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Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008   By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org



China
Future of
Mobile
  Prof. Willie W. Lu
  Special Advisor, C4G TAC
  Chief Architect, C4G-OWA
  http:// uscwc.org
  http://Willie.Lu
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                            By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org




                 China Long-term Strategy
            除登月工程外,中国未来最重大专项项目之一是建立基于开放结构
            的宽带无线(包括移动)通信系统,以满足国家未来信息化建设.



            Besides China Moon mission, one of the most important
            special programs is to construct an open-architecture based
                 i l         i t       t t               hit t    b d
            broadband wireless (including mobile) communication
            system to meet the nation’s future IT infrastructure
            development.
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                          By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org




     China future mobile communications
       development whitebook, Rel.12/2007
          Focus on B3G and 4G technologies
          Focus on open architecture and converged platform
          Focus on industrial standards targeting emerging markets
          Encourage deployment by private sectors
          Encourage shared business models
          Encourage frequency sharing and dynamic allocation
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                                      By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org



   Government’s Role in China Wireless/Mobile Industry
                                                     y

        GSM


                WLAN/BWA
                                                              China
                                                            Long-Term                OWA
                              TD-SCDMA                      Evolution              One Device
                                                                                   O Number
                                                                                   One N b
                                                                                   One Dream
                                               TD-OFDMA




  Missions and Objectives
     Open system architecture
     Open spectrum p
      p    p       planningg
     Open OS and Application platform


   Truly User’s Phone, not Provider or Vendor’s Phone

   Powered by Open Wireless Architecture (OWA) Technology
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                                   By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org




      Gov’t Markets – eGOV & WINE Purchases

          Broadband & Mobile Wireless Terminals/Devices (2Mbps – 20Mbps)


         Ministry of Transportation
         Ministry of Railways
                                              Over $250B by 2020
         Ministry of Public Safety
                y                y
         Ministry of Broadcasting
         Customs and Airports
         Banks and Local Small-size Gov’t Networks
         Other MISCs
         O h MISC
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                                                               By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org




                    China Economy Outlook
                              Based on Deutsche Banc Hongkong and Citigroup China Reports, 2007



    No problem to continue remarkable growth
    Technology will catch up very quickly
            gy             p    yq      y
    “Hardware” is being very good – highway, IT, building, transport, …
    “Software” becomes big problem – IPR, credit, ethics, teamwork….
    Wireless Markets are HUGE – both gov’t and consumers’ markets
    R&D Era will start from 2015, boom from 2020
    Well-educated oversea Chineses will help China to the next level
    Shanghai will catch up Hongkong in 2015, and Tokyo in 2030
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                  By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org



                      China Business Lessons
      Do not sell best products to China. Help your Chinese
      friends buy
      f i d b good products,
                      d    d
      Do not think you have 100 years business history with
      China,
      Chi
      Understand yourself before understand your business
      partners,
      Try to understand the ICT Games behind the Great Wall,
      …….
      China is changing every single day !
                   g g      y g        y
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                      By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org




                TD-SCDMA Challenges
                TD SCDMA Ch ll
        Technology transparency issue (lack of research)
        T h l      t            i     (l k f          h)
        Network optimization and capacity optimization
        IPR unclear and distributed, hard to manage
        Business model unclear, no workable solution
                       unclear
        Regulation and administration unclear
        Story repeated in PABX case (hundreds of companies
        can do TD-SCDMA if the market is good)
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                               By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org




      What’s C4G Mobile Technologies

      Open Wireless Architecture (OWA)
      O    Wi l     A hit t

        Cost-effective and spectrum-
        effective high speed wireless
        transmission

                 4G can support high-speed transmission, but
                                      High-speed i NOT 4G
                                      Hi h      d is
Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008                            By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org



              For more information, please visit: http://4Gsummit.org/
                       information                http://4Gsummit org/

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China Future of Mobile

  • 1. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org China Future of Mobile Prof. Willie W. Lu Special Advisor, C4G TAC Chief Architect, C4G-OWA http:// uscwc.org http://Willie.Lu
  • 2. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org China Long-term Strategy 除登月工程外,中国未来最重大专项项目之一是建立基于开放结构 的宽带无线(包括移动)通信系统,以满足国家未来信息化建设. Besides China Moon mission, one of the most important special programs is to construct an open-architecture based i l i t t t hit t b d broadband wireless (including mobile) communication system to meet the nation’s future IT infrastructure development.
  • 3. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org China future mobile communications development whitebook, Rel.12/2007 Focus on B3G and 4G technologies Focus on open architecture and converged platform Focus on industrial standards targeting emerging markets Encourage deployment by private sectors Encourage shared business models Encourage frequency sharing and dynamic allocation
  • 4. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org Government’s Role in China Wireless/Mobile Industry y GSM WLAN/BWA China Long-Term OWA TD-SCDMA Evolution One Device O Number One N b One Dream TD-OFDMA Missions and Objectives Open system architecture Open spectrum p p p planningg Open OS and Application platform Truly User’s Phone, not Provider or Vendor’s Phone Powered by Open Wireless Architecture (OWA) Technology
  • 5. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org Gov’t Markets – eGOV & WINE Purchases Broadband & Mobile Wireless Terminals/Devices (2Mbps – 20Mbps) Ministry of Transportation Ministry of Railways Over $250B by 2020 Ministry of Public Safety y y Ministry of Broadcasting Customs and Airports Banks and Local Small-size Gov’t Networks Other MISCs O h MISC
  • 6. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org China Economy Outlook Based on Deutsche Banc Hongkong and Citigroup China Reports, 2007 No problem to continue remarkable growth Technology will catch up very quickly gy p yq y “Hardware” is being very good – highway, IT, building, transport, … “Software” becomes big problem – IPR, credit, ethics, teamwork…. Wireless Markets are HUGE – both gov’t and consumers’ markets R&D Era will start from 2015, boom from 2020 Well-educated oversea Chineses will help China to the next level Shanghai will catch up Hongkong in 2015, and Tokyo in 2030
  • 7. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org China Business Lessons Do not sell best products to China. Help your Chinese friends buy f i d b good products, d d Do not think you have 100 years business history with China, Chi Understand yourself before understand your business partners, Try to understand the ICT Games behind the Great Wall, ……. China is changing every single day ! g g y g y
  • 8. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org TD-SCDMA Challenges TD SCDMA Ch ll Technology transparency issue (lack of research) T h l t i (l k f h) Network optimization and capacity optimization IPR unclear and distributed, hard to manage Business model unclear, no workable solution unclear Regulation and administration unclear Story repeated in PABX case (hundreds of companies can do TD-SCDMA if the market is good)
  • 9. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org What’s C4G Mobile Technologies Open Wireless Architecture (OWA) O Wi l A hit t Cost-effective and spectrum- effective high speed wireless transmission 4G can support high-speed transmission, but High-speed i NOT 4G Hi h d is
  • 10. Internal Meeting, 4/14/2008 By Prof. Willie W. Lu, wwlu@ieee.org For more information, please visit: http://4Gsummit.org/ information http://4Gsummit org/