Tijdens

1. Sustainable market transformation
Or how to change the rules of the game in
theory and in practice?

2. Voedsel schaarste
“Hoe kan Douwe Egberts zijn positie inzetten om de vraag
van consumenten naar duurzame koffie te vergroten? Dit
zou helpen bij het voorkomen van schaarste”

3. Agriculture: The most unsustainable sectors
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved

4. Colliding trends
World GDP in billions of USD
World Population Forecast 300000
9,8
9,3 250000
8,8
8,3
Population (billions)
7,8
7,3 200000
6,8
6,3
5,8 150000
5,3
4,8
4,3
3,8 100000
3,3
2,8
2,3 50000
1,8
1900 1915 1930 1945 1960 1975 1990 2005 2020 2035 2050
Year 0
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Global Food Demand Diminishing Arable Land
50 0,6
Hectares of Arable Land per person
45
40
0,5
35
Petacal/day
30
25 0,4
20
15
0,3
10
5
0 0,2
1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Year
Year
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved

5. Low level Ineffective
development governments
Low support for
producers
R -
Development Ineffective social,
environmental
Low productivity Ineffective local
policies
and quality NGOs and unions
No market
demand for Unsustainable sectors
sustainable
products
Untransparent
value chains
Low No access to
Used as hidden differentiation finance
ingredient R - Low investment
R -
Price Investments
Smallholder Low bargaining Low price/ High risk for
intensive power margins banks
B+ Price
Consolidated R- Sustainability
buyer markets Increase yields,
quality, production Pressure to
Increase size farms
Unequal access to Increase income
market Diversify income Costs cutting
information
Branding/ Leave sector
Added value
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved

6. Systems fail when
Governments not
able to correct it
+
+ Unsustainable sectors
=
+ +
Markets stimulating
unsustainable behavior
© NewForesight 2012- all rights reserved

7. 4 steps to an efficient, scalable agri finance market
Step I
Training & Step II Step III
quality control
Banks
Independent SCOPEinsight
Assessors & Accountants Portal
SCOPE Traders
Assessment
Rating
Profile
Input Suppliers
Assessment
report
Producer Organizations
(agriculture, dairy/livestock, aquaculture, forestry) Insurance Companies
Step IV
Access to BDS and Capacity building services
Access to inputs, markets and financial services

8. THANK YOU
www.newforesight.com
www.scopeinsight.com
Lucas_Simons
© 2012 SCOPEinsight®. All rights reserved.