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CLOUD INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICES
HERE COME THE HEAVYWEIGHTS - 2011 EDITION


                                                  HOSTING




                                                                      DECEMBER 2011
                                                                   451 RESEARCH: HOSTING
                  © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
REPORT SNAPSHOT
TITLE                         Cloud Infrastructure Services: Here Come The
                                Heavyweights – 2011 Edition

ANALYSTS                      Doug Toombs, Research Manager – Tier1 Research
RELEASE DATE                  December 2011
LENGTH                        40 pages



ABOUT THIS REPORT
Over the past two years, the marketplace for cloud computing has gone through
dramatic and substantive changes. In the next several years, cloud computing is
projected to have stunning growth rates across all the major categories of service –
IaaS, PaaS and SaaS. With a projected growth rate greater than any other sector of the
service provider marketplace that Tier1 Research currently tracks, the overall combined
cloud services market is expected to reach $23 billion by 2014.

To that end, service providers are responding to the changes in the market by updating
their service catalogs to become more cloud-friendly. T1R expects that in the years
ahead, the lines and distinctions between traditional hosting descriptors – shared,
dedicated, managed – will become less relevant, as customers make more calculated
decisions based on financial considerations between dedicated systems and cloud/elastic
capacity needs.

Customer adoption of cloud computing services is showing a steady upward trajectory
within the data that 451 Research collects, with 20-25% of customers surveyed
indicating they are using some type of public cloud computing service – SaaS, PaaS
or IaaS. Among the workloads customers are moving into the cloud, development
and testing are obvious, but customers are also turning to cloud for collaboration
approaches, CRM and BC/DR needs – functions that could find their way to a cloud
product just as easily from a business unit as from centralized IT.

Finally, one of the most interesting data points to come out of 451 Research’s
acquisition of TheInfoPro and ChangeWave Research is input on what criteria customers
consider most important when evaluating cloud service providers. Perhaps counter-
intuitive to what service providers might expect, ‘technical specifications’ such as
network, compute and storage architectures seem to have the least level of importance
to customers, where as more ‘business-oriented’ attributes such as SLAs and support
models rank highest.




451 RESEARCH: HOSTING                                                                     1
© 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
COMPANIES INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT
    Amazon                                          Hosting365

    1&1 Internet                                    Hostway

    8x8                                             IBM

    AdvancedHosters                                 IKANO Communications

    Akamai Technologies                             Internap Network Services

    Amazon.com                                      Joyent

    AT&T                                            KKR

    BlueHost                                        Layered Technologies

    BlueLock                                        LeaseWeb

    Cbeyond                                         Level 3 Communications

    CenturyTel Internet Holdings                    Liquid Web
     (CenturyLink)
                                                    MaximumASP
    Cogent Communications
                                                    Media Temple
    Datapipe
                                                    NeoSpire
    Defender Technologies Group (Virtacore)
                                                    netdirekt
    Dimension Data Holdings
                                                    Network Solutions (Web.com)
    Endurance International
                                                    New Dream Network (DreamHost)
    Fusepoint Managed Services (Savvis/
                                                    NTT America
     CenturyLink)
                                                    OneNeck IT Services
    GI Partners
                                                    OpSource
    GoGrid
                                                    pair Networks
    Greensoft Solutions (GSI Hosting)
                                                    PEER 1 Hosting
    Group NBT
                                                    Quantcast
    HgCapital
                                                    Rackspace
    Hosted Solutions
                                                    Savvis
    Hosting.com



2                                                                 CIS - HEAVYWEIGHTS 2011
                          © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
COMPANIES INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT
ServePath

ServInt

Silver Lake Partners

SingleHop

Singtel

SoftLayer Technologies

Standing Cloud

SunGard Availability Services

TDS Telecommunications

Technology Crossover Ventures

Terremark Worldwide

The Go Daddy Group

tw telecom

Verizon Business

Verizon Communications

VISI

VMware

Web.com

WEBZILLA

Windstream Communications

Yahoo

Zerigo




451 RESEARCH: HOSTING                                                            3
© 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
TABLE OF CONTENTS

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY                                                                               1
    INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                  1
    KEY FINDINGS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                2
    METHODOLOGY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                   2


    DEFINING THE CLOUD COMPUTING MARKET                                                             4
    CORE CLOUD ATTRIBUTES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                 4
    TYPES OF CLOUD COMPUTING. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                 4
        FIGURE 1: Market Taxonomy                                                                   5
    IAAS DEFINED . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .                                5


    COMPUTE-AS-A-SERVICE MARKET OVERVIEW                                                            6
    COMPUTE-AS-A-SERVICE MARKET SIZE, 2010-2014                 . . . . . . . . . . .               6
        FIGURE 2: Compute as a Service Market Sizing and Projection                                 7
        FIGURE 3: 2010 & 2014 Compute ‘as a Service’ Revenue by Geography                           8
    COMPUTE-AS-A-SERVICE GLOBAL LEADERBOARD . . . . . . . . . . . .                                 8
        FIGURE 4: 2010-2014 Compute ‘as a Service’ Global Leaderboard                               9
    PROVIDER SHARE OF TOP 100,000 WEB SITES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
        FIGURE 5: Share of Top 100,000 Websites Attributed to Providers                            11


    CLOUD CUSTOMER BUYING TRENDS                                                                  15
    CLOUD ADOPTION BY BUSINESSES SURPASSES 20% IN 2011 . . . . . . . . 15
        FIGURE 6: Public Cloud Computing Adoption Trend                                           15
    WHICH WORKLOADS ARE COMPANIES MOVING TO THE CLOUD?. . . . . . . 16
        FIGURE 7: Workloads Moving to the Cloud                                                   16
    RELIABILITY NOT A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
        FIGURE 8: Perceptions of Cloud Reliability                                                18
        FIGURE 9: Effects of AWS Outage on Future Cloud Use                                       19
    WHAT ATTRIBUTES ARE CUSTOMERS LOOKING FOR IN CLOUD
       SERVICE PROVIDERS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
        FIGURE 10: Service Provider Selection Criteria                                            20
    SECURITY AND CHANGE ARE STILL LARGEST OBSTACLES . . . . . . . . . 21
        FIGURE 11: Reasons for Not Using Cloud                                                    21



4                                                               CIS - HEAVYWEIGHTS 2011
                        © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
PROJECTED CLOUD SPENDING CHANGES IN 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
       FIGURE 12: Cloud Spending Changes in 2012                                 22


EVENT ANALYSIS                                                                   23
 CLOUD OFFERINGS EVOLVING INTO MANAGED CLOUD . . . . . . . . . . 23
       FIGURE 13: Hosted Services Consolidating Around Axis of
             Services, Elasticity                                                24
 BLENDED CATALOGS OF OFFERINGS GAINING TRACTION . . . . . . . . . 24
 SERVICE PROVIDERS LAUNCHING OFFERINGS ON TOP OF
     AMAZON AWS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
 VMWARE LINKS PROVIDERS’ CLOUDS WITH GLOBAL CONNECT . . . . . . . 25
 OPEN DATA CENTER ALLIANCE PUBLISHES CLOUD USAGE MODELS . . . . . 26
 OPENSTACK PROJECT KICKS OFF, GROWS AND LAUNCHES CLOUDS
     WITHIN 18 MONTHS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
 M&A ACTIVITY BRISK THROUGH 2010-2011, NO SIGNS OF SLOWING DOWN . . 28
       FIGURE 14: Merger and Acquisition Activity, 2009-11                       29


THE $64,000 QUESTION: DOES CLOUD EVENTUALLY
  CANNIBALIZE HOSTING?                                                           30
       FIGURE 15: Projected Impact of Cloud Computing on Hosting
             Revenues through 2013                                               31


APPENDIX A: DEFINITIONS AND DELIVERY MODELS FOR
  THE CLOUD                                                                      32
 CORE CLOUD ATTRIBUTES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
       FIGURE 16: Cloud Infrastructure Criteria                                  32
 WHAT ARE THE CLOUD DELIVERY MODELS? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36


APPENDIX B: HOSTING TAXONOMY                                                     38




451 RESEARCH: HOSTING                                                                 5
© 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
ABOUT 451 RESEARCH
    451 Research, a division of leading global analyst and data company The 451
    Group, is focused on the business of enterprise IT innovation. Clients of 451
    Research — at end-user, service-provider, vendor and investor organizations
    — rely on 451 Research’s insight through a range of syndicated research and
    advisory services to support both strategic and tactical decision-making.

    © 2011 The 451 Group, 451 Research and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and
    distribution of this publication, in whole or in part, in any form without prior written permis-
    sion is forbidden. The terms of use regarding distribution, both internally and externally, shall
    be governed by the terms laid out in your Service Agreement with 451 Research and/or its Affil-
    iates. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable.
    451 Research disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such infor-
    mation. Although 451 Research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology
    business, 451 Research does not provide legal advice or services and their research should not
    be construed or used as such. 451 Research shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inad-
    equacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes
    sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended results. The opinions
    expressed herein are subject to change without notice.




6                                                                      CIS - HEAVYWEIGHTS 2011
                               © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

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Cloud Infrastructure Services: Here Come The Heavyweights – 2011 Edition

  • 1. CLOUD INFRASTRUCTURE SERVICES HERE COME THE HEAVYWEIGHTS - 2011 EDITION HOSTING DECEMBER 2011 451 RESEARCH: HOSTING © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 2. REPORT SNAPSHOT TITLE Cloud Infrastructure Services: Here Come The Heavyweights – 2011 Edition ANALYSTS Doug Toombs, Research Manager – Tier1 Research RELEASE DATE December 2011 LENGTH 40 pages ABOUT THIS REPORT Over the past two years, the marketplace for cloud computing has gone through dramatic and substantive changes. In the next several years, cloud computing is projected to have stunning growth rates across all the major categories of service – IaaS, PaaS and SaaS. With a projected growth rate greater than any other sector of the service provider marketplace that Tier1 Research currently tracks, the overall combined cloud services market is expected to reach $23 billion by 2014. To that end, service providers are responding to the changes in the market by updating their service catalogs to become more cloud-friendly. T1R expects that in the years ahead, the lines and distinctions between traditional hosting descriptors – shared, dedicated, managed – will become less relevant, as customers make more calculated decisions based on financial considerations between dedicated systems and cloud/elastic capacity needs. Customer adoption of cloud computing services is showing a steady upward trajectory within the data that 451 Research collects, with 20-25% of customers surveyed indicating they are using some type of public cloud computing service – SaaS, PaaS or IaaS. Among the workloads customers are moving into the cloud, development and testing are obvious, but customers are also turning to cloud for collaboration approaches, CRM and BC/DR needs – functions that could find their way to a cloud product just as easily from a business unit as from centralized IT. Finally, one of the most interesting data points to come out of 451 Research’s acquisition of TheInfoPro and ChangeWave Research is input on what criteria customers consider most important when evaluating cloud service providers. Perhaps counter- intuitive to what service providers might expect, ‘technical specifications’ such as network, compute and storage architectures seem to have the least level of importance to customers, where as more ‘business-oriented’ attributes such as SLAs and support models rank highest. 451 RESEARCH: HOSTING 1 © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 3. COMPANIES INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT Amazon Hosting365 1&1 Internet Hostway 8x8 IBM AdvancedHosters IKANO Communications Akamai Technologies Internap Network Services Amazon.com Joyent AT&T KKR BlueHost Layered Technologies BlueLock LeaseWeb Cbeyond Level 3 Communications CenturyTel Internet Holdings Liquid Web (CenturyLink) MaximumASP Cogent Communications Media Temple Datapipe NeoSpire Defender Technologies Group (Virtacore) netdirekt Dimension Data Holdings Network Solutions (Web.com) Endurance International New Dream Network (DreamHost) Fusepoint Managed Services (Savvis/ NTT America CenturyLink) OneNeck IT Services GI Partners OpSource GoGrid pair Networks Greensoft Solutions (GSI Hosting) PEER 1 Hosting Group NBT Quantcast HgCapital Rackspace Hosted Solutions Savvis Hosting.com 2 CIS - HEAVYWEIGHTS 2011 © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 4. COMPANIES INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT ServePath ServInt Silver Lake Partners SingleHop Singtel SoftLayer Technologies Standing Cloud SunGard Availability Services TDS Telecommunications Technology Crossover Ventures Terremark Worldwide The Go Daddy Group tw telecom Verizon Business Verizon Communications VISI VMware Web.com WEBZILLA Windstream Communications Yahoo Zerigo 451 RESEARCH: HOSTING 3 © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 5. TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 INTRODUCTION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 KEY FINDINGS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 METHODOLOGY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 DEFINING THE CLOUD COMPUTING MARKET 4 CORE CLOUD ATTRIBUTES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 TYPES OF CLOUD COMPUTING. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 FIGURE 1: Market Taxonomy 5 IAAS DEFINED . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 COMPUTE-AS-A-SERVICE MARKET OVERVIEW 6 COMPUTE-AS-A-SERVICE MARKET SIZE, 2010-2014 . . . . . . . . . . . 6 FIGURE 2: Compute as a Service Market Sizing and Projection 7 FIGURE 3: 2010 & 2014 Compute ‘as a Service’ Revenue by Geography 8 COMPUTE-AS-A-SERVICE GLOBAL LEADERBOARD . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 FIGURE 4: 2010-2014 Compute ‘as a Service’ Global Leaderboard 9 PROVIDER SHARE OF TOP 100,000 WEB SITES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 FIGURE 5: Share of Top 100,000 Websites Attributed to Providers 11 CLOUD CUSTOMER BUYING TRENDS 15 CLOUD ADOPTION BY BUSINESSES SURPASSES 20% IN 2011 . . . . . . . . 15 FIGURE 6: Public Cloud Computing Adoption Trend 15 WHICH WORKLOADS ARE COMPANIES MOVING TO THE CLOUD?. . . . . . . 16 FIGURE 7: Workloads Moving to the Cloud 16 RELIABILITY NOT A SIGNIFICANT CONCERN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 FIGURE 8: Perceptions of Cloud Reliability 18 FIGURE 9: Effects of AWS Outage on Future Cloud Use 19 WHAT ATTRIBUTES ARE CUSTOMERS LOOKING FOR IN CLOUD SERVICE PROVIDERS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 FIGURE 10: Service Provider Selection Criteria 20 SECURITY AND CHANGE ARE STILL LARGEST OBSTACLES . . . . . . . . . 21 FIGURE 11: Reasons for Not Using Cloud 21 4 CIS - HEAVYWEIGHTS 2011 © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 6. PROJECTED CLOUD SPENDING CHANGES IN 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 FIGURE 12: Cloud Spending Changes in 2012 22 EVENT ANALYSIS 23 CLOUD OFFERINGS EVOLVING INTO MANAGED CLOUD . . . . . . . . . . 23 FIGURE 13: Hosted Services Consolidating Around Axis of Services, Elasticity 24 BLENDED CATALOGS OF OFFERINGS GAINING TRACTION . . . . . . . . . 24 SERVICE PROVIDERS LAUNCHING OFFERINGS ON TOP OF AMAZON AWS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 VMWARE LINKS PROVIDERS’ CLOUDS WITH GLOBAL CONNECT . . . . . . . 25 OPEN DATA CENTER ALLIANCE PUBLISHES CLOUD USAGE MODELS . . . . . 26 OPENSTACK PROJECT KICKS OFF, GROWS AND LAUNCHES CLOUDS WITHIN 18 MONTHS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 M&A ACTIVITY BRISK THROUGH 2010-2011, NO SIGNS OF SLOWING DOWN . . 28 FIGURE 14: Merger and Acquisition Activity, 2009-11 29 THE $64,000 QUESTION: DOES CLOUD EVENTUALLY CANNIBALIZE HOSTING? 30 FIGURE 15: Projected Impact of Cloud Computing on Hosting Revenues through 2013 31 APPENDIX A: DEFINITIONS AND DELIVERY MODELS FOR THE CLOUD 32 CORE CLOUD ATTRIBUTES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 FIGURE 16: Cloud Infrastructure Criteria 32 WHAT ARE THE CLOUD DELIVERY MODELS? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 APPENDIX B: HOSTING TAXONOMY 38 451 RESEARCH: HOSTING 5 © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 7. ABOUT 451 RESEARCH 451 Research, a division of leading global analyst and data company The 451 Group, is focused on the business of enterprise IT innovation. Clients of 451 Research — at end-user, service-provider, vendor and investor organizations — rely on 451 Research’s insight through a range of syndicated research and advisory services to support both strategic and tactical decision-making. © 2011 The 451 Group, 451 Research and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction and distribution of this publication, in whole or in part, in any form without prior written permis- sion is forbidden. The terms of use regarding distribution, both internally and externally, shall be governed by the terms laid out in your Service Agreement with 451 Research and/or its Affil- iates. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. 451 Research disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such infor- mation. Although 451 Research may discuss legal issues related to the information technology business, 451 Research does not provide legal advice or services and their research should not be construed or used as such. 451 Research shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inad- equacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. 6 CIS - HEAVYWEIGHTS 2011 © 2011 THE 451 GROUP, 451 RESEARCH AND/OR ITS AFFILIATES. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.