scenario planning at the city scale | Doug Walker
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scenario planning at the city scale | Doug Walker
- 1. Scenario Planning at the City Scale Doug Walker, Placeways placeways APA 2012 National Planning Conference Session S547 Making Scenario Planning Work in Practice MATERIALS COURTESY OF PLACEWAYS LLC APRIL 2012
- 2. ® Promoting informed, collaborative decision-making since 2001. CommunityViz is a registered trademark of Placeways LLC
- 3. ® Promoting informed, collaborative decision-making since 2001. placeways 2011 Esri Business Partner Award CommunityViz is a registered trademark of Placeways LLC
- 4. ® Analysis Wizards ArcGIS Extension Sketch Tools Dynamic Interactive Controls Charts Multiple Scenarios Intuitive Interface Optional Fly-through 3D
- 5. Kelowna, BC Pasadena, With thanks to City of With thanks to City of Pasadena Kelowna and and
- 6. Choosing a Study Area • Jurisdiction • Area of Influence • Commuter shed • Regional destinations • Social neighborhood • Census or TAZ boundaries
- 7. Scales of Analysis Building Parcel Grid Corridor TAZ City, Region, etc.
- 8. Scales of Analysis Building Parcel Aggregation Grid Disaggregation Corridor Nesting TAZ Overlay Districts City, Etc. Region, etc.
- 9. Capacity Assessment Zoning and policy Infrastructure and physical constraints Redevelopment potential Market realities Use scenarios
- 10. Suitability Assessment Accessibility measures Adverse impact areas Hazards and constraints Social equity goals Policy goals Expert or subjective weighting
- 11. Designing Scenarios Permutations of primary actions Relative emphasis of desired outcomes Expert or public suggestions Illustrative themes
- 12. Assigning Growth or Change Painting place types Specific policy areas (zones, districts, transects…) Mechanical allocation of housing and jobs based on capacity and demand Manual allocation of jobs and housing based on expert knowledge
- 13. Painting Land Use or Place Types 11
- 14. Importing Land Use Styles 12
- 16. Performance and Impact Indicators Planners’ standard repertoire of outcomes and impacts Local issues of concern Comparisons to benchmark and across scenarios Notes: • Data availability • Model availability • Accuracy vs. precision • Computing performance • Uncertainty
- 22. Interactive User Interface Reports 3D Visuals Custom Formula Decision Tools Editor Analysis Scenario Dynamic Analysis Engine GDB Mgt. ArcGIS Reference Data
- 23. GP Model Excel Interactive User Interface Reports External Input/Output Tables 3D Visuals Custom Formula Databases Decision Tools Editor Scripts Analysis Scenario Dynamic Analysis Engine 3D Tools GDB Mgt. Web Services (Formula) ArcGIS Reference Data Model Data
- 32. Model Outputs 20
- 33. Visual Communication Maps plus… Landmarks and streetscapes Transects and samples Citywide massing and highlights Presentation packages and kits Interactive websites and media
- 34. Closing Thoughts on City Scale
- 35. Closing Thoughts on City Scale • (Most) cities are not homogeneous islands – choose study area carefully
- 36. Closing Thoughts on City Scale • (Most) cities are not homogeneous islands – choose study area carefully
- 37. Closing Thoughts on City Scale • (Most) cities are not homogeneous islands – choose study area carefully • Careful capacity assessment is particularly important at this scale
- 38. Closing Thoughts on City Scale • (Most) cities are not homogeneous islands – choose study area carefully • Careful capacity assessment is particularly important at this scale
- 39. Closing Thoughts on City Scale • (Most) cities are not homogeneous islands – choose study area carefully • Careful capacity assessment is particularly important at this scale • Compared to region and site scales, form, design and precision matter an intermediate amount
- 40. Closing Thoughts on City Scale • (Most) cities are not homogeneous islands – choose study area carefully • Careful capacity assessment is particularly important at this scale • Compared to region and site scales, form, design and precision matter an intermediate amount
- 41. Closing Thoughts on City Scale • (Most) cities are not homogeneous islands – choose study area carefully • Careful capacity assessment is particularly important at this scale • Compared to region and site scales, form, design and precision matter an intermediate amount • Cities are typically mature and complex; flexible models are needed
- 42. Doug Walker, Placeways placeways doug @ placeways.com
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