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Presentation covers content from NAA’s 2010 Newspaper Advertising Planbook
Your Speaker

• Nate Kristy, Market Development Manager
       Kristy
  at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution |
  Cox Media Group

• Consults and collaborates with local
  businesses on strategic marketing
  campaign development                         Head shot image


• 10+ years experience in B2B and B2C
  marketing across a variety of business
  sizes and industries in the Atlanta market
Why Build A Marketing Plan?
              •    Serves as your business roadmap.
              •    Invokes analysis of your business
                                            business,
                   customers and competitors.
              •    Helps define your objectives, tactics
                   and timing
                       timing.
              •    Uncovers best media for your budget
                   and needs.
              •    Positions you to understand return on
                   investment (ROI).
                  Manta, an online community for promoting and
                  connecting small b i
                          ti       ll business, recently f d th t
                                                     tl found that
                  nearly half (47%) of polled small business
                  owners have prioritized marketing and sales as
                  their top spend.
                          p p
                           Source: Manta Pulse of Small Business 2011 Survey
Getting Started On A Plan

Draft a “big picture” document with annual,
         big picture                 annual
quarterly, monthly goals.
Study your sales trends/cycle/history –
     yy                    y         y
allocate ad dollars and strategy accordingly.
Analyze your inventory – consider
promoting items based on time of year
                            time-of-year
demand, product cycles/lines, etc.
Set a schedule to revisit plan and repeat
                          p           p
analysis.
Critical Components
              for Analysis
•   Your customers/target market
                       g
•   Your competitors
•   Your selling environment
•   Your d t /
    Y products/servicesi
    Including key timeframes for creating awareness
    and pricing strategy.
• Your advertising budget
• Suggested Min. = 3% of gross sales
• Your key messages for consumers
                         consumers.
Marketing Pitfalls &
   Misconceptions
   Mi       ti
  •   “I don’t have a target audience.”
  •   “I can save some money if I do advertising myself.”
  •   “I ran an ad, it didn’t work.”
  •   “What’s
      “Wh t’ a call t action?”
                    ll to ti ?”
  •   “I don’t need a budget.”
  •   “I spend where I get the best rate ”
       I                             rate.
  •   “I can do one ad that appeals to everyone.”
  •                                           p
      “I advertise there because it’s the cheapest.”
Why Budget for Marketing?

• Puts you in control of your spend and ROI.
• Saves time.
• Makes it easy to eliminate poorly-timed/weaker
  promotions.
• Uncovers cost-saving (or free!) ad
  opportunities
  opport nities
  (e.g. co-op advertising through product
  manufacturer)
• Generates better consumer response
  and revenue results!
Budgeting Pitfalls
• Basing it on past habits
                     habits,
  personal experience or
  just whatever ‘cash is
                   cash
  in the register.’
                               • F ili t strategize
                                 Failing to t t i
                                 around evolving
                                 audiences,
                                 audiences advertising
                                 options and markets.
Simple Budgeting Guidelines

• D
  Determine projected sales and then apply a
           i     j    d l        d h       l
  percentage of sales for your advertising.
• Make one budget for your entire company
  or create separate budgets for each
  department/product line.
• Analyze your sales by quarter or
  month for seasonality, ups and
  downs, etc. to distribute your
         ,                  y
  budget accordingly.
Charting An Ad Budget

Should Look Like
            Like…   NOT…
                    NOT
Simple Four-Step Ad Plan
       Four Step



        1. Forecast your annual sales.
        2. Forecast your monthly sales.
        3. Forecast your monthly
           advertising spend.
        4. Determine ad schedule and
           option for each month.
Step 1
      Forecasting Annual Sales
              i
a. Find the average sales for y industry according
                   g           your     y         g
   to store square footage (see chart).
b. Determine your store square footage and multiple
   it by sales-per-square-foot figure.
c. Use resulting figure as
   your annual sales forecast.
ANNUAL SALES PER SQUARE FOOT OF STORES IN US SHOPPING CENTERS
                                  Super Regional Shopping      Regional Shopping       U.S. Super Community /  Neighborhood Shopping 
                                          Centers                    Centers            Community Shopping                 Centers
                                                             Median                     Median 
                                 Median Sales  Median GLA  Sales Per Sq.  Median GLA  Sales Per Sq.  Median GLA  Median Sales  Median GLA 
                                 Median Sales Median GLA Sales Per Sq Median GLA Sales Per Sq Median GLA Median Sales Median GLA
Type of Store                     Per Sq. Ft.   in Sq. Ft.      Ft.        in Sq. Ft.      Ft.        in Sq. Ft.  Per Sq. Ft.    in Sq. Ft.

General Merchandise                $166.70       137,000      $137.95      114,000          $149.50       20,000        $102.97    8,000
Food                               $431.81         1,000      $462.27        1,100          $412.21       39,400        $430.05   32,000
Food Service                       $628.27          800       $568.97        1,100          $314.12        2,400        $266.65   1,800
Clothing and Accessories           $366.18         3,700      $347.11        4,000          $232.68        4,600        $155.59    4,000
Shoes                              $359.63         2,300      $344.36        2,700          $192.73        3,300        $141.51    3,000
Home Furnishings                   $370.03         3,600      $325.57        8,600          $209.28        6,700                  4,200
Home Appliances/Music              $371.82         3,100      $414.66        3,500          $302.20        2,600                  2,400
Building Materials/Hardware                                                                 $388.65        8,100                  4,100
Automotive                                        21,000                                    $237.92
                                                                                            $              6,000        $386.92
                                                                                                                        $         4,000
Hobby/Special Interest             $395.04         2,200      $384.05        2,200          $219.85        3,200        $199.45    1,700
Gifts/Specialty                    $287.22         2,500      $206.32        4,000          $170.42        4,500        $127.08    4,000
Jewelry                            $958.99         1,300      $902.40        1,200          $303.37        1,600        $317.37    1,500
Liquor                                                                                      $396.27        3,100                  3,200
Drugs                              $341.40
                                   $341 40         6,800
                                                   6 800                                    $429.07
                                                                                            $429 07       11,000
                                                                                                          11 000        $429.47
                                                                                                                        $429 47   12,500
                                                                                                                                  12 500
Other Retail                       $496.64         1,200      $401.25        1,700          $247.53        2,000        $217.25    2,100
Personal Services                  $302.17         1,200      $262.55        1,500          $176.87        1,500        $162.50    1,400
Entertainment/Community             $94.11        19,600      $77.46        26,300          $76.61         4,200                  3,000
Financial                                           60                       1,400                         2,300                  1,500
Source: Dollars & Cents of Shopping Centers / The SCORE 2008, Urban Institute, 2008.
                              pp g          /               ,                ,
Square‐foot figures (rounded to nearest hundred).

Definitions:
Gross Leasable Area (GLA) ‐ the total floor area designated for the tenants' occupancy and exlcusive use
Super‐regional shopping center: typical mall, usually about 1 million square feet, with three or more large anchor stores
Regional center: smaller mall, typically 500,000 square feet with one or two anchor stores
Community center: strip center with 100,000 to 300,000 square feet
Neighborhood center: typical strip center, built around a supermarket, with a norm of less than 100,000 square feet
Step 1: Forecasting Annual Sales
    Kristy Family Jewelry Store
    K i     F il J     l  S

a. Average Sales Per Square Foot (Per Chart)
   $317.37
b. Store Square F t
b St S            Footage (Measured)
                          (M      d)
   60 x 25 Ft. = 1,500 Sq. Ft.
c.
c Annual Sales
   $317.37 x 1,500 = $476,055
Step 2
Forecasting Monthly Sales
        i

        a.
        a Use chart to get the monthly
           percentage by store type;
           multiply each month’s
                         month s
           percentage by the forecasted
           annual sales figure from step 1.
        b. Resulting figure is your monthly
           sales forecast.
        c. Repeat for each month.
TOTAL RETAIL SALES BY TYPE OF STORE
                                                           TOTAL RETAIL SALES BY TYPE OF STORE
                                                      Percentage of Year's Sales Each Month by Type of Store
Store Type                                                    JAN     FEB     MAR       APR    MAY       JUN      JUL      AUG     SEP   OCT   NOV    DEC
Appliances, TV and Other Electronics Stores                    8.0    8.1      7.7       7.3    8.2       7.9     8.1        8.4   7.4   7.1    9.4   12.4
Automobile Dealers                                             8.6    9.0      9.9       9.3    9.5       8.7      8.7       8.9   7.7   6.9    6.0    6.7
Automotive Parts, Accessories and Tire Stores                  7.4    7.6      8.2       8.4    8.7       8.8     9.0        8.6   8.4   8.9    7.9    8.1
Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores
Beer Wine and Liquor Stores                                    6.7
                                                               67     7.0
                                                                      70       7.5
                                                                               75        7.6
                                                                                         76     8.7
                                                                                                87        8.3
                                                                                                          83      8.9
                                                                                                                  89         8.8
                                                                                                                             88    8.0
                                                                                                                                   80    8.5
                                                                                                                                         85     8.6
                                                                                                                                                86    11.3
                                                                                                                                                      11 3
Bookstores                                                    13.5    6.8      6.0       5.9    6.8       6.3      6.6      14.5   8.9   6.2    6.2   12.1
Building Materials and Supplies Dealers                        7.1    7.0      7.9       9.2    9.9       9.4      9.5       8.7   8.5   8.7    7.2    6.9
Clothing Stores, Family                                        6.3    6.7      8.0       7.6    8.5       7.8     8.5        9.1   7.3   8.0    9.5   12.8
Clothing Stores, Men's                                         7.2    7.1      8.1       8.4    9.0       8.5     7.4        7.9   7.6   8.0    8.5   12.2
Clothing Stores, Women's                                       6.6    7.2      8.7       8.9    9.4       8.3     7.7        8.1   7.9   7.9    8.5   10.9
Computer and Software Stores
Computer and Software Stores                                   8.0    7.9      8.2       7.5    7.4       7.9     8.0        8.1   7.4   7.7    9.3   12.7
Department Stores, Conventional and National Chain             6.4    7.2      7.9       7.7    8.4       7.7     7.4        8.0   6.9   7.6   10.1   14.7
Department Stores, Discount                                    6.9    7.2      8.0       7.4    8.4       8.2     8.0        8.4   7.0   7.9    9.6   13.1
Drinking Places                                                7.2    7.4      8.3       8.1    8.6       8.4     9.4        9.2   8.4   8.6    8.1    8.4
Furniture Stores                                               8.6    8.7      8.7       8.3    8.8       8.0     8.4        8.9   7.9   7.7    7.9    8.0
Gasoline Stations                                              7.7    7.5      8.4       8.7    9.7     10.0      10.3       9.7   8.9   8.0    5.9    5.1
       y
Grocery Stores                                                 8.1    7.8      8.3       8.0    8.7       8.3     8.7        8.6   8.1   8.4    8.4    8.6
Home Furnishing Stores                                         7.6    7.4      7.9       7.9    8.5       8.4      8.9       8.4   7.9   8.2    8.8   10.2
Jewelry Stores                                                 6.1    8.8      7.1       7.0    9.3       7.4     7.5        7.7   6.6   6.9    7.9   17.7
Pharmacies and Drug Stores                                     8.3    8.2      8.4       8.1    8.5       8.1      8.2       8.1   8.1   8.5    8.1    9.4
Restaurants, Full Service                                      7.7    7.9      8.6       8.2    8.9       8.5      8.6       8.9   7.9   8.2    8.0    8.6
Restaurants, Limited Service                                   7.7    7.7      8.4       8.3    8.8       8.5      8.8       8.9   8.1   8.5    8.0    8.3
Shoe Stores                                                    6.5    7.5      8.6       8.3    8.9       7.9     8.2       10.7   7.3   7.7    8.1   10.3
Sporting Goods Stores                                          6.3    6.6      8.1       8.1    8.9       9.3     9.0        9.7   7.4   6.7    7.6   12.4
Warehouse Clubs and Superstores                                7.3    7.5      8.1       7.7    8.8       8.4      8.4       8.6   7.6   8.1    8.9   10.6
Source: Monthly Retail and Food Service Sales, 2008 Sales, http//www.censusgov/retail/mrts/www/data/excel/mrtssales92‐09.xls
Step 2: Forecasting Monthly Sales
   Kristy F il J
   K i t Family Jewelry Store
                     l   St

a. January Percentage of Year’s Sales (Per Chart) =
   6.1%
   6 1%
b. Annual Sales (Per Step 1) = $476,055
c. Monthly Sales
   Jan: $476,055 x .061 = $29,040
   (Repeat for Each Month through Dec)
Step 3
            Forecasting Monthly
                Ad Investment
a.
a Find corresponding ad to sales ratio for your store/industry
                       ad-to-sales
   (see chart).
b. Multiply your forecasted sales per month by the ratio.
c. Repeat for each month.
ADVERTISING TO SALES RATIOS
                                                % of Annual Sales                                                         % of Annual Sales                                                      % of Annual Sales                                                      % of Annual Sales 
                                                    Spent on                                                                  Spent on                                                               Spent on                                                               Spent on 
Commodity or Class of Business                     Advertising          Commodity or Class of Business                       Advertising       Commodity or Class of Business                       Advertising       Commodity or Class of Business                       Advertising
                                                                        Engineering, Accounting, Research, 
Air Courier Services (1)                              0.9%              Management and Related Services (1)                      0.2           Jewelry Stores (1)                                       5.4           Shoe Stores (1)                                          2.3

Amusement and Recreation Services (1)                  5.0              Family Clothing Stores (1)                               1.9           Leather and Leather Products (1)                         2.1           Skilled Nursing Care Facilities (1)                      0.4
                                                                                                                                               Lumber and Other Building Materials (Retail) 
Apparel and Accessory Stores (1)                       5.2              Furniture Stores (1)                                     8.7           (1)                                                      1.7           Sporting Goods Stores (6)
 pp                       ( )
Appliance and Electronics (2)                                           Grocery Stores (1)
                                                                               y        ( )                                      0.8           Malt Beverages (1)
                                                                                                                                                          g ( )                                        10.0                                   Full Line, <$2 Million
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       , $                     2.0
                                                                        Hardware, Plumbing, Heating Equipment 
                          Appliance Dealers            3.2              (Wholesale) (1)                                          0.1           Mortgage Bankers and Loan Correspondents                 1.3                                Full Line, $2 ‐ $5 Million          1.6
                          Electronics Dealers          3.8              Hardware Stores (4)                                                    Motion Picture Theaters (1)                              1.0                                    Full Line, >$5 Million          2.6
Appliance and Electronics Dealers                      3.4                                               <$500,000               2.4           Musical Instruments (1)                                  2.2                                    Specialty, <$500,000            3.3
Auto Dealers, Gas Stations (1)                         0.8                                    $500,000 ‐ $1 Million              2.7           Office Furniture, Excluding Wood (1)                     0.6                         Specialty, $500,000 ‐ $999,999             2.7
Auto and Home Supply Stores (1)                        1.9                                           $1 ‐ $2 Million             2.5           Office of Physicians (1)                                 1.2                               Specialty, $1 ‐ $2 Million           2.6
Bakery Products (1)                                    0.7                                              >$2 Million              2.2           Ophthalmic Goods (1)                                     3.5                                     Specialty, >2 Million          3.0
Beverages (1)                                          6.7                           Hobby, Toy and Game Shops (1)               2.9           Paints, Varnishes, Lacquers (1)                          2.1           Television Broadcast Stations (1)                        8.3

Bicycle Dealers (3)                                    3.1              Home Centers (4)                                                       Perfume, Cosmetic, Toilet Preparations (1)              19.2           Tires and Inner Tubes (1)                                2.2

Books, Publishing and Printing (1)                     3.8                                                 <$2 Million           1.3           Photographic Equipment and Supplies (1)                  1.4           Tobacco Products (1)                                      4
Building Materials, Hardware, Garden 
(Retail) (1)                                           2.1                                              $2 ‐ $3 Million          1.0           Racing, including Track Operations (1)                   3.3           Variety Stores (1)                                       1.5
                                                                                                                                               Radio, TV and Consumer Electronic Stores 
Cable and Other Pay TV Services (1)                    7.3                                              $3 ‐ $6 Million          1.1           (1)                                                      2.4           Video Tape Rental (1)                                    4.7
Carpets and Rugs (1)                                   0.8                                                 >$6 Million           0.8           Real Estate Agents and Managers (1)                      2.7           Women's Clothing Stores (1)                              3.7
Catalog, Mail‐Order Houses (1)                         3.5              Home Health Care Services (1)                            1.1           Restaurants (5)
Child Day Care Services (7)                            0.9              Hospitals (1)                                            0.6                                        Full Service, <$15          2.0
Computer and Office Equipment (1)                      0.6              Hotels and Motels (1)                                    1.4                                Full Service, $15 ‐ $24.99          1.8
Convenience Stores (1)                                 0.1              Household Appliances (1)                                 1.9                                        Full Service, >$25          2.2

Department Stores (1)                                  5.1              Household Audio and Video Equipment (1)                  6.5                                         Limited Service            1.6
Direct‐Mail Advertising Services (1)                   1.7              Household Furniture (1)                                  6.1           Security Brokers and Dealers (1)                         0.5

    g         p      y       ( )
Drug and Proprietary Stores (1)                         0.7              Insurance Agents, Brokers and Service (1)
                                                                                    g    ,                     ( )               0.4
Educational Services (1)                               12.8              Investment Advice (1)                                   1.6
Sources
(1) Schonfeld & associates Inc. Advertising Rtes & Budgets, June 
(2) North American Retail Dealers Association, Cost of Doing Business Survey Report, 2007
(3) National Bicycle Dealers Association, The Cost of Doing Business, 2006‐2007
(4) National Retail Hardware Association, Cost of Doing Business Study, 2007
(5) National Restaurant Association, Restaurant Industry Operations Report, 2007‐2008
(6) National Sporting Goods Association, Cost of Doing Business Survey, 2006‐07
(7) Schonfeld & Associates Inc. Advertising Ratios & Budgets, June 2007
(7) Schonfeld & Associates Inc Advertising Ratios & Budgets June 2007
Step 3: Forecasting Monthly Ad Investment
         Kristy Family Jewelry Store


a. Advertising-to-Sales
a Ad ertising to Sales Ratio (Per Chart)
   5.4%
b.
b Forecasted Sales Per Month (Per Step 2)
   Jan: $29,040
c.
c Monthly Ad Investment
   Jan: $29,040 x .054 = $1,568
   ( p
   (Repeat for each month.))
Step 3 Alternative
              One-Minute Budget Test




Results Interpretation:
•  4-7 Points Approx. 3-4% of sales.
•  8-11 Points Approx. 4-5% of sales.
•  12 Points Approx. 5-7% of sales
             Approx
Step 3 Alternative: 1-Min Budget Test
      Nate’s Window Installation
              i              i

                     Results Interpretation:
                     4-7 Points = 3-4% Sales
              3
                    8-11 Points = 4-5% Sales.
                    12 Points = 5-7% of Sales
              3


              1
                     Nate’s budget should be
                                g
                        4-5% of estimated
              2
                     or previous year’s sales.
              9
Sample 4-Step Ad Plan Chart
          4 Step



                            Monthlyy          Monthly %      Monthly
                                                                   y
             Monthly
             M thl %       Store Sales       of A
                                              f Annual Ad
                                                     l      Ad Budget
            Annual Sales   (Annual Sales x       Spend      (Column 2 x
               Step 2        Column 1)          (Step 3)     Column 3)
 January
February
  March
Q
Q1 Totals
Sample 4-Step Ad Plan Chart
     Kristy Family Jewelry Store



                                                Monthly %
             Monthly
             M thl %        Monthly
                            M thl              of A
                                                f Annual Ad
                                                       l       Monthly
                                                               M thl
            Annual Sales   Store Sales             Spend      Ad Budget
              ($476,055)   ($68,552 x Col 1)      (Col 2)      (Col 2 x 3)
 January       6.1%           $29,040             5.4%         $1,568
February       8.8%          $41,893              5.4%         $2,262
  March        7.1%           $33,800             5.4%         $1,825
Q
Q1 Totals                    $ ,
                             $104,733                          $ ,
                                                               $5,655
Step 4
               Determining Monthly
                  Ad Scheduling

• Choose an advertising consultant
  Preferably one with multi-media
  capabilities and local market
  knowledge.
• Write out your monthly
             y           y
  ad plan on a year-long
  calendar.
• Execute!
Key Considerations
                 for Monthly Planning
                                  i
When?
• Popular paydays (e g Social Security major companies etc )
                    (e.g.       Security,      companies, etc.)
• Heavy store-traffic days and/or those with special hours.
• In synch with national/local merchandising events (i.e. co-op opportunities)
• Around known flux in prices and inventory.

Why?
• Ad frequency builds awareness
• Your competitors are doing it – or doing it better.
• You’re expanding products or departments.
  You re                         departments

What Else?
• S
  Strategic integration of advertising media ( i online, di
         i i        i    f d i i         di (print, li direct marketing, etc.)
                                                                 k i         )
Learn More
• Nate Kristy, Market Development Manager @ AJC:
                   nkristy@ajc.com
                 • ajcmediakit com
                   ajcmediakit.com
                     • NAA.org
              • advertising.yahoo.com

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NAA 2010 Newspaper Ad Planbook Presentation

  • 1. Presentation covers content from NAA’s 2010 Newspaper Advertising Planbook
  • 2. Your Speaker • Nate Kristy, Market Development Manager Kristy at The Atlanta Journal-Constitution | Cox Media Group • Consults and collaborates with local businesses on strategic marketing campaign development Head shot image • 10+ years experience in B2B and B2C marketing across a variety of business sizes and industries in the Atlanta market
  • 3. Why Build A Marketing Plan? • Serves as your business roadmap. • Invokes analysis of your business business, customers and competitors. • Helps define your objectives, tactics and timing timing. • Uncovers best media for your budget and needs. • Positions you to understand return on investment (ROI). Manta, an online community for promoting and connecting small b i ti ll business, recently f d th t tl found that nearly half (47%) of polled small business owners have prioritized marketing and sales as their top spend. p p Source: Manta Pulse of Small Business 2011 Survey
  • 4. Getting Started On A Plan Draft a “big picture” document with annual, big picture annual quarterly, monthly goals. Study your sales trends/cycle/history – yy y y allocate ad dollars and strategy accordingly. Analyze your inventory – consider promoting items based on time of year time-of-year demand, product cycles/lines, etc. Set a schedule to revisit plan and repeat p p analysis.
  • 5. Critical Components for Analysis • Your customers/target market g • Your competitors • Your selling environment • Your d t / Y products/servicesi Including key timeframes for creating awareness and pricing strategy. • Your advertising budget • Suggested Min. = 3% of gross sales • Your key messages for consumers consumers.
  • 6. Marketing Pitfalls & Misconceptions Mi ti • “I don’t have a target audience.” • “I can save some money if I do advertising myself.” • “I ran an ad, it didn’t work.” • “What’s “Wh t’ a call t action?” ll to ti ?” • “I don’t need a budget.” • “I spend where I get the best rate ” I rate. • “I can do one ad that appeals to everyone.” • p “I advertise there because it’s the cheapest.”
  • 7. Why Budget for Marketing? • Puts you in control of your spend and ROI. • Saves time. • Makes it easy to eliminate poorly-timed/weaker promotions. • Uncovers cost-saving (or free!) ad opportunities opport nities (e.g. co-op advertising through product manufacturer) • Generates better consumer response and revenue results!
  • 8. Budgeting Pitfalls • Basing it on past habits habits, personal experience or just whatever ‘cash is cash in the register.’ • F ili t strategize Failing to t t i around evolving audiences, audiences advertising options and markets.
  • 9. Simple Budgeting Guidelines • D Determine projected sales and then apply a i j d l d h l percentage of sales for your advertising. • Make one budget for your entire company or create separate budgets for each department/product line. • Analyze your sales by quarter or month for seasonality, ups and downs, etc. to distribute your , y budget accordingly.
  • 10. Charting An Ad Budget Should Look Like Like… NOT… NOT
  • 11. Simple Four-Step Ad Plan Four Step 1. Forecast your annual sales. 2. Forecast your monthly sales. 3. Forecast your monthly advertising spend. 4. Determine ad schedule and option for each month.
  • 12. Step 1 Forecasting Annual Sales i a. Find the average sales for y industry according g your y g to store square footage (see chart). b. Determine your store square footage and multiple it by sales-per-square-foot figure. c. Use resulting figure as your annual sales forecast.
  • 13. ANNUAL SALES PER SQUARE FOOT OF STORES IN US SHOPPING CENTERS Super Regional Shopping  Regional Shopping  U.S. Super Community /  Neighborhood Shopping  Centers Centers Community Shopping Centers Median  Median  Median Sales  Median GLA  Sales Per Sq.  Median GLA  Sales Per Sq.  Median GLA  Median Sales  Median GLA  Median Sales Median GLA Sales Per Sq Median GLA Sales Per Sq Median GLA Median Sales Median GLA Type of Store Per Sq. Ft. in Sq. Ft. Ft. in Sq. Ft. Ft. in Sq. Ft. Per Sq. Ft. in Sq. Ft. General Merchandise $166.70 137,000 $137.95 114,000 $149.50 20,000 $102.97 8,000 Food $431.81 1,000 $462.27 1,100 $412.21 39,400 $430.05 32,000 Food Service $628.27 800 $568.97 1,100 $314.12 2,400 $266.65 1,800 Clothing and Accessories $366.18 3,700 $347.11 4,000 $232.68 4,600 $155.59 4,000 Shoes $359.63 2,300 $344.36 2,700 $192.73 3,300 $141.51 3,000 Home Furnishings $370.03 3,600 $325.57 8,600 $209.28 6,700 4,200 Home Appliances/Music $371.82 3,100 $414.66 3,500 $302.20 2,600 2,400 Building Materials/Hardware $388.65 8,100 4,100 Automotive 21,000 $237.92 $ 6,000 $386.92 $ 4,000 Hobby/Special Interest $395.04 2,200 $384.05 2,200 $219.85 3,200 $199.45 1,700 Gifts/Specialty $287.22 2,500 $206.32 4,000 $170.42 4,500 $127.08 4,000 Jewelry $958.99 1,300 $902.40 1,200 $303.37 1,600 $317.37 1,500 Liquor $396.27 3,100 3,200 Drugs $341.40 $341 40 6,800 6 800 $429.07 $429 07 11,000 11 000 $429.47 $429 47 12,500 12 500 Other Retail $496.64 1,200 $401.25 1,700 $247.53 2,000 $217.25 2,100 Personal Services $302.17 1,200 $262.55 1,500 $176.87 1,500 $162.50 1,400 Entertainment/Community $94.11 19,600 $77.46 26,300 $76.61 4,200 3,000 Financial 60 1,400 2,300 1,500 Source: Dollars & Cents of Shopping Centers / The SCORE 2008, Urban Institute, 2008. pp g / , , Square‐foot figures (rounded to nearest hundred). Definitions: Gross Leasable Area (GLA) ‐ the total floor area designated for the tenants' occupancy and exlcusive use Super‐regional shopping center: typical mall, usually about 1 million square feet, with three or more large anchor stores Regional center: smaller mall, typically 500,000 square feet with one or two anchor stores Community center: strip center with 100,000 to 300,000 square feet Neighborhood center: typical strip center, built around a supermarket, with a norm of less than 100,000 square feet
  • 14. Step 1: Forecasting Annual Sales Kristy Family Jewelry Store K i F il J l S a. Average Sales Per Square Foot (Per Chart) $317.37 b. Store Square F t b St S Footage (Measured) (M d) 60 x 25 Ft. = 1,500 Sq. Ft. c. c Annual Sales $317.37 x 1,500 = $476,055
  • 15. Step 2 Forecasting Monthly Sales i a. a Use chart to get the monthly percentage by store type; multiply each month’s month s percentage by the forecasted annual sales figure from step 1. b. Resulting figure is your monthly sales forecast. c. Repeat for each month.
  • 16. TOTAL RETAIL SALES BY TYPE OF STORE TOTAL RETAIL SALES BY TYPE OF STORE Percentage of Year's Sales Each Month by Type of Store Store Type JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC Appliances, TV and Other Electronics Stores 8.0 8.1 7.7 7.3 8.2 7.9 8.1 8.4 7.4 7.1 9.4 12.4 Automobile Dealers 8.6 9.0 9.9 9.3 9.5 8.7 8.7 8.9 7.7 6.9 6.0 6.7 Automotive Parts, Accessories and Tire Stores 7.4 7.6 8.2 8.4 8.7 8.8 9.0 8.6 8.4 8.9 7.9 8.1 Beer, Wine and Liquor Stores Beer Wine and Liquor Stores 6.7 67 7.0 70 7.5 75 7.6 76 8.7 87 8.3 83 8.9 89 8.8 88 8.0 80 8.5 85 8.6 86 11.3 11 3 Bookstores 13.5 6.8 6.0 5.9 6.8 6.3 6.6 14.5 8.9 6.2 6.2 12.1 Building Materials and Supplies Dealers 7.1 7.0 7.9 9.2 9.9 9.4 9.5 8.7 8.5 8.7 7.2 6.9 Clothing Stores, Family 6.3 6.7 8.0 7.6 8.5 7.8 8.5 9.1 7.3 8.0 9.5 12.8 Clothing Stores, Men's 7.2 7.1 8.1 8.4 9.0 8.5 7.4 7.9 7.6 8.0 8.5 12.2 Clothing Stores, Women's 6.6 7.2 8.7 8.9 9.4 8.3 7.7 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.5 10.9 Computer and Software Stores Computer and Software Stores 8.0 7.9 8.2 7.5 7.4 7.9 8.0 8.1 7.4 7.7 9.3 12.7 Department Stores, Conventional and National Chain 6.4 7.2 7.9 7.7 8.4 7.7 7.4 8.0 6.9 7.6 10.1 14.7 Department Stores, Discount 6.9 7.2 8.0 7.4 8.4 8.2 8.0 8.4 7.0 7.9 9.6 13.1 Drinking Places 7.2 7.4 8.3 8.1 8.6 8.4 9.4 9.2 8.4 8.6 8.1 8.4 Furniture Stores 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.3 8.8 8.0 8.4 8.9 7.9 7.7 7.9 8.0 Gasoline Stations 7.7 7.5 8.4 8.7 9.7 10.0 10.3 9.7 8.9 8.0 5.9 5.1 y Grocery Stores 8.1 7.8 8.3 8.0 8.7 8.3 8.7 8.6 8.1 8.4 8.4 8.6 Home Furnishing Stores 7.6 7.4 7.9 7.9 8.5 8.4 8.9 8.4 7.9 8.2 8.8 10.2 Jewelry Stores 6.1 8.8 7.1 7.0 9.3 7.4 7.5 7.7 6.6 6.9 7.9 17.7 Pharmacies and Drug Stores 8.3 8.2 8.4 8.1 8.5 8.1 8.2 8.1 8.1 8.5 8.1 9.4 Restaurants, Full Service 7.7 7.9 8.6 8.2 8.9 8.5 8.6 8.9 7.9 8.2 8.0 8.6 Restaurants, Limited Service 7.7 7.7 8.4 8.3 8.8 8.5 8.8 8.9 8.1 8.5 8.0 8.3 Shoe Stores 6.5 7.5 8.6 8.3 8.9 7.9 8.2 10.7 7.3 7.7 8.1 10.3 Sporting Goods Stores 6.3 6.6 8.1 8.1 8.9 9.3 9.0 9.7 7.4 6.7 7.6 12.4 Warehouse Clubs and Superstores 7.3 7.5 8.1 7.7 8.8 8.4 8.4 8.6 7.6 8.1 8.9 10.6 Source: Monthly Retail and Food Service Sales, 2008 Sales, http//www.censusgov/retail/mrts/www/data/excel/mrtssales92‐09.xls
  • 17. Step 2: Forecasting Monthly Sales Kristy F il J K i t Family Jewelry Store l St a. January Percentage of Year’s Sales (Per Chart) = 6.1% 6 1% b. Annual Sales (Per Step 1) = $476,055 c. Monthly Sales Jan: $476,055 x .061 = $29,040 (Repeat for Each Month through Dec)
  • 18. Step 3 Forecasting Monthly Ad Investment a. a Find corresponding ad to sales ratio for your store/industry ad-to-sales (see chart). b. Multiply your forecasted sales per month by the ratio. c. Repeat for each month.
  • 19. ADVERTISING TO SALES RATIOS % of Annual Sales  % of Annual Sales  % of Annual Sales  % of Annual Sales  Spent on  Spent on  Spent on  Spent on  Commodity or Class of Business Advertising Commodity or Class of Business Advertising Commodity or Class of Business Advertising Commodity or Class of Business Advertising Engineering, Accounting, Research,  Air Courier Services (1) 0.9% Management and Related Services (1) 0.2 Jewelry Stores (1) 5.4 Shoe Stores (1) 2.3 Amusement and Recreation Services (1) 5.0 Family Clothing Stores (1) 1.9 Leather and Leather Products (1) 2.1 Skilled Nursing Care Facilities (1) 0.4 Lumber and Other Building Materials (Retail)  Apparel and Accessory Stores (1) 5.2 Furniture Stores (1) 8.7 (1) 1.7 Sporting Goods Stores (6) pp ( ) Appliance and Electronics (2) Grocery Stores (1) y ( ) 0.8 Malt Beverages (1) g ( ) 10.0 Full Line, <$2 Million , $ 2.0 Hardware, Plumbing, Heating Equipment  Appliance Dealers  3.2 (Wholesale) (1) 0.1 Mortgage Bankers and Loan Correspondents  1.3 Full Line, $2 ‐ $5 Million 1.6 Electronics Dealers 3.8 Hardware Stores (4) Motion Picture Theaters (1) 1.0 Full Line, >$5 Million 2.6 Appliance and Electronics Dealers 3.4 <$500,000 2.4 Musical Instruments (1) 2.2 Specialty, <$500,000 3.3 Auto Dealers, Gas Stations (1) 0.8 $500,000 ‐ $1 Million 2.7 Office Furniture, Excluding Wood (1) 0.6 Specialty, $500,000 ‐ $999,999 2.7 Auto and Home Supply Stores (1) 1.9 $1 ‐ $2 Million 2.5 Office of Physicians (1) 1.2 Specialty, $1 ‐ $2 Million 2.6 Bakery Products (1) 0.7 >$2 Million 2.2 Ophthalmic Goods (1) 3.5 Specialty, >2 Million 3.0 Beverages (1) 6.7 Hobby, Toy and Game Shops (1) 2.9 Paints, Varnishes, Lacquers (1) 2.1 Television Broadcast Stations (1) 8.3 Bicycle Dealers (3) 3.1 Home Centers (4) Perfume, Cosmetic, Toilet Preparations (1) 19.2 Tires and Inner Tubes (1) 2.2 Books, Publishing and Printing (1) 3.8 <$2 Million 1.3 Photographic Equipment and Supplies (1) 1.4 Tobacco Products (1) 4 Building Materials, Hardware, Garden  (Retail) (1) 2.1 $2 ‐ $3 Million 1.0 Racing, including Track Operations (1) 3.3 Variety Stores (1) 1.5 Radio, TV and Consumer Electronic Stores  Cable and Other Pay TV Services (1) 7.3 $3 ‐ $6 Million 1.1 (1) 2.4 Video Tape Rental (1) 4.7 Carpets and Rugs (1) 0.8 >$6 Million 0.8 Real Estate Agents and Managers (1) 2.7 Women's Clothing Stores (1) 3.7 Catalog, Mail‐Order Houses (1) 3.5 Home Health Care Services (1) 1.1 Restaurants (5) Child Day Care Services (7) 0.9 Hospitals (1) 0.6 Full Service, <$15 2.0 Computer and Office Equipment (1) 0.6 Hotels and Motels (1) 1.4 Full Service, $15 ‐ $24.99 1.8 Convenience Stores (1) 0.1 Household Appliances (1) 1.9 Full Service, >$25 2.2 Department Stores (1) 5.1 Household Audio and Video Equipment (1) 6.5 Limited Service 1.6 Direct‐Mail Advertising Services (1) 1.7 Household Furniture (1) 6.1 Security Brokers and Dealers (1) 0.5 g p y ( ) Drug and Proprietary Stores (1) 0.7 Insurance Agents, Brokers and Service (1) g , ( ) 0.4 Educational Services (1) 12.8 Investment Advice (1) 1.6 Sources (1) Schonfeld & associates Inc. Advertising Rtes & Budgets, June  (2) North American Retail Dealers Association, Cost of Doing Business Survey Report, 2007 (3) National Bicycle Dealers Association, The Cost of Doing Business, 2006‐2007 (4) National Retail Hardware Association, Cost of Doing Business Study, 2007 (5) National Restaurant Association, Restaurant Industry Operations Report, 2007‐2008 (6) National Sporting Goods Association, Cost of Doing Business Survey, 2006‐07 (7) Schonfeld & Associates Inc. Advertising Ratios & Budgets, June 2007 (7) Schonfeld & Associates Inc Advertising Ratios & Budgets June 2007
  • 20. Step 3: Forecasting Monthly Ad Investment Kristy Family Jewelry Store a. Advertising-to-Sales a Ad ertising to Sales Ratio (Per Chart) 5.4% b. b Forecasted Sales Per Month (Per Step 2) Jan: $29,040 c. c Monthly Ad Investment Jan: $29,040 x .054 = $1,568 ( p (Repeat for each month.))
  • 21. Step 3 Alternative One-Minute Budget Test Results Interpretation: • 4-7 Points Approx. 3-4% of sales. • 8-11 Points Approx. 4-5% of sales. • 12 Points Approx. 5-7% of sales Approx
  • 22. Step 3 Alternative: 1-Min Budget Test Nate’s Window Installation i i Results Interpretation: 4-7 Points = 3-4% Sales 3 8-11 Points = 4-5% Sales. 12 Points = 5-7% of Sales 3 1 Nate’s budget should be g 4-5% of estimated 2 or previous year’s sales. 9
  • 23. Sample 4-Step Ad Plan Chart 4 Step Monthlyy Monthly % Monthly y Monthly M thl % Store Sales of A f Annual Ad l Ad Budget Annual Sales (Annual Sales x Spend (Column 2 x Step 2 Column 1) (Step 3) Column 3) January February March Q Q1 Totals
  • 24. Sample 4-Step Ad Plan Chart Kristy Family Jewelry Store Monthly % Monthly M thl % Monthly M thl of A f Annual Ad l Monthly M thl Annual Sales Store Sales Spend Ad Budget ($476,055) ($68,552 x Col 1) (Col 2) (Col 2 x 3) January 6.1% $29,040 5.4% $1,568 February 8.8% $41,893 5.4% $2,262 March 7.1% $33,800 5.4% $1,825 Q Q1 Totals $ , $104,733 $ , $5,655
  • 25. Step 4 Determining Monthly Ad Scheduling • Choose an advertising consultant Preferably one with multi-media capabilities and local market knowledge. • Write out your monthly y y ad plan on a year-long calendar. • Execute!
  • 26. Key Considerations for Monthly Planning i When? • Popular paydays (e g Social Security major companies etc ) (e.g. Security, companies, etc.) • Heavy store-traffic days and/or those with special hours. • In synch with national/local merchandising events (i.e. co-op opportunities) • Around known flux in prices and inventory. Why? • Ad frequency builds awareness • Your competitors are doing it – or doing it better. • You’re expanding products or departments. You re departments What Else? • S Strategic integration of advertising media ( i online, di i i i f d i i di (print, li direct marketing, etc.) k i )
  • 27. Learn More • Nate Kristy, Market Development Manager @ AJC: nkristy@ajc.com • ajcmediakit com ajcmediakit.com • NAA.org • advertising.yahoo.com