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Canada Economy Overview
for April 2015 – Trends and
Policies Analysis
By: Paul Young, CPA, CGA
Automotive Sector
Automotive Production
Canada Auto Sales
Scotia Bank
Automotive
International Trade
Canada Exports and Imports
Canada Trade
Exports – EDC Comments
Canada Exports
Canada Exports
Trade Comments
Comments Trade/March 2015
Comments Trade/March 2015
Comments Trade/March 2015
Comments Trade/March 2015
Scotiabank – Trade Comments
Scotiabank – Trade Comments
Exports - Comments
Exports - comments
Manufacturing Trends
Canadian Manufacturing Sales
Canadian Manufacturing
Canada MFG Sales
Canadian Manufacturing
Forestry Industry
Canadian Manufacturing Analysis
Canadian Manufacturing Analysis
Canadian MFG Trends
Canadian MFG Trends
Canadian MFG Trends
Canadian MFG Trends
US MFG
US MFG
PMI Index
Freight Index
Freight Index
Distribution Analysis - USA
Housing Starts
Housing Starts - USA
Housing Starts - Canada
AG Equipment
Canada Equipment Tax Policy
Electricity Power
Metal Processing Center
Metal Processing Center
Commodity Prices
Commodity Index
Commodity Index
RBC Commodity Index
Iron Ore
Lithium
Oil Rig Count
US Oil
US Oil
Oil Pricing
Oil Pricing
Oil - China
Machine Tool Orders
US Machine Tools
US Machine Tools
Class 8 Truck Sales
Truck Sales
Freight loads
Steel Analysis
Steel Analysis
Green Technology
Cleantech Index
Cleantech Index
Other Provinces
BC
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/supply-chain/36b-petronas-lng-exp
• http://www.plant.ca/general/prince-rupert-ports-90m-road-rail-link-complet
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/technology/mda-signs-7m-contrac
• http://news.gc.ca/web/article-en.do?nid=972799
Alberta
• http://
www.nationalobserver.com/2015/05/01/news/aecon-awarded-109%E2%88%
• http://www.news1130.com/2015/05/13/sweet-alberta-sugar-beet-growers-
/
• http://
www.newswire.ca/fr/story/1527629/new-harber-coatings-facility-quadruple
Alberta Exports - 2016
Saskatchewan
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/small-business/feds-and-sask-gove
Saskatchewan
Manitoba
• http://www.solidwastemag.com/waste-management/manitoba-spends-275k
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/new-flyer-wins-nyc
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/strand-board-mill-i
Ontario
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/technology/hydro-one-begins-19m
/
• http://www.plant.ca/general/powerhouse-vc-fund-gets-25m-provincial-gov-
/
• http://www.mmdonline.com/exporting-and-importing/more-upgrades-for-sa
/
• http://www.plant.ca/general/starlim-gets-4m-to-boost-productivity-enter-ne
/
Loblaws
Quebec
• http://www.canadianpackaging.com/general/diageo-adds-new-can-line-to-q
/
• http://www.pulpandpapercanada.com/news/wood-costs-push-
tembec-to-suspends-sawmill-operations-in-quebec/1003633062/
Quebec / Green Tech
Quebec / Green Tech
New Brunswick
• http://www.plant.ca/general/fibreglass-manufacturer-loaned-310k-
to-expand-in-nb-147106/
• http://globalnews.ca/news/1974689/transcanada-can-live-with-1-
export-terminal-for-energy-east-pipeline/
Nova Scotia
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/technology/n-s-energy-
efficiency-plan-gets-much-needed-changes-148141/?
utm_source=CMO&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CMO-
EN05212015
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/sustainability/cape-breton-
lng-export-facility-wins-enviro-approval-148088/
PEI
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/sustainability/feds-put-
50m-into-17-km-p-e-i-power-cable-project-146491/
• http://www.foodincanada.com/exporting-and-importing/p-e-i-tops-
1-billion-in-international-exports-130792/
Newfoundland
• http://www.thewesternstar.com/News/Local/2015-04-23/article-
4122379/Province-announcing-money-for-Corner-Brook-port-
Friday/1
Newfoundland Government
Newfoundland – Export 2016
North
• Diamond Business (http://www.miningweekly.com/article/global-
diamond-jewellery-demand-hits-record-81bn-2015-03-19)
• http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/nunavut-tables-stand-pat-
budget-with-thin-36m-surplus-1.2654587
• http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/sustainability/yukon-looks-
to-open-liard-basin-to-fracking-147116/
Economic Trends for Canada
Canada GDP – February 2015
Canada GDP – February 2015
Canada GDP – February 2015
Retail Sales
Retail sales by Province
Retail sales by Segment
Retail Sales - Canada
Employment
Employment
Inflation
Currency
Currency
Corporation
Corporation
Corporation
Corporation
Global Trends
Global Trends
China
China
China and Brazil
China and Brazil
Asia Growth
Asia Growth
Australia
Mexico
Government Policies
Pipelines
Food Exporters
Trade Disputes
Climate Change
Energy Subsidies
US Clean Energy Plan
US Clean Energy Plan
US Clean Energy Plan

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Key industry and market indicators for april 2015 for both Canada and North America

Notas do Editor

  1. 1. Source: Wards Automotive
  2. Source: http://www.desrosiers.ca/pdfs/autowatch.pdf Source: http://driving.ca/chrysler/auto-news/news/canadian-auto-sales-climbed-3-4-per-cent-in-february
  3. Source: http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/bns_econ/bns_auto.pdf
  4. Scotia bank
  5. Source: Stats Canada Exports changed their reporting to breakout key countries in October 2014. Estimated 2015 based on higher US exports (US economy is expanding)
  6. Stats Canada
  7. EDC
  8. EDC
  9. EDC
  10. Trade Exports/Imports Source: Canadian Manufacturing.com
  11. CME http://www.cme-mec.ca/?action=show&lid=JCKNC-E742G-1W6JA&cid=7BXTT-XXR89-JXS6T&comaction=show
  12. CME http://www.cme-mec.ca/?action=show&lid=JCKNC-E742G-1W6JA&cid=7BXTT-XXR89-JXS6T&comaction=show
  13. CME http://www.cme-mec.ca/?lid=JCKNC-E742G-1W6JA&comaction=show&cid=HS87P-XD8EV-H8PMB
  14. CME http://www.cme-mec.ca/?lid=JCKNC-E742G-1W6JA&comaction=show&cid=HS87P-XD8EV-H8PMB
  15. Scotia Bank
  16. Scotia Bank
  17. Source – Canadian Manufacturing
  18. MMD site
  19. Stats Canada
  20. Analysis Oil is off by $2B MFG has pickup $1B of the oil drop through forestry, transportation, food manufacturing, etc.
  21. Stats Canada
  22. Analysis Transportation is off by 4.7% from its pre-recessionary high Metal Fabrication is off 21% from its pre-recessionary high Machinery is off by 4.7%
  23. http://www.fpac.ca/index.php/en/press-releases-full/canadas-forest-industry-outdoes-competitors-in-environmental-credentials
  24. TD Bank 1. TD normally is known to be more Liberal friendly with their post. The CEO for TD is doing asset review for LPO
  25. Scotia Bank Economics
  26. CME
  27. CME
  28. CME
  29. CME
  30. http://www.aem.org/AllDocuments/AEM/MI/Reports/2015-05-18_MondayEconomicReport.pdf
  31. http://www.aem.org/AllDocuments/AEM/MI/Reports/2015-05-18_MondayEconomicReport.pdf
  32. http://www.rbc.com/newsroom/_assets-custom/pdf/CA_Manufacturing_ENG_1504_LITE.pdf RBC Canadian Manufacturing PMI™ In association with the Supply Chain Management Association Manufacturing PMI signals slower downturn in business conditions during March Key findings: n Manufacturing PMI picked up slightly from February’s survey-record low... n ...helped by slower declines in output and new orders n Staffing levels decreased for the third month running March data indicated a further downturn in business conditions across the Canadian manufacturing sector, but the rate of contraction moderated from the survey-record low seen in the previous month. Output, new business and employment levels all fell at slower rates than in February. Manufacturers nonetheless signalled a solid reduction in work-in-hand (but not yet completed), and inventory levels were reduced again amid concerns about the outlook for client demand. The headline figure derived from the survey is the RBC Canadian Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI™), which is designed to provide timely indications of changes in prevailing business conditions in the Canadian manufacturing sector. PMI readings above 50.0 signal an improvement in business conditions, while readings below 50.0 signal deterioration. At 48.9 in March, up fractionally from 48.7 in February, the seasonally adjusted RBC Canadian Manufacturing PMI posted below the neutral 50.0 value for the second month running. This represents the first back-to-back deterioration in overall business conditions in the survey’s four-and-a-half year history. Moreover, the average reading for Q1 as a whole (49.5) is the weakest since the survey began in late-2010. Survey respondents suggested that falling capital spending among clients in the energy sector remained the key factor weighing on new business intakes in March. That said, the latest overall decline in incoming new work was only modest and less marked than that seen in the previous month. Export sales also fell at a slower pace than in February, with some firms commenting on support from exchange rate depreciation and stronger demand from clients in the U.S. A moderate drop in overall new orders resulted in another decrease in manufacturing production in March. Moreover, the latest survey suggested a lack of pressure on operating capacity, as highlighted by a reduction in backlogs of work for the fourth consecutive month. Reduced production schedules and falling workloads contributed to more cautious staff hiring patterns in March. Latest data signalled that payroll numbers decreased for the third month running, although the rate of job shedding moderated from February’s survey-record pace. A number of manufacturers pointed to deliberate stock reduction policies at their plants in response to the uncertain business outlook. Pre-production inventories decreased at the fastest rate since November 2010, while stocks of finished goods were depleted at the most marked pace for just under three years. Volumes of input buying fell for the second month running in March, reflecting efforts to prevent inventory accumulation across the manufacturing sector. This helped alleviate supply chain pressures in March, with the latest lengthening of vendor lead times the least marked since August 2013. Average cost burdens increased at a robust pace in March, which survey respondents overwhelmingly attributed to exchange rate depreciation and a corresponding rise in imported raw material costs. That said, the overall rate of input cost inflation moderated since February, while factory gate charges also rose at a weaker pace. In association
  33. Source: Department of Transpohttp://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/5/13/DOTreleasesMarchfreightnumbers.aspxrt - United States http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/programs/freight_transportation/
  34. http://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/5/13/DOTreleasesMarchfreightnumbers.aspx
  35. http://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/5/12/TruckingConditionsIndexdownslightlystillpositive.aspx
  36. CMC and Bureau of Stats
  37. TD Economics
  38. Scotia Bank
  39. Source: http://www.aem.org/MarketInfo/Stats/Reports/AgTCR-US/
  40. https://www.aem.org/News/Advisors/AEM/?HL=2015_Canadian_Budget_Encourages_Manufacturing_Investment&A=1732
  41. EIS
  42. http://americanmachinist.com/news/service-centers-shipments-mixed-inventories-rising
  43. http://americanmachinist.com/news/service-centers-shipments-mixed-inventories-rising
  44. BMO Economics
  45. BMO Economics
  46. BMO Economics
  47. RBC Economics
  48. Mining Industry
  49. Mining Investing
  50. Baker Hughes
  51. US Government
  52. US Government
  53. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-edges-higher-after-strong-chinese-manufacturing-data-2015-05-21
  54. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/oil-edges-higher-after-strong-chinese-manufacturing-data-2015-05-21
  55. http://www.amtonline.org/amt_items/USMTO_Jan15.pdf
  56. http://www.amtonline.org/newsroom/AMTPressRoom/may112015usmtonewsreleaseformarchmanufacturingtechnologyorders.htm
  57. http://americanmachinist.com/machining-cutting/manufacturing-technology-rebirth-us-manufacturing?NL=AM-01&Issue=AM-01_20150521_AM-01_131&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_1&utm_rid=CPG03000001519274&utm_campaign=5348&utm_medium=email#slide-0-field_images-24901
  58. http://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/1/12/Decembersales2ndbestmonthin21stcentury.aspx http://trailer-bodybuilders.com/chassis/medium-and-heavy-truck-sales-6-april
  59. Trailer Bodies http://trailer-bodybuilders.com/chassis/medium-and-heavy-truck-sales-6-april
  60. http://www.thetrucker.com/News/Stories/2015/5/19/ATAsaystonnagefell3percentinApril.aspx
  61. http://www.worldsteel.org/statistics/crude-steel-production.html
  62. http://www.worldsteel.org/statistics/crude-steel-production.html
  63. Bloomberg and Renewable Energy
  64. Source: cleantech
  65. Source: cleantech
  66. BC has a new carbon tax on Liquefied Natural Gas: http://www.pwc.com/ca/en/tax/budgets/2014/british-columbia-unveils-its-liquefied-natural-gas-tax.jhtml
  67. http://www.plant.ca/general/edc-predicts-alta-exports-will-bounce-back-in-2016-147540/?utm_source=CMO&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CMO-EN05212015
  68. Website: http://www.engineeringnews.co.za
  69. Canada Plant
  70. Canada Plant
  71. Canada Plant
  72. BMO Economics
  73. BMO Economics
  74. Stats Canada
  75. Source: Scotia Bank
  76. http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/150320/t150320b001-eng.htm
  77. http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/150320/t150320b001-eng.htm
  78. Scotia Bank
  79. Stats Canada
  80. http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/bns_econ/scotiaflash20150508B.pdf
  81. Scotia Bank
  82. CIBC
  83. CIBC
  84. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  85. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  86. 1. Georgia Tech Cash Flow Analysis
  87. http://www.bmonesbittburns.com/economics/current/focus.pdf
  88. http://www.industryweek.com/global-economy/china-gauge-shows-manufacturing-activity-still-shrinking?NL=QMN-01&Issue=QMN-01_20150521_QMN-01_12&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_1_b&utm_rid=CPG03000001519274&utm_campaign=5350&utm_medium=email
  89. http://www.industryweek.com/global-economy/china-gauge-shows-manufacturing-activity-still-shrinking?NL=QMN-01&Issue=QMN-01_20150521_QMN-01_12&sfvc4enews=42&cl=article_1_b&utm_rid=CPG03000001519274&utm_campaign=5350&utm_medium=email
  90. Industry week
  91. Industry week
  92. IMF and Plant Canada
  93. IMF and Plant Canada
  94. Plant Canada, Industry Week
  95. Scotia Bank Economics
  96. Government of Canada
  97. Canadian MFG/Government of Canada
  98. http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/manufacturing/cool-victory-for-canada-wto-rules-against-u-s-meat-labelling-rules-148057/
  99. http://www.canadianmanufacturing.com/technology/critics-blast-harpers-new-climate-plan-as-weak-misleading-148035/
  100. IMF/Special Report
  101. http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/bns_econ/uscpp.pdf
  102. http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/bns_econ/uscpp.pdf
  103. http://www.gbm.scotiabank.com/English/bns_econ/uscpp.pdf