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Diagnostic accuracy of premanipulative
  vertebrobasilar insufficiency tests.
         A systematic review.
N. Hutting, MSc
  A.P. Verhagen, Phd
    V. Vijverman, MSc
       D.M. Keesenberg, MSc
          G. Dixon, BHS
            G.G.M. Scholten-Peeters, PhD
Content
• Introduction
  – Effectivity of spinal manipulation
  – Incidence of serious neurovascular
    complications
  – Premanipulative VBI testing
• Diagnostic accuracy of premanipulative
  vertebrobasilar insufficiency tests
• Considerations and recommendations
Prof. dr. Ernst
Effectivity of cervical manipulation
• There is evidence that spinal manipulation is
  effective in the treatment of:
  – Migraine headache
  – Chronic tension headache (only short time effect)
  – Cervicogenic headache (short and long term)
     Brønfort G et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2004 (update 2009)


  – Subacute / chronic neckpain (similar effects as
    mobilisation) [moderate quality evidence]
     Gross A, et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2010
Incidence
Incidence
• Incidence of serious neurovasular
  complications
  – Case-reports
  – Between 250 and 500 cases
  – Possible tip of the iceberg
• Incidence is not known
  – 1 in 400.000 – 5.000.000 cervical
    manipulations
Premanipulative VBI testing




                              Graziano et al. 2007
Premanipulative VBI testing
• Evaluate the adequacy of the blood supply
• Compressing the vertebral artery
• Extension rotation or rotation alone
• Examines the ability of the vertebrobasilar
  system to maintain adequate hindbrain
  perfusion
• Identify those patients at risk of serious
  pathology
http://sandynette.com
Is it possible to prevent serious
          complications?
Aim of this systematic review
• To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the
  vertebrobasilar insufficiency tests by
  persons who will undergo cervical
  manipulation.
Materials and methods
• Search in PUBMED, CINAHL and
  EMBASE
• Search terms related to vertebrobasilar
  insufficiency, vertebral artery, diagnostic
  parameters, spinal manipulation and
  movements of the cervical spine
Materials and methods
• Inclusion criteria:
  1)Studies comparing a premanipulative
  test with a reference test
  2)Sensitivity and specificity were reported
  or could be calculated using a 2x2 table
  3)Written in English
  4)Full paper
Materials and methods
• Evaluation methodological quality with
  QUADAS
• Data extraction
• Data analysis
Results: study selection

      Potential relevant studies identified and
      screened on title and abstract (n=763)


                             Studies excluded due to double publication or not fulfilling
                             inclusion criteria based on abstract (n=744)


      Studies initially identified
      (n=19)


                             Studies excluded due to double publication or not fulfilling
                             inclusion criteria based on full publication (n=15)


      Studies included in the systematic review
      (n= 4)
Results: index and reference test
• Index test:
  – Extention-rotation (n=3)
  – Rotation (n=1)
• Reference test:
  – Duplex (n=1)
  – Color coded duplex (n=1)
  – Transcranial Doppler (n=2)
Results: methodological quality
• Studies suffered from various biases

• Agreement between the two assessors
  was 80%
• Κappa statistic was 0.65
• Substantial agreement
Results: sensitivity
• Sensitivity is the percentage of people with
  the disease, correctly identified by the
  screening test
• Sensitivity: 0% - 57%
  – Lack of sensitivity
  – Prevention of false negative results
Results: specificity
• Specificity is the percentage of people
  without the disease and correctly negative
  identified by the screening test.
• Specificity: 67% -100%
  – Prevention of false positive results
  – Specificity in general sufficient, but…
Results: positive predictive value
• Positive predictive value is the proportion
  of patients with a positive test result who
  are correctly diagnosed
• Positive predictive value: 0% - 100%
  – Positive predictive values were variable
  – Absence of false positive findings
Results: nagative predictive value
• Negative predictive value is the proportion
  of patients with a negative test result who
  are correctly diagnosed
• Negative predictive value: 26% - 96%
  – Negative predictive values were also variable
Results: likelihoodratios
• The likelihood ratio is the likelihood that a
  given test result would be expected in a
  patient with the target disorder compared
  to the likelihood that that same result
  would be expected in a patient without the
  target disorder
• Above 10 and below 0.1
Results: likelihood ratios
• Positive likelihood ratios varied between
  0.22 and 83.25
  – Difficult to differentiate clearly between
    people with or without risk VBI
  – Also large confidence intervals
• Negative likelihood ratios varied between
  0.44 and 1.40
  – Test is not feasible for ruling out VBI
Discussion
• Inclusion criteria and execution of the tests
  not always sufficiently reported
• Patients not representative for private
  practice
• Separate groups with and without
  condition overestimate diagnostic
  accuracy (higher prevalence)
Conclusions of systematic review:
• Diagnostic accuracy data does not support
  the use of premanipulative VBI tests
• A surplus value for the use of these tests
  has not been verified.
And…
• The question also remains or the chance
  for developing complications after spinal
  manipulation can be predicted or that
  these complications are unpredictable…
• Cassidy et al.(2008) investigated the
  association between chiropractic visits and
  vertebrobasilar artery stroke compared
  with primary care physician visits and the
  incidence of vertebral artery stroke.
• Increased risk of vertebrobasilar artery
  stroke is likely due to patients with
  headache and neck pain from
  vertebrobasilar artery dissection seeking
  care before their stroke

 Cassidy et al.(2008)
So…
• Diagnostic accuracy is low
• No evidence of correlation between
  decrease in blood flow and risk of serious
  complications
• Serious complications are rare
• No evidence of excess risk of stroke
  associated chiropractic care
• Serious complications are unpredictable
Recommendations?
• Informed consent?
• Further research on possible risk factors?
                    (example: atherosclerosis)
• Anamnesis?
• Mobilization techniques (upper cervical
  spine)?
Thank you for your attention!

        Questions?

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Accuracy of premanipulative vertebrobasilar insufficiency tests

  • 1. Diagnostic accuracy of premanipulative vertebrobasilar insufficiency tests. A systematic review. N. Hutting, MSc A.P. Verhagen, Phd V. Vijverman, MSc D.M. Keesenberg, MSc G. Dixon, BHS G.G.M. Scholten-Peeters, PhD
  • 2. Content • Introduction – Effectivity of spinal manipulation – Incidence of serious neurovascular complications – Premanipulative VBI testing • Diagnostic accuracy of premanipulative vertebrobasilar insufficiency tests • Considerations and recommendations
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 6. Effectivity of cervical manipulation • There is evidence that spinal manipulation is effective in the treatment of: – Migraine headache – Chronic tension headache (only short time effect) – Cervicogenic headache (short and long term) Brønfort G et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2004 (update 2009) – Subacute / chronic neckpain (similar effects as mobilisation) [moderate quality evidence] Gross A, et al. Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2010
  • 8. Incidence • Incidence of serious neurovasular complications – Case-reports – Between 250 and 500 cases – Possible tip of the iceberg • Incidence is not known – 1 in 400.000 – 5.000.000 cervical manipulations
  • 9. Premanipulative VBI testing Graziano et al. 2007
  • 10. Premanipulative VBI testing • Evaluate the adequacy of the blood supply • Compressing the vertebral artery • Extension rotation or rotation alone • Examines the ability of the vertebrobasilar system to maintain adequate hindbrain perfusion • Identify those patients at risk of serious pathology
  • 12. Is it possible to prevent serious complications?
  • 13. Aim of this systematic review • To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the vertebrobasilar insufficiency tests by persons who will undergo cervical manipulation.
  • 14. Materials and methods • Search in PUBMED, CINAHL and EMBASE • Search terms related to vertebrobasilar insufficiency, vertebral artery, diagnostic parameters, spinal manipulation and movements of the cervical spine
  • 15. Materials and methods • Inclusion criteria: 1)Studies comparing a premanipulative test with a reference test 2)Sensitivity and specificity were reported or could be calculated using a 2x2 table 3)Written in English 4)Full paper
  • 16. Materials and methods • Evaluation methodological quality with QUADAS • Data extraction • Data analysis
  • 17. Results: study selection Potential relevant studies identified and screened on title and abstract (n=763) Studies excluded due to double publication or not fulfilling inclusion criteria based on abstract (n=744) Studies initially identified (n=19) Studies excluded due to double publication or not fulfilling inclusion criteria based on full publication (n=15) Studies included in the systematic review (n= 4)
  • 18. Results: index and reference test • Index test: – Extention-rotation (n=3) – Rotation (n=1) • Reference test: – Duplex (n=1) – Color coded duplex (n=1) – Transcranial Doppler (n=2)
  • 19. Results: methodological quality • Studies suffered from various biases • Agreement between the two assessors was 80% • Κappa statistic was 0.65 • Substantial agreement
  • 20. Results: sensitivity • Sensitivity is the percentage of people with the disease, correctly identified by the screening test • Sensitivity: 0% - 57% – Lack of sensitivity – Prevention of false negative results
  • 21. Results: specificity • Specificity is the percentage of people without the disease and correctly negative identified by the screening test. • Specificity: 67% -100% – Prevention of false positive results – Specificity in general sufficient, but…
  • 22. Results: positive predictive value • Positive predictive value is the proportion of patients with a positive test result who are correctly diagnosed • Positive predictive value: 0% - 100% – Positive predictive values were variable – Absence of false positive findings
  • 23. Results: nagative predictive value • Negative predictive value is the proportion of patients with a negative test result who are correctly diagnosed • Negative predictive value: 26% - 96% – Negative predictive values were also variable
  • 24. Results: likelihoodratios • The likelihood ratio is the likelihood that a given test result would be expected in a patient with the target disorder compared to the likelihood that that same result would be expected in a patient without the target disorder • Above 10 and below 0.1
  • 25. Results: likelihood ratios • Positive likelihood ratios varied between 0.22 and 83.25 – Difficult to differentiate clearly between people with or without risk VBI – Also large confidence intervals • Negative likelihood ratios varied between 0.44 and 1.40 – Test is not feasible for ruling out VBI
  • 26. Discussion • Inclusion criteria and execution of the tests not always sufficiently reported • Patients not representative for private practice • Separate groups with and without condition overestimate diagnostic accuracy (higher prevalence)
  • 27. Conclusions of systematic review: • Diagnostic accuracy data does not support the use of premanipulative VBI tests • A surplus value for the use of these tests has not been verified.
  • 28.
  • 29. And… • The question also remains or the chance for developing complications after spinal manipulation can be predicted or that these complications are unpredictable…
  • 30. • Cassidy et al.(2008) investigated the association between chiropractic visits and vertebrobasilar artery stroke compared with primary care physician visits and the incidence of vertebral artery stroke.
  • 31. • Increased risk of vertebrobasilar artery stroke is likely due to patients with headache and neck pain from vertebrobasilar artery dissection seeking care before their stroke Cassidy et al.(2008)
  • 32. So… • Diagnostic accuracy is low • No evidence of correlation between decrease in blood flow and risk of serious complications • Serious complications are rare • No evidence of excess risk of stroke associated chiropractic care • Serious complications are unpredictable
  • 33.
  • 34. Recommendations? • Informed consent? • Further research on possible risk factors? (example: atherosclerosis) • Anamnesis? • Mobilization techniques (upper cervical spine)?
  • 35. Thank you for your attention! Questions?