The Season 4 premiere of True Blood in June was the hit that series producers had hoped for, matching the show’s highest ratings ever. Such strong numbers for the season opener of the HBO series weren’t a surprise though to anyone tracking the social media conversation leading up to, during and right after the episode. Fang fans flocked to blogs, Twitter, Facebook, HBO.com and other sites to profess their love for the show, speculate where Sookie and Eric’s relationship is heading, and revisit key events in past episodes. Networked Insights’ Social Intelligence Report: True Blood describes our analysis of the social conversation surrounding the hit season-opening episode “She’s Not There.”
2. True Blood 6%
Entourage
Social Intelligence Report
How social media raised the pulse of the season premiere
Networked Insights’ Social Intelligence Reports explore topics,
themes, celebrities and brands to uncover viewer trends and
insights that can aid decision making by network executives and
show producers. In this report, we examine social media activity 35%
surrounding the season premiere of HBO’s True Blood on June 26, Game of Thrones
2011. The data for this report was gathered from May 26 through
June 27, the day after the premiere. 44%
True Blood
Headline writers had the predictable field day when HBO’s
vampire series True Blood recently delivered a boffo season
premiere:
“True Blood premiere ratings are bloody good”
“True Blood premiere kills in ratings”
“True Blood season 4 premiere sucks up a 6% increase over
last year”
You get the picture. But the headline that sang sweetest for the
cable network and the show’s producers may well have been this
one: “True Blood season 4 premiere matches ratings high.”
The True Blood team was certainly hopeful about the new season
of HBO’s most watched series since The Sopranos. But if they had Most Discussed HBO Series
any doubts that June 26 would be an especially good Sunday night, by Global Audience
a strong favorable sign would help allay the worry – the social
media buzz leading up to the show was intense and extremely
enthusiastic.
Networked Insights analyzed the social media conversation before,
during and the day after the airing of “She’s Not There,” the fourth
season opener of True Blood. Our research provided insights into
who is watching the show, what they care about, what they’re
saying, and the channels they use to follow the action and
communicate their feelings.
Such information can help show network executives and show
producers assess the effectiveness of promotional campaigns and
maximize marketing dollars, as well as help predict a program’s
success and highlight its weaknesses. It can also help brand
marketers better understand a show’s audience and how it aligns
with their target consumer.
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3. The growing role of social media in
a successful premiere
HBO created a campaign to launch the Season 4 True Blood
premiere with an interactive app and videos, along with fan
interaction on Twitter and Facebook. Simply measuring
impressions and conversation volume resulting from such
initiatives won’t by itself tell a producer or network that the show
is going to continue to attract viewers and remain a popular show.
However, deeper social media analysis can identify elements of a
promotional campaign that are working and how viewers reacted
to the premiere. It provides a way to delve into what viewers are “...I watched the show from a
most interested in, as well as topics such as main characters, recording off my DVR and even though
featured actors, and the unfolding storylines. I’ve heard it many, many times, I still
didn’t fast forward through the theme
Our methodology for analyzing the True Blood social media song. I never, ever can either! It’s just
conversation comprised four key elements:
too good.”
Audience definitions: We developed a list of social media sites
from blogs, forums and news that most effectively capture the
audience engaged in categories such as entertainment, sports, fanforum.com
fashion, food and travel.
Impressions: Impressions are a calculation of the number of social
mentions of a product/brand that visitors to social networking
sites, forums, blogs and microblogs were exposed to. They provide
“Oh god. I didn’t realize they could
an estimation of how social media are consumed and are a way
to account for the vast majority of social media users who do not
make that fairy concept anymore
actually create posts. Impressions enable you to look beyond post crazier than it already was. I guess
counts to gain a better understanding of a topic’s true social reach. they realized that they needed to do
However, impressions are a passive measurement tool and do not something with that storyline without
necessarily demonstrate engagement. As with other basic metrics, completely getting rid of it. I’m glad
it is important to layer thematic insights upon impressions in order they ditched the magical fairy land
to understand what drives the conversation and what actions and replaced it with something more
are required. sinister.”
Sentiment: Search strings defined keywords used to describe
brands and products and accurately capture conversation volume.
Posts were assigned positive, negative and neutral ratings in order sherdog.net
to calculate the sentiment for a given keyword.
Topic discovery: Advanced clustering technology extracted major
sub-themes expressed in the content related to a keyword. A
companion qualitative analysis reveals engagement drivers and
how different sub-themes interconnect.
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4. Engagement trends A. 5/26-5/27 – Fans discuss
catching up on previous
seasons, characters and
C new season.
B
A B. 6/22-6/24 – With the
premiere days away, excitement
builds over the new season.
C. 6/26-6/27 – Season 4
premieres; discussion
6/28
around the show is heavy
the following day.
Figure 1. True Blood engagement (by number of social media impressions)
A look at the numbers . . . and vampire moms?
True Blood discussion peaked in the days just before and the day immediately after the June 26 premiere
(Figure 1). From a month ahead of the premiere to less than a week out, social media activity stayed in a
fairly tight range as fans discussed past episodes, the show’s characters and the upcoming season.
The conversation picked up considerably around June 22 with the premiere just days away. After a lull on
an early-summer Saturday, social impressions soared again on premiere Sunday and the day after.
Twitter was the largest source of conversation,
capturing 43.5 percent of all discussion, fol- Site engagement
lowed by Facebook with 1.4 percent (Figure 2).
The high Twitter volume is understandable with
a must-see TV experience such as a premiere.
% Share
Twitter has proven to be the communication 43.5
channel of choice for viewers to share real-time 1.4
reactions to broadcast programming. This is
evident in significant Twitter volume spikes 1.3
during major sporting events, talent competition 1.1
shows such as American Idol, and programming
0.7
with live and/or dramatic conclusions like The
Bachelor or The Apprentice. 0.6
0.5
Nearly three out of five viewers were women.
Of particular interest, two of the top 10 sites for
0.3
True Blood engagement were “mom-focused” 0.3
sites, Babycenter.com and Thebump.com. 0.3
(Figure 2.)
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5. Bitten by love
Through the use of hierarchal topic discovery, we were
able to identify four key themes emerging from the social
discussion. Highly encouraging for the network and
producers, the strongest theme to emerge was a very
positive sentiment about the show, which was reflected in
29 percent of the social conversation. Frequent use of the
word “love” to describe posters’ feelings about True Blood
strongly indicates a loyal following.
Another important theme leading into Season 4,
capturing 28 percent of the conversation, is the relation-
ship between Sookie Stackhouse, the central character in
the show, and Eric Northman, a “vampire sheriff.” Posters
avidly discussed the potential for love scenes involving
Sookie and Eric in the new season.
Conversations about Season 4 itself were the third key
topic, with 27 percent of the discussion. Fans talked about
having re-watched past episodes, an indicator of their
dedication to the show.
The remaining 16 percent of the social discussion revolved
around what other programs True Blood viewers were
watching. Perhaps not surprisingly, more than half of this
conversation involved comparison to Twilight, another
book-based vampire show. Among HBO series, Game of
Thrones was most discussed by True Blood fans.
Sookie was the most discussed character, nearly doubling
the number of impressions of the second highest charac-
ter, Eric. Sookie’s relationships with Eric and vampire Bill
Compton and the attractiveness of characters, namely Eric
and Sookie’s brother Jason, were the most popular topics
around characters and major drivers of positive sentiment.
Figure 3
5
6. Pre- and post-premiere engagement trends
Premiere
Figure 3. Posting trend
The before and after talk
Predictably, the conversations changed somewhat from ahead of the premiere to after its airing. Early
discussions revolved around characters, general excitement over the show and catching up on previous
seasons. Many posters talked about Sookie’s relationships with the male characters, particularly Eric. After
the airing, discussion included episode recaps, general mentions of watching the show, and what viewers
liked and did not like about the premiere. The Twitter conversation saw the greatest spike with the premiere,
jumping 137 percent on the day of it and 245 percent the following day (Figure 3).
Post count by media type
Post count
Twitter was the biggest source of True Blood posts
(Figure 4), followed by Blogs and Fan Forums. The high
Blogs
levels of blog and forum activity suggest that these
channels deserve a level of attention comparable to Forums
that given Twitter and Facebook.
News
Facebook
(Figure 4.)
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