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Global	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Management	
  
Trends	
  &	
  Best	
  Prac.ces   	
  
FAPICS	
  Annual	
  Conference	
  
Paris,	
  May	
  2011	
  
                                              Mondher	
  Ben-­‐Hamida,	
  CPIM,	
  CSCP	
  
                                              APICS	
  Board	
  Member	
  
                                              Vice	
  President	
  Strategy,	
  E2open	
  
                                              mondher@e2open.com	
  /	
  mondher@mondher.com	
  
                                              +1.415.425.7184	
  

                                                     ©	
  2011	
  E2open,	
  Inc.	
  All	
  rights	
  reserved.	
  
Agenda	
  


    1	
     Our	
  Point	
  of	
  View	
  on	
  Global	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  IntegraAon	
  
                                                                                             What	
  Works	
  &	
  What	
  Doesn’t	
  Work	
  



    2	
     Case	
  Studies	
  in	
  Global	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  IntegraAon	
  &	
  Co-­‐opeAAon	
  	
  
                                                                                                                          Lessons	
  Learned	
  



    3	
     An	
  Overview	
  of	
  Some	
  Macro	
  Economic	
  Trends	
  
                                                           …	
  and	
  their	
  impact	
  on	
  the	
  micro	
  economic	
  drivers	
  of	
  SCM	
  



    4	
     IT	
  and	
  the	
  Future	
  of	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Management	
  
                                                 On	
  the	
  structure	
  and	
  merits	
  of	
  an	
  IT-­‐enabled	
  business	
  network	
  



    5	
     Conclusion	
  
                                                                                                                            Final	
  Thoughts	
  




                                                    	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  2	
  
Supply	
  Chains	
  are	
  More	
  Complex	
  than	
  Ever	
  




 •  Supply	
  chains	
  	
  
    becoming	
  ‘virtual	
  enterprises’	
  
 •  Complex,	
  mulN-­‐Ner	
  business	
  and	
  	
  
    service	
  level	
  relaNonships	
  	
  
 •  GlobalizaNon,	
  de-­‐centralizaNon	
  and	
  
    management	
  of	
  shared	
  processes	
  	
  

                                                        	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  3	
  
…	
  and	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  CollaboraNon	
  is	
  Tough!	
  	
  
The	
  Uncanny	
  Resemblance	
  with	
  Chaos	
  Theory	
  


     1.  Complex	
  systems	
  consist	
  of	
  a	
  large	
  number	
  of	
  elements.	
  
     2.  The	
  elements	
  have	
  to	
  interact	
  and	
  this	
  interacNon	
  must	
  
           be	
  dynamic.	
  	
  
     3.    The	
  InteracNon	
  is	
  fairly	
  rich,	
  i.e.	
  any	
  element	
  in	
  the	
  system	
  
           influences,	
  and	
  is	
  influenced	
  by,	
  quite	
  a	
  few	
  other	
  ones.	
  
     4.    Firstly,	
  the	
  interacNons	
  are	
  non-­‐linear.	
  	
  
     5.    The	
  interacNons	
  usually	
  have	
  a	
  fairly	
  short	
  range,	
  i.e.	
  
           informaNon	
  is	
  received	
  primarily	
  from	
  immediate	
  neighbours.	
  
     6.    There	
  are	
  loops	
  in	
  the	
  interacNon.	
  
     7.    Complex	
  systems	
  are	
  usually	
  open	
  systems,	
  i.e.	
  they	
  interact	
  
           with	
  their	
  environment.	
  
     8.    Complex	
  system	
  operate	
  under	
  condiNons	
  far	
  from	
  
           equilibrium.	
  
     9.    Complex	
  systems	
  have	
  a	
  history.	
  Not	
  only	
  do	
  they	
  evolve	
  
           through	
  Nme,	
  but	
  their	
  past	
  is	
  co-­‐responsible	
  for	
  their	
  
           present	
  behaviour.	
  
     10. Each	
  element	
  in	
  the	
  system	
  is	
  ignorant	
  of	
  the	
  behaviour	
  
           of	
  the	
  system	
  as	
  a	
  whole.	
  

                                                                        	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  4	
  
Business	
  EvoluNon	
  over	
  the	
  years	
  ……	
  


            Asset	
  Light	
  TransformaAons	
                                                           Short	
  Product	
  Lifecycles	
  
            • Loss	
  of	
  control	
  &	
  increased	
  risk	
                                          • Need	
  for	
  dynamic	
  supply	
  chains	
  
            • Planning	
  focus	
  replaced	
  by	
  execuNon	
                                          • Lower	
  Inventory	
  levels	
  
              focus	
  	
  
                                                                                                         • Lower	
  liability	
  



            Complex	
  Customer	
  Channels	
                                                            AcAve	
  Demand	
  Management	
  
            • End	
  customer	
  value	
  NOT	
  immediate	
                                             • Real	
  Nme	
  visibility	
  and	
  dynamic	
  
              customer	
  focus	
                                                                          execuNon	
  to	
  counter	
  volaNlity	
  
            • Visibility	
  and	
  replenishment	
                                                       • Demand	
  shaping,	
  promoNons	
  



            Value	
  Networks	
                                                                          RegulaAons	
  &	
  Compliance	
  
            • Non-­‐linear,	
  Global,	
  MulN-­‐Ner,	
  Regional	
                                      • Global	
  networks	
  drive	
  huge	
  
            • Direct	
  links	
  between	
  points	
  of	
  supply	
                                       compliance	
  requirements	
  
              and	
  demand	
  	
                                                                        • Cross-­‐country	
  goods	
  movements	
  
            • No	
  touch	
  or	
  low	
  touch	
  operaNons	
                                             require	
  detailed	
  documentaNon	
  



                                                                	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  5	
  
Brand	
  vs.	
  Delivery	
  …..	
  


              Tangible	
  Assets/Net	
  Value	
  
                                                                                          •  Major	
  Brand	
  Owners	
  conNnue	
  to	
  
    70%	
                                                                                    outsource	
  based	
  on	
  their	
  core	
  
    60%	
                                                                                    competencies	
  and	
  the	
  capabiliNes	
  
                                                                                             of	
  their	
  partners	
  
    50%	
  
                                                                                          •  Strategic	
  move	
  –	
  own	
  the	
  Brand/
    40%	
  
                                                                                             Design	
  and	
  outsource	
  the	
  actual	
  
    30%	
                                                                                    value	
  creaNon	
  
    20%	
                                                                                 •  Requires	
  managing	
  the	
  value	
  
    10%	
                                                                                    network	
  outside	
  the	
  four	
  walls	
  

      0%	
  
        1975	
       1985	
     1995	
     2005	
     2015	
  



                                                      	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  6	
  
Mismatch	
  between	
  Needs	
  and	
  Current	
  Setups	
  


                                                                                                                 • Our	
  experience	
  shows	
  that	
  most	
  global	
  
              Phase 1                   Phase 2                   Phase 3                                          companies	
  are	
  in	
  Phase	
  3	
  of	
  their	
  evoluNon	
  
           Reputation Matters         Growth Matters          Execution Matters                                  • Global	
  operaNonal	
  models	
  (process,	
  tools	
  
    High           Suitability of Supply Chain Models and Tools                           Low                      and	
  infrastructure)	
  have	
  not	
  evolved	
  in	
  sync
                                                                                                                                                                                	
  
                                                                                                                   with	
  the	
  growing	
  complexity	
  of	
  global	
  
                                                                                                                   business	
  models	
  
                                                                                                                 • The	
  growing	
  compeNNon	
  between	
  new	
  and	
  
                                                               Slower growth and                                   emerging	
  technology	
  Ntans	
  adds	
  a	
  sense	
  of	
  
                                                               fiercer competition
                                                                                                                   urgency	
  to	
  the	
  need	
  for	
  key	
  players	
  to	
  
            Business creation
                                                                                                                   upgrade	
  their	
  operaNonal	
  model	
  with	
  
            and local market                                                                                       greater	
  emphasis	
  on	
  superior	
  planning	
  and	
  
             establishment
                                                                                                                   execuNon	
  
                                                                                                                 • Transforming	
  the	
  supply	
  chain	
  to	
  address	
  
                                      Aggressive Global
                                           Growth
                                                                                                                   the	
  requirements	
  of	
  this	
  new	
  phase	
  is	
  the	
  
                                                                                                                   new	
  compeNNve	
  fronNer	
  
    Low       Elapsed Time / Supply Chain Planning Complexity                           High

                The	
  Evolving	
  Needs	
  of	
  Global	
  Supply	
  Chains




                                                                        	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  7	
  
Example:	
  Complex	
  Supply	
  Network	
  

 Boeing	
  787:	
  
 External	
  CollaboraNon	
  is	
  absolutely	
  criNcal	
  as	
  
 more	
  design,	
  manufacturing,	
  and	
  supply	
  network	
  
 execuNon	
  is	
  entrusted	
  to	
  key	
  trading	
  partners	
  	
  




                                                   	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  8	
  
Valida.ng	
  Our	
  Observa.ons	
  
Findings	
  from	
  a	
  Recent	
  E2open	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Summit	
  




                                                                               1	
     Number	
  of	
  Planning	
  Tiers	
  

                                                                               2	
     Lead	
  Time	
  in	
  an	
  Extended	
  SC	
  

                                                                               3	
     Performance	
  Mgt	
  in	
  a	
  MulN-­‐Tier	
  System	
  

                                                                               4	
     SCM	
  &	
  Financial	
  Management	
  




                                      	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  9	
  
Supply	
  Chain	
  MulN-­‐Tier	
  Performance	
  
Using	
  the	
  E2open	
  Maturity	
  Model	
  


            The	
  Orchestrators	
  Quadrant	
  
            Companies	
  in	
  this	
  zone	
  clearly	
  understand	
  the	
  need	
  to	
  
            reach	
  across	
  their	
  supply	
  chain	
  spectrum	
  to	
  opNmize	
  
            their	
  operaNons	
  leveraging	
  advanced	
  opNmizaNon	
  	
  
            and	
  business	
  intelligence	
  for	
  superior	
  performance	
  	
  



            The	
  Overachievers	
  Quadrant	
  
            Companies	
  in	
  this	
  zone	
  have	
  managed	
  to	
  leverage	
  
            their	
  size	
  or	
  anchor	
  posiNon	
  to	
  build	
  a	
  mulN-­‐Ner	
  
            planning	
  model	
  that	
  sNll	
  lack	
  advanced	
  analyNcs	
  to	
  
            handle	
  complexity	
  and	
  improve	
  visibility	
  and	
  
            responsiveness	
  


            The	
  Underachievers	
  Quadrant	
  
            Companies	
  in	
  this	
  zone	
  have	
  heavily	
  invested	
  in	
  	
  
            enterprise	
  automaNon	
  and	
  planning	
  soluNons	
  but	
  are	
  
            yet	
  to	
  reap	
  any	
  significant	
  benefits	
  because	
  of	
  either	
  
            lack	
  of	
  leverage	
  or	
  reluctance	
  to	
  embrace	
  the	
  required	
  
            mind-­‐set	
  shim	
  	
  

            The	
  Basic	
  Quadrant	
  
            Companies	
  in	
  this	
  zone	
  have	
  neither	
  the	
  supply	
  chain	
  
            reach	
  nor	
  the	
  advanced	
  planning	
  capabiliNes	
  to	
  turn	
  
            SCM	
  into	
  a	
  compeNNve	
  differenNator.	
  Many	
  
            companies	
  from	
  emerging	
  markets	
  fall	
  in	
  this	
  category	
  




                                                                                        	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  10	
  
The	
  Challenge	
  of	
  MulN-­‐Tier	
  Planning	
  



     Component	
  Suppliers	
          EMS	
  Partners	
     OEM	
  /	
  Brand	
  Owner	
                Channel	
  Partners	
             Customers	
  




                                                                                                                                                     Variability	
  




                                                                                                                                                           Time	
  



                       Vola-lity	
                                                                                                 Dependency	
  




                                                               	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  11	
  
Performance	
  Management	
  in	
  a	
  MulA-­‐Tier	
  Value	
  Chain	
  
The	
  Dubious	
  Usefulness	
  of	
  the	
  Inventory	
  Turnover	
  Ra.o	
  (as	
  an	
  example)	
  



                                 Your	
  Key	
  Supplier/CM	
                                                                                    Brand	
  Owner	
                                                                        Your	
  Key	
  Customer	
  
                   QuanNty	
  




                                                                                                                     QuanNty	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                                                       QuanNty	
  
                                 1	
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                                                                                                              Time	
                                                                                            Time	
                                                                                            Time	
  
                                                            COGS	
                                                                                             COGS	
                                                                                           COGS	
  
                                                              I	
                                                                                                I	
                                                                                              I	
  



        Key	
  Findings	
  
         •  Is	
  this	
  metric	
  (and	
  other	
  tradiNonal	
  ones)	
  more	
  suited	
  for	
  a	
  verNcally	
  integrated	
  company?	
  
         •  What’s	
  the	
  true	
  value	
  of	
  pursuing	
  high	
  inventory	
  turns	
  at	
  the	
  Brand	
  Owner	
  level	
  when	
  the	
  Supplier	
  is	
  
            (contractually	
  /	
  in	
  theory)	
  forced	
  to	
  maintain	
  high	
  inventory	
  levels	
  
            ― Does	
  this	
  drive	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  hedging	
  games	
  that	
  we	
  see	
  in	
  various	
  industries?	
  
         •  Does	
  a	
  MulN-­‐Tier	
  environment	
  warrant	
  re-­‐defining	
  this	
  metric	
  to	
  cover	
  2+	
  Tiers?	
  
         •  Do	
  we	
  need	
  new	
  ‘financial	
  products’	
  to	
  provide	
  joint	
  inventory	
  hedging	
  mechanisms?	
  
         •  Please	
  share	
  any	
  experiences	
  implemenNng	
  any	
  cross-­‐Ner	
  metrics?	
  


                                                                                                                                        	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  12	
  
What	
  Is	
  Your	
  Lead	
  Time	
  in	
  An	
  Extended	
  Value	
  Chain?	
  
The	
  Need	
  to	
  Constantly	
  Monitor	
  3	
  Cri.cal	
  Variables	
  




                                                                                          I	
  
                                                                                    Inventory	
  
                                                                                                                                         L	
  
                                                                                                                                    Lead-­‐Time	
  
                                                                                                                                                                         T	
  
                                                                                                                                                                     Throughput	
  
                               John	
  D.C.	
  Li]le	
  
                             InsNtute	
  Professor	
  	
  

                                                                                       Your Company




                                                                                                                                                                                Customers	
  
     Suppliers	
  




                                                                                                        OEM’s	
  /	
  Brand	
                                           T	
  
                                                             Component	
     EMS	
  Partners
                                                                                           	
                                     Warehouse(s)
                                                                                                                                             	
  
                          Raw	
  Materials
                                         	
                                                               Owners        	
  
                                                              Suppliers
                                                                      	
                                                                              Retailers
                                                                                                                                                              	
  



                                                                                        Lead	
  Time	
  

              Key	
  Findings	
  
               •  How	
  comfortable	
  is	
  a	
  company	
  (with	
  an	
  extended	
  supply	
  chain)	
  quoNng	
  a	
  delivery	
  leadNme?	
  
               •  Is	
  expediNng	
  /	
  firefighNng	
  a	
  reflecNon	
  of	
  poor	
  visibility	
  to	
  inventory?	
  How	
  to	
  fix	
  that?	
  

                                                                                        	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  13	
  
Agenda	
  


    1	
     Our	
  Point	
  of	
  View	
  on	
  Global	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  IntegraAon	
  
                                                                                             What	
  Works	
  &	
  What	
  Doesn’t	
  Work	
  



    2	
     Case	
  Studies	
  in	
  Global	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  IntegraAon	
  &	
  Co-­‐opeAAon	
  
                                                                                                                         Lessons	
  Learned	
  



    3	
     An	
  Overview	
  of	
  Some	
  Macro	
  Economic	
  Trends	
  
                                                          …	
  and	
  their	
  impact	
  on	
  the	
  micro	
  economic	
  drivers	
  of	
  SCM	
  



    4	
     IT	
  and	
  the	
  Future	
  of	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Management	
  
                                                 On	
  the	
  structure	
  and	
  merits	
  of	
  an	
  IT-­‐enabled	
  business	
  network	
  



    5	
     Conclusion	
  
                                                                                                                           Final	
  Thoughts	
  




                                                   	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  14	
  
Co-­‐opeNNon	
  is	
  Fast	
  Becoming	
  the	
  Norm	
  


  Customers	
  
  SaNsfacNon	
  


  Supply	
  Chain	
  
  Visibility	
  


  Cost	
  	
  
  ReducNon	
  


  Inventory	
  
  ReducNon	
  


  Lead	
  Time	
  
  ReducNon	
  


  Supply	
  Chain	
  
  Velocity	
  


  Metrics	
  
  Alignment	
  




                                                                                Source	
  –	
  E2open	
  Research	
  




                                      	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  15	
  
A	
  Mockup	
  of	
  a	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Command	
  Center	
  
Co-­‐ope..on	
  and	
  ‘Real	
  Time’	
  S&OP	
  at	
  Work….	
  




                                                         	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  16	
  
Agenda	
  


    1	
     Our	
  Point	
  of	
  View	
  on	
  Global	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  IntegraAon	
  
                                                                                             What	
  Works	
  &	
  What	
  Doesn’t	
  Work	
  



    2	
     Case	
  Studies	
  in	
  Global	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  IntegraAon	
  &	
  Co-­‐opeAAon	
  	
  
                                                                                                                         Lessons	
  Learned	
  



    3	
     An	
  Overview	
  of	
  Some	
  Macro	
  Economic	
  Trends	
  
                                                          …	
  and	
  their	
  impact	
  on	
  the	
  micro	
  economic	
  drivers	
  of	
  SCM	
  



    4	
     It	
  and	
  the	
  Future	
  of	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Management	
  
                                                 On	
  the	
  structure	
  and	
  merits	
  of	
  an	
  IT-­‐enabled	
  business	
  network	
  



    5	
     Conclusion	
  
                                                                                                                           Final	
  Thoughts	
  




                                                   	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  17	
  
Observa.on	
  #	
  1	
  
China	
  and	
  the	
  Lewis	
  Turning	
  Point	
  


                                           Lewis	
  argued	
  in	
  a	
  1954	
  paper	
  that	
  a	
  developing	
  country	
  with	
  
                                          “surplus”	
  agricultural	
  labor	
  could	
  grow	
  its	
  industrial	
  sector	
  for	
  
                                             years	
  without	
  wage	
  infla.on	
  as	
  it	
  absorbs	
  that	
  surplus.	
  


                                             Share	
  of	
  enNre	
  industry	
  
       Sir	
  W.	
  Arthur	
  Lewis	
  
      Nobel	
  Economics	
  1979	
  
          (1915	
  —1991)	
  




                                                                                                 TexNle	
                   Consumer	
            Steel	
     Automobile	
  
                                                                                                                            Electronics	
  

                                                                                    Low	
  value-­‐added	
  products	
                                                     High	
  value-­‐added	
  products	
  




                                                                                                        	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  18	
  
Observa.on	
  #	
  2	
  
FluctuaAng	
  Oil	
  Prices	
  Make	
  LogisAcs	
  Planning	
  Challenging	
  	
  

             +$100/bbl	
  (from	
  $17	
  to	
  $117)	
  causes	
  an	
  increment	
  of	
  transportaNon	
  
               cost	
  of	
  0.22€/km	
  (from	
  1.28€	
  to	
  1.50€)	
  at	
  full	
  capacity	
  uNlizaNon	
  
                      LogisNcs	
  Costs	
  




                                                                                                    Cost	
  of	
  Warehouses,	
  	
  
                                                                                                    Stock	
  and	
  Loading	
  	
  
                                                                                                    Devices,	
  etc.	
  




                                                                                                    TransportaNon	
  	
  
                                                                                                    Costs	
  


                                                                                                #	
  of	
  Warehouses	
  




                                                      	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  19	
  
Observa.on/Ques.on	
  #	
  3	
  
Is	
  Labor	
  Cost	
  SAll	
  Relevant?	
  And	
  How	
  Should	
  It	
  Be	
  Analyzed?	
  
  •  Vietnam	
  Worker	
  –	
  400-­‐500	
  RMBs/Month	
  
      –  Lower	
  than	
  Bangladesh	
  
  •  China	
  Worker	
  –	
  800	
  RMBs/Month	
  
      –  Higher	
  than	
  India	
  and	
  Malaysia	
  
      –  Industrial	
  Transfer	
  is	
  inevitable	
  
  •  Survey	
  by	
  the	
  FederaNon	
  of	
  HK	
  Industries	
  
      –  37%	
  of	
  80,000	
  HK	
  companies	
  planning	
  to	
  transfer	
  part	
  or	
  all	
  
         of	
  their	
  producNon	
  capaciNes	
  out	
  of	
  the	
  region	
  
      –  63%	
  planning	
  to	
  move	
  out	
  of	
  the	
  Guangdong	
  region	
  	
  	
  




                                             	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  20	
  
Observa.on/Ques.on	
  #	
  4	
  
   What	
  is	
  the	
  True	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Cost	
  Breakdown	
  (1	
  of	
  2)	
  

                                                   ‘It	
  is	
  the	
  maxim	
  of	
  every	
  prudent	
  master	
  of	
  a	
  family,	
  never	
  to	
  axempt	
  to	
  make	
  at	
  home	
  what	
  it	
  will	
  cost	
  
                                                   him	
  more	
  to	
  make	
  than	
  to	
  buy.	
  If	
  a	
  foreign	
  country	
  can	
  supply	
  us	
  with	
  a	
  commodity	
  cheaper	
  than	
  we	
  
                                                   ourselves	
  can	
  make	
  it,	
  bexer	
  buy	
  it	
  of	
  them	
  with	
  some	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  produce	
  of	
  our	
  own	
  industry,	
  employed	
  
                                                   in	
  a	
  way	
  in	
  which	
  we	
  have	
  some	
  advantage.’	
  
                                                   “An	
  Inquiry	
  into	
  the	
  Nature	
  and	
  Causes	
  of	
  the	
  Wealth	
  of	
  Na.ons”	
  	
  
                                                   Adam	
  Smith	
  –	
  1776	
  	
  



                            StaAc	
  Costs	
                                                      Dynamic	
  Costs	
                                                             Hidden	
  Costs	
  
         •  Purchase	
  price	
  ex-­‐factory	
  gate	
                          •  Increased	
  pipeline	
  and	
  safety	
  stock	
  due,	
                 •  Labor	
  cost	
  inflaNon	
  due	
  to	
  rising	
  
         •  TransportaNon	
  cost	
  per	
  unit,	
  assuming	
                     which	
  is	
  amplified	
  by	
  demand	
  volaNlity	
                       standards	
  of	
  living	
  and	
  compeNNon	
  of	
  
            no	
  unexpected	
  delays	
  or	
  quality	
                           and	
  product	
  variety	
                                                  the	
  labor	
  market	
  
            problems	
                                                           •  Inventory	
  obsolescence	
  due	
  to	
  long	
                          •  Currency	
  fluctuaNons,	
  in	
  parNcular	
  for	
  
         •  Customs	
  and	
  duty	
  to	
  clear	
  a	
  shipment	
                logisNcs	
  lead-­‐Nmes,	
  e.g.	
  in	
  case	
  of	
                       cases	
  of	
  arNficially	
  pegged	
  currencies	
  
            for	
  export	
                                                         quality	
  problems	
                                                     •  Rise	
  in	
  transportaNon	
  cost,	
  e.g.	
  due	
  to	
  
         •  Insurance	
  and	
  transacNon	
  cost	
                             •  Cost	
  of	
  lost	
  sales	
  and	
  stock-­‐outs,	
  as	
  the	
           higher	
  oil	
  price	
  and	
  carbon	
  offset	
  costs	
  
         •  Cost	
  of	
  quality	
  control	
  and	
  compliance	
                 supply	
  chain	
  is	
  unresponsive	
  to	
  shims	
  in	
              •  Overhead	
  for	
  managing	
  the	
  
            with	
  safety	
  and	
  environmental	
                                demand	
                                                                     internaNonal	
  supply	
  base,	
  including	
  
            standards	
                                                          •  Expedited	
  shipments,	
  e.g.	
  air-­‐freight,	
  to	
                    travel	
  cost	
  or	
  cost	
  for	
  local	
  personnel	
  in	
  
         •  Search	
  cost	
  and	
  agency	
  fees	
  to	
  idenNfy	
              ensure	
  uninterrupted	
  supply	
                                          the	
  supplying	
  markets	
  
            and	
  interact	
  with	
  local	
  suppliers	
                                                                                                   •  The	
  loss	
  of	
  intellectual	
  property	
  to	
  
                                                                                                                                                                 contract	
  manufacturers	
  
                                                                                                                                                              •  The	
  risk	
  of	
  poliNcal	
  and	
  economic	
  
                                                                                                                                                                 instability	
  or	
  change	
  


21	
  
                                                                                                    	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  21	
  
Observa.on/Ques.on	
  #	
  4	
  
   What	
  is	
  the	
  True	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  Cost	
  Breakdown	
  (2	
  of	
  2)	
  




                                                                                            To	
  Outsource	
  or	
  Not	
  To	
  Outsource?	
  
                                                                                                   An	
  EvaluaNon	
  Framework	
  




                                                                                                        Source	
  –	
  “On	
  the	
  risk	
  and	
  cost	
  of	
  global	
  sourcing”	
  –	
  Holweg	
  et	
  al	
  
                                                                                                                                    InternaNonal	
  Journal	
  of	
  ProducNon	
  Economics	
  –	
  2011	
  	
  



22	
  
                                                  	
  E2open	
  ConfidenNal	
  /	
  22	
  

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Fapics mondher may 19, 2011_final_partial

  • 1. Global  Supply  Chain  Management   Trends  &  Best  Prac.ces   FAPICS  Annual  Conference   Paris,  May  2011   Mondher  Ben-­‐Hamida,  CPIM,  CSCP   APICS  Board  Member   Vice  President  Strategy,  E2open   mondher@e2open.com  /  mondher@mondher.com   +1.415.425.7184   ©  2011  E2open,  Inc.  All  rights  reserved.  
  • 2. Agenda   1   Our  Point  of  View  on  Global  Supply  Chain  IntegraAon   What  Works  &  What  Doesn’t  Work   2   Case  Studies  in  Global  Supply  Chain  IntegraAon  &  Co-­‐opeAAon     Lessons  Learned   3   An  Overview  of  Some  Macro  Economic  Trends   …  and  their  impact  on  the  micro  economic  drivers  of  SCM   4   IT  and  the  Future  of  Supply  Chain  Management   On  the  structure  and  merits  of  an  IT-­‐enabled  business  network   5   Conclusion   Final  Thoughts    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  2  
  • 3. Supply  Chains  are  More  Complex  than  Ever   •  Supply  chains     becoming  ‘virtual  enterprises’   •  Complex,  mulN-­‐Ner  business  and     service  level  relaNonships     •  GlobalizaNon,  de-­‐centralizaNon  and   management  of  shared  processes      E2open  ConfidenNal  /  3  
  • 4. …  and  Supply  Chain  CollaboraNon  is  Tough!     The  Uncanny  Resemblance  with  Chaos  Theory   1.  Complex  systems  consist  of  a  large  number  of  elements.   2.  The  elements  have  to  interact  and  this  interacNon  must   be  dynamic.     3.  The  InteracNon  is  fairly  rich,  i.e.  any  element  in  the  system   influences,  and  is  influenced  by,  quite  a  few  other  ones.   4.  Firstly,  the  interacNons  are  non-­‐linear.     5.  The  interacNons  usually  have  a  fairly  short  range,  i.e.   informaNon  is  received  primarily  from  immediate  neighbours.   6.  There  are  loops  in  the  interacNon.   7.  Complex  systems  are  usually  open  systems,  i.e.  they  interact   with  their  environment.   8.  Complex  system  operate  under  condiNons  far  from   equilibrium.   9.  Complex  systems  have  a  history.  Not  only  do  they  evolve   through  Nme,  but  their  past  is  co-­‐responsible  for  their   present  behaviour.   10. Each  element  in  the  system  is  ignorant  of  the  behaviour   of  the  system  as  a  whole.    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  4  
  • 5. Business  EvoluNon  over  the  years  ……   Asset  Light  TransformaAons   Short  Product  Lifecycles   • Loss  of  control  &  increased  risk   • Need  for  dynamic  supply  chains   • Planning  focus  replaced  by  execuNon   • Lower  Inventory  levels   focus     • Lower  liability   Complex  Customer  Channels   AcAve  Demand  Management   • End  customer  value  NOT  immediate   • Real  Nme  visibility  and  dynamic   customer  focus   execuNon  to  counter  volaNlity   • Visibility  and  replenishment   • Demand  shaping,  promoNons   Value  Networks   RegulaAons  &  Compliance   • Non-­‐linear,  Global,  MulN-­‐Ner,  Regional   • Global  networks  drive  huge   • Direct  links  between  points  of  supply   compliance  requirements   and  demand     • Cross-­‐country  goods  movements   • No  touch  or  low  touch  operaNons   require  detailed  documentaNon    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  5  
  • 6. Brand  vs.  Delivery  …..   Tangible  Assets/Net  Value   •  Major  Brand  Owners  conNnue  to   70%   outsource  based  on  their  core   60%   competencies  and  the  capabiliNes   of  their  partners   50%   •  Strategic  move  –  own  the  Brand/ 40%   Design  and  outsource  the  actual   30%   value  creaNon   20%   •  Requires  managing  the  value   10%   network  outside  the  four  walls   0%   1975   1985   1995   2005   2015    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  6  
  • 7. Mismatch  between  Needs  and  Current  Setups   • Our  experience  shows  that  most  global   Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 companies  are  in  Phase  3  of  their  evoluNon   Reputation Matters Growth Matters Execution Matters • Global  operaNonal  models  (process,  tools   High Suitability of Supply Chain Models and Tools Low and  infrastructure)  have  not  evolved  in  sync   with  the  growing  complexity  of  global   business  models   • The  growing  compeNNon  between  new  and   Slower growth and emerging  technology  Ntans  adds  a  sense  of   fiercer competition urgency  to  the  need  for  key  players  to   Business creation upgrade  their  operaNonal  model  with   and local market greater  emphasis  on  superior  planning  and   establishment execuNon   • Transforming  the  supply  chain  to  address   Aggressive Global Growth the  requirements  of  this  new  phase  is  the   new  compeNNve  fronNer   Low Elapsed Time / Supply Chain Planning Complexity High The  Evolving  Needs  of  Global  Supply  Chains  E2open  ConfidenNal  /  7  
  • 8. Example:  Complex  Supply  Network   Boeing  787:   External  CollaboraNon  is  absolutely  criNcal  as   more  design,  manufacturing,  and  supply  network   execuNon  is  entrusted  to  key  trading  partners      E2open  ConfidenNal  /  8  
  • 9. Valida.ng  Our  Observa.ons   Findings  from  a  Recent  E2open  Supply  Chain  Summit   1   Number  of  Planning  Tiers   2   Lead  Time  in  an  Extended  SC   3   Performance  Mgt  in  a  MulN-­‐Tier  System   4   SCM  &  Financial  Management    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  9  
  • 10. Supply  Chain  MulN-­‐Tier  Performance   Using  the  E2open  Maturity  Model   The  Orchestrators  Quadrant   Companies  in  this  zone  clearly  understand  the  need  to   reach  across  their  supply  chain  spectrum  to  opNmize   their  operaNons  leveraging  advanced  opNmizaNon     and  business  intelligence  for  superior  performance     The  Overachievers  Quadrant   Companies  in  this  zone  have  managed  to  leverage   their  size  or  anchor  posiNon  to  build  a  mulN-­‐Ner   planning  model  that  sNll  lack  advanced  analyNcs  to   handle  complexity  and  improve  visibility  and   responsiveness   The  Underachievers  Quadrant   Companies  in  this  zone  have  heavily  invested  in     enterprise  automaNon  and  planning  soluNons  but  are   yet  to  reap  any  significant  benefits  because  of  either   lack  of  leverage  or  reluctance  to  embrace  the  required   mind-­‐set  shim     The  Basic  Quadrant   Companies  in  this  zone  have  neither  the  supply  chain   reach  nor  the  advanced  planning  capabiliNes  to  turn   SCM  into  a  compeNNve  differenNator.  Many   companies  from  emerging  markets  fall  in  this  category    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  10  
  • 11. The  Challenge  of  MulN-­‐Tier  Planning   Component  Suppliers   EMS  Partners   OEM  /  Brand  Owner   Channel  Partners   Customers   Variability   Time   Vola-lity   Dependency    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  11  
  • 12. Performance  Management  in  a  MulA-­‐Tier  Value  Chain   The  Dubious  Usefulness  of  the  Inventory  Turnover  Ra.o  (as  an  example)   Your  Key  Supplier/CM   Brand  Owner   Your  Key  Customer   QuanNty   QuanNty   QuanNty   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   Time   Time   Time   COGS   COGS   COGS   I   I   I   Key  Findings   •  Is  this  metric  (and  other  tradiNonal  ones)  more  suited  for  a  verNcally  integrated  company?   •  What’s  the  true  value  of  pursuing  high  inventory  turns  at  the  Brand  Owner  level  when  the  Supplier  is   (contractually  /  in  theory)  forced  to  maintain  high  inventory  levels   ― Does  this  drive  some  of  the  hedging  games  that  we  see  in  various  industries?   •  Does  a  MulN-­‐Tier  environment  warrant  re-­‐defining  this  metric  to  cover  2+  Tiers?   •  Do  we  need  new  ‘financial  products’  to  provide  joint  inventory  hedging  mechanisms?   •  Please  share  any  experiences  implemenNng  any  cross-­‐Ner  metrics?    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  12  
  • 13. What  Is  Your  Lead  Time  in  An  Extended  Value  Chain?   The  Need  to  Constantly  Monitor  3  Cri.cal  Variables   I   Inventory   L   Lead-­‐Time   T   Throughput   John  D.C.  Li]le   InsNtute  Professor     Your Company Customers   Suppliers   OEM’s  /  Brand   T   Component   EMS  Partners   Warehouse(s)   Raw  Materials   Owners   Suppliers   Retailers   Lead  Time   Key  Findings   •  How  comfortable  is  a  company  (with  an  extended  supply  chain)  quoNng  a  delivery  leadNme?   •  Is  expediNng  /  firefighNng  a  reflecNon  of  poor  visibility  to  inventory?  How  to  fix  that?    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  13  
  • 14. Agenda   1   Our  Point  of  View  on  Global  Supply  Chain  IntegraAon   What  Works  &  What  Doesn’t  Work   2   Case  Studies  in  Global  Supply  Chain  IntegraAon  &  Co-­‐opeAAon   Lessons  Learned   3   An  Overview  of  Some  Macro  Economic  Trends   …  and  their  impact  on  the  micro  economic  drivers  of  SCM   4   IT  and  the  Future  of  Supply  Chain  Management   On  the  structure  and  merits  of  an  IT-­‐enabled  business  network   5   Conclusion   Final  Thoughts    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  14  
  • 15. Co-­‐opeNNon  is  Fast  Becoming  the  Norm   Customers   SaNsfacNon   Supply  Chain   Visibility   Cost     ReducNon   Inventory   ReducNon   Lead  Time   ReducNon   Supply  Chain   Velocity   Metrics   Alignment   Source  –  E2open  Research    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  15  
  • 16. A  Mockup  of  a  Supply  Chain  Command  Center   Co-­‐ope..on  and  ‘Real  Time’  S&OP  at  Work….    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  16  
  • 17. Agenda   1   Our  Point  of  View  on  Global  Supply  Chain  IntegraAon   What  Works  &  What  Doesn’t  Work   2   Case  Studies  in  Global  Supply  Chain  IntegraAon  &  Co-­‐opeAAon     Lessons  Learned   3   An  Overview  of  Some  Macro  Economic  Trends   …  and  their  impact  on  the  micro  economic  drivers  of  SCM   4   It  and  the  Future  of  Supply  Chain  Management   On  the  structure  and  merits  of  an  IT-­‐enabled  business  network   5   Conclusion   Final  Thoughts    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  17  
  • 18. Observa.on  #  1   China  and  the  Lewis  Turning  Point   Lewis  argued  in  a  1954  paper  that  a  developing  country  with   “surplus”  agricultural  labor  could  grow  its  industrial  sector  for   years  without  wage  infla.on  as  it  absorbs  that  surplus.   Share  of  enNre  industry   Sir  W.  Arthur  Lewis   Nobel  Economics  1979   (1915  —1991)   TexNle   Consumer   Steel   Automobile   Electronics   Low  value-­‐added  products   High  value-­‐added  products    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  18  
  • 19. Observa.on  #  2   FluctuaAng  Oil  Prices  Make  LogisAcs  Planning  Challenging     +$100/bbl  (from  $17  to  $117)  causes  an  increment  of  transportaNon   cost  of  0.22€/km  (from  1.28€  to  1.50€)  at  full  capacity  uNlizaNon   LogisNcs  Costs   Cost  of  Warehouses,     Stock  and  Loading     Devices,  etc.   TransportaNon     Costs   #  of  Warehouses    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  19  
  • 20. Observa.on/Ques.on  #  3   Is  Labor  Cost  SAll  Relevant?  And  How  Should  It  Be  Analyzed?   •  Vietnam  Worker  –  400-­‐500  RMBs/Month   –  Lower  than  Bangladesh   •  China  Worker  –  800  RMBs/Month   –  Higher  than  India  and  Malaysia   –  Industrial  Transfer  is  inevitable   •  Survey  by  the  FederaNon  of  HK  Industries   –  37%  of  80,000  HK  companies  planning  to  transfer  part  or  all   of  their  producNon  capaciNes  out  of  the  region   –  63%  planning  to  move  out  of  the  Guangdong  region        E2open  ConfidenNal  /  20  
  • 21. Observa.on/Ques.on  #  4   What  is  the  True  Supply  Chain  Cost  Breakdown  (1  of  2)   ‘It  is  the  maxim  of  every  prudent  master  of  a  family,  never  to  axempt  to  make  at  home  what  it  will  cost   him  more  to  make  than  to  buy.  If  a  foreign  country  can  supply  us  with  a  commodity  cheaper  than  we   ourselves  can  make  it,  bexer  buy  it  of  them  with  some  part  of  the  produce  of  our  own  industry,  employed   in  a  way  in  which  we  have  some  advantage.’   “An  Inquiry  into  the  Nature  and  Causes  of  the  Wealth  of  Na.ons”     Adam  Smith  –  1776     StaAc  Costs   Dynamic  Costs   Hidden  Costs   •  Purchase  price  ex-­‐factory  gate   •  Increased  pipeline  and  safety  stock  due,   •  Labor  cost  inflaNon  due  to  rising   •  TransportaNon  cost  per  unit,  assuming   which  is  amplified  by  demand  volaNlity   standards  of  living  and  compeNNon  of   no  unexpected  delays  or  quality   and  product  variety   the  labor  market   problems   •  Inventory  obsolescence  due  to  long   •  Currency  fluctuaNons,  in  parNcular  for   •  Customs  and  duty  to  clear  a  shipment   logisNcs  lead-­‐Nmes,  e.g.  in  case  of   cases  of  arNficially  pegged  currencies   for  export   quality  problems   •  Rise  in  transportaNon  cost,  e.g.  due  to   •  Insurance  and  transacNon  cost   •  Cost  of  lost  sales  and  stock-­‐outs,  as  the   higher  oil  price  and  carbon  offset  costs   •  Cost  of  quality  control  and  compliance   supply  chain  is  unresponsive  to  shims  in   •  Overhead  for  managing  the   with  safety  and  environmental   demand   internaNonal  supply  base,  including   standards   •  Expedited  shipments,  e.g.  air-­‐freight,  to   travel  cost  or  cost  for  local  personnel  in   •  Search  cost  and  agency  fees  to  idenNfy   ensure  uninterrupted  supply   the  supplying  markets   and  interact  with  local  suppliers   •  The  loss  of  intellectual  property  to   contract  manufacturers   •  The  risk  of  poliNcal  and  economic   instability  or  change   21    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  21  
  • 22. Observa.on/Ques.on  #  4   What  is  the  True  Supply  Chain  Cost  Breakdown  (2  of  2)   To  Outsource  or  Not  To  Outsource?   An  EvaluaNon  Framework   Source  –  “On  the  risk  and  cost  of  global  sourcing”  –  Holweg  et  al   InternaNonal  Journal  of  ProducNon  Economics  –  2011     22    E2open  ConfidenNal  /  22