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“The only truth is what actually
happens.”
The number of people who did the
thing you wanted them to do. Give.
Act. Volunteer. Come to Get
Together.
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The data
Oh NO! Let’s take a closer look...
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What are all these metrics?
• It’s easy to get lost in the
result metrics, some
common calculations are:
• Delivery rate
• Open rate
• Click-through rate
• Conversion rate
• Tell-a-Friend rates
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Delivery Rate =
Deliveryemails Received/
Number of
Total emails Sent
Delivered Emails,
not yet opened
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Open Rate =
Opening the email members
Number of emailed
who opened at least 1 email/
Opened emailTotal Emails Sent
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Click-Through
Click-through Rate =
Number of emailed members
who clicked on at least one link/
Total Emails Sent
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The Response
Response Rate =
Number of emailed members who
participated in the campaign /
Total emails Sent
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Tell-a-Friend Usage
Tell-a-Friend Usage Rate =
Number of emailed members
who told at least 1 friend/
Total emails Sent
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Tell-a-friend Recruitment
Tell-a-Friend Recruitment Rate =
Number of Friends who
joined a center/
Total Emails Sent
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Which Rates are
the most important?
• Conversion Rates are the best measure of a
campaign’s immediate success
• Click-through rates can be good indicators of
how members are interacting with your
messages
• Open rates are deceiving for short term data,
but if measured over several years can become
interesting. They also are good for normalizing
other data.
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This is a numbers game …
… do the math
• If you want 10 people to TAKE ACTION,
then:
• (at least) 20 people need to click to the
advocacy page
• (at least) 30 people need to open your e-mail
message
• (at least) 100 people need to receive your
message
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This is a numbers game … math
… do the
• If you want 10 people to DONATE, then:
• (at least) 50 people need to click to the
donation page
• (at least) 250 people need to open your e-
mail message
• (at least) 1,000 people need to receive your
message
• Yes, your results may vary…dramatically!
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It all starts with the list
• Good direct marketing is all about the
list
• It starts with the list
• It ends with the list
• It is all about the list
• But building a good list requires you
to be good at everything else: your
work, copy, layout, timing, etc.
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Typical response rates
• Nothing is typical, really
• Big lists usually = lower response…
• …and smaller lists usually ROCK
• But if you make us…
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Where can I find my
industry standards?
• Marketingsherpa.com
• Emarketer.com
• Opt-In News
• Your own campaigns!
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Making the most of the numbers to get the most out of
your online program…
Segmenting and Testing
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Segmenting is…
…dividing your e-mail list when running campaigns to
learn more, personalize, and generate higher results.
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Segmentation example
• Donors
Recipients Amt of # of Avg Resp.
Gifts Gifts gift rate
3,500 $2,290 40 $57.75 1.13%
• People on direct mail list with e-mail
Recipients Amt of # of Avg Resp.
Gifts Gifts gift rate
7,250 $3,385 92 $36.79 1.26%
• E-mail subscribers
Recipients Amt of # of Avg Resp.
Gifts Gifts gift rate
7,000 $775 26 $29.81 0.37%
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Other segmentation strategies
• Giving level
• Campaign-based
• Donors who have taken action
• Donors who have not taken action
• Non-donors who have taken action
• Non-donor, non-action-takers
• Recency
• Source
• One-time and lapsed online donors
• Active and inactive non-donors 25
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Testing …
…Once you’ve determined how best to segment your
particular list, you can begin to test what works within
each of these segments.
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Testing
• Open rates
• Time of day, day of week
• Subject lines
• Straightforward subject lines vs suggestive ones.
• Your action will help a child eat today
vs.
• How can you help the orphans?
• To Mention The Ask Or Not?
• Looking ahead, more animals need your help in 2007
vs.
• Last chance for your tax-deductible gift to animals
• Subject lines that in different ways ask for a renewal of
commitment.
• Renew your commitment for 2007
vs.
• Your membership is expiring
vs.
• Renew today—and save even more puppies 27
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Testing, continued
• Click through rates
• Premiums
• Offer
• Signer
• Short or long copy
• Link placement
• Conversion rates
• Short vs. long page
• Images and insets
• First things first!
• Giving levels
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How to create a good test...
• Pick one variable you want to test
• Keep everything else the same
• Randomly 50/50 split the population of
the campaign
• Compare the results from each test
group using a “significance calculator”
• “Significant” results mean the results
can be repeated
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Testing Do’s and Don’t’s
• DO
• Ask a question and design a test to answer it
• Select a RANDOM sample of your list
• Test ONE thing at a time
• Keep everything the same except for the thing
you are testing
• Check for statistical significance
• Make sure your list segments are large
enough to produce meaningful results
• Understand that some test results are only
applicable to the message you were testing
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Testing Do’s and Don’t’s
• DON’T
• Assume that test results apply across lists
or list segments
• Bite off more than you can chew
• Read too much into the numbers
• Assume that every test will yield
statistically significant results
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Testing Gone Wrong
Click Response Better Statistical
Messages Through Unique Rate (unique Than Significance
Version Description Sent Open Rate Rate Signatures sigs) Control? ?
CONTROL Regular Email 21,059 20.90% 8.40% 1,395 6.62%
Masked URLs – used
hyperlinked text instead
Test 1 of spelled out URL 20,953 22.70% 10.60% 1,645 7.85% Y Y
In Line URLs –URLs are
in the line of text, not
Test 2 separate paragraphs 20,377 21.30% 8.30% 1,318 6.47% N N
Longer subject line –
Everything is same as
control, except the subject
Test 3 line is a longer version 20,419 20.30% 7.90% 1,262 6.18% N N
Header Images-
Everything is same as
control, except header
image does not have a
Test 4 picture of candidate 20,784 21.50% 8.30% 1,391 6.69% Y N
No Header Image –
Test 5 header image is removed 21,734 22.50% 8.80% 1,524 7.01% Y N
Large Button - take
action button in the upper
Test 6 right hand corner is larger 21,014 21.10% 8.50% 1,431 6.81% Y N
Move On Style- email is
stripped of header image
Test 7 and all graphics 21,591 22.60% 10.70% 1,804 8.36% Y Y
Short Email – middle
Test 8 paragraphs are removed 21,146 23.90% 8.90% 1,483 7.01% Y N
Greeting - lead in to the
email says “Dear Friend”
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Test 9 instead of Dear First Name 20,702 21.30% 7.90% 1,328 6.41% N N
Total 209,779 21.82% 8.84% 14,581 6.95% Y N
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What Happened?
• Too many variables
• Tried to answer every question at
once
• The result:
• Hours of work to set up 10 segments
• Data was messy and difficult to decipher
• We didn’t learn much about our list
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What We Should Have Done
• Picked one variable
• Had a clear question to answer
• Split the list in half or thirds
instead of in tenths
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And the winner is….
• Subject Line Test
• What metric should be used to evaluate a subject
line?
• Which is the winner?
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And the winner is…
• Open Rate
• Two-way tie
Click
Open Through Response
Message Emails Sent Rate Rate Actions Rate
Bush's Budget: Guns
Not Butter 1,000 28.50% 13.00% 53 5.30%
What's At Stake 999 31.90% 15.50% 52 5.20%
Action Alert: Defend 100
Hours Agenda 999 27.70% 14.80% 49 4.90%
Action Alert: Organize
agaist Bush's budget 1,000 31.90% 18.20% 51 5.10%
Organize Against Bush's
Budget 1,000 28.80% 16.70% 54 5.40%
Total 4,998 30.60% 16.90% 259 5.18%
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And the winner is…
• Link placement test
• Which is the most important metric?
• Which segment is the winner?
Click
Messages Through Unique Response
Test Sent Open Rate Rate Signatures Rate
Below the first
paragraph 20,419 22.70% 10.60% 1,645 8.06%
Below the third
paragraph 20,567 21.30% 8.30% 1,318 6.41%
Below the fifth
paragraph 20,489 20.30% 7.90% 1,262 6.18%
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And the winner is…
• Click Through Rate
• Below the first paragraph
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And the winner is….
• Short Email vs. Long Email
• What metric(s) should you look at?
• Which message is the winner?
Click
Messages Through Response
Sent Open Rate Rate Rate
Long Email 95,917 20.90% 7.50% 5.62%
Short Email 96,953 21.10% 7.30% 5.48%
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And the winner is…
• Click through rates and response rates
• Trick question – the results are statistically
insignificant.
• You can’t always eyeball test results – be sure to
test for statistical significance
Click
Messages Through Response
Sent Open Rate Rate Rate
Long Email 95,917 20.90% 7.50% 5.62%
Short Email 96,953 21.10% 7.30% 5.48%
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And the winner is…
• Which campaign is more successful? Why?
Click
Messages Open Through Amount Average Response
Campaign Received Rate Rate Donations Donated Gift Rate
Issue #1 63,101 42.06% 0.49% 102 $6,578 $64.49 0.16%
Issue #2 62,653 41.48% 0.62% 125 $4,960 $39.68 0.20%
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And the winner is…
• Arctic campaign most likely to raise
money (fewer donors, but higher
average gift)
• Public lands campaign most likely to get
engage donors (more donors, lower
average gift).
• Depending on the goals of the campaign
(raise a lot of $, or get more people to
give), both are a success. 42
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And the winner is….
• From line testing – by list segment
• What should the organization do
moving forward?
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And the winner is…
• Even thought the inactive segment had
a lower open rate with the from line
“Kathy, Organization” all of the other
segments saw improved open rates.
• You could segment out the inactive
folks and continue to send them
messages with the old from line, but it’s
probably not worth the effort.
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Digging Deeper:
5 Questions you could ask
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Question 1
Which group of people on my
email list is the most likely to
take action, tell a friend, or
donate?
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Question 1, Sample answer
Source 1 Source 2
Members in Group 2,403 4,014
Activists* 59.84% 29.45%
Donors 5.45% 2.72%
TAF 35.41% 9.12%
Super activists 4.99% 2.99%
Members who opened an email 57.26% 55.23%
in 2005
Members who clicked 70.41% 54.53%
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Answering Question 1
• Two words: Source Codes
• Suffix on imports or on any link someone may
click to come on your list, starts with ‘?
source=’
• Advocacy campaign (?source=advo1)
• Viral Flash game or movie (?source=funny_movie)
• Banner ads (?source=yahoo_banner)
• Paid source (?source=care2)
• Donation campaign (?source=moneybags)
• Source codes are attached to a member so
you always know where they originally came 48
from
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Answering Question 1
• Each cell in the table is a member
select
• Query members who have the source
code you want AND have donated,
taken action, etc.
• The results can help you compare how
valuable names from various sources
are to your organization
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Question 2
How do I know how fast my
list is growing?
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Answering Question 2
• List Growth Rate: # new sign-ups/# of
deliverable addresses
• Shows % list growth over a period of time (month,
3-months, year)
• List Hurdle Rate: # removals/# of deliverable
addresses
• Shows % of list that leaves over a period of time
• # removals tells you how many new names you
need to get before you achieve net growth
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Question 3
How come my advocacy
response rates are so low?
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Question 4
How do I find out if I’m
sending too much email?
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Question 5
How valuable is an email
address?
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