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The EU‘s post 2012 Climate Change strategy Towards a comprehensive climate change agreement in Copenhagen Thomas Bernheim, DG Environment European Commission ,[object Object]
The global scientific consensus ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A global pathway to  stay below 2°C Global Peak  by 2020 Global -50%  by 2050  rel. 1990 Developed Countries to cut by 80-95%  by 2050  rel. 1990 Recent  Science ?
Why 2 ° C?  Getting into the danger zone
Delay  has  serious  impacts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],   Call on all developed countries to commit to ambitious cuts by 2020 to avoid unrealistic pathways ,[object Object]
DC need to participate  over time ... If Annex I alone reduces emissions to zero ... Global emission path compatible with 2°C
EU vision for Copenhagen:  targets and actions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EU’s vision for Copenhagen:  reductions are affordable but   carbon markets  key to cost-efficiency ,[object Object],[object Object],Source: European Commission 39 bn € 81 bn € 166 bn € Total incremental costs in developed countries in 2020 (2005 prices) 22 € 43 € 72 € Carbon price per tonne CO 2  in developed countries ETS, 2020 Perfect global carbon market Gradual global carbon market No global carbon market 30% Annex I reduction below 1990 by 2020
  EU’s vision for Copenhagen:  Towards comparable QELROs ,[object Object],Country B ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],2020 Average Country A
Leading through example:  The climate and energy package ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The climate and energy  package at a glance  large industrial installations & aviation  Carbon capture and storage Directive CO2&cars Renewable Energy Directive  Fuel Quality Directive   -20% / 30% technology specific &  product policies cross-sectoral  targets & instruments “ small emitters”  EU ETS Effort  Sharing Decision
Climate and energy package: Approach ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overall architecture GHG Target by 2020: -20% compared to 1990 -14% compared to 2005 EU ETS -21% compared  to 2005 Non ETS sectors  -10% compared to 2005 27 Member State targets, stretching from -20% to +20%
EU Emissions Trading System  (EU ETS)  Some basics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Strengthening EU ETS  from 2013 (third phase) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Effort sharing outside EU ETS:  Differentiated national  targets for 2020 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Effort sharing outside EU ETS:  National targets for 2020
Effort sharing outside EU ETS:  Linear reduction pathway… with flexibility for compliance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What happens after  Copenhagen agreement? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Final remarks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More… ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 

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The EU‘s post 2012 Climate Change strategy

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. A global pathway to stay below 2°C Global Peak by 2020 Global -50% by 2050 rel. 1990 Developed Countries to cut by 80-95% by 2050 rel. 1990 Recent Science ?
  • 4. Why 2 ° C? Getting into the danger zone
  • 5.
  • 6. DC need to participate over time ... If Annex I alone reduces emissions to zero ... Global emission path compatible with 2°C
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. The climate and energy package at a glance large industrial installations & aviation Carbon capture and storage Directive CO2&cars Renewable Energy Directive Fuel Quality Directive -20% / 30% technology specific & product policies cross-sectoral targets & instruments “ small emitters” EU ETS Effort Sharing Decision
  • 12.
  • 13. Overall architecture GHG Target by 2020: -20% compared to 1990 -14% compared to 2005 EU ETS -21% compared to 2005 Non ETS sectors -10% compared to 2005 27 Member State targets, stretching from -20% to +20%
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Effort sharing outside EU ETS: National targets for 2020
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.