Preparing INDCs - Progress and lessons learned
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Preparing INDCs - Progress and lessons learned
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Preparing INDCs - Progress and lessons learned
- 1. Preparing INDCs – Progress and lessons learned Side Event on assessment of INDCs and policies 5 June 2015 Markus Hagemann m.hagemann@newclimate.org www.newclimate.org
- 2. 08/06/2015 2 Progress of INDCs
- 3. A large number of countries have started, few submitted www.newclimate.org 3 80% of consulted countries stated they started their INDC process 10 INDCs have been submitted to the UNFCCC Steady progress since March 08/06/2015 Countries consulted: 123
- 4. By June 58% of global emission expected to be covered www.newclimate.org 4 Submission wave expected in September before the publication of the 08/06/2015
- 5. Most countries received funding Little more than half received funding to date Little less than ¼ in process toward funding 19% did not apply 08/06/2015 5 Number of responses: 115
- 6. More than 50% of countries see adaptation as a major component Climate change adaptation plans form a major component of the INDC for the majority of countries 08/06/2015 6 Number of responses: 44
- 8. 1. What to include in INDCs 2. How to mitigate limited capacity 3. How to secure broad participation and support Major Challenges in INDC preparation “Too short timeframes for undertaking processes” (88%) “Lack of certainty on what to be included in INDCs” (71%) “Limited expertise for assessing mitigation options” (71%) “Securing high-level political support” (61%) “Lack of understanding in other sectors/ ministries” (59%) Number of responses: 44
- 9. Opportunities from the INDC process www.newclimate.org 9 “Improved international communication” “Enhanced engagement of stakeholder in climate change planning” “Acceleration of national climate change policy process” “Improved national processes” “Improved domestic communication between government, CSO and public” 08/06/2015 Number of responses: 44
- 10. Type - Broad range of INDC components 08/06/2015 10 Number of responses: 44 Aspirational long term goal Short term target – base year Short term target – Below BAU Short term target – intensity GHGoutcomes Renewable targets Efficiency target Forestry targets Non-GHG outcomes Actions and policies Institutional development
- 11. 08/06/2015 11 FOLLOW UPDATE INDC PROGRESS at http://files.newclimate.org/indc- preparation-progress/
Notas do Editor
- Acceleration of existing climate change processes In addition to providing an impetus for the consolidation of ongoing climate related activities, most countries report that the INDC has played a role to accelerate the development of these individual activities. Approximately 75% of countries agreed that the INDC process had produced the positive effect of accelerating their existing climate change processes. There are multiple reasons why the INDC process may accelerate the development of existing processes and programmes. Firstly, in some countries, the completion of existing processes under development was deemed essential for input into the INDC design. In Georgia for example, the development of a Low Emissions Development Strategy (LEDS) was given renewed priority as the comprehensive analysis and scenario building conducted under the LEDS programme will form the primary input to the INDC. In this case, this positive development was effectively guaranteed by designating the existing inter-ministerial steering committee for the LEDS as the leading entity for the INDC process. 2nd country example. Secondly, in other countries, this acceleration has occurred as a result of the generally increased domestic and international awareness and attention given to climate change related programmes and policy making due to importance and broad implications of the national contributions and, collectively, the new international climate change agreement to be reached in 2015. Country example. Thirdly, the INDC process is removing some of the barriers that previously hindered the progression of existing initiatives and planning processes, since the successful completion of the INDC process requires the overcoming of some of these same challenges (such as those discussed in this document), and provides a high priority stimulus to do so. Country example
- Overview of existing submissions By May 2015, 9 countries had already submitted their INDCs to the UNFCCC’s INDC portal. Whilst the existing submissions are mostly from industrialised countries, there are already submissions from countries covering a range of regions and income levels, and so provide a useful collection of submission examples for countries from all backgrounds. A wave of new submissions is expected during June, and a large proportion of these submissions are expected to come from developing countries (NewClimate Institute, 2015). Figure # shows that the majority of current submissions include economy-wide GHG emissions targets in absolute terms. Whilst most of these targets are relative to a specified base year (in most cases 1990), for some countries the targets are made relative to a specified business as usual (BAU) trajectory. However, NewClimate Institute survey analysis (2015) indicates that fewer than half of all countries are expected to base their INDCs on economy-wide absolute GHG targets, whilst others will present a range of INDC types including non-GHG related outcomes such as sectoral targets, or specific policies and actions. All of the INDCs submitted by the beginning of May focus primarily on climate change mitigation, whilst two countries – Mexico and Gabon – also included information related to adaptation. Generally, over 50% of countries are expected to submit information related to adaptation plans as a major component of their INDCs (NewClimate Institute, 2015). Mexico is the only country so far to explicitly provide both an unconditional and a conditional contribution.