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Cons30 S Probability Predictions
1.
MAKING PREDICTIONS USING
PROBABILITY
2.
PROBABILITY SCALE
1 0.75 0.25 0.5 0 50% 75% 100% 25% 0% very equal less always never likely chance likely
3.
TOSSING A COIN: P( ) = 0% P(
) = 50% P( ) = 100%
4.
ROLLING A PAIR OF DICE: P( ) = 0% P(
) = 50% P( ) = 100%
5.
EX There is a 1 in 5 chance that someone will be born with blonde hair. Out of a
group of 250 random people, how many are expected to have blonde hair?
6.
EX In a carton of a dozen eggs, one is expected to be broken every time. How
many would you expect to be broken in a case of 216 eggs?
7.
EX A store is giving away 15 free ipods today. They have given away 7 already.
If you walk in the store and there are 480 people left in the store, what is your percent chance of getting a free one?
8.
HOMEWORK: p.331; #18
9.
BONUS CHALLENGE: 5 BONUS MARKS ON UNIT TEST!!!!
10.
What is your probability of winning the jackpot? This means with one ticket, what are your chances (as a reduced fraction) of getting all six numbers correct? * You select any 6 numbers from the numbers 1 through 49. * Six numbers are then drawn one by one out of a machine. * Find the probability of drawing each number, one by one, separately then multiply all of them together to get one fraction, which you can reduce to....1 out of ?.
* * * * * 2nd # 3rd # 1st # 4th # 5th # 6th #
11.
SOLUTION
* * * * * 2nd # 3rd # 1st # 4th # 5th # 6th #
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