsible for managing Avoidance mitigation & avoidance •  Escalation strategy Assumption Lessons Learned Transfer Implement Mitigation Plan Monthly Monitor •  Review effectiveness Reporting Risk •  Review risk approach •  Confirm project/activity is within risk parameters
  • 10. Risk Assessment Cycle Risk Decide how? Management Planning Find them Qualitative Risk Risk Identification Sift Analysis Act and measure Risk •  Avoid, reduce, share, accept Quantitative Reporting: •  Risks Monitoring & •  Action plans linked to Risk •  Incidents budget and planning Control Analysis Risk Measure Response Decide actions Planning
  • 12. Board Recommendations To fulfil their responsibilities and to provide value, board members should: • Put risk on the agenda. Make time for risk before risk demands it. Every board meeting is not too often to discuss risk. • Inventory the current risk structure. How are risks managed? Are silos being bridged? • Summon the management team. Engage in periodic risk dialogue. Identify risks that will prevent the organization from executing on its key strategies. • Discuss risk scenarios. Where do the greatest opportunities lie? What could thwart the organization’s strategic objectives? • Check organizational appetite — and diet. Determine how much risk the organization is able to take on. How much is it willing to take on? And how much is it actually taking on? Are these in line? • Get reasonable assurance. Ask management: How confident are you? Why? • Get independent reassurance. Have internal audit or an outside consultant evaluate the effectiveness of the full risk management program. Can management’s assurances be relied upon?
  • 13. Risk intelligent Books have been written on what went wrong. But here’s a quick summary: 1) The potential interaction of multiple risks was underestimated or disregarded. 2) Probabilistic modelling was overemphasized; shortcuts were taken; scenario planning was underutilized; transparency into potential issues was absent. 3) Risk managers were isolated in silos. 4) Warnings were ignored; those who delivered them were dismissed as naysayers or criticized for not being team players. 5) A short-term perspective with a single-minded focus on making the quarterly numbers predominated. 6) Companies lacked a comprehensive approach to firm-wide risk management; authority and responsibility were poorly controlled and defined. 7) Risk management often focused on compliance rather than performance, leading to inadequate assessments and responses. In other words: It’s time to become Risk Intelligent with QRM.
  • 14. QRM: Quality Risk Management 1 1. With QMR, a common definition of risk, which addresses both value preservation and value creation, is used consistently throughout the organization. 2. With QMR, a common risk framework supported by appropriate standards is used throughout the organization to manage risks. 3. With QRM, key roles, responsibilities, and authority relating to risk management are clearly defined and delineated within the organization. 4. With QRM, a common risk management infrastructure is used to support the business units and functions in the performance of their risk responsibilities. 5. With QRM, governing bodies (e.g., Boards, Audit Committees, etc.) have appropriate transparency and visibility into the organization’s risk management practices to discharge their responsibilities.
  • 15. QRM: Quality Risk Management 2 6. With QRM, executive management is charged with primary responsibility for designing, implementing, and maintaining an effective risk program. 7. With QRM, business units (departments, agencies, etc.) are responsible for the performance of their business and the management of risks they take within the risk framework established by executive management. 8. With QRM, certain functions (e.g., HR, finance, IT, tax, legal etc.) have a pervasive impact on the business and provide support to the business units as it relates to the organization’s risk program. 9. With QRM, certain functions (e.g., internal audit, risk management, compliance, etc.) provide objective assurance as well as monitor and report on the effectiveness of an organization’s risk program to governing bodies and executive management.
  • 16. Matrix for Risk Reporting Loss of Cash Flow Financial 50 mln € 20 mln € 10 mln € 5 mln € 1 mln € 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 mln €
  • 17. Sustainability Reporting Social performance Our employees Number of full time employees (FTE) Gender (female representation) % Employee engagement % Performance appraisals % Safety Lost time injury frequency (LTIF) frequency Fatalities number Economic performance Revenue Euro million Electricity cost Euro million
  • 18. Sustainability Reporting Environmental performance Energy consumption Other air emissions Fuel oil 1,000 tonnes SOx 1,000 tonnes Diesel 1,000 tonnes NOx 1,000 tonnes Natural gas 1,000 tonnes VOCs 1,000 tonnes Electricity 1,000 MWh Particulate matters 1,000 tonnes Energy consumption GJ Other resource consumption Steel consumption 1,000 tonnes Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions GHG emissions 1,000 tonnes CO2 Waste total e 1,000 tonnes – recycled (composting, reused, recycled) 1,000 tonnes Direct GHG emissions (Scope 1 GHG Protocol) – solid (landfill, on-site storage, incineration) 1,000 tonnes CO2 1,000 tonnes – hazardous (controlled deposit) 1,000 tonnes CH4 1,000 tonnes N2O 1,000 tonnes Water consumption 1,000 m3 HFC 1,000 tonnes – surface water 1,000 m3 – ground water 1,000 m3 PFC 1,000 tonnes – rain water 1,000 m3 SF6 1,000 tonnes – municipal water supplies /water utilities 1,000 m3 Indirect GHG emissions (Scope 2 GHG Spills m3 Protocol) CO2 1,000 tonnes CH4 1,000 tonnes N2O 1,000 tonnes
  • 19. Sustainability Reporting Injuries by activity Activity Total Total Equipment Overhaul – Major Safety drill, training Insulation/Fire Proofing Maintenance - Minor Shore leave Painting/Blasting Working aloft (at heights) Crane Operations Anchor handling Use Of Power Tools Small Craft Operations Falling Object Mooring/Unmooring Towing Operation Tank Cleaning Off-duty activities Equipment Overhaul – Minor Cargo Operations Unknown Domestic General Movement Manual Handling Other Bunker transfer operation Maintenance – Major Enclosed space activities Gangway/pilot operations Welding/burning Totals